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Houston vs Oklahoma State Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today — College Football Week 7

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Houston vs Oklahoma State Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today — College Football Week 7


Rosales’ prediction: If Conner Weigman plays, Houston looks set to extend Oklahoma State’s woes with another dominant victory.

Oct 11, 2025 • 09:17 ET

• 4 min read

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After dropping their first game of the season, the Houston Cougars aim to bounce back as they take on the Oklahoma State Cowboys.

It’s been a rough year for the Cowboys, who have already parted ways with their head coach and are now on a four-game losing streak.

See my Houston vs. Oklahoma State predictions for the top wager, plus all our college football picks for this Big 12 showdown on Saturday, October 11.

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Houston vs Oklahoma State prediction

Houston vs Oklahoma State best bet: Houston -14.5 (-110)

Normally, I’d steer clear of a spread that big, but there’s no redeeming qualities coming out of this Oklahoma State team.

They have been crushed in back-to-back losses to Baylor (45-27) and last week to Arizona (41-13). In their four straight losses, only Tulsa failed to blow them out, winning 19-12.

They’re also down quarterback Zane Flores, who hurt his shoulder in the loss to Arizona.

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That leaves them with freshman Banks Bowen, and Sam Jackson, who had converted to wide receiver last year while at Auburn. He replaced Flores against Arizona and threw for 27 yards on 3-for-6 passing.

Houston’s pivot problem is more encouraging, as Conner Weigman went into concussion protocol after leaving their 35-11 loss to Texas Tech in the second quarter.

After building a solid 4-0 mark, Weigman’s injury derailed the Cougars’ litmus test against its first ranked opponent on the year. He had thrown for 93 yards and a score before leaving the game, and Houston didn’t score another point.

Assuming he does play, he’ll lead a Houston Cougars offense averaging 27.2 points per game. Oklahoma State is averaging a paltry 16.4 points per contest, and their defense is 130th or worse in total yards and passing yards per game, while ranking 112th against the rush, at 179.4 per contest.

Houston vs Oklahoma State same-game parlay

During this current four-game losing slide, Oklahoma State has trailed by at least seven points in three of them. The only game they came out even was against Baylor, tied 7-7 after the first 15 minutes.

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In Houston’s four wins, they came out of the opening quarter with at least a seven-point lead twice, and in a scoreless draw in another.

They should be in position to get ahead in this one on Saturday.

Houston vs Oklahoma State SGP

  • Houston -14.5
  • Under 46.5
  • Houston -3.5 first quarter spread

Houston vs Oklahoma State game predictions

Houston vs Oklahoma State moneyline prediction

Houston ML (-620 at FanDuel)

I don’t see any way that Houston loses this game, even if Weigman were to sit out. So in that sense, a wager on the moneyline wouldn’t be the worst idea, but close, with little juice to make it worth your while.

A wager on OKST at +460? You might enjoy burning your money more than betting on the Cowboys.

Houston vs Oklahoma State spread prediction

Houston -14.5 (-110 at FanDuel)

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If Conner Weigman suits up, he’ll take charge of a Houston offense that’s putting up 27.2 points per game. In contrast, Oklahoma State is struggling offensively, averaging just 16.4 points per game.

Defensively, the Cowboys rank 130th or worse in both total and passing yards allowed per game, and they’re 112th against the run, giving up 179.4 rushing yards per contest.

Houston vs Oklahoma State Over/Under prediction

Under 46.5 points (-115 at FanDuel)

I don’t think this is a game where Houston wants to flex.

More than anything, I think they want to get out big early, perhaps open it up to the backups and get out of Stillwater without any serious injuries, as they have Arizona and no. 21 Arizona State on the horizon.

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The Cowboys’ offense is in shambles, and their QB options don’t exactly instill some kind of offensive boost.

Their inability to put up points brings this score Under the total.

Houston vs Oklahoma State odds

  • Spread: Houston -14.5 (-110) | Oklahoma State +14.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Houston -620 | Oklahoma State +460
  • Over/Under: Over 46.5 (-115) | Under 46.5 (-105)

Houston vs Oklahoma State trend to know

Oklahoma State has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 10 games. Find more college football betting trends for Houston vs Oklahoma State.

