Oklahoma
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma score prediction by expert college football model
A new-look SEC football matchup kicks off this weekend as No. 18 Ole Miss looks to rebound against struggling Oklahoma in college football’s Week 9 action on Saturday. Let’s check in with the latest prediction for the game from an expert model that projects scores and picks winners.
Ole Miss slid to 1-2 in SEC play this season with losses to Kentucky and LSU, but still commands the No. 8 scoring offense and 3rd ranked passing attack in college football with its College Football Playoff hopes in serious limbo heading into November.
Oklahoma is playing some of the country’s worst offense and undergoing a second quarterback change, but its solid defense is a bright spot for the team otherwise.
What do the analytical models suggest for when the Rebels and Sooners meet in this SEC clash?
For that, let’s turn to the SP+ prediction model to get a preview of how Oklahoma and Ole Miss compare in this Week 9 college football game.
As expected, the models are siding strongly with the Rebels over the Sooners in this matchup.
SP+ predicts that Ole Miss will defeat Oklahoma by a projected score of 34 to 14 and to win the game by an expected margin of 19.6 points in the process.
The model gives the Rebels a strong 89 percent chance of outright victory in the game.
SP+ is a “tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency” that attempts to predict game outcomes by measuring “the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football.”
How good is it this season? So far, the SP+ model is 211-194-4 against the spread with a 52.1 win percentage after going 31-27-1 (53.4%) last weekend.
Ole Miss is a 20.5 point favorite against Oklahoma, according to the lines at FanDuel Sportsbook.
FanDuel lists the total at 49.5 points for the game (Over -105, Under -115).
And it set the moneyline odds for Ole Miss at -1600 and for Oklahoma at +860 to win outright.
If you’re using this prediction to bet on the game, you should take …
Most bettors take a different view of the Rebels against the Sooners, according to the latest spread consensus picks for the game.
Ole Miss is getting 58 percent of bets to win the game and cover the generous spread in the process.
The other 42 percent of wagers project Oklahoma will either win in an upset, or keep the game under 3 touchdowns in a loss.
Ole Miss has been 28.3 points better than opponents when playing at home on average so far this season.
But over the last three games, the Rebels have been 6 points better on average, as that number took a hit following two close losses.
Oklahoma is 17 points worse than its opponents over the last three games on average.
But the Sooners are 12.5 points worse than the opposition when playing on the road.
Most other analytical models are siding with the Rebels over the Sooners in this matchup.
That includes the College Football Power Index, a computer prediction model that uses data points from both teams to simulate games 20,000 times to pick winners.
Ole Miss is projected to win the game outright in the majority 87.8 percent of the computer’s most recent simulations of the matchup.
That leaves Oklahoma as the expected winner in the remaining 12.2 percent of sims.
Ole Miss is projected to be 17.8 points better than Oklahoma on the same field in both teams’ current composition, according to the model’s latest forecast.
Ole Miss is seventh among SEC teams with a 21.6 percent chance to qualify for the College Football Playoff, according to the FPI’s metrics.
That model gives the Rebels a win total prediction of 8.9 games this season.
Oklahoma will make a bowl game with 61.7 percent likelihood, according to the index’s calculations.
And the computers give the Sooners a win total projection of 5.9 games in 2024.
When: Sat., Oct. 26
Time: 11 a.m. Central
TV: ESPN network
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
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ENID, Okla. (AP) — A powerful tornado in Oklahoma on Thursday ripped roofs off buildings, knocked down power poles and sent emergency crews rushing into a rural community near Vance Air Force Base, officials said.
The confirmed tornado moved across parts of Enid, a city of about 50,000 people near the state’s northern border, according to the National Weather Service. Video posted online show a rapidly rotating column of air touching down along with totaled homes.
There were no immediate reports of fatalities and only minor injuries hours after the tornado passed through, according to the Garfield County Sheriff’s Office. Authorities were going door-to-door in some neighborhoods to check on residents.
