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Republican, white voter registrations surge in NC

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Republican, white voter registrations surge in NC


With five months until Election Day, North Carolina Republicans appear to have momentum, at least when it comes to how people identify themselves when they register to vote.

The North Carolina Board of Elections recently updated voter registrations for all 100 counties. The database previously had been locked from March to mid-May because the GOP had a runoff, and no new registrants were supposed to have been added.

Inside Politics has scrutinized the new numbers and how they have changed from 2020 to 2024, as well as the historical change in registration in between previous four-year election cycles.

One takeaway: It looks like the state has become more conservative since 2020.

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This newsletter will not make a prediction as to whether Joe Biden or Donald Trump will win North Carolina. But, if registration trends are any indication, it appears Biden could underperform in the president’s nationwide popular vote total by as much or more than he did in 2020.

(Here is what I mean: Four years ago, Biden lost North Carolina by 1.3 percentage points, even though he won the national popular vote by 4.5 percentage points. I consider that lagging the national average by 5.8 points.)

Let’s get to the numbers. Here is the change in registration by party from June 2020 to June 2024:

  • Democrats: -126,000 (2.4 million total)
  • Republicans: +156,000 (2.25 million total)
  • Unaffiliated: +450,000 (2.77 million total)

At first glance, this trend looks terrible for Democrats.
But it’s not uncommon for the Democrats to have lost registered voters and still come close in presidential elections and to win Council of State races.

This is, in part, because many of the people who have left the party are probably older, conservative voters who became Democrats when they were young. They have voted for Republicans for a while. Democrats have also won over enough unaffiliated voters to make up for their losses. (And there’s plenty of debate over how independent most unaffiliated voters actually are, or whether they usually vote with one party or another.)

Now let’s go back in history. I’m going to shift the time frame from August to August, because North Carolina’s primary was held later in past elections.

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Here is what the change looked like from August 2016 to August 2020:

  • Democrats: -123,000 (2.54 million total)
  • Republicans: +91,600 (2.11 million total)
  • Unaffiliated: +408,5000 (2.35 million total)

August 2012 to August 2016:

  • Democrats: -97,000 (2.66 million)
  • Republicans: +26,300 (2.02 million)
  • Unaffiliated: +328,000 (1.95 million)

August 2008 to August 2012:

  • Democrats: +76,800 (2.76 million)
  • Republicans: +56,000 (1.99 million)
  • Unaffiliated: +320,000 (1.62 million)

May 2004 to August 2008:

  • Democrats: +277,600 (2.68 million total)
  • Republicans: +190,000 (1.94 million total)
  • Unaffiliated: +387,500 (1.29 million total)

Here are a few thoughts.
First, it’s not inevitable that Democrats lose registrations. During the Obama years, voters were excited to be Democrats and registrations increased. Also, losing 126,000 registrations over the last four years — after losing 121,000 in the previous four years — is not sustainable. In one of the nation’s fastest-growing states, the state Democratic Party needs voters to like it enough that they register as Democrats.

Look at it another way: In August 2012, there were 1.99 million registered Republicans and 2.76 million Democrats in the state. Now, there are 2.25 million Republicans and 2.4 million Democrats, drawing close to parity in just a bit more than a decade.

Republicans are having a good cycle, adding 156,000 new registered voters. If you have declared yourself a Republican since 2020 after four years of Trump, it’s safe to say you are committed to the GOP. Considering Trump won North Carolina by 75,000 votes in 2020, that can be a difference maker.

Unaffiliated voters continue to be the Democratic Party’s big hope. The belief is that young voters don’t want to be identified with either party, even if they are progressive. With 450,000 new unaffiliated voters, that’s a large pool for the Democrats to draw voters from and offset GOP gains.

A county-by-county look

Here is some more interesting information about registrations:

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Of the state’s 100 counties, there are nine with more registered Democrats today than four years ago: Alamance, Brunswick, Cabarrus, Chatham, Henderson, Johnston, Mitchell, Union and Wake.

(Mitchell County, in the mountains, has one more registered Democrat than it did in 2020.)

Mecklenburg County — the county with the most registered Democrats — has 2,500 fewer registered Democrats than it did in 2020. That’s a .07% drop. Mecklenburg Democrats will probably surpass their 2020 registrations by the end of summer as voter drivers ramp up.

On the other side, many counties — mostly rural ones — have seen massive declines in Democratic registrations.

Twenty-nine counties have seen their Democratic registrations fall by more than 15%. Robeson County is the largest by absolute numbers, where Democratic registration has fallen by nearly 8,600 people, or 20%. Robeson used to be one of the state’s bluest counties.

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On the Republican side, 93 of 100 counties have more registered Republicans than four years ago. The seven that dropped: Durham, Forsyth, Guilford, Mecklenburg, Orange, Wake and Watauga.

