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NBA Finals Game 1: Miami Heat at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

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NBA Finals Game 1: Miami Heat at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions


The Miami Heat and the Denver Nuggets meet for Game 1 of their best-of-7 NBA Finals series Thursday at Ball Arena. Tip is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. Nuggets odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions

The Heat averted a disaster of historic proportions on Monday, routing the Boston Celtics 103-84 in Game 7 at TD Garden as 7.5-point underdogs. Miami had a comfortable 3-0 series lead, but blew chances in closeout games at home in both Games 4 and 6 to fall into an untenable position. However, like the 150 series before it, no team has ever blown a 3-0 series lead.

The Nuggets didn’t have to work nearly as hard in the Western Conference Finals against the Los Angeles Lakers. Denver won 113-111 in Game 4 back on May 22 at Crypto.com Arena in Southern California to complete the series sweep. Denver has won 6 in a row overall, going 4-2 against the spread (ATS) in that run.

Denver won in 4 against the Lakers, in 6 against the Phoenix Suns and in 5 against the Minnesota Timberwolves, going 9-6 ATS in these playoffs. The Under is 4-2 in the last 6 outings. At home, the Nuggets are 8-0 straight up (SU) and 5-3 ATS in the postseason, while splitting the Over-Under 4-4.

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Miami started out in the play-in tournament, splitting a pair of games at home while also going 1-1 ATS. They stunned the No. 1 seed Milwaukee Bucks in 5 games, topped the New York Knicks in 6 games, and then the C’s in 7. On the road, the Heat are 6-4 SU and 7-3 ATS, with the Over going 7-3.

Denver won 112-108 in Miami on Feb. 3 as a 1-point favorite as the Over (217.5) cashed, while the Nuggets won 124-119 as a 4-point favorite on Dec. 30 in the Mile High City, also cashing the Over (224.5).

The good news is that both teams are healthy at this time of the series, listing no meaningful players on the injury report.

Heat at Nuggets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:45 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Heat +290 (bet $100 to win $290) | Nuggets -375 (bet $375 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Heat +8.5 (-105) | Nuggets -8.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Heat at Nuggets key injuries

Heat

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Nuggets

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Heat at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 115, Heat 106

Moneyline

The Nuggets (-375) will cost you over 3 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s just way too much for any kind of standalone wager. Plus, there is concern with rust, as Denver has been off for 9 days since sweeping the Lakers, while the Heat (+290) played the full 7 games to dispatch the Celtics.

PASS.

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Against the spread

NUGGETS -8.5 (-115) is the lean, but go really, really lightly, and expect them to get off to a slower start early on.

Denver has had a full 9 days off, which is a curse, and a blessing. At this time of the season, any R&R is good news to heal the bumps and bruises of the grueling NBA regular season and postseason. However, there could also be some continuity problems early on, as it’s difficult to just flip a switch and get back to competitive mode.

The Heat +8.5 (-105) will not have a problem, because there is no switch. They just played Monday night in Boston, in front of a hostile crowd, so the competitive juices are still flowing and fresh.

I like the HEAT +5.5 (-110) – 1ST HALF LINE, as I think Miami is able to hang around, and perhaps even lead most of the 1st half. However, C Nikola Jokic has been on a mission, and not sure anyone on Miami can slow him down in the 2nd half once he gets cranked back up.

Over/Under

OVER 219.5 (-110) is the lean, but I’d go lightly on all counts, as these teams feel each other out.

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Not only was Denver 2-0 SU/ATS in the regular season series against Miami, but the Over cashed in each outing, too. The Over has connected in 4 straight meetings in the Mile High City, while hitting in 5 straight meetings in the series, too.

While the Under hit in the last 4 games for Miami, the Over is 4-0 in its last 4 when working on 2 or more days of rest. The Over is also 10-3 in the last 13 games on the road. The Over is 10-1 in the last 11 for the Nuggets when facing winning teams, and 6-1 in the last 7 when playing on 3 or more days of rest.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Access more NBA coverage:
HoopsHype | Bulls Wire | Celtics Wire | Nets Wire | Rockets Wire | Sixers Wire | Thunder Wire | Warriors Wire | LeBron Wire | Rookie Wire | List Wire

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Miami, FL

Miami homeowners could see trash collection fee increase

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Miami homeowners could see trash collection fee increase


MIAMI – For the first time in 14 years the City of Miami could be increasing a service that many homeowners have considered effective. 