How to watch Houston vs Oklahoma State

Location Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, OK
Date Saturday, October 11, 2025
Kickoff 12:00 p.m. ET
TV TNT

Houston vs Oklahoma State latest injuries

Houston vs Oklahoma State weather

Monitor gametime conditions with our College football weather info.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

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What Oklahoma Does Better Than Texas and Why It Matters

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What Oklahoma Does Better Than Texas and Why It Matters


During Oklahoma’s Lincoln Riley era, the Sooners dominated Texas. Riley went 6–1 against the Longhorns, including a victory in the Big 12 Championship Game on Dec. 1, 2018. However, things have been different over the last half-decade.

Brent Venables took over as the Sooners’ head coach in 2022, one year after Steve Sarkisian became the Longhorns’ lead man. Texas is 3–1 since Venables was appointed, with an average margin of victory over the Longhorns’ three wins of 32.3 points.

Texas is looking to extend its winning streak to three games for the first time since 1997–99. Oklahoma has one clear advantage, and while it has not mattered in previous matchups, it could define the 2026 edition.

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Oklahoma’s Defense Could Cause Texas-Sized Problems

Oklahoma Sooners defensive lineman Taylor Wein in the first half of the Red River Rivalry college football game between the Sooners and the Texas Longhorns at the Cotton Bowl Stadium in Dallas, Texas, Saturday, Oct. 11, 2025. | SARAH PHIPPS/THE OKLAHOMAN / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images
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When Oklahoma’s defense lines up against the Texas offense, the two best units in the game will be on the field at the same time.

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When it comes to the Red River Rivalry, it often feels as though preconceived notions about the team are irrelevant. The intensity and familiarity set both teams back to the basics. However, the matchup of the Longhorns’ offense and the Sooners’ defense will likely define this season’s rivalry game.

Last season, Oklahoma was carried by its defense to the College Football Playoff, with its offense doing just enough to get the job done. The Sooners were 79th in points per game (26.2) while allowing the seventh-fewest points per game (15.5).

There is optimism that Oklahoma’s offense will improve. Quarterback John Mateer could take the next step with Parker Livingstone and Trell Harris coming in to catch passes. However, the Sooners’ defense has been among the best in the country during Venables’ tenure and has come to characterize the program — a far cry from the Riley era.

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Oklahoma Sooners defensive lineman R Mason Thomas and linebacker Kip Lewis celebrate during the game between the Texas Longhorns and the Oklahoma Sooners at the Cotton Bowl. | Jerome Miron-Imagn Images

Under Venables, Oklahoma has ranked inside the top 20 in each of the last three seasons in adjusted EPA per play allowed. Last season, it ranked second behind only Texas Tech, according to GameOnPaper. This includes top-three finishes in yards allowed per rush attempt (2.4, second) and sacks (45, third).

The Longhorns were productive on defense last season, ranking in the top 30 in points allowed per game. The defense was particularly impactful against the Sooners, dominating in all four quarters. In nearly every metric, though, Oklahoma outperformed its rival defensively last season.

Stat

Texas Longhorns’ Defense (Rank)

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Oklahoma Sooners’ Defense (Rank)

Rushing Yards Allowed per Attempt

3.1 (12th)

2.4 (2nd)

EPA per Rush

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-0.05 (27th)

-0.21 (2nd)

Passing Yards Allowed per Attempt

6.6 (38th)

6.2 (22nd)

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EPA per Dropback

-0.06 (33rd)

-0.17 (9th)

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Over the last four matchups, however, this defensive production has been mostly meaningless. Texas is averaging 34 points per game and outpacing the Sooners’ season averages.

Season

Oklahoma PPG Allowed

Points Allowed vs. Texas

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Oklahoma YPG Allowed

Yards Allowed vs. Texas

2022

30.0

49

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461.0

585

2023

23.5

30

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389.4

527

2024

21.5

34

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318.2

406

2025

15.5

23

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272.5

302

While this has been the case every season since Venables took over for OU, the Sooners have also steadily improved defensively. This has decreased the margin for error on the Longhorns’ side. Texas needs to take advantage of every opportunity it gets.