White and Black registrations

Now let’s look at registrations by race and ethnicity.

From June 2020 to June 2024, the number of registered voters who self-identify as Black dropped by nearly 2,700.

The number of voters who self-identify as white increased by nearly 204,000. A good chunk of those new white registrants are probably Hispanic, whose registrants increased by 79,000 over the last four years. (The registration form allows people to identify as Hispanic regardless of their race, meaning race and Hispanic ethnicity are separate, overlapping categories.)

Overall, that’s good news for Republicans, since Black voters are the most reliable Democratic group and the GOP wins a majority of the white vote.

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The problem with analyzing all of this is that an increasing number of voters aren’t picking any race or ethnicity when registering to vote.

There are 38,100 multiracial voters. And nearly 920,000 voters — 12% of the voting pool — chose “undesignated” or “other.”

Democrats like to focus on the state becoming more diverse, with more voters of color.

And that’s true: In 2012, 71% of the state’s registered voters were white. That’s now fallen to 65%.

But Black voters have also seen their share shrink, as well, from 22.5% in 2012 to just under 20% today.

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Concord resident, candidate for North Carolina House dies unexpectedly, officials say

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Concord resident, candidate for North Carolina House dies unexpectedly, officials say


CONCORD, N.C. (WBTV) – A Concord resident and a candidate for the North Carolina House District died Monday afternoon, according to the North Carolina Democratic Party.

Kim Delaney, a Democratic candidate for the North Carolina House District 73, died unexpectedly around 2:05 p.m. on Monday, Jan 26, according to officials.

In a statement by the North Carolina Democratic Party they said Delaney was surrounded by family when she died and left behind two children.

You can read the full statement below:

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“We are deeply saddened to share the passing of Kim Delaney of Concord, a candidate for North Carolina House District 73, who passed away unexpectedly on January 26, 2026.”

“Kim passed away at 2:05 PM, surrounded by her family.”

“Kim was a devoted mother and leaves behind two children. Our thoughts are with them, as well as with Kim’s family and loved ones, during this incredibly difficult time.”

“Kim was a kind, sincere, and caring person who believed in community and in showing up for others.”

The family established a Spotfund to assist with funeral expenses and to support her children. To donate you can click here.

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Iced-over North Carolina faces grid preparedness questions after other states enact stricter laws

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Iced-over North Carolina faces grid preparedness questions after other states enact stricter laws


North Carolinians scrambled to find generators ahead of this weekend’s ice and snow.

Now questions are resurfacing about whether the state should adopt laws to better protect the power grid. The answers may lie in other states, such as Texas, which also dealt with winter storms this weekend.

Winter Storm Uri in 2021 left at least 200 people dead and more than 4 million homes and businesses without power when it hit Texas five years ago. 

The crisis caused Texas lawmakers to pass laws requiring public utilities to better prepare power infrastructure for extreme weather. The law also created penalties for noncompliance and allowed funding for backup power at hospitals and other critical facilities.

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The new requirements appear to be working: As of Monday, there were few to no power outages reported in nearly all Texas counties, according to KDFW-TV, a Dallas news station, even though this weekend’s storm brought record-breaking snowfall to the state.

North Carolina, which faces winter storms occasionally, still relies primarily on emergency response and voluntary utility measures, raising the question: Should the state wait for disaster before taking certain proactive actions?

“This storm reaffirmed that preparation is key and can make a real difference in saving lives,” Gov. Josh Stein told WRAL Monday.

Duke Energy, which provides power to nearly all North Carolina businesses and residents, says that even without mandates it still regularly takes voluntary action to prepare and improve the state’s power grid.

North Carolina has had more power outages than all but three other states since 2000, according to U.S. Department of Energy data. 

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“The Texas situation should have sprung us into action, to think about this in advance,” North Carolina state Rep. Pricey Harrison, D-Guilford, said, adding that she’s not aware of any rules here similar to what Texas instituted. 

Measures in North Carolina

Harrison said there were some measures she believed were beneficial but they are no longer laws. There is weatherization funding available for individual homeowners under the federal Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program. “Unfortunately, that funding has been cut pretty dramatically at the federal level,” Harrison told WRAL.

WRAL asked Senate Leader Phil Berger, R-Rockingham, and House Speaker Destin Hall, R-Caldwell, whether the state should adopt new laws to better protect the power grid from future storms. Neither indicated they’d support new requirements on utilities.

A spokesperson for Hall says he’s focused on “maintaining a strong rainy-day fund to ensure we are prepared to weather future natural disasters if necessary.”

Berger said he’s been in touch with emergency officials and that “since we’re still in the middle of the storm and do not have damage estimates, it is premature to discuss details of potential legislative action.”

