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West Virginia vs TCU Odds, Picks, Predictions | NCAAF Betting Preview (Saturday, Sept. 30)

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West Virginia vs TCU Odds, Picks, Predictions | NCAAF Betting Preview (Saturday, Sept. 30)


West Virginia vs TCU Odds

Saturday, Sept. 30

8 p.m. ET

ESPN2

West Virginia Odds
Spread Total Moneyline

+14

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-110

52

-110o / -110u

+350

TCU Odds
Spread Total Moneyline

-14

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-110

52

-110o / -110u

-450

In a meeting between two Big 12 foes, TCU hosts West Virginia at Amon G. Carter Stadium on Saturday night looking to continue a solid start to the season.

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The Horned Frogs have bounced back from the opening defeat to Colorado with convincing wins over Nicholls, Houston and rival SMU.

Meanwhile, the Mountaineers also picked up a loss in Week 1, but they have rattled off three-straight victories to own a 3-1 record.

This should be a great battle under the lights in Texas, and I think it will be closer than the odds suggest.

So, where does the betting value lie? Let’s dive into the West Virginia vs. TCU odds and find a pick in this NCAAF betting preview for Saturday, Sept. 30.


Check out our NCAAF Betting Hub for more college football previews, predictions, news and analysis.

West Virginia Mountaineers

After posting back-to-back losing seasons, West Virginia head coach Neal Brown was on the hot seat coming into the year. However, he has silenced the doubters with a solid start.

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The first big win came in the Backyard Brawl against Pittsburgh. West Virginia then followed that up with a solid victory over Texas Tech.

In those contests, the stout defense has carried the Mountaineers, holding both Power 5 opponents to a combined 20 points.

The advanced metrics also back up the defensive efforts. WVU ranks inside the top 30 in multiple categories, including Defensive Passing Success Rate (20th), Havoc (24th) and Defensive Line Yards (28th).

Brown’s team will have to defend the pass well again if West Virginia wants to hold off TCU for a fourth straight win.


In the offseason, one of the biggest questions was how the TCU offense would look after the switch at offensive coordinator from Garrett Riley to Kendal Briles.

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Well, life under Briles is off to a solid start.

It’s been the impressive performances on the ground that have caught most of the headlines. The Horned Frogs sit in the top 25 in Offensive Line Yards (15th), Rush Success (17th) and Quality Drives (22nd).

Running back Emani Bailey has spearheaded the rushing attack, averaging six yards per carry for 483 rushing yards. Coming into this week, he leads the Big 12 in yards on the ground and has topped 100 yards in three of his four contests.

This will be the toughest defense that TCU has lined up against this season, but you know that veteran head coach Sonny Dykes is always confident in his offense.

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West Virginia vs TCU

Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how West Virginia and TCU match up statistically:

West Virginia Offense vs. TCU Defense
Rush Success 73 58
Line Yards 54 79
Pass Success 89 81
Havoc 23 74
Finishing Drives 79 30
Quality Drives 79 47
TCU Offense vs. West Virginia Defense
Rush Success 17 45
Line Yards 15 28
Pass Success 28 20
Havoc 33 24
Finishing Drives 74 56
Quality Drives 22 49
Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling 59 104
PFF Coverage 122 85
Special Teams SP+ 14 46
Middle 8 29 39
Seconds per Play 28.7 (93) 21.8 (3)
Rush Rate 66.4% (5) 53.8% (64)

West Virginia vs TCU

Betting Pick & Prediction

If you like to follow the betting odds throughout the week, the opening lines at FanDuel and DraftKings both started under double digits. However, bettors hammered those numbers to push it to where it now sits at 14 points.

At this point, I really feel that the numbers have gone just a bit too far. So, my best bet is to back West Virginia at +14, which I would play to +10.5.

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The theme for the Mountaineers has been their defense keeping them in games, and they should be able to do enough to keep this under two scores.

After all, this is a WVU defensive unit that has held Pittsburgh and Texas Tech to a combined average of less than four yards per carry.

The Mountaineers also have a significant advantage in PFF tackle grading, ranking 59th compared to TCU at 104th. While it’s a little concerning that WVU ranks 122nd in PFF’s coverage rankings, I feel it’s more important to stop the run first in this game.

