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Is Tennessee a bad Playoff matchup for Ohio State? What I learned watching the Vols

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Is Tennessee a bad Playoff matchup for Ohio State? What I learned watching the Vols


College Football Playoff week has arrived in Columbus, as No. 8 seed Ohio State is preparing to host No. 9 seed Tennessee in the first home Playoff game at Ohio Stadium on Saturday night.

When the game was announced, it seemed like a nightmare matchup for the Buckeyes. Though there is a mismatch in the trenches in favor of the Vols, I still think there’s a way for Ohio State to take advantage of its strengths. Here are my takeaways from a week of watching Tennessee film after a season of covering Ohio State games:

Vols defensive line is as good as advertised

The main reason everybody thinks this is a bad matchup for the Buckeyes is because of the Tennessee defensive line against a struggling Ohio State offensive line.

The Vols are led by James Pearce Jr., one of the best edge rushers in the country. He has 52 pressures — tied for eighth nationally, per PFF — and can win with power and speed. But the strength of Tennessee is stopping the run.

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Tennessee is giving up a national-best 0.82 yards before contact, according to TruMedia. The Vols are in the top 10 in tackles for a loss and rush defense, as well.

How do they do it? There’s a lot of talent along that line beyond Pearce. Defensive tackle Bryson Eason, a 310-pound senior, is physical and disruptive at the point of attack. A lot of teams have one good defensive lineman, somebody an offense can scheme to stop, but Tennessee has multiple impact players and rotates up front.

The linebackers attack the gaps quickly too. Tennessee is missing captain Keenan Pili, who tore his ACL against Florida, and his loss is notable. Still, the entire defense comes together to stop the run. If Ohio State misses one block or is slow on a pull, Tennessee will exploit that and be in the backfield.

It’s one of the reasons Tennessee is so good inside the red zone defensively. The Vols are giving up a touchdown on just 44.1 percent of red zone attempts, fourth nationally. Simply put, you can’t run at Tennessee and expect to gain yards consistently. That’s the fear many Ohio State fans have because they just watched the Buckeyes attempt to do that against Michigan and fail miserably.

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But Ohio State isn’t going to just give up on the run game. Nor should it, given the presence of talented running backs TreVeyon Henderson and Quinshon Judkins. The last thing Ohio State needs to do is throw the ball 50 times and let a Tennessee defense that is ranked seventh nationally in pressure rate tee off on quarterback Will Howard.

What Ohio State can do is add some more creativity to its offense.

Teams have had success with some jet sweeps and motions against the Vols at times. That’s not a new concept to Ohio State, which has used various jet sweeps and touch passes with receivers Emeka Egbuka and Jeremiah Smith

Ohio State can build off those motions. It’s deep enough at receiver to show different motions to make Tennessee watch multiple things on one play.

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The Buckeyes are going to run the ball, and Tennessee is going to stuff them on multiple occasions. That’s just the reality. But if Chip Kelly can scheme up some runs on the outside, different motions and ways to get Tennessee moving other than right up the designated gaps, they can have some success.

And “some” success is all Ohio State might need to open up the passing game.

There are plays to be made through the air

Pearce, who is projected as the No. 19 pick in Dane Brugler’s latest mock draft, is versatile and makes an impact often. If Ohio State is going to throw the ball, it will need tackle Josh Fryar to win more often than not against Pearce. Even in the moments he doesn’t win, he can’t give up immediate pressures and Howard is going to need good pocket awareness to step out of harm’s way.

Tennessee is really good at changing things up with its pass rush, even when rushing four. There have been times when it just lets Pearce go to work, but it is also willing to run some four-man stunts to create free shots at the quarterback for him.

If Ohio State’s offensive line can hold up, the Vols’ secondary can be beaten, though there’s talent there as well. Sophomore Jermod McCoy is a second-team All-SEC cornerback who has given up just 27 catches on 58 targets this season, according to PFF. He makes plays on the ball with four interceptions and baits well in zone coverage. Even when he gives something up, he’s usually in the right place to make the completion difficult.

