Virginia
Analysis: How voters shifted in Maryland and Virginia – WTOP News
Voting trends that were seen nationally in the presidential election also appeared in Maryland and Virginia.
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Republican Donald Trump was elected the 47th president of the United States on Wednesday, outperforming his results in the 2020 election, while Democrat Kamala Harris failed to do as well as President Joe Biden did in winning the presidency four years ago.
Voting trends that were seen nationally also appeared in Maryland and Virginia.
“A lot of polls had Kamala Harris winning by eight or 10 points, but she won by five,” said Virginia political analyst Bob Holsworth, while discussing the polling and election results in the Commonwealth.
Five points is the margin that Hillary Rodham Clinton carried Virginia by in 2016, which was five points below President Biden’s margin in his 2020 victory in Virginia.
There were two close races involving U.S. House seats controlled by Democrats in the 7th and 10th Congressional Districts.
“What was interesting in both the races was in almost every jurisdiction in those two districts, there was a shift of one or two points to the right,” Holsworth said. “We saw this almost uniform pattern of jurisdictions moving a little bit more toward the Republican direction than they had previously in Virginia, and that really was the story of the nation.”
In the 7th Congressional District, which is being vacated by Democratic Rep. Abigail Spanberger, Democrat Eugene Vindman declared victory over Republican Derrick Anderson with about a two-point lead.
The Associated Press declared Vindman the winner on Wednesday evening, nearly 24 hours after polls closed.
In the 10th Congressional District, which Democrat Rep. Jennifer Wexton is leaving due to severe health challenges, Democratic Del. Suhas Subramanyam defeated his Republican opponent, Mike Clancy, by about four points.
“What you saw in the election was that in Northern Virginia and in the big suburbs around Richmond — particularly Henrico and Chesterfield counties — the Democrats did quite well,” Holsworth said. “What you also saw was the complete collapse of the Democrats in rural Virginia.”
Trends in neighboring Maryland
Similar patterns emerged in Maryland, even though registered Democrats outnumber Republicans in the state by a 2:1 ratio.
“It’s a safely Democratic state, but the national trend of the shift toward Republicans is something we see in Maryland as well,” said Todd Eberly, a political science professor at St. Mary’s College of Maryland.
Trump improved his vote share in Maryland, and Harris pulled in less than Biden did four years ago.
Eberly said the divide between urban and rural Americans was on full display.
“The education divide between those with a college degree and those without is growing, and you see it playing out in Maryland,” Eberly said. “You have these seas of red in the east and in the west, and then you have all of this blue along the urban and suburban I-95 corridor, which also happens to be where most of the folks with college degrees are concentrated.”
Republican former Gov. Larry Hogan lost to Democrat Angela Alsobrooks in the race for Maryland’s open U.S. Senate seat.
Still, Eberly noted, “Larry Hogan looks like he’s going to have probably the best performance for a Republican Senate candidate in 20 years.”
In Maryland’s 6th Congressional District, which is being vacated by Democratic Rep. David Trone, Democrat April McClain Delaney has a very slim lead over Republican Neil Parrott.
As of Wednesday night, the race had not been called by The Associated Press.
“In that district, Democrats should have done better,” Eberly said. “That is a district that is most competitive in off-year elections, but it’s looking pretty darn competitive in a presidential election.”
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Virginia
Virginia Democrats propose direct tax rebates, increased school funding
ROANOKE, Va. – Democrats in the Virginia General Assembly unveiled their budget proposals Sunday, and while they do include tax rebates, they do not include Gov. Glenn Youngkin’s plans for car tax relief or eliminating taxes on tips.
Instead, Democrats in the House of Delegates and the Virginia Senate are proposing direct tax rebates this fall: $200 for individual filers and $400 for joint filers. Leaders argued it’s a better use of the state’s more than $2.5 billion budget surplus.
“Our responsibility is to use that blessing to shore up our core services and use one-time revenues to provide financial relief,” said Del. Luke Torian, D-Prince William, chair of the House Appropriations Committee. “The recommendations you will hear today focus on putting cash in our citizens’ pockets.”
They would also raise the standard deduction but not as much as the governor’s proposal. The Democrats’ budget plan also includes increased funding for schools, including teacher bonuses.
“Our budget will provide $140.5 million for $1,000 teacher bonuses to be provided this Sept. 1 in appreciation of the hard work of our educators as they kick off next year,” said Del. Sam Rasoul, D-Roanoke.
Over the coming weeks, lawmakers in the House and Senate will have to negotiate any differences in their respective plans ahead of final passage.
Copyright 2025 by WSLS 10 – All rights reserved.
