Tennessee
Tennessee vs. Arkansas prediction: Who wins, and why?
SEC football is back this weekend as No. 4 Tennessee hits the road a second-straight week in a matchup against Arkansas in college football’s Week 6 action on Saturday night. Let’s check in with our latest prediction for the game.
Arkansas is 12 combined points away from being undefeated, holding leads against Oklahoma State and Texas A&M, but ultimately losing those games as a result of ill-timed ball security issues and some offensive mistakes, resulting in a 3-2 mark.
Tennessee is angling for an SEC title and more, sitting at 4-0 behind the nation’s No. 1 ranked total defense, 1 of 2 teams to allow under 200 yards per game and under 800 yards total this season.
What can we make of the matchup?
Here’s what you should watch out for as Arkansas hosts Tennessee in this Week 6 college football game with our updated prediction.
1. Hogs on the ground. Utah transfer back Ja’Quinden Jackson has been key to the Razorbacks’ offense, running for more than 100 yards in his first 3 games, and he leads the SEC with 509 rushing yards and is second with 9 touchdowns.
Tennessee is 2nd in FBS against the run, allowing just under 51 yards per game on the ground. And while Jackson is 1 of 3 SEC backs to average more than 100 yards per game, his output against conference teams is limited, averaging 56 yards despite playing against 2 of the league’s worst run defense teams.
2. Turnovers. Arkansas has suffered some very badly-timed turnovers this season, as quarterback Taylen Green threw a pick-six that allowed Oklahoma State to mount a comeback, and he threw another pick and then fumbled late in regulation last week.
The Hogs are 89th in turnover margin and are second-worst in the SEC with 9 giveaways. The Vols have recovered 5 fumbles this season, and have forced 3 takeaways in their last three 3 games away from Rocky Top.
3. At the line. Stopping the run is Arkansas’ strength on defense thus far behind a decent front seven rotation, ranking 21st in FBS by allowing just 93 yards per game rushing.
Tennessee is 4th nationally with 290 rushing yards per game and lead back Dylan Sampson is averaging more than 112 yards himself and is 1 of 2 backs in the country with 10 rushing touchdowns.
Most analytical models favor the Volunteers against the Razorbacks in this matchup.
That includes the College Football Power Index, a computer prediction model that uses data points from both teams to simulate games 20,000 times to pick winners.
Tennessee is projected to win the game in the majority 82.1 percent of the computer’s most recent simulations.
That leaves Arkansas as the expected winner in the remaining 17.9 percent of sims.
Tennessee is projected to be 14 points better than Arkansas on the same field in both teams’ current composition, according to the model’s latest forecast.
More … Tennessee vs. Arkansas prediction: What the analytics say
Tennessee is a 13.5 point favorite against Arkansas, according to the lines at FanDuel Sportsbook.
FanDuel set the total at 56.5 points for the game.
And it listed the moneyline odds for Tennessee at -525 and for Arkansas at +400 to win outright.
A decent majority of bets are projecting the Vols will get the better of the Hogs.
About 58 percent of bettors are expecting that Tennessee will win the game and cover the spread.
The remaining 42 percent of wagers suggest that Arkansas will either win in an upset, or, more likely, will keep the game under two touchdowns.
There isn’t a phase in this game where Tennessee’s defense should be at any major disadvantage, especially when generating pressure from the nucleus of this unit, its elite front seven rotation.
And while Arkansas has struggled in pass protection during stretches this season, it is a relative strength when blocking for the run, resulting in the team’s strong rushing numbers to date.
The presence of mobile quarterback Taylen Green is a plus, as he can spice up the offense with a battery of scripted and unscripted runs to throw tacklers out of place, even if there are times when he forces a play that results in a turnover.
His scrambles and Jackson’s physical rushing style will find the Vols’ tacklers on the back foot often enough to keep it close, but the Razorbacks do have one marked weakness for UT to exploit.
Arkansas is third-worst in the SEC in pass defense, allowing just under 227 passing yards per game, and that’s despite playing against some substandard passing offenses so far.
Nico Iamaleava and Tennessee’s superb skill threats are another animal, and this feels like the game where Josh Heupel opens up the playbook a little more.
College Football HQ picks …
More … Tennessee vs. Arkansas score prediction by expert football model
When: Sat., Oct. 5
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET | 6:30 p.m. CT
TV: ABC network
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Tennessee
Traffic deaths down in Tennessee ahead of Christmas travel, but risks remain
NASHVILLE, Tenn. (WZTV) — As millions of people take to the roads this Christmas Eve, new data from the state of Tennessee shows a promising trend: traffic deaths are down so far this year compared to this time last year.
But safety officials say the numbers also reveal ongoing concerns, particularly involving certain age groups and risky driving behaviors.
With holiday travel in full swing, the state is urging drivers not to let their guard down. While the overall data is moving in the right direction, officials say the details show who remains most at risk on Tennessee roads.
Traffic trends. (Photo: FOX 17 News)
According to state data, Middle Tennessee has recorded 252 traffic fatalities so far this year. That’s down from 265 at the same point last year and significantly lower than 312 in 2023.
The numbers represent nearly a 5 percent decrease from last year and more than a 15 percent drop compared to two years ago.
When broken down by age, however, the data shows mixed results.
Fatal crashes involving teen drivers have increased, rising from 29 last year to 39 so far this year. Crashes involving older drivers — those ages 65 and up — have also climbed, reaching 63 fatalities, the highest total of the past three years.
Looking at driving behaviors, speeding remains one of the deadliest factors on Tennessee roadways, though speed-related fatalities are down compared to last year. Deaths tied to distracted driving have also declined in 2025.
Deadly driving behaviors.{ } (Photo: FOX 17 News)
Pedestrian fatalities are down as well, dropping from 43 last year to 34 so far this year. However, motorcyclist deaths have increased compared to last year, according to the data.