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Still, Ohio State has a deep receiving corps led by Smith, Egbuka and Carnell Tate that is built to win against man coverage and also make contested tight-window catches against zone coverage. If Howard has time and Kelly puts the ball in his talented receivers’ hands, that’s where Ohio State’s advantage can be. And it will have to be in the red zone, where running will get harder.

Ohio State has to trust its receivers in the matchup, as they’re the Buckeyes’ biggest matchup advantage.

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Stopping the run is priority No. 1 for Ohio State defense

The first name on the board in defensive meeting rooms has to be running back Dylan Sampson. He’s had a terrific season as Tennessee’s workhorse back, running for 1,485 yards and 22 touchdowns to earn first-team All-SEC honors.

He’s a good back and his numbers speak to that, but they’re also a byproduct of his carries. He carried the ball 256 times this season, which is 69 times more than anybody else in the SEC. He runs behind a good offensive line, but teams have had success slowing him down when they get bodies to him quickly. He’s averaging 3.62 yards after contact, which ranks 52nd among 159 FBs running backs with 100 carries, per TruMedia. A good number, but not scary if you’re Ohio State, which ranks fifth in yards per rush allowed (2.85) and ninth in yards before contact allowed (1.15).

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The key is to be consistent about getting as many bodies to the ball as soon as possible.

I’ll use the Tennessee-Alabama game as an example. In the first half, the Crimson Tide had Sampson and the Tennessee offense bottled up, shutting them out. But in the third quarter, they put together a seven-play, 91-yard drive. Every positive play was a run, and Sampson ran for 53 yards, including a 2-yard touchdown. That opened the game up for Tennessee, which went on to win 24-17.

It sounds easy from behind a computer to just say “stop the run,” but this is going to be a full-team effort. Sampson and backup DeSean Bishop are good at finding small creases to make defenders miss and create a big play.

There was a run by Sampson in the loss to Arkansas where a safety came down in the box and went right to go around a block, but one quick juke from Sampson to his right led to a 53-yard run and a touchdown one play later.

Ohio State linebackers Cody Simon, Arvell Reese and Sonny Styles have to be in the right gaps. One big run could open the floodgates for the Vols. It’s also going to take some help from the safeties, who will surely have to creep into the box at times.

Sampson is statically comparable to Iowa’s Kaleb Johnson, who ran for 1,537 yards and 21 touchdowns on 240 carries but was held to 86 yards by the Buckeyes. But Iowa doesn’t have Nico Iamaleava at quarterback. Iamaleava adds to the game with his athleticism, legs and arm strength.

Stopping the run game is hard enough, but mix that with Tennessee’s tempo and it makes it even more difficult. The Vols are 13th nationally in total plays, averaging 74 per game. Ohio State is going to have to rotate up front, which means important reps for players like Kayden McDonald and freshman Eddrick Houston inside.

Tennessee isn’t one-dimensional on offense, as Iamaleava is a talented redshirt freshman with a cannon for an arm. Still, the Vols have been inconsistent despite coach Josh Heupel’s reputation for explosive offenses.

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Part of that is because of Iamaleava’s inconsistent accuracy. He’s completing 65 percent of passes this season but hasn’t been great downfield. On passes thrown with 15-plus air yards downfield, according to TruMedia, Iamaleava ranks 49th with a 43.4 percent completion rate and is 83rd in off-target rate at 31.3 percent.

Second, I’m not sure Tennessee has a truly elite receiver. I do like Oregon transfer Dont’e Thornton Jr., an explosive weapon who has 647 yards and six touchdowns on just 25 catches, but the others have struggled. Squirrel White is small, just 5 feet 10, and has drop issues, and Bru McCoy (who missed the regular-season finale with an injury) hasn’t consistently made a big impact.

I don’t think Ohio State can live by stacking the box and playing straight man coverage every play, especially knowing Davison Igbinosun’s struggles with pass interference penalties. Although Tennessee isn’t going to take shots just for the sake of doing it, it sets them up well off its strong run game. If the box is loaded, a play-action call will come in. One misstep by a defensive back, and Iamaleava lets the ball fly.