“I think it’s excellent, they’re always here,” said Sally Howie about the trash service in Miami, where she has lived since 2005. 

In June, Miami commissioners voted 4 to 1 in favor of increasing the cap on garbage fees from $380 to a $60 increase for a total of $440.  

“I think it’s a reasonable request because it’s been 14 years, so it seems reasonable to me,” said Howie. 

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“I voted against it,” said Manolo Reyes, Miami Commissioner for District 4, who opposed the measure, among other things because of people on fixed incomes.

“For those people, those households an increase of 60 dollars means a lot for them,” said Reyes.  

“I can understand if someone has a fixed income and bills increase, they’re not going to like it,” said Howie, who lives in Coconut Grove. 

Damian Pardo, recently elected as Miami Commissioner voted in favor of increasing the cap.   

“Unlike any other municipality, we’re paying a much lower fee,” said the commissioner for District 2.  Homeowners in Unincorporated Miami-Dade pay $547 a year. 

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Pardo says the garbage fee in Miami not only applies to trash collection but also to recycling service and what is known as bulky trash – piled garbage from debris, branches, or when people remodel their houses. 

“They’re getting bulky trash pick-up every single week unlike any other municipality,” said Pardo.

CBS Miami reached out to the City of Miami for a request for an interview, they replied with a statement saying: 

“The level of (trash) service provided exceeds what we currently charge, thus the consideration of increasing the fee to $440 per household.” 

“The difference between the actual cost of service and what is charged to households is being offset by General Fund money.  The possible increase would reduce the reliance on general fund dollars to support the delivery of solid waste residential services.”

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CBS News Miami asked Commissioner Reyes, “How soon Miami residents would actually see an increase on the garbage fee?”

“It’s up to the administration,” he replied. 

Pardo replied differently, “The cap doesn’t mean there’s any increase at all, it just provides flexibility in the future should residents decide that they want an increase as opposed to losing services.”

Both commissioners said there should be another meeting if the city does decide to increase the fee any time soon.

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Miami, FL

Police arrest man accused of vandalizing Miami bagel shop; he’s facing hate crime charge

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Police arrest man accused of vandalizing Miami bagel shop; he’s facing hate crime charge


MIAMI – Police announced the arrest Tuesday of a man who they say vandalized a bagel shop in Miami last month.

According to an arrest affidavit from the Miami Police Department, 28-year-old Kenneth Guerrera is facing one count of criminal mischief with prejudice, a hate crime enhancement.

Josh Nodel, the owner of Holy Bagels & Pizzeria, located at 93 NW First St., told Local 10 News that one of his shops was targeted around 4:45 a.m. on June 14.

Numerous volunteers came to clean up the graffiti that read, “Free Palestine End Genocide.”

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Surveillance video obtained by Local 10 News showed Guerrera spray painting the message on the shop’s front windows, according to police.

An affidavit stated that Guerrera was also seen ripping down an Israeli flag that was hung above the entrance of the restaurant.

Police said he then proceeded to spray-paint the flag on the ground.

An officer in the area said she identified Guerrera through a Miami police wanted flyer and surveillance video.

After being taken into custody, police said Guerrera agreed to speak with detectives without an attorney, but his full confession was redacted in the publicly released report.

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“It’s unbelievable,” Nodel told Local 10 News last month. “It’s an act of violence against the Jewish nation and an act of violence against the law of Florida.”

Nodel reported another incident back in December at Bagel Time Cafe, located at 3915 Alton Road, which had Israeli and American flags vandalized by different suspects since war broke out in the Middle East.

Police arrested another suspect in one of the incidents.

Local 10 News has requested Guerrera’s mugshot after he was not listed as an inmate on Miami-Dade Corrections’ website as of Tuesday evening.

Miami Police Chief Manny Morales released a statement following Guerrera’s arrest which you can read below.

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Anyone with additional information is asked to call Miami-Dade Crime Stoppers at 305-471-8477.

Copyright 2024 by WPLG Local10.com – All rights reserved.



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Miami, FL

Miami Post-Hardcore Band DIME Release Heavy, Cathartic Self-Titled EP: Stream

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Miami Post-Hardcore Band DIME Release Heavy, Cathartic Self-Titled EP: Stream


Do you like really, really big guitar sounds? Guitar sounds so big that they suck up all the oxygen in the room and leave you gasping for breath? Guitar sounds that achieve physical dimensionality, like they’re caverns so large and complex that you get lost there and then make up your mind that you’re just going to live the rest of your life in there? Well, then DIME have you covered. (more…)

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