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Rutgers vs. Maryland prediction: Odds, expert picks, QB matchup, betting trends, and stats

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Rutgers vs. Maryland prediction: Odds, expert picks, QB matchup, betting trends, and stats


Maryland (4-5) opened 3-1 with wins over UConn and @UVA to go with a 27-24 loss to Michigan State where Maryland only had a 10%-win expectancy. Though they lost a 42-28 decision to undefeated Indiana, the Terps actually had the smallest margin of defeat of any team Indiana has played this season, which counts as a moral victory. They got trounced by Northwestern 37-10 before the Terps bounced back to extract a 29-28 win over USC. HC Mike Locksley’s offense is a pass-oriented scheme that ranks Top 20 in both pass rate and completion rate (68.4%). The Maryland linebacker group ranks 7th in havoc rate and fortifies a credible run defense that slots in at 18th in yards per rush and 17th in yards after contact allowed.

The Scarlet Knights (5-4) barnstormed through their early season schedule with notable victories over @Virginia Tech and Washington, as RU opened up with a 4-0 record. However, since then Rutgers dropped one-score decisions against @Nebraska and UCLA in addition to getting crushed by USC and Wisconsin to even their record at 4-4 heading into last week’s game against Minnesota when they secured a 26-19 victory over the Gophers. Offensively RB Kyle Monangai leads a credible run game that ranks 14th in YAC and 40th in EPA/rush. Monangai missed the last game but has already been cleared to play against the Terps. RU is allowing a brutal 50% rushing success rate (13th worst in FBS) while ranking 125th in EPA/rush allowed but is still considered the 33rd defense in FBS according to SP+.

NBC Sports has all the latest info and analysis you need, including how to tune in for kickoff, odds from BetMGM, player news and updates, and of course our predictions and best bets for the game from our staff of experts.

Listen to the B1G Talk podcast with Todd Blackledge and Noah Eagle for the most compelling storylines across all of college football, with the biggest teams on the rise and the latest rankings!

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Game Details and How to watch Rutgers @ Maryland

· Date: Saturday, November 16, 2024
· Time: 6:00 PM EST
· Site: SECU Stadium
· City: College Park, MD
· TV/Streaming: FS1

Want to check out the other games on the College Football schedule this week? We’ve got you covered right here on NBC Sports with all the matchup, venue, game-time and TV/streaming info so you won’t miss any of the action!

Game odds for Rutgers @ Maryland courtesy of BetMGM

The latest odds as of Friday morning:

  • Moneyline: Maryland (-225), Rutgers (+185)
  • Spread: Maryland -5.5
  • Over/Under: 51.5 points

This game opened with Maryland as a 3-point favorite but quickly shot up to a range of -5.5 to 6 in current trading. Rutgers moneyline opened at +150 and has improved to +185. The game total has corrected upwards from 50.5 to a current high-water mark of 52.5.

NBC Sports Bet Best Bet

NBC Sports Betting Analyst Eric Froton (@CFFroton) thinks:
“These two programs are consistently engaging in high scoring affairs, as Maryland ranks 5th nationally with a 7-2 record to the Over and Rutgers is no slouch themselves hitting the Over at 6-3 clip. Accordingly, i’m backing the Over 51.5 points to be scored on these two leaky defenses.”

Listen to the Bet the Edge podcast as hosts Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick provide listeners with sharp actionable insight, market analysis and statistical data to help bettors gain more information before placing their wagers.