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When storms approach the state, state and federal officials routinely declare states of emergency, have state transportation crews treat icy roads, activate the National Guard, and provide temporary Medicaid flexibilities such as early prescription refills.

Duke Energy says its emergency response strategy doesn’t only consist of sending crews out after a storm to repair downed lines. “We have a very robust multi-year grid improvement strategy that we’ve worked with our regulators to establish that helps us to strengthen the grid, to make it more resistant to outages from severe weather,” Jeff Brooks, a Duke Energy spokesman, said in an interview Monday.

The company plans its spending five years out.

“Roughly half of what we’re spending in our current five-year plan is for modernizing and improving the electric grid. And that would include reliability and resiliency improvements,” Brooks said.

Money spent on improving the state’s power grid might simply be passed onto customers in the form of higher power bills. Texas, unlike North Carolina, requires utilities to weatherize generation, transmission and natural gas facilities for extreme weather. And Texans also have higher power bills.

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According to the website Choose Energy, which analyzes electricity costs nationwide, Texans pay more for their power than North Carolinians do, although both states are below the national average.

Other states have taken different approaches to power-outage worries. Virginia has a state program — the Emergency Shelter Upgrade Assistance Grant Fund — that provides matching funds to localities to install or repair backup energy generation infrastructure at emergency shelters.

Brooks said Duke Energy takes it upon itself to make sure it is cost effective for customers. Duke has what it calls self-healing technology across the state that can help automatically detect power outages and reroute power to restore service faster, Brooks added.

The energy giant has also buried some of its power lines, another strategy that comes with added expense but has been proven to lessen power outages.

These are voluntary measures since North Carolina doesn’t require utilities to do the work. 

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Substation vulnerabilities

Extreme weather isn’t the only risk to power infrastructure. Lawmakers considered new measures after a December 2022 incident in which Duke Energy substations in Moore County were shot at, knocking out power for thousands for several days and contributing to at least one death, according to authorities.

The state legislature responded by raising criminal penalties for damaging utility equipment. But lawmakers did nothing to take proactive measures to prevent similar attacks in the future. A bipartisan bill that would have required Duke to put in place security upgrades at its facilities — potentially cameras, fences, sensors or guards — wasn’t allowed up for a vote at the state legislature, where Duke spends substantial amounts of money on lobbying and campaign contributions. 

“Our objective was appreciating people wanting to help and trying to find good solutions, but making sure that we could find the right solution that met our unique needs as a utility,” Brooks said.

Technologies and Costs

Duke Energy has deployed self-healing grid technology in pilot areas to automatically reroute electricity around outages. The technology prevented millions of hours of power outages for people and businesses statewide in 2025, Duke told WRAL last week.

Burying power lines is another option, but Duke says it’s expensive and can take longer to repair. Burying lines might also be difficult in places with rocky terrain or other difficult soil or topography.

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Do Proactive Measures Make Sense?

Duke energy said mandates could raise costs for customers, and that current technology and emergency response may suffice.

The current measures appeared to be enough for this weekend’s storm. At its height Sunday, 31,000 utility customers across the state lost power, which is a small percentage of the state’s 11 million residents and thousands of businesses.

Duke Energy says it is evaluating more advanced grid resilience technologies. The company is also a financial backer of a public-private push to boost university research, called NC Innovation, whose projects include research from UNC-Charlotte on improving power grid efficiency.

But without legal requirements, large-scale infrastructure investments are left to the utility’s discretion.

Stein said last week, ahead of the storm, that he was confident in Duke’s ability to respond quickly to power outages.

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“They are taking this storm very seriously, and they are bringing in assets from other states that are not as threatened as North Carolina is,” Stein said.



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Syracuse women’s basketball rallies late to force OT, but falls to North Carolina

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Syracuse women’s basketball rallies late to force OT, but falls to North Carolina


The Syracuse women’s basketball team staged a furious late rally to force overtime, but lost to the North Carolina Tar Heels 77-71 Sunday in Chapel Hill, N.C.

The Orange trailed by eight points with less than 3:30 remaining in regulation, but held the Tar Heels scoreless for the rest of the quarter. A jumper and a free throw by Journey Thompson, a layup and then a pair of free throws by Uche Izoje and a free throw by Sophie Burrows tied the game.

The Tar Heels scored the first seven points of overtime, though, five of them by Nyla Harris, to come away with the win.

Izoje led the Orange with 27 points, a career high, and 12 rebounds. It’s her ninth double-double of the season.

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Dominique Darius added 19 points for SU. Sophie Burrows had 10 points and Journey Thompson 10 rebounds.

Harris led North Carolina with 21 points and 10 rebounds.

Syracuse, now 6-3 in the ACC and 16-4 overall, face Georgia Tech on Thursday at the JMA Wirless Dome. Tipoff is set for 6 p.m.

North Carolina improved to 6-3, 17-5.



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