Miami, FL
Notre Dame vs. Miami (OH) score prediction by expert college football model
Notre Dame returns home coming off a strong road victory but looking to avoid disaster against another MAC team in the house that Rockne built, as Miami of Ohio comes to town in college football’s Week 4 action on Saturday.
The last time the Irish played under the eyes of Touchdown Jesus, it ended with Northern Illinois kicking a go-ahead field goal in a historic upset that marked the first time a MAC team defeated an AP top-five ranked team.
Notre Dame promptly lost that lofty position in the poll, but inched back up to No. 17 nationally after demolishing Purdue in a 66-7 result that must have felt cathartic for the team and its fanbase.
Miami (OH) checks in at 0-2, yet to surpass 20 points in a game, ranking 133rd nationally in scoring output with just 11 points on average, and 134th in rushing. But the RedHawks can throw the ball, posting 292 yards per game, good for 29th in FBS.
What do the analytics predict for the matchup?
Let’s check in with the SP+ prediction model to get a preview of how Notre Dame and Miami compare in this Week 4 college football game.
As expected, the simulations strongly favor the Fighting Irish in this home matchup.
SP+ predicts that Notre Dame will defeat Miami by a projected score of 38 to 6 and to win the game by an expected 31.7 points.
The model gives the Irish a strong 98 percent chance of outright victory.
SP+ is a “tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency” that attempts to predict game outcomes by measuring “the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football.”
How good is it this season? So far, the SP+ model is 75-68 against the spread with a 52.4 win percentage.
Notre Dame is a 28 point favorite against Miami, according to the lines at FanDuel Sportsbook, which set the total at 43.5 points for the game.
FanDuel lists the moneyline odds for Notre Dame at -5000 and for Miami at +2000 to win outright.
If you’re using this projection to bet on the game, you should take …
Other analytical models also forecast the Irish will easily win the game.
That includes the College Football Power Index, a computer prediction model that uses data points from both teams to simulate games 20,000 times to pick winners.
Notre Dame comes out the expected winner in 96.9 percent of the computer’s updated simulations.
That leaves the RedHawks as the projected winner in the remaining 3.1 percent of sims.
The model forecasts that Notre Dame will be 31.1 points better than Miami on the same field.
That’s also enough to cover the 28 point spread.
Notre Dame will win 9.7 games this season and sits 11th nationally with a 37.4 percent chance to qualify for the College Football Playoff, according to the FPI metrics.
The models expect Miami to win 5.5 games this season with a 48.6 percent chance to play in a bowl.
When: Sat., Sept. 21
Time: 3:30 p.m. Eastern
TV: NBC network
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The Miami Hurricanes are coming off a nail bitting nineth inning save from closer Ryan Bilka and remain undefeated in midweek compeition after defeating FIU 9-7.
Now the Hurricanes turn their attention to Wake Forest, a program that is known for baseball, and a programthat is rated higher than them on the RPI.
The Hurricanes have sat balanced between the 25-30 since lossing to Duke on the road, while the Demon Deacons currently sit rated No. 24. They nearly beat the No. 11 team in the country, Costal Carolina, as well during their midweek, 2-1.
This is the perfect chance to the Hurricanes to show what they have learned since those losses, now boasting one of the best offenses in the country.
Derek Williams continues to lead the team in hitting and home runs, followed by Daniel Cuvet, and Alex Sosa.
It also helps that the Canes have started to see Jake Ogden take off and get back into a rhythm. Moreover, this is the perfect time for the Canes to show that their starting rotation can battle against the better teams in the ACC.
The Miami Hurricanes need to win this series if they want any chance of potentially hosting a regional this postseason.
The Demon Decons are coming to take the series on the road, while the Canes are fighting to show that these past few weekends haven’t
How to Watch:
Who: Miami and Wake Forest
When:
Friday, April 10 at 7:00 p.m. ET
Saturday, April 11, at 6:00 p.m. ET
Sunday, April 12, at 1:00 p.m. ET
Where: Mark Light Stadium, Coral Gables, Fla.
TV: ACCNX
Last Time Out, Wake Forest: Wake Forest baseball team (23-11, 8-7 ACC) dropped a tightly contested game to No. 11 Coastal Carolina (24-8, 11-1 Sun Belt) by a final score of 2-1 on Tuesday night.
Last Time Out, Miami: The Miami Hurricanes (25-8, 6-6 ACC) survived a late comeback by the FIU Panthers Tuesday night at Mark Light Field, 9-7. Miami reliever TJ Coats (5-1) earned the win, delivering a strong outing with 6.0 innings pitched, allowing two runs (one earned) on two hits with two walks while recording a career-high seven strikeouts.
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Miami, FL
Strong storm topples trees, damages homes in a Miami-Dade neighborhood, with days of cleanup ahead for residents
A fast-moving storm swept through the Palm Springs North neighborhood early Tuesday evening, knocking down trees, damaging homes, and leaving some residents with days of cleanup ahead.
The damage was concentrated in a small area, where powerful wind and heavy rain uprooted large trees and scattered debris across front yards. A massive tree fell onto its side, trapping a small car beneath its branches.
The Gamba family spent hours clearing debris from their property, working late into the night with chainsaws and hand tools.
“I just want to clear as much as possible so that the city can take the rest tomorrow,” said Jose Gamba.
Just around the corner, strong gusts tore shingles from a home, leaving them strewn across the yard. Viewers shared videos showing intense rain and wind pounding the neighborhood as outdoor furniture was sent flying.
“Not even a hurricane took this down, but this did in two seconds,” Gamba said about the tree in his parents’ yard. “We didn’t expect this to happen”.
Florida Power and Light crews were in the area after nightfall, working to restore power and address downed lines caused by the storm.
Despite the damage, neighbors said the overall impact was limited.
“They used to have shade, and now that’s gone,” Gamba said about the downed tree. “That’s probably the worst part”.
No injuries were reported.
Miami, FL
Unlicensed contractor arrested after allegedly scamming Miami Catholic school out of $220,000
A Miami‑Dade County man is behind bars after authorities say he stole hundreds of thousands of dollars from a Catholic school for repairs that were never completed.
Nestor Olivares, 50, is charged with grand theft of more than $100,000, organized fraud and operating without a contractor’s license, according to court records. Investigators allege the theft began in 2024 and involved money paid to repair the roof at St. Kevin’s Catholic School.
Court documents show the school paid Olivares more than $220,000 beginning last year for materials and labor to fix the roof. However, prosecutors say no work was ever done.
During a bond court hearing Monday, Olivares appeared before a judge and spoke through an interpreter.
“He doesn’t have a valid contractor license in the state of Florida or Miami‑Dade County,” Judge Mindy Glazer said during the hearing.
According to investigators, Olivares later tried to negotiate with the school after the work failed to materialize.
Court records state he ultimately promised to issue a full refund by Feb. 26, but the school never received a payment.
After his arrest, Olivares told investigators he was unable to repay the full amount at one time, the documents say.
Olivares remains in the Turner Guilford Knight Correctional Center on a $30,150 bond. As a condition of his release, he will be required to prove any money used to post bond comes from a legitimate source.
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