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Cook Political Report calls Virginia governor’s race a toss-up • Virginia Mercury

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Cook Political Report calls Virginia governor’s race a toss-up • Virginia Mercury


The race for Virginia’s governorship is shaping up to be one of the most closely watched political contests nationwide this year, with historical potential and big names ready to face off. In 2025, only the commonwealth and New Jersey will hold gubernatorial elections, with both races rated as toss-ups by the Cook Political report. 

With a narrow Republican majority governorships nationwide, elections in Virginia and New Jersey could shift the balance of power. Virginia, in particular, features two high-profile contenders: Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears, a Republican, and former U.S. Rep Abigail Spanberger, a Democrat. Both are seasoned officials, and their candidacies could make history as the state’s first woman governor.  

Jessica Taylor, a Cook Political Report analyst, highlighted the historic and political dynamics at play. She noted that Virginia often elects a governor from the party opposite the sitting president, a trend that could favor Spanberger after Republican Donald Trump’s reelection last year.  

“That would certainly bode well for Spanberger,” Taylor said, referencing Republican President Donald Trump’s victory in 2024. “But Youngkin is popular, and so can Earle-Sears build on that?” she added, referring to Virginia’s incumbent Gov. Glenn Youngkin, also a Republican.

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Taylor also noted that while former Vice President Kamala Harris carried Virginia’s electoral college votes, Trump’s performance in the state has improved compared to his previous campaigns. 

She highlighted the uncertainty surrounding the impact of Trump’s second term on Virginia’s gubernatorial race, particularly in Democratic-leaning Northern Virginia. The region, home to many federal workers, could be affected by potential  federal job cuts under Trump’s administration, which could influence voter turnout and preferences. 

Virginia’s political landscape has shifted dramatically in recent years. The 2017 “Blue Wave” ushered in a surge of Democrats to the state legislature, resulting in a Democratic trifecta by the 2019 elections under former Gov. Ralph Northam. The momentum continued into the 2018 congressional midterms, where Democrats around the nation, including Virginia, achieved significant gains, largely in response to Trump. 

However, political tides turned in 2021. President Joe Biden’s election in 2020 coincided with the rise of a “parents’ rights” movement centered in Northern Virginia, propelling Republicans Youngkin and Earle-Sears to statewide victories. Their wins briefly flipped the House of Delegates to the GOP,  signaling a new phase in Virginia politics. 

Earle-Sears, who could make history as Virginia’s first woman governor, second Black governor and its first immigrant-born governor, has a notable political journey. In 2002, she flipped a Democratic-leaning House of Delegates district, serving one term before unsuccessfully challenging U.S. Rep. Bobby Scott, D-Newport-News, in 2004. Although unsuccessful, she later sought Virginia’s U.S. Senate nomination in 2018. 

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She took a hiatus from politics for several years to focus on family, particularly caring for her late granddaughters during her late daughter’s struggles with mental health. Earle-Sears chronicled these personal and professional experiences in a 2023 memoir detailing her childhood, military service, and political career. 

Democrat Spanberger, a former Central Intelligence Agency officer, made her political debut in 2018 by flipping a Republican-held congressional seat. Over three terms in Congress she established a reputation as one of its most bipartisan members. 

The Cook Political Report’s Taylor credits Spanberger with being seasoned, citing her consistent ability to defended a highly competitive district. Since announcing her gubernatorial bid last year and opting not to seek re-election in Congress, she has focused on building her ground game, traveling across Virginia and connecting with voters.

Spanberger could face a primary challenge by Scott, who has floated a run. Supported by prominent Democrats like Sen. Louise Lucas, D-Portsmouth, Scott is deeply entrenched with Black voters in Virginia’s coastal regions. As the ranking member of the House Education and Workforce Committee and the state’s first Black member of Congress since Reconstruction, he would bring significant influence to the race.

Another potential wildcard is former 5th District Republican Rep. Denver Riggleman, who has hinted at running as an independent. Riggleman served one term in Congress before losing his seat to Republican Bob Good after officiating a same-sex marriage. Since leaving Congress, he has taken on high-profile roles, including serving as an advisor to the committee investigating the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol.

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‘Explosions every day’: Virginia woman on her way to a wedding in India is stuck in Qatar

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‘Explosions every day’: Virginia woman on her way to a wedding in India is stuck in Qatar


Arlington, Virginia, resident Anjali Sharma — stuck in the Middle Eastern since Saturday — documents her story on social media from a hotel in Doha, Qatar.

“I think it really hit me when I saw black smoke coming from afar on one of the buildings, and it ended up being a missile that got defused, and the debris fell on the ground and caused an explosion,” Sharma said.

She was on her way to a wedding in India and had a layover in Qatar when Iran’s retaliatory strikes began. The airspace in Qatar and several other nearby countries is closed.

Sharma is alone. She says the rest of her family she was supposed to meet with had their flights canceled.

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She says it’s incredibly unsettling.

“I hear explosions every day,” Sharma said. “I hear planes going outside. I mean, I still hear military jets, right now. I don’t really know what that means.”