One injury note to pay attention to as we get closer to kickoff is the status of West Virginia starting quarterback Garrett Greene, who missed the last game. He was available in an emergency role for the win over the Red Raiders, which makes me feel like he has a great shot of playing here.

If he’s good to go, this number may move. But I still like the Mountaineers to keep it close even if he doesn’t suit up.

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Pick: West Virginia +14 (Play to +10.5)

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Virginia Tech Football: Where do Hokies Finish in Final ACC Power Rankings?

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Virginia Tech Football: Where do Hokies Finish in Final ACC Power Rankings?


Just a few months ago, before the 2024 season ever officially kicked off, Virginia Tech seemed like a program that was trending up. They finished the 2023 season strong and were returning a ton of starters from that team and seemingly had a favorable schedule in front of them. They were talked about as the dark horse to win the ACC and make the college football playoff, but it wasn’t long before that was proven to be false.

The Hokies started the season with an upset loss to Vanderbilt, lost to Rutgers a few weeks later, and had the controversial loss to Miami to drop them to 2-3. After rallying to win three straight to get to 5-3 and still have a shot at the ACC Championship, the Hokies collapsed, losing four of their last five, including the bowl game to Minnesota last Friday. Not only was this season very disappointing, but the Hokies are losing most of their contributors from this team to the transfer portal or the draft. RB Bhayshul Tuten, OL Xavier Chaplin, Braelin Moore, and several members of the secondary. They are working to fill those holes in the portal and quarterback Kyron Drones is coming back, but there is not as much optimism heading into this offseason as there was for last season

While all eyes might be on moving forward to the 2025 season, where did Virginia Tech finish in the final ACC Power Rankings From 247Sports analyst Grant Hughes?

Bowl Result: Lost Duke’s Mayo Bowl to Minnesota, 24-10

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“Virginia Tech entered the 2024 season with ACC championship aspirations but failed to live up to expectations after dropping three of its first five games. A 1-4 finish to the campaign secured the Hokies’ fourth losing season in the last five years. The good news is that starting quarterback Kyron Drones is returning for the 2025 season, and the Hokies have already replaced star running back Bhayshul Tuten via the portal with former top-100 recruit and Tennessee transfer Cameron Seldon.”

Virginia Tech Coach Brent Pr

Aug 31, 2024; Nashville, Tennessee, USA; Virginia Tech Hokies head coach Brent Pry watches from the sideline against the Vanderbilt Commodores during the second half at FirstBank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Steve Roberts-Imagn Images / Steve Roberts-Imagn Images

All of that has led to speculation about head coach Brent Pry being on the hot seat going into 2025. Pry has gone 3-8, 7-6, and 6-7 in his three seasons in Blacksburg. Earlier this week, ESPN’s Adam Rittenberg listed Pry as a coach on the hot seat going into 2025 and listed him in the “Don’t backslide” category alongside Arkansas head coach Sam Pittman, Florida’s Billy Napier, and Cal’s Justin Wilcox:

“The hot-seat talk bubbled up around Pry in November, and if the Commonwealth Cup had gone differently, Virginia Tech could have had a decision to make after a disappointing fall. Pry’s second consecutive 6-6 regular season got him to a bowl game, but he will enter Year 4 with a new defensive coordinator and a staff that will include former longtime Hokies DC Bud Foster as an advisor/analyst.

Pry is halfway through his contract and Virginia Tech isn’t in the best position to eat a seven-figure buyout. Virginia Tech should be more competitive in a very winnable ACC, especially with quarterback Kyron Drones back. The Hokies have eclipsed seven wins just once since 2017.”

Will Pry need to improve upon his record in 2025 to be ensured of another season in Blacksburg? Virginia Tech opens the season against South Carolina in Atlanta and the Gamecocks are likely going to start the season with a lofty ranking. They also face Miami, Georgia Tech, Florida State, and Louisville next season, but it is not a murderers row of a schedule. Needless to say, the Hokies need to see some progress next season.

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Virginia Tech grads living in LA share wildfire experiences

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Virginia Tech grads living in LA share wildfire experiences


ROANOKE, Va. (WDBJ) – Firefighters are continuing to battle the devastating fires in Los Angeles that have destroyed thousands of homes and led to the evacuations of over 180,000.

