Notre Dame returns home coming off a strong road victory but looking to avoid disaster against another MAC team in the house that Rockne built, as Miami of Ohio comes to town in college football’s Week 4 action on Saturday.
The last time the Irish played under the eyes of Touchdown Jesus, it ended with Northern Illinois kicking a go-ahead field goal in a historic upset that marked the first time a MAC team defeated an AP top-five ranked team.
Notre Dame promptly lost that lofty position in the poll, but inched back up to No. 17 nationally after demolishing Purdue in a 66-7 result that must have felt cathartic for the team and its fanbase.
Miami (OH) checks in at 0-2, yet to surpass 20 points in a game, ranking 133rd nationally in scoring output with just 11 points on average, and 134th in rushing. But the RedHawks can throw the ball, posting 292 yards per game, good for 29th in FBS.
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What do the analytics predict for the matchup?
Let’s check in with the SP+ prediction model to get a preview of how Notre Dame and Miami compare in this Week 4 college football game.
As expected, the simulations strongly favor the Fighting Irish in this home matchup.
SP+ predicts that Notre Dame will defeat Miami by a projected score of 38 to 6 and to win the game by an expected 31.7 points.
The model gives the Irish a strong 98 percent chance of outright victory.
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SP+ is a “tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency” that attempts to predict game outcomes by measuring “the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football.”
How good is it this season? So far, the SP+ model is 75-68 against the spread with a 52.4 win percentage.
Notre Dame is a 28 point favorite against Miami, according to the lines at FanDuel Sportsbook, which set the total at 43.5 points for the game.
FanDuel lists the moneyline odds for Notre Dame at -5000 and for Miami at +2000 to win outright.
If you’re using this projection to bet on the game, you should take …
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Other analytical models also forecast the Irish will easily win the game.
That includes the College Football Power Index, a computer prediction model that uses data points from both teams to simulate games 20,000 times to pick winners.
Notre Dame comes out the expected winner in 96.9 percent of the computer’s updated simulations.
That leaves the RedHawks as the projected winner in the remaining 3.1 percent of sims.
The model forecasts that Notre Dame will be 31.1 points better than Miami on the same field.
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That’s also enough to cover the 28 point spread.
Notre Dame will win 9.7 games this season and sits 11th nationally with a 37.4 percent chance to qualify for the College Football Playoff, according to the FPI metrics.
The models expect Miami to win 5.5 games this season with a 48.6 percent chance to play in a bowl.
A mother in Miami Gardens has been sentenced to five years of probation after her 2-year-old son accidentally shot himself with a gun he found in her purse.
According to police, the incident happened last summer at an apartment complex in Miami Gardens. Authorities say the toddler grabbed his mother’s firearm from her purse and accidentally pulled the trigger, shooting himself in the leg.
Video captured at the scene showed the child being rushed to the hospital on a stretcher. The boy survived and has since fully recovered.
The child’s mother, 35-year-old Christina Monique Doyle, was arrested and charged with child neglect and culpable negligence for allowing easy access to the weapon. Prosecutors said those charges carried a possible sentence of up to 20 years in prison.
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During a court hearing, the presiding judge, Alberto Milian, emphasized the responsibility that comes with gun ownership.
“I am a very pro-gun person, but along with the right and the privilege of having a gun comes responsibilities,” Milian said.
Doyle ultimately accepted a plea deal where she pleaded no contest, allowing her to avoid jail time. Instead, she was sentenced to five years of probation.
Her attorney, Dustin Tischler, said Doyle has no prior criminal record and described the incident as a mistake.
“She’s 35 years old, never been in trouble whatsoever in her life,” Tischler said. “She’s a very good mother, a very caring mother to several children. This has been a nightmare, and she’s happy to get it behind her.”
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Tischler also said the case should serve as a warning to gun owners about keeping firearms secure around children.
“Even though she had it in her purse and thought it was secure, the child was able to get to it when she was distracted,” he said. “If you have a firearm, it’s important to keep it locked away.”
Tischler said Doyle has completed a parenting program through the Florida Department of Children and Families and how she is allowed to have contact with her children, including her son who is now doing well after recovering from the injury.
NBC6 reached out to DCF about the case but we haven’t heard back yet.
Miami’s own pays tribute to former teacher on SNL Miami’s own Marcello Hernandez brought a piece of home to SNL for his latest performance, giving a tribute to his hometown and a special teacher in that classic Miami accent.
NEW YORK CITY — Miami’s own Marcello Hernandez brought a piece of home to SNL for his latest performance, giving a tribute to his hometown and a special teacher in that classic Miami accent.
During his performance, Hernandez definitely brought the character of “Mr. Fronzi” to life.
The over-the-top teacher with a big heart was a character inspired by his real-life theology teacher at Miami-Dade’s private Belen Jesuit Preparatory School, Angie Fernandez.
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And Hernandez even flew her up to New York City to see the skit live in person.
“When I saw the skit, I was flabbergasted. I laughed from here to eternity. It was so good,” Fernandez said. “I am so honored that he chose to imitate me. That’s the best compliment you can give somebody!”
Fernandez said that while Hernandez drove her crazy in her classroom, he was also always humble, honest and she calls him one of her favorite students.
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Jenise Fernandez
Jenise Fernandez is a six-time Emmy award winning anchor and reporter at Local 10 News. Currently, she anchors the 3 p.m. and 10 p.m. news, Monday through Friday.
