2. Kentucky

Kentucky arguably has the best flooring of any group of those “underwhelming” groups. When you may have Oscar Tshiebwe manning the center, a lottery choose within the backcourt and athletes all over the place, even a disappointing yr continues to be going to doubtless finish with a group close to the highest 25. Nonetheless, that’s not the place anybody related to Kentucky males’s basketball units the usual at this blueblood program, and there are some actual issues about this group’s ceiling.

That is nowhere near Kentucky’s most gifted roster below John Calipari; in reality, I’d contend it’s amongst his least gifted teams. That got here with a trade-off: Older, skilled transfers like Sahvir Wheeler, Antonio Reeves, CJ Fredrick and Jacob Toppin as a substitute of NBA-bound one-and-dones who want extra seasoning. However Kentucky has made its fair proportion of “freshman errors” anyway, plus appears to have little lineup cohesion and might’t out-talent top-tier competitors. The Wildcats’ offense simply doesn’t really feel threatening due to moderately restricted weapons from three round Tshiebwe and a scarcity of guards who can create their very own shot. Level guard Wheeler has his limitations, however there are some trade-offs when he’s not within the recreation with out one other true level guard within the rotation.

The Wildcats are nonetheless on the fringes of SEC competition and I’d be shocked in the event that they fall out of the highest 25 typically, however this group lacks the nationwide title ceiling I assumed it had within the preseason.

3. Creighton

A lot of Creighton’s current shedding skid could possibly be attributed to poor luck. The Bluejays set themselves up with a brutal schedule in late November and early December, that includes journey even an NBA group would wish to keep away from and several other top-tier matchups. They’ve additionally endured the lack of star huge Ryan Kalkbrenner, an important piece on each ends) resulting from sickness for 3 video games and a few capturing struggles from deep. Creighton will not be almost as unhealthy as its document signifies, however even with a wholesome Kalkbrenner wasn’t fairly residing as much as expectations.

With Kalkbrenner again within the center for the Bluejays, this group goes as Ryan Nembhard takes it. On the Maui Invitational, Nembhard was terrific, averaging greater than 20 factors and 4 assists and doing so effectively because the Jays bought wins over Texas Tech and Arkansas earlier than pushing Arizona. Within the subsequent 5 video games, he averaged simply over eight factors per contest and shot solely 32% from the sphere. Topping UConn can be tough, however Creighton could be pretty much as good as anybody else within the Massive East if Nembhard performs properly.

4. Indiana

Indiana bought two spectacular wins in November, successful at Xavier earlier than beating North Carolina, however has faltered in December with three losses. Individually, defeats at Rutgers and Kansas and on a impartial courtroom in opposition to Arizona aren’t trigger for alarm, however IU’s lack of competitiveness in these three video games did increase alarms concerning the Hoosiers’ capability to compete with high-level groups come convention play.

Nonetheless, I’d doubtless take into account Indiana one of many prime groups within the Massive Ten if not for the damage to level guard Xavier Johnson, who is anticipated to overlook important time after foot surgical procedure. The door is open for him to return late this season, however Johnson being out for a big portion of Massive Ten play would additional restrict the ceiling of this group. Indiana is at its greatest when Johnson is attacking in ball screens and placing strain on the protection, opening up alternatives for Trayce Jackson-Davis for lobs and simple finishes. Freshman Jalen Hood-Schifino isn’t a full-time level guard, and bench guards like Tamar Bates and Trey Galloway don’t possess the identical explosiveness off the bounce. In video games in opposition to top-100 opponents, Indiana is greater than 30 factors per 100 possessions worse with Johnson off the ground this season, per Hoop-Explorer.

That is nonetheless an NCAA event group, nevertheless it’s laborious to think about the Hoosiers climbing a lot greater than midpack within the Massive Ten until Johnson’s return timeline is quicker than anticipated.

5. Villanova

Villanova began 2–5, however has since received its final 5 video games. A part of that turnaround is schedule-related, although wins over Oklahoma and St. John’s ought to age comparatively properly for Kyle Neptune’s squad.

The primary three weeks of the season have been a comedy of errors for the Wildcats. Accidents have been an element, with star freshman Cam Whitmore sidelined till early December resulting from an offseason hand damage and greatest participant Justin Moore nonetheless out after final season’s Achilles damage. Nonetheless, the adjustment from Jay Wright to Neptune appeared extra stark than feared, with Villanova struggling to supply straightforward pictures offensively due to level guard woes and weird perimeter capturing points.

The offense has clearly began coming alongside, although the ‘Cats stay extremely depending on the three-point stroke. One situation Whitmore hasn’t solved has been Villanova’s issues within the paint, the place the Wildcats proceed to battle, notably in opposition to high-major opponents. Nonetheless, this group a minimum of has the look of a bubble group now after some actual concern final month. The ceiling feels restricted until Moore comes again at full energy to present this offense a jolt, particularly given the outlet Villanova dug itself résumé-wise in November with unhealthy losses to Temple and Portland.