While the fires are thousands of miles away those flames have connections to our hometowns. WDBJ7 spoke with two Virginia Tech Alumni living in Los Angeles on Thursday. While neither of them have had to evacuate their homes, they shared what it’s like to be in LA during the fires and how people there are handling the destruction.

“It definitely feels like a little apocalyptic, just the sky being somewhat black and grey. Here it’s more like the sun is covered by the smoke so it’s just very eerie,” said Jillian Ostick, a 2017 Virginia Tech graduate who lives in Los Angeles.

Ostick lives in the South Bay area of Los Angeles about 10-15 miles from where the fires are.

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“It’s close by but in terms of being evacuated or anything we’re very safe down here. We’re really just affected by the air quality and being worried about other people,” she said.

Ostick works in residential real estate and says many of her clients have lost their homes or evacuated and her team is currently working to help them find rentals.

“People have lost everything and they’re just scared but I think people have a place to stay and have resources. Our team is collecting blankets and clothes and is just messaging out to everybody ‘If you need help, no questions asked just fill out this form’,’” she said. “A lot of people did have to just pack up quick last night if they were in an evacuation area.”

Leah Gay is a 2014 Virginia Tech Graduate who is from the Blacksburg area. She lives in the West Hollywood area of LA and hasn’t had to evacuate yet but says she is prepared to do so if needed.

“Everything so far in our area has just been super smokey, there’s been ash on the ground, on the car, everything like that but in terms of actual fires our area is safe,” said Gay. “Last night we got a new fire that was in the Hollywood Hills. It’s since been contained so that’s good but we could see those flames, the second you open the door it smelled like you were right in a fireplace. It was super close to us so we could see it, especially with the night sky it was super illuminated with all that fire.”

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Gay said that she is remaining alert and closely following the latest updates on the fires.

“There’s an app called Watch Duty that pretty much everyone in LA is using for updates. It gives you real-time information about where first responders are being placed and where needs to be evacuated, where the flames are even if they’re moving in a certain direction. It’s a really great app, it has an amazing map in it so you can see in real-time who is being affected and what you need to do next,” she said.

Gay said that she does know several people who have had to evacuate. She said that it is an emotional time in Los Angeles.

“It’s super heartbreaking, so many people’s lives have been affected by this. It feels almost like COVID outside how there are so many less people out on the streets, many people are wearing masks to stay safe from the smoke, so it’s kind of feeling like a completely different Los Angeles,” she said.

Both Gay and Ostick said that people are already doing everything they can to help those who have lost everything to the fires. They both noted that there are many places where people can donate to help those in need.

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While not everyone in L-A has had to be evacuated from their homes, the smoke from the fires is causing major air quality problems that can be harmful to people. The air quality is being adversely affected as far as 100 miles from the fire.



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JUCO Edge Rusher Keenan Eck Sets Visit to West Virginia

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JUCO Edge Rusher Keenan Eck Sets Visit to West Virginia


Citrus College edge rusher Keenan Eck is one of several transfer portal recruits who will be in Morgantown this weekend for an official visit to West Virginia.

He began his career at Division II Black Hills State in South Dakota, and in his freshman season, he was responsible for 13 tackles, 8.5 tackles for loss, and 8.5 sacks. Eck then transferred to Citrus where he notched 6 tackles, 10.5 tackles for loss, six sacks, and one forced fumble.

“I love it,” Eck said about the opportunity of playing at West Virginia. “A huge culture of winning is being built there; I would love to put in every bit of hard-hitting energy when it comes to rushing the passer for the mountaineers!”

Eck has had several conversations with head coach Rich Rodriguez and defensive coordinator Zac Alley, whom he looks forward to meeting in person this weekend.

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“I really like how fired up they are for a turnaround. They’ve proven to be successful for many years, and they’re bringing the heat with this class of athletes. They want some dawgs that are ready to WORK!”

In addition to West Virginia, Eck has also heard from Eastern Illinois, Montana, San Diego State, Southern Utah, and Texas State. He will have three years of eligibility remaining.

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