Virginia
Senator flags Virginia governor race as “bellwether” for Trump admin
Senator Tim Kaine, a Virginia Democrat, said on Sunday that his state’s gubernatorial race this fall will be the first “bellwether” test for the new Trump administration and a measure of a “Democratic comeback.”
Newsweek has reached out to the communications teams at the Democratic and Republican national committees for comment via email on Sunday.
Why It Matters
Virginia and New Jersey are the only states holding gubernatorial races this year and will be the first two major state elections held after President Donald Trump’s second term.
Virginia’s election may be seen as a “bellwether,” signaling political trends and voter sentiment. For Republicans, the elections will be a test of whether they can retain some of the voters they won back in 2024. Meanwhile, it will also be a key gauge for Democrats’ messaging as they seek to regain ground over the next few years.
What To Know
On Sunday, Kaine told CNN’s State of the Union co-host Jake Tapper that Virginia’s upcoming gubernatorial race “will be the first bellwether test of a Democratic comeback and I’m feeling really, really good about that right now.”
His comments came after Tapper asked Kaine about the state of the Democratic Party and politics in Kaine’s home state, to which the senator said: “In Virginia, we have gone from one of the most ruby red states in the country to now having put electoral votes behind Democrats five elections in a row. I just won my reelection by a sizable margin against Donald Trump’s handpicked Republican opponent.” Kaine won a third term last November, beating out Trump-endorsed challenger Hung Cao.
Virginia’s gubernatorial elections tend to sway based on the party in the White House, with Democrats typically winning when a Republican is in office. Republican Glenn Youngkin became governor in 2021 under President Joe Biden, and Democrat Ralph Northam won during Trump’s first presidency.
Kaine said on Sunday that Youngkin won the race “by 1.8 percent—the last two Republicans that won the governorship in Virginia won by comfortable double digits. Our governor is Republican, he ran during a very good year to be a Republican, and he won barely.”
Republican governors Bob McDonnell and Jim Gilmore won their respective races by over 17 percent margin and 13 percent margin.
Youngkin is term limited at the end of the year, so the race will be an open contest that could serve as a test of sentiment towards Trump and the Democratic Party. On Saturday, the Democratic National Committee (DNC) elected Ken Martin as its new chairperson.
Kaine, who served as Hillary Clinton’s running mate against Trump in the 2016 presidential election, said that he feels “really good about our chances” in the gubernatorial race, adding that “we just took both houses of the state legislature, we’ve got a great candidate for governor.” The Virginia State House and Senate are both controlled by slim Democratic majorities.
Who Are Virginia’s Gubernatorial Candidates?
While the party primaries on June 17 will determine the nominees, each party appears to have an early favorite: former Democratic U.S. Representative Abigail Spanberger and Republican Lieutenant Governor Winsome Earle-Sears. If either of them wins, they would become the state’s first female governor.
An Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey of 1,000 registered Virginia voters conducted from January 6 to 8 found Spanberger edging 1 percentage point ahead of Earle-Sears, 42 to 41 percent. The poll, which has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points, found 13 percent of voters were undecided and 4 percent were supporting someone else.
Newsweek reached out to Spanberger and Earle-Sears for comment via email on Sunday.
Currently, no other Democrats have publicly announced their campaigns, though Representative Bobby Scott has not ruled out a run, The Virginia Pilot reported in January. Former gubernatorial candidate Merle Rutledge is also running in the GOP primary, but Earle-Sears is viewed as the party’s frontrunner.
What People Are Saying
John Feehery, partner at EFB Advocacy, previously told Newsweek in an email: “Virginia is going to be tough because it is really a blue state despite its purple state veneer, more so because Trump wants to dramatically reduce the government workforce…So I don’t think Republicans are going to do that well, but if they do, it means we had a true realignment election in 2024.”
Kevin Madden, a senior partner at Penta Group, told Newsweek in December: “Both the New Jersey and Virginia contests offer the Democrats a chance to reset their message as they look to rebuild their political coalition.”
Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said in part last month: “Ten months before the 2025 Virginia gubernatorial election, the race is tight overall but with clear demographic differences standing out.”
What Happens Next
The deadlocked race will be determined on November 4, 2025.
Virginia
How to Watch & Listen to West Virginia at Cincinnati
The West Virginia Mountaineers (13-7, 4-5) are on the road to take on the Cincinnati Bearcats (12-8, 2-7) Sunday afternoon for the 24th meeting between the two programs.
West Virginia vs. Cincinnati Series History
Cincinnati leads 12-11
Last Meeting: UC 90, WVU 85 (March 12, 2024, in Kansas City)
When: Sunday, February 2
Location: Cincinnati, OH, Fifth Third Arena (12,012)
Tip-off: 2:00 p.m. EST
Stream: ESPN+
Announcers: Eric Rothman and Tim McCormick
Radio: Tony Caridi (PBP), Brad Howe (analyst) Mountaineer Sports Network from Learfield IMG College (Radio affiliates)
Sirius XM: 381
WVU Game Notes
– Darian DeVries was named the recipient of the Jim Phelan Award ‘Mid-Season’ honor, presented annually to the top head coach in Division I college basketball.