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Quarterback matchup for Rutgers @ Maryland

  • Maryland: Billy Edwards Jr. beat out four-star NC State transfer QB MJ Morris for the starting gig and has run with the job, completing a commendable 65.7% of his throws for 2,519 pass yards and a 14-to-8 ratio while recording an 81.2 PFF offensive grade that ranks as the 23rd best mark among Power Conference quarterbacks. Edwards has been getting the ball out of his hands in a brisk 2.32s on average, which is the fourth quickest release time in the country. He is leading a rather conservative Terps passing attack that ranks 118th in 20+ yard pass rate, and 121st in passing explosiveness.
  • Rutgers: HC Greg Schiano moved on from ineffective 2023 starting QB Gavin Wimsatt in favor of former Minnesota signal caller Athan Kaliakmanis, who transferred in this offseason. The change of scenery did a world of good for Kaliakmanis, who has improved his yards per attempt average from 6.2-to-6.8 and lowered his pressure-to-sack rate from 20.5% to 15.0%. However, the biggest quantifiable gain from an advanced statistical perspective is Kaliakmanis boosting his PFF passing grade from 58.2-to-74.1. The change of scenery has been beneficial for Kaliakmanis who will try to beat Maryland and achieve bowl eligibility for the Scarlet Knights.

Betting trends & recent stats

  • Maryland’s offensive line has been strong in pass protection, allowing a 25.3% pressure rate (18th) with a 3.9% sack rate (31st). However, they rank a disappointing 111th with a 10.9% blown run block rate, and 102nd in yards before contact (1.33).
  • Maryland WR Tai Felton is averaging 8.9 receptions per game, which leads the FBS and ranks second in FBS only to San Jose State WR Nick Nash at 9.6 receptions per contest.
  • RU is tackling opponents for a loss on 13.6% of the rush attempts they’ve faced, 57th out of 67 Power Four teams. Washington ranks last with an 8.9% TFL rate.
  • Rutgers ranks 125th nationally with a 53.8% completion rate, and 27th in FBS averaging 7.0 air yards per completion. The Scarlet Knights are consciously sacrificing accuracy in favor of trying to hit explosive pass plays downfield.

BetMGM College Football Insights: National Championship

Line movement (Last Week to Now)

  • Ohio State +350 to +300
  • Texas +550 to +450
  • Ole Miss +3500 to +1000

Highest Ticket%

  • Ohio State 14.0%
  • Texas 11.5%
  • Georgia 10.6%

Highest Handle%

  • Ohio State 17.7%
  • Georgia 16.3%
  • Texas 11.4%

Biggest Liabilities

  • Colorado
  • Ohio State
  • Tennessee

College Football talk is taking over Bet the Edge every Thursday throughout the season. BET THE EDGE is your source for all things sports betting. Get all of Vaughn Dalzell, Eric Froton, and Brad Thomas’ insights Thursdays at 6AM ET right here or wherever you get your favorite podcasts.

Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

  • Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
  • Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
  • Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
  • Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)
  • Eric Froton (@CFFroton)





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Celebrate America 250 at Maryland State Parks with Fun Events Planned All Weekend

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Maryland parks are hosting a variety of special events during the week of July 4 to mark the nation’s 250th birthday celebration, including a tree planting, bike parade, historical reenactments, and kids crafts. With parks open on Independence Day, Marylanders can start a new tradition by hiking, learn more about our nation’s history by visiting  Read the Rest…



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Maryland governor vows special session to redraw congressional maps after election

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Maryland governor vows special session to redraw congressional maps after election


Maryland Gov. Wes Moore said he plans to call a special session in Annapolis to redraw the state’s congressional district maps, reviving a contentious redistricting fight that stalled earlier this year.

“The status in Maryland is we are going to have a special session,” Moore said in an interview on CNN. Asked, “You are going to do it?” Moore replied, “We are going to do it.”

Moore told CNN the goal is for lawmakers to return to Annapolis and produce a new map. “Our House and our Senate will get together. They will come up with a resolution and bring it to my desk,” Moore said. “But the core criteria I’ve laid out is…doing nothing is not an option.”

It would be Moore’s second attempt at redistricting. Earlier this year, an advisory commission appointed by the governor proposed a map that would stretch the mostly Republican 1st Congressional District into largely Democratic Howard and Anne Arundel counties. The change would put Maryland’s only Republican member of Congress into a district with more Democratic voters.

