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Florida vs. Tennessee football prediction: What the analytics say

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Florida vs. Tennessee football prediction: What the analytics say


A classic SEC football rivalry returns to Rocky Top this weekend between a pair of teams that are 1-1 in conference play, as No. 8 Tennessee comes off a loss as it faces Florida in college football’s Week 7 action. Let’s check in with the latest predictions for the game from the model that picks winners.

Tennessee was slow to start and didn’t have enough to finish in an upset loss at unranked Arkansas last weekend, but still ranks fourth nationally in both scoring offense and defense and is 5th in FBS in rushing production.

Florida gave head coach Billy Napier a little more time with a win against UCF last week, a second straight victory that followed a dominant SEC debut against Mississippi State.

Looking ahead to this week’s matchup, let’s check out the latest college football predictions from the Football Power Index computer prediction model.

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The model simulates every NCAA college football game 20,000 times and uses key analytics from both teams and picks winners based on a projected scoring margin per game.

As expected, most projections favor the Volunteers over the Gators.

Tennessee is projected to win the game outright in the majority 86.9 percent of the computer’s most recent simulations of the matchup.

That leaves Florida as the expected winner in the remaining 13.1 percent of sims.

In total, the Vols win out in 17,380 of the index’s 20,000 simulations of the game, while the Gators come out ahead in the other 2,620 projections.

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Tennessee is projected to be 17.3 points better than Florida on the same field in both teams’ current composition, according to the model’s latest forecast.

If so, that would be enough to cover the spread.

That’s because Tennessee is a 15.5 point favorite against Florida, according to the lines at FanDuel Sportsbook.

FanDuel lists the total at 55.5 points for the game.

And it set the moneyline odds for Tennessee at -700 and for Florida at +500 to win outright.

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Most bettors consider Vols the far better team on the field, according to the latest spread consensus picks.

A plurality of bets — 64 percent of them — predict Tennessee will win the game and cover the spread.

The other 36 percent of wagers expect Florida will either win in an upset, or keep the game within the line.

The game’s implied score suggests a comfortable win for Tennessee.

When taking the point spread and total into consideration, it’s implied that Tennessee will defeat Florida by a projected score of 36 to 20 in the game.

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Tennessee is fifth among SEC teams with a 48 percent chance to qualify for the College Football Playoff and will win 9.4 games this season, according to the FPI’s metrics.

That model gives Florida a win total projection of 5 games and a 31.2 percent shot at a bowl game.

Football Power Index (FPI) college football rankings and computer prediction model are a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance. 

Rankings and scores predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season and games, using a combination of key analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, team talent, recruiting, and a team’s schedule.

Teams are ranked not in order of talent like in other rankings, but by a projected point margin per game against an average team on a neutral field.

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First-place votes in parentheses

1. Texas (52)
2. Ohio State (9)
3. Oregon
4. Penn State
5. Georgia
6. Miami
7. Alabama
8. Tennessee
9. Ole Miss
10. Clemson
T-11. Iowa State/Notre Dame
13. LSU
14. BYU
15. Texas A&M
16. Utah
17. Boise State
T-18. Kansas State/Indiana/Oklahoma
21. Missouri
22. Pittsburgh
23. Illinois
24. Michigan
25. SMU

When: Sat., Oct. 12
Time: 7 p.m. ET | 6 p.m. CT
TV: ESPN network

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

More college football from SI: Top 25 Rankings | Schedule | Teams

Follow College Football HQ: Bookmark | Rankings | Picks

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A Tennessee congressman introduced a federal bill to crack down on fake emergency calls. Here’s what to know about swatting.

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A Tennessee congressman introduced a federal bill to crack down on fake emergency calls. Here’s what to know about swatting.


NASHVILLE, Tenn. (WSMV) – A U.S. congressman from Tennessee has introduced a bill to crack down on swatting.

Rep. David Kustoff (R, TN-8) introduced the “Preserving Safe Communities by Ending Swatting Act,” which would strengthen federal penalties for swatting.

The measure says, “This bill makes it a crime to intentionally convey false or misleading information in circumstances where the information may reasonably be expected to cause an emergency response and the information indicates the occurrence of criminal conduct or a threat to health or safety (commonly referred to as swatting).”

This comes after more than half a dozen schools in Tennessee were all placed on lockdown this week after hoax school threats.

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Here’s which TN schools were impacted by ‘hoax’ threats, and what to know about the swatting investigations

What is swatting?

According to the FBI, swatting is when a person calls 911 and fakes an emergency that draws a response from law enforcement — usually a SWAT team.

The calls can put first responders and victims in dangerous situations, the FBI said, as the callers often report tales of hostages about to be executed or bombs about to go off.

“The community is placed in danger as responders rush to the scene, taking them away from real emergencies,” the FBI said. “And the officers are placed in danger as unsuspecting residents may try to defend themselves.”