– Javon Small was named a Midseason Second Team All-American by The Sporting News and The Athletic.
– WVU is 271-102 in its last 373 games against unranked teams, including winners of 153 of its last 187 at the WVU Coliseum.
– WVU is 2-2 on the road in Big 12 road games (wins at Kansas and at Colorado). The Mountaineers have already matched their road win total in conference play as the previous three seasons combined (2-25).
– WVU broke into the rankings on Jan. 6 at No. 21 in the AP poll. It marked WVU’s fi rst appearance in the AP poll since Dec. 26, 2022. The Mountaineers have been ranked in at least one poll in 16 of the last 20 seasons.
– Darian DeVries, who led Drake to six consecutive 20-win seasons and has a career .724 winning percentage as a head coach, was named the 23rd head men’s basketball coach at West Virginia University on March 24, 2024.
– DeVries has a record of 163-62 (.724) in seven seasons as a head coach, including a 68-22 (.756) mark in the last two-plus seasons.
– West Virginia is currently ranked No. 44 in the latest NCAA NET rankings.
– WVU is ranked No. 48 in the latest KenPom rankings, including 22nd in defensive efficiency.
– Javon Small ranks seventh overall in KenPom Player of the Year standings.
– West Virginia is 7-2 this season when Javon Small posts 20 or more points in a game.
– In the latest NCAA stats, WVU ranks 42nd in fi eld goal percentage defense (40.4), 21st in scoring defense (64.3) and 16th in 3-point percentage defense (28.9).
– Javon Small was named Big 12 Player of the Week and Oscar Robertson National Player of the Week on Jan. 20.
– Javon Small was named Big 12 Player of the Week, NCAA March Madness Player of the Week and the Naismith Trophy National Player of the Week for Jan. 6.
– Javon Small was named co-Big 12 Player of the Week and Tucker DeVries was tabbed as the Big 12 Newcomer of the Week on Dec. 2. Both were named to the Battle 4 Atlantis All-Tournament Team.
– Small was named the Oscar Robertson National Player of the Week on Dec. 3.
– Small leads the Big 12 Conference in scoring at 19.1 points per game.
– Darian DeVries is 6-7 against ranked teams during his head coaching career. He is 4-2 at WVU with wins over No. 2 Iowa State, No. 3 Gonzaga, at No. 7 Kansas and No. 24 Arizona.
– In WVU’s four ranked wins this season, Javon Small has averaged 21.3 points, 7.0 rebounds, 5.3 assists, while making 28 of his 32 free throw attempts.
– WVU has defeated two Top 10 teams away from home this season, marking the fi rst time that has happened in the same season since 2005-06.
– WVU’s three Top 10 wins ties for the most in a season in school history along with the 2016-17 & 2005-06 teams.
– WVU is 105-119 in Big 12 regular season games since joining the league in 2012-13.
– WVU is 618-190 (.767) all-time at the WVU Coliseum and 259-76 at the WVU Coliseum in the last 21 seasons.
– The Mountaineers have won 114 of their last 176 conference games at the WVU Coliseum.
– West Virginia returned just 2.8 percent of its scoring from last season’s team (Ofri Naveh).
– For this season, Tucker DeVries (Drake), Javon Small (Oklahoma State), Eduardo Andre (Fresno State), Joseph Yesufu (Washington State), Sencire Harris (Illinois), Amani Hansberry (Illinois) and Jayden Stone (Detroit Mercy) were added from the transfer portal.
– Entering this season, they have combined to play 806 games, made 442 starts, scored 7,606 points, grabbed 3,304 rebounds and dished out 1,248 assists.
– Darian DeVries is 73-2 when scoring 80 or more points in a game and 140-17 when scoring 70 or more.
– Darian DeVries is 117-23 when holding opponents to 69 points or less and 56-6 when holding opponents to 59 points or less.
– West Virginia was predicted 13th in the Preseason Big 12 Poll by the league’s head coaches.
– West Virginia has made at least one 3-point fi eld goal in 884 consecutive games.
– The Mountaineers have won 154 of their last 174 games when holding opponents to 69 points or less.
– WVU has won 165 of its last 188 and 221 of its last 251 games when holding opponents to less than 69 points.
– Darian DeVries is 126-15 as a head coach when leading at halftime, including an 11-1 mark at WVU.
– Darian DeVries is 76-3 as a head coach when shooting 50% or better from the fi eld.
– West Virginia is 19-10 all-time in games played on February 2.
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