While the overall decline in traffic fatalities is encouraging, officials stress that the holiday season brings heavier traffic, longer drives, and more chances for mistakes. They continue to urge drivers to slow down, stay focused, and make safe choices behind the wheel as Christmas travel continues.
Tennessee
State takeover of MSCS top GOP priority in 2026 Tennessee legislative session
MEMPHIS, Tenn. (WMC) – The new year could bring drastic, new oversight to Memphis-Shelby County Schools.
When the state legislature reconvenes for the new session next month, Republicans are laser-focused on passing legislation that allows the state to take over MSCS.
Action News 5 talked to the local GOP leader behind the renewed push to find out what’s changed since last year’s takeover effort failed. During the previous legislative session, the House and Senate versions of the plan differed, and lawmakers could not reach a consensus.
Representative Mark White of Memphis is now proposing that instead of forming an advisory council to guide the Memphis-Shelby County School Board, the state should form a management board—a panel of education experts from Shelby County.
White says they’ll be handpicked by the governor and speakers of the House and Senate. This group will have a lot more power to tell the local school board what to do, and it will have the power to pick a new director of schools.
“What we’re trying to do is break down the bureaucracy in a decades-old system,” Rep. White told Action News 5 during a Zoom interview on December 23.
He says he is more determined than ever before to put people, chosen exclusively by Republicans, in charge of educating 100,000 students in a Democratic-majority city.
“We’re gonna put in some really first-class people, and we need to make it worth their time,” said White. “[So] that they can come in, much like there’s a model going on down in Houston where they’ve done this, and after two years, they do not have any failing schools.“
But veteran school board member Michelle McKissack points to the failure of the ASD, the Achievement School District, as an example of why the state seizing control of Memphis schools won’t work.
Tennessee took over 30 of the lowest-performing MSCS schools in 2012. A decade later, research suggests ASD did not improve student performance, and may have actually led to worse test scores in the high schools.
Commissioner McKissack told Action News 5 in a statement:
“If our priority is students and helping them, then a state takeover does not do that. I believe it will lead to more instability in the district with more change in leadership with a managing board that has no real connection or accountability to the community.
We are playing whack-a-mole with what the problem is…from shortening the terms of five board members to a state audit of the school district. The state has succeeded in getting all nine seats on the next ballot and an audit is still underway. At the bare minimum, the state should let all of that play out to see what the next steps should be.”
MSCS Commissioner Towanna Murphy also sent a statement to Action News 5.
“It is disconcerting to learn that the state continues to pursue takeover efforts. This matter is unrelated to the termination of our former superintendent. The motivation behind this action appears to be financial gain and authority. The state’s previous attempt at control was marked by significant failures.
The potential impact on our children is substantial, and it’s concerning this seems to be of little consequence. Despite our collaborative efforts to find a mutually beneficial solution, our schools are thriving without state intervention.
We believe it would be in the best interest for the state to focus on their own responsibilities, however the prospect of a $2 billion budget appears to be a driving factor. Ultimately this appears to be more about personal interests and less about the well-being of our children.”
Rep. White says in a district where three out of four students cannot read on grade level, and only 20% can do math at grade level, the state’s priorities will include:
- Increasing literacy rates by the 3rd grade
- Boosting math scores
- Plus streamlining and modernizing MSCS buildings
“I don’t want this school legislation to divide people. I want it to bring people together. Because it’s that important for the young people in our community,” said White. “We can do this, and we have a golden opportunity right now to do a better job for the future of our city.”
State lawmakers return to Nashville for the start of the new session on January 13.
Action News 5 reached out to Interim Superintendent Roderick Richmond’s administration for comment, and did not get a response by our Tuesday night deadline.
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Tennessee
Former Florida Gators HC Hires Tennessee Football Assistant for Much Bigger Role
The Tennessee Volunteers have a lot going on in their world of college football, as they are battling many different things. They just finished the regular season around a month ago, and they are now awaiting their game against the Illinois Fighting Illini inside the state of Tennessee.
This is a game that has been viewed as one of the more interesting bowl games, as the Vols will be playing this game inside Nissan Stadium (the Tennessee Titans’ current stadium). This stadium is the same stadium the Vols played against the Virginia Cavaliers in two seasons ago, in Joe Milton and the Vols’ season debut following Hendon Hooker’s departure.
The Vols also had to replace their defensive coordinator (Tim Banks). This is when they made the announcement that they will be adding Jim Knowles to the defensive staff. He is the national championship-winning DC with the Ohio State Buckeyes last season, but spent this season with the Penn State Nittany Lions. The Vols will be using William Inge as their defensive coordinator.
There have been multiple coaching changes that they have also had to battle, but the most recent challenge that they have faced is on Tuesday, and it is another coaching change challenge. One of the Vols’ best assistants is on his way to another school after being poached by a former Florida Gators head football coach who is also at a new job.
The Vols are losing an assistant offensive line coach. That coach is Phil Serchia, who has spent time with the Vols and has also spent some time in the NFL being with the Chargers. He is taking on a much bigger role, as the announcement was made by Matt Zenitz.
Phil Serchia Accepts a New Job
“James Madison is hiring Tennessee assistant offensive line coach Phil Serchia as tight ends coach, a source tells @CBSSports. Before Tennessee, spent two seasons working in the NFL as an offensive assistant with the Chargers,” Zenitz reported through his personal X account.
James Madison is now under the authority of new head football coach Billy Napier, who started this season as the head football coach for the Florida Gators, but will be the Dukes’ new head coach. Napier is a rival of the Vols, but game respects game, as he is having to make some moves for a staff, and adding Serchia is a huge addition for the former Gators coach.
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