The Vance Air Force Base was impacted by the tornado, but the extent of the damage was not immediately clear. The base said in a social media post that officials “are currently conducting accountability procedures to ensure all personnel are safe and accounted for.”
“Please join me in praying for the Enid community, which has been severely impacted by tonight’s tornado,” Oklahoma Gov. Kevin Stitt posted on social media.
Enid Police Department spokesperson Cass Rains said there had been early reports of people trapped in homes and extensive damage. Garfield County includes Vance Air Force Base, which is about 80 miles (129 kilometers) north of Oklahoma City.
OKLAHOMA CITY (KOKH) — If you have been waiting for the opening of a popular fast-food chain in Oklahoma City, your wait is almost over.
On Tuesday, Bojangles will open its first Oklahoma location in Oklahoma City.
The new restaurant, located at 13135 N. Pennsylvania Ave. in Oklahoma City, has a list of events planned throughout opening day.
The first 100 guests in line on April 28th will receive a $100 gift card and exclusive, Oklahoma City -themed merchandise.
Also, 10 dine-in guests can enter for a chance to win free Bojangles breakfast for a year.
At 3 p.m. on April 28, the restaurant will transform into a full-scale block party. Guests will be able to enjoy a live DJ, a mechanical bull, branded merchandise, and a sweepstakes.
“We are ecstatic about introducing Bojangles to Oklahoma and bringing our unique Southern charm to the market,” said Jose Armario, CEO of Bojangles. “Our recent expansions into new markets have been met with tremendous enthusiasm, and we are confident that the Oklahoma City community will embrace our delicious offerings with the same excitement.”
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The new store will open its doors at 5 a.m. on Tuesday, April 28th.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are taking on the Phoenix Suns in Game 2 of their opening-round series. The OKC Thunder are hoping that they can repeat their Sunday afternoon performance in this contest. Game 2 will be an interesting test with the Suns having more time to prepare.
Phoenix was up against a rock and a hard place in the series opener. The Oklahoma City Thunder not only have the talent advantage but the rest advantage as well. Phoenix punched their ticket to the NBA Playoffs on Friday night by staving off the Golden State Warriors on Friday night before landing in Oklahoma City on Saturday and playing on Saturday afternoon to the tune of a 119-84 blowout Thunder victory.
The NBA has seen plenty of upsets already. The Orlando Magic, Philadelphia 76ers and Portland Trail Blazers have all stolen games from the higher seed. The Thunder know they have to keep the foot on the gas in this contest.
“These series are unpredictable. No 2 games are the same. The minute you make an assumption, you are overconfident, or the minute you go down and you’re overly urgent, that can impact your ability to be present in the next game,” Thunder head coach Mark Daigneault said pregame on Wednesday night.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are seeing the Suns make an adjustment with their starting lineup by inserting Collin Gillespie to give Phoenix a trio of ball handling scoring options alongside Devin Booker and Jalen Green. This gives the Suns hope to be able to find better shot quality against this stifling Thunder defensive unit.
Oklahoma City is healthier now than they have been all season. The Thunder only are missing rookie Thomas Sorber (ACL) who is out for the year. This allows the Bricktown Ballers to roll out their traditional first five in this contest.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Phoenix Suns, Game 2 Starting Lineup
Oklahoma City Thunder Starting Lineup
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, G
- Lu Dort, G
- Jalen Williams, F
- Chet Holmgren, F
- Isaiah Hartenstein, C
Phoenix Suns Starting Lineup
- Devin Booker, G
- Jalen Green, G
- Collin Gillespie, G
- Dillon Brooks, F
- Oso Ighodaro, C
The series will shift to Phoenix this weekend as the Oklahoma City Thunder hope to head into Saturday afternoon’s Game 3 with a 2-0 advantage in the series.
Stay tuned to Thunder on SI for complete coverage of the NBA Playoff run for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
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