That’s where Ransom and Downs are key. Whichever of the two is the deep safety must be ready for any play-action shots from Tennessee. Cornerbacks Denzel Burke and Igbinosun have to hold up in coverage, but Tennessee has speed on the outside, which means one mistake by the safeties could lead to a big play.

Fortunately for Ohio State, Ransom and Downs have been arguably the best safety duo in the country, both earning first-team All-Big Ten honors. They give Ohio State — which has allowed a national-low four passing touchdowns all season — an advantage.

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Final thoughts

I’ve gone back and forth on this game since the matchup was announced, but I think it comes down to two things: which version of Howard shows up and how Kelly and Ryan Day approach the game plan after the issues against Michigan.

The offensive line is the offensive line. At this point in the season, that’s just a mismatch that Ohio State is going to have to find a way to scheme around. Ohio State needs Howard to flush his performance against Michigan and bring back the one who threw for 326 yards and two touchdowns against Oregon or who put two bad mistakes against Penn State behind him to lead the Buckeyes to a win anyway. I tend to think he’ll play well, but I’m not sure which play calling we’ll get from Kelly.

I don’t think they’ll run out the same game plan against Michigan. It just won’t happen. I side with the belief that Ohio State is going to let it loose, much like it did in its 2022 Playoff game against Georgia.

I’m set on predicting Ohio State to win this game, but there’s no doubt that Tennessee provides some matchup issues for the Buckeyes to overcome.

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(Top photos of Will Howard and James Pearce Jr.: Michael Reaves and  Jacob Kupferman / Getty Images)





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Saturday Predictions: Vanderbilt at Tennessee

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Saturday Predictions: Vanderbilt at Tennessee


Well, this is definitely the biggest Vanderbilt-Tennessee game in a long time. Vanderbilt heads to Knoxville today looking for its first win over the Vols since 2018 — and looking for its first ten-win season in school history, along with possibly maybe a playoff berth? That looks less likely after yesterday’s results (which saw Utah pick up a come-from-behind win over Kansas, and Texas beat Texas A&M), but it’s still within the realm of possibility. Will Vanderbilt make it a 10-win season?

You know, I’ve seen a lot of people out there still picking against us like they doubt us. I have also seen a lot of Tennessee fans on Twitter posting about Diego Pavia’s mom behind burner accounts, which let me just say is exceptionally weird. And in some cases psychotic. Give me Vanderbilt to win this one. 10-2 it is.

The Pick: Vanderbilt 38, THEM 27

The SEC Upset Pick of the Week: An underrated one here: ARKANSAS (+3.5) is 2-9 but actually has a positive point differential on the season. This is their last chance to actually get one, so I am picking them to beat Missourah (spits.) How a game between an SWC and Big 8 team counts as “The SEC Upset Pick of the Week” is not clear.

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This game screams “First to 50 wins.” Diego’s going to make sure, in his last regular season game, conference game, and rivalry game, that that will be The Gridiron Dores.

It really is that simple. Nothing sucks like a big orange.

The Pick: Vanderbilt 52 – Buttchuggers 49.

The SEC Upset Pick of the Week: The fact that so many of the games have already happened makes this prediction less impactful, so go ahead and give me The South Cackalacky Game Penises over Clemson. Wait… the penises are actually favored in this one??? Ah hell, I guess I’ll do the ol’ “I picked Vanderbilt to win, didn’t I?” canard.

This is a game of great offenses versus less-great defenses. Rivalry games often come down to big moments. Vanderbilt has, at times to a fault, been committed to preventing the big play on defense. They have also turned the ball over once for every two Tennessee turnovers. Turnovers and long TDs are often the plays that swing these games. Vanderbilt has the edge in both.

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It is funny seeing the normal “rival trying to ruin their opponent’s season” script flipped. Granted, some results have already fallen that have Vanderbilt’s CFP hopes on life support. Still, the chance to go to the Citrus bowl, which Steve Spurrier called out as the rightful home of the 90s and 00s Vols, hangs in the balance. The Dores have the driver’s seat unless the CFP committee screws them in favor of Texas after the Longhorns’ win over Texas A&M.