She is one of several thousands of Americans stranded in the Middle East. The State Department said it’s assisted almost 6,500 Americans since the conflict began.

Sharma says she hasn’t been able to get any clear guidance.

“I would just really appreciate it if the U.S. government could get clear guidelines of what they’re going to do to get us out and when that even may be,” she said.

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U.S. Rep. Don Beyer, D-Va., has been critical of the Trump administration’s evacuation efforts. He says his office has heard from about 100 families whose loved ones are stranded abroad.

“The primary reason the State Department exists is to serve Americans living abroad, and they’re desperately failing at that, right now,” he said.

The White House said the secretary of state issued Level 4 travel advisories dating to January. But Qatar was not one of the countries given a do-not-travel advisory.

The State Department Wednesday created a new form for stranded citizens to fill out. They say it will provide departure information about available aviation and ground transportation options.

Sharma hopes it’s her ticket out.

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“I just want to get out of here safely at this point.”



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Giants will hold 2026 training camp in West Virginia

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Giants will hold 2026 training camp in West Virginia


The New York Giants will be forced to hold their 2026 training camp, the first with John Harbaugh as head coach, out of state.

Per a report from the New York Post, the Giants will hold what will likely be the first two weeks of training camp in West Virginia at the Greenbrier Resort, located in White Sulpher Springs.

Part of the reason for the move is the fact that World Cup games will be held at MetLife Stadium this summer. There is also ongoing construction at the Giants’ facility at 1925 Giants Drive. The Giants are expanding their locker room, weight room, dining facility and office space at their headquarters, constructed in 2009. That work began before Harbaugh was named head coach.

NFL teams have used the Greenbier extensively since 2014, when it was first established to host training camp for the New Orleans Saints. The Houston Texans and Cleveland Browns have held training camps there, and other have practiced there during extended road trips.

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The facility has two grass fields and a FieldTurf field, as well as all of the other accommodations an NFL needs.

The Giants have trained at their own Quest Diagnostics Training Center in East Rutherford, N.J. since 2013.

Exact dates for NFL training camps have not yet been set, but the starting date is generally some time in late July. Per the Post, most practices at the Greenbrier are expected to be open to the public.



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Senate approves lawmaker pay raise as teacher pay hike stalls in Virginia budget talks

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Senate approves lawmaker pay raise as teacher pay hike stalls in Virginia budget talks


As the legislative session in Richmond comes closer to an end, lawmakers are still hard at work hammering out the budget for the year ahead. This year, the Senate has approved a pay raise for lawmakers after tabling bills that would have provided larger pay increases for teachers.

With the cost of living rising, teachers across Virginia have been watching the proposed budget closely and hoping for higher pay.

In February, a bill that would have raised teacher salaries by 4.5% each year until reaching the national average of $77,000 was tabled until next year. The decision left some educators disappointed.

“It’s definitely disappointing. We’re at a time where we are struggling to keep highly qualified staff in the buildings and in the profession, to be quite honest, because we have to compete with other industries,” Karl Loos, president of the Lynchburg Education Association, said.

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There is still a 3% increase for teachers included in the proposed Senate budget, and a 2% increase in the House of Delegates’ proposed budget. But Loos said a 3% raise only matches the rate of inflation, and will likely not be appealing enough to fill vacant positions.

“I think certainly teacher pay is a deterrent for a lot of people, especially as they see the amount of work that goes into it and the compensation for that work,” Loos said.

The Virginia Education Association also advocated for the 4.5% pay increase. Chad Stewart, the interim director of Government Relations and Research, said they believe budget uncertainty may have made lawmakers hesitant to commit to long-term increases they might not be able to sustain.

According to the State Fiscal Impact Statement, seen below, it would have required an additional $159.0 million in 2027, and increasing amounts for the next couple of years to meet the goal of reaching the national average.

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“We’ve seen commitments going back decades from previous governors who have all stated they want to get the national teacher pay average, but no governor has ever delivered on it,” Stewart said.

Stewart said the average national pay for teachers they are hoping to meet is $77,000, and that the current average salary for teachers in the Commonwealth is around $70,000. He said ultimately it comes down to the budget, and he hopes in the following years teachers will receive that larger pay increase. Stewart said the organization hopes Gov. Spanberger will be the first to follow through on that promise.

Meanwhile, legislation that would increase pay for state lawmakers was passed in the Senate on Thursday. Republican Del. Tim Griffin of the 53rd District said he voted against the measure.

“I was outraged last week when they raised their own pay. I voted against it,” Griffin said. “When you run on affordability, I think people expected it to be more affordable for the people that live and work in Virginia, not for ourselves. It kind of defeats the purpose.”

When asked about the proposed pay increases in the House and the Senate, Campbell County Superintendent Clay Stanley said in a statement, “I am praying for 3%. Our teachers, at minimum, deserve a raise that matches the cost of living increase.”

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ABC13 reached out to local Democratic lawmakers for comment on the teacher pay raise legislation, but did not receive a response.



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