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Last season, Texas missed multiple field goals. The Longhorns avoided disaster, though, by winning the turnover battle 3–0 and getting relentless pressure on Mateer. This season, they may not be as fortunate, as the Sooners will test the new-look Longhorns offense

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Oklahoma data center boom sparks backlash as Yukon leaders, residents raise concerns

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Oklahoma data center boom sparks backlash as Yukon leaders, residents raise concerns


A contentious debate over water and growth is intensifying in Yukon as residents and city leaders grapple with the long-term costs of supplying major industrial projects, including a data center that uses up to 3 million gallons a day.

The discussion spilled into another packed Yukon City Council meeting, where residents learned how strained and expensive the city’s water outlook could be over the next 25 years.

Emotions ran high, with one resident comparing city leadership to a Nazi regime.

Yukon’s water supply plan examines eight options, including five aquifers, non-potable reuse water, direct potable reuse water, and purchasing 2 million gallons a day from Oklahoma City.

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Projected costs exceed $200 million, with millions more expected over the next 25 years for operations and maintenance.

The data center was part of the conversation from the start of the water study, which began in late 2024.

The facility uses up to 3 million gallons a day to cool its servers. One option discussed for meeting that demand is a non-potable supply providing 3 million gallons a day, with $55.9 million in capital costs and a required 18-inch pipe stretching 3.5 miles.

The option is recommended to meet great industrial demands, including a data center.

Council member Rick Cacini said his focus is on residents’ needs rather than industrial users. Cacini said, “We had water problems 8 years ago when I started, and we have water problems today.”

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Another council member raised the idea of taking cost out of the equation when considering whether to supply water to the data center.

Residents spoke out one after another against the data center after hearing details of the water plan and costs.

One resident referenced Piedmont, where two data center proposals were tabled on Monday. Another resident said, “It’s not a good deal for us, and the other cities know it already.”

Some residents escalated their criticism of city leadership. One resident said, “I voted for Pillmore, and I regret that vote more than anything probably I’ve ever done in my life because this feels like some nazi regime.”

Others called for city leaders to be recalled. “We will collect those signatures within 30 days, and we’re gonna remove you.”

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Concerns also grew over the data center agreement, centered on the purchaser having an “out” while the seller does not.

The city manager was said to have gotten something wrong in August.

The meeting ended with Cacini threatening to sue Mayor Brian Pillmore over comments made in an early May meeting.

Pillmore was not at the meeting, saying he was on vacation with his family.



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Oklahoma AG files petition to block proposed smelting project in Inola

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Oklahoma AG files petition to block proposed smelting project in Inola


INOLA, Okla. — Oklahoma Attorney General Gentner Drummond has filed a petition in Rogers County seeking to block a proposed aluminum-smelting facility in Inola.

According to Drummond, Emirates Global Aluminum holds a 60% controlling interest in the project. The company is based in the United Arab Emirates.

Century Aluminum, a company headquartered in Chicago, owns the remaining 40%.

If completed, Oklahoma Primary Aluminum would be the largest primary aluminum production plant in the United States. However, the facility would produce hazardous waste, which has raised concerns in both the Inola community and across the state. Billboards have been spotted along Highway 412 in Inola, warning others about the proposal.

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The facility would also draw more than 1,000 megawatts of continuous energy.

“A primary aluminum smelter does not belong in a community’s backyard, and its emissions do not respect property lines,” Drummond said, adding that winds could carry pollutants into the surrounding northeastern Oklahoma communities. “The injury is imminent, it is grave, and it is irreparable.”

However, Oklahoma Governor Kevin Stitt has criticized Drummond’s actions, saying the facility would be one of the state’s largest economic development projects in history.

It is important to note that Drummond is currently running for Governor.

“As soon as President Trump made his endorsement in the governor’s race, Drummond dropped the act and showed his true colors,” said Stitt. “Now he is turning his machine against one of President Trump’s top priorities, once again weaponizing his office to settle scores instead of serving Oklahomans. President Trump’s aluminum project in Inola will rapidly grow Oklahoma’s economy and strengthen America’s supply chain for generations, while Drummond turns his back on our state in favor of cheap political gimmicks and personal gain.”

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President Trump has endorsed Mike Mazzei in Oklahoma’s gubernatorial race. The Republican primary is scheduled for June 16.


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