Frankly, throw the stats out. The Dores have Diego Pavia who has been on a mission both for New York and for his team’s postseason chances. That baaaad man is not going to be denied in Neyland after struggling horribly against THEM in the 2024 contest.

The Pick: Vanderbilt 48, Tennessee 21

The SEC Upset Pick of the Week: Iron Bowl in Jordan-Hare with Auburn surging under an interim coach? That is absolutely the setup for an upset there. War. Damn. Eagle.

They lowdown.. They dirty. They suck. Go ‘Dores.

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The Pick: Vanderbilt 41, Tennessee 31

The SEC Upset Pick of the Week: Upset? Volunteer fans after we whoop the only thing that brings those overgrown brats any joy.



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Rocky Top Insider’s Ryan Schumpert Previews Vanderbilt vs. Tennessee

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Rocky Top Insider’s Ryan Schumpert Previews Vanderbilt vs. Tennessee


Vanderbilt football heads to Knoxville this weekend as 2.5-point underdogs as it looks to take down Tennessee on the way to its first 10-win season in program history. Taking down Josh Heupel’s 8-3 team will be a tall task of sorts, though.

Vandy on SI caught up with Rocky Top Insider’s Ryan Schumpert to discuss the matchup and what the Commodores are up against over the weekend. Here’s what Schumpert says in regard to this weekend’s matchup.

Clark Lea

Nov 30, 2024; Nashville, Tennessee, USA; Vanderbilt Commodores head coach Clark Lea congratulates Tennessee Volunteers head coach Josh Heupel on the win during the second half at FirstBank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Steve Roberts-Imagn Images / Steve Roberts-Imagn Images

1. How much does Tennessee still have to play for? 

As far as this season and its postseason implications, very little. A nine-win regular season with a chance to earn a 10-win season in a bowl game is certainly nice but hard to believe that is much of a motivating factor for players. We wondered what Tennessee’s interest level and motivation would look like last week at Florida and the Vols came out and played inspired football and turned in their best performance of the season. The rivalry aspect and chance to end Vanderbilt’s College Football Playoff hopes should be enough to motivate this team. If not, Diego Pavia’s offseason comments should help.

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Diego Pavia

Nov 30, 2024; Nashville, Tennessee, USA; Tennessee Volunteers defensive lineman Daevin Hobbs (53) hits Vanderbilt Commodores quarterback Diego Pavia (2) as he passes the ball during the second half at FirstBank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Steve Roberts-Imagn Images / Steve Roberts-Imagn Images

2. Tennessee has yet to win against a ranked opponent, is that indicative of its talent level? What else do you attribute that to? 

I don’t think I’d attribute it to the talent level. Tennessee’s schedule has played a part. The Vols have only played three ranked teams and they’re all ranked in the top 10 and projected to make the playoffs if they take care of business this weekend. But Tennessee had chances to win all three of those games, especially home matchups against Georgia and Oklahoma. The Vols have struggled to play complimentary football this season. The Vols failed to put the Georgia game away with a touchdown off of a fourth quarter fumble that set them up in plus-territory. The defense didn’t get the stop to seal the game and Max Gilbert misfired on the potential game-winning kick. Against Oklahoma, Tennessee turned it over three times in the first half and trailed 16-10 at halftime despite allowing only 99 yards of offense. This Tennessee team certainly isn’t extremely talented but they’ve also hurt themselves consistently in their three losses.

Joey Aguilar

Tennessee quarterback Joey Aguilar (6) helps direct the band in celebration after the win over Florida in an NCAA college football game on November 22, 2025, in Gainesville, Florida. / Saul Young/News Sentinel / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

3. Has Joey Aguilar met expectations, exceeded them or fallen short? 

Overall, Aguilar has exceeded expectations. Most didn’t know what to expect from the Appalachian State transfer after a rocky 2024 season in Boone and his summer arrival in Knoxville. But he looked comfortable in Josh Heupel’s offense from the jump. Aguilar has thrown the ball well down the field and in the intermediate. He also possesses a much better internal clock than Tennessee’s last two starting quarterbacks. Where Aguilar has met expectations and struggled is with turnovers. He came to Tennessee with the reputation as a turnover prone quarterback and that has reared its ugly head at times. Aguilar’s thrown 10 interceptions this season which doubles the previous Heupel-era season-high. He’s also fumbled it a handful of times.