While the FBI does not have a publicly recorded number of swatting calls that have been made year over year in the U.S., the National Association of Attorneys General says swatting threats have escalated across the U.S. Because of this, several states have taken targeted action to criminalize these calls, including Kentucky, which in 2022 approved a bill that would increase penalties for falsely reporting emergencies and allow courts to order restitution to affected agencies or individuals.

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According to the FBI’s 2023 Year in Review report, it launched the National Common Operating Picture database to track swatting events. The agency reported more than 300 incidents between May and September of 2023.

The K-12 School Shooting Database recorded swatting incidents at U.S. schools from 2023 to 2024. The highest number of reported incidents occurred in March 2023, with 210. The second-most was 148 in February 2023.

Recent swatting incidents in Tennessee

On Tuesday, a flurry of swatting incidents caused several schools in Middle Tennessee to be put on lockdown and lockout, drawing responses from several law enforcement agencies and disrupting students’ education.

In April, the Williamson County Sheriff’s Office received a report of a threat made against a student at Independence High School.

The school was placed on a brief lockdown as the sheriff’s office investigated the threat.

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The sheriff’s office later determined that the call was actually a swatting incident and was likely made from out-of-state.

A spokesperson for Williamson County Schools said some similar false threat calls were made to other schools in the area as well.

The investigation into that incident is ongoing.

Earlier this year, an East Tennessee teen was arrested for allegedly making four swatting calls to the McMinnville Police Department. The caller reported that a person had been shot and another was being held hostage.

The 17-year-old Maryville boy admitted to being angry at another teen staying at a McMinnville home and paying someone to call false emergencies and being present when the calls were made.

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The Associated Press reported in 2025 about a wave of swatting calls at multiple college campuses in August.

One of the first incidents in this wave occurred in Tennessee at the University of Tennessee at Chattanooga when authorities received false calls reporting an active shooter with an AR-15-style rifle and four people shot.

The AP reported that dispatchers reported hearing multiple gunshots on the calls.

Ways to protect yourself from swatters

The FBI shared measures you can take to protect yourself from swatters, including:

  • Review your online presence for sensitive personal information that could enable malicious actors to conduct a swatting attack.
  • Exercise care when posting content (including photos and videos) or sharing it with individuals online. Although seemingly innocuous, images and videos can be exploited or manipulated by malicious actors for criminal activity.
  • Consider online resources and services that may aid in reducing or removing sensitive publicly available information.
  • Use strong, unique passwords and multi-factor authentication on all devices and accounts, including smart home devices.
  • Discuss swatting with your family members or colleagues and have a plan in place in the event of law enforcement contact at your residence, business, or other location.

Copyright 2026 WSMV. All rights reserved.



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Special Olympics Tennessee in need of volunteers

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Special Olympics Tennessee in need of volunteers


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Tennessee releases new roadmap for electric vehicles

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Tennessee releases new roadmap for electric vehicles


NASHVILLE, Tenn. (WTVF) — Tennessee environmental officials and electric transportation partners have released an updated roadmap for the state’s electric vehicle future.

The Tennessee Department of Environment and Conservation’s Office of Energy Programs and Drive Electric Tennessee released the 2026 Roadmap for Electric Vehicles in Tennessee, which builds on the state’s original EV strategy from 2019.

The updated plan lays out priorities for the next decade, including a goal to support the deployment of 750,000 light-duty electric vehicles in Tennessee by 2035.

The roadmap also addresses medium- and heavy-duty vehicle electrification, charging infrastructure, battery recycling, second-life battery use, bi-directional charging and smart charge management technologies.

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State officials said Tennessee’s EV landscape has changed in recent years because of growing consumer interest, manufacturing investment, expanded charging infrastructure and federal, state, utility and local programs.

Since the original roadmap was released, Drive Electric Tennessee and its partners have completed more than 40 EV-related projects. Those efforts have included assessing charging needs, connecting fleet operators with EV options, hosting demonstrations and developing best practices for local policy.

TDEC said Tennessee’s automotive manufacturing base and EV supply chain could help the state benefit economically from transportation electrification through job creation and private investment.

Officials also said EV adoption could help reduce transportation costs for households and fleets, improve air quality and support energy independence by using locally produced electricity as a transportation fuel.

According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, the transportation sector made up 46.1% of Tennessee’s total energy consumption in 2023, making it the state’s largest energy-consuming end-use sector.

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For additional information on transportation electrification in Tennessee, visit the TDEC website.

South Nashville entrepreneur overcomes hardships and reunites with NC5 mentor

You never know what impact you can have on others — Patsy Montesinos brings us that reminder with a story featuring some very familiar faces. Enjoy this story and go vote for Shante!

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– Carrie Sharp





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