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The proposal drew sharp criticism during a hearing. “Governor Moore and Democrats in Annapolis, you are stealing our voice and our vote,” one speaker said. Moore responded, “It’s an important question of what’s the value of one vote and I think the answer to that is ‘what’s the value of democracy.’” Del. Kathy Szeliga said, “How can you ask us to trust democracy when you are taking it so lightly.”

ALSO READ | Gov. Wes Moore selected as Democratic nominee for Maryland’s next governor: AP

The measure passed in the House but never came to a vote in the Senate. In Annapolis today, Senate Democrats gathered to discuss what to do next.

“I think they’re meeting to figure out what can we do to make sure the judges don’t get involved and overturn what they’re trying to do,” said political analyst John Dedie.

A UMBC poll last year found only a fourth of Maryland voters considered redistricting a priority, with crime, education and health care viewed as more important.

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Szeliga criticized Moore’s push, saying, “It’s unfortunate Wes Moore is doing the bidding of Democrats in Washington and not paying attention to the residents in the great state of Maryland.” Dedie said, “In many ways what he’s pursuing is future aspirations.”

Maryland’s last attempt to redraw congressional lines four years ago ended up in court, where a judge threw out the proposed maps, finding they were the product of “extreme partisan gerrymandering.” Szeliga, who successfully fought that court battle, said she is prepared to challenge another effort. “If they try to illegally change the constitution to make it unconstitutional we will challenge that,” she said.

Dediesaid a special session now appears likely. “The train has left the station. It’s just a matter of when it will arrive in Annapolis for special session,” he said.



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Navy ship USS Marinette arrives in Maryland for Sail250:

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Navy ship USS Marinette arrives in Maryland for Sail250:


One of the most unique ships featured in Sail250 Maryland and Airshow Baltimore can be found docked at the Baltimore Peninsula.

USS Marinette LCS25 is one of the most functional ships in the Navy fleet. At 370 feet long with 80 crew members, the ship has a helicopter landing pad and hangar, two rib boats in the belly of the vessel, and heavy artillery, including a cannon.

The ship has four engines, two of which are like jet engines, meaning it can sprint ahead of other vessels to intercept watercraft. It can also truck side to side and spin 360 degrees with controllable reversing and steering deflector buckets attached to the stern of the jet propulsion system. It can also traverse the littoral zones, water close to shore, and navigate waters as low as 15 feet deep.

“Where we shine is our ability to operate where other ships can’t,” said Cdr. Brian Sims, the ship’s executive officer.  “For a 370-foot ship, one of the smallest in the fleet, it packs a punch. We can go 40 plus knots.”

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The ship is used in counternarcotics missions primarily on the East Coast and in the Caribbean. 

It is based in Jacksonville, Florida, but was built in Marinette, Wisconsin, which is where the ship gets its name. It began operating in 2023 and has yet to deploy. The ship can be out on the water for weeks or even months.

“We go out and find drug trafficking individuals and intercept, and the Coast Guard then takes over and arrests,” Sims said.

The pilot house is where the ship truly shines. An officer and junior officer monitor the radar and navigation, while another sailor sits at the helm and oversees steering the vessel and monitoring the engines.

“This is a very unique design for Navy ships,” Sims added.

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The ship also hosts several heavy artillery pieces, including a cannon on the bow with different types of rounds to combat different threats. It can fire 220 rounds in a minute.   

With its rich Naval history, Baltimore is playing host to some of the Navy’s finest, and the crews are equally as excited to be here in Maryland, the backbone of the Navy, celebrating 250 years of American history.

“Baltimore is a fantastic city, steeped in maritime tradition. Of course, we have Fort McHenry that we sailed past and rendered honors to when we arrived,” Sims said. “Having the ability to be in this role in this position on board this ship to celebrate the nation’s 250th, it’s an absolute honor, and one that, one that gives us all pause, and lets us reflect on where we’ve come as a nation.”



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