Tennessee Volunteers Football

Nov 22, 2025; Gainesville, Florida, USA; Tennessee Volunteers defensive lineman Jaxson Moi (51) and linebacker Arion Carter (7) tackle Florida Gators quarterback DJ Lagway (2) during the first half at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement Neitzel-Imagn Images / Kim Klement Neitzel-Imagn Images

4. What are the strengths and weaknesses of Tennessee’s defense?

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The most obvious area is in the secondary where Tennessee’s top two returning corners have played just 19 snaps this season due to injury. Colorado transfer Colton Hood and true freshman Ty Redmond have done a solid job stepping it but it’s definitely been a step back. Tennessee’s safety play has often been woeful this season. Tennessee’s run defense struggled badly early in the season and gap integrity was a key deficiency, something Vanderbilt will be able to exploit. But the run defense has been much better the last month. The Commodores will test it more than most have the back half of the season though. Over the course of the season, Tennessee’s pass rush has probably been its biggest strength. They’ve had a knack for making big plays in big moments.

Tennessee Volunteers

Nov 22, 2025; Gainesville, Florida, USA; Tennessee Volunteers running back Desean Bishop (18) celebrates after they beat the Florida Gators at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement Neitzel-Imagn Images / Kim Klement Neitzel-Imagn Images

5. What do you view as the main keys for Tennessee in this game?

Winning on early downs on defense is a big one because of the success of the pass rush and the way Vanderbilt seems to excel in third-and-intermediate and third-and-short. Another big one is for the offense to just play clean football. I think they’re going to be able to move the ball on Vanderbilt’s defense. Can they avoid turnovers, drive killing penalties and finish drives with touchdowns?

Diego Pavia

Tennessee defensive back Will Brooks (35) stops Vanderbilt quarterback Diego Pavia (2) during the second quarter at FirstBank Stadium in Nashville, Tenn., Saturday, Nov. 30, 2024. / Andrew Nelles / The Tennessean / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

6. Score prediction?

Tennessee 31, Vanderbilt 27

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Black Friday hours: List of major retailers open in Middle Tennessee

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Black Friday hours: List of major retailers open in Middle Tennessee


Black Friday is right around the corner, and FOX 17 News is breaking down retailers open across the Midstate and their hours for shoppers who celebrate.

See our list of stores open and hours for Black Friday below (Listed in alphabetical order):

Bass Pro Shops

Open from 5 a.m. to 9 p.m.

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Best Buy

Locations will open at 6 a.m. and close at 10 p.m.

CoolSprings Galleria

Open from 7 a.m. to 9 p.m.

Costco

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Locations will open at 10 a.m. and close at 8:30 p.m.

Dick’s Sporting Goods

Locations will open at 6 a.m. and close at 10 p.m.

Home Depot

Most locations to open at 6 a.m. and close at 10 p.m.

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Home Goods

Locations to open at 7 a.m. and close at 10 p.m.

Kohl’s

Locations to open at 5 a.m. and close at 12 a.m.

Lowe’s

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Locations will open at 6 a.m. and close at 9 p.m.

Opry Mills

Open from 6 a.m. to 9 p.m.

Publix

Locations to open at 7 a.m. and close at 10 p.m.

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Rivergate Mall

The mall opens at 11 a.m. and closes at 8 p.m.

Sam’s Club

Locations will open at 9 a.m. and close at 8 p.m.

Tanger Outlets

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The outlets are open from 6 a.m. to 9 p.m.

Target

Nashville locations will open at 6 a.m. and close at 10 p.m.

The Mall at Green Hills

Open 9 a.m. to 9 p.m.

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Trader Joe’s

Locations to open at 8 a.m. and close at 9 p.m.

Tractor Supply

Locations will open at 6 a.m. and close at 9 p.m.

Walmart

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Walmart locations in Nashville will open at 6 a.m. and close at 11 p.m.



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