Kentucky
A Kentucky Derby Ticket is on the Line Saturday at Colonial Downs
Daily Racing Form handicappers David Aragona and Mike Beer disagree on the top pick in Saturday’s $500,000 Kentucky Derby qualifier.
Fifty Kentucky Derby qualifying points go to the winner of Saturday’s Virginia Derby – enough to guarantee a spot in the starting gate at Churchill Downs. Daily Racing Form’s David Aragona and Mike Beer have both taken a hard look at the 10-horse field, and they are not in agreement on who comes out on top.
The expected favorite is No. 1 Buetane, trained by Bob Baffert and ridden by Flavien Prat. But neither handicapper is fully sold.
KENTUCKY DERBY 2026: Top contenders, point standings, prep schedule, news, and more
Why the favorite is beatable?
Buetane draws the rail and will attract money based on his connections alone, as Aragona noted. But his last race – a third-place finish in the Southwest Stakes – left both handicappers wanting more. Beer said the figures “fairly stand out against this field” but stopped well short of a strong endorsement. Aragona raised questions about how far the horse ultimately wants to go.
Both handicappers include Buetane in their picks. Neither puts him on top.
The horse Aragona wants most
Aragona’s top selection is No. 6 Lockstocknpharoah, trained by Thomas Drury Jr. and ridden by Eddie Morales. He has won both prior starts at Turfway Park over the synthetic surface – Saturday is his first start on dirt. Aragona called his second start – where he made the lead and pulled away in the stretch – genuinely impressive. Beer said he “absolutely smashed that field” last time. Both handicappers pointed to his pedigree – by American Pharoah – as a reason to expect he handles the surface, and Aragona added that workouts at Churchill Downs suggested the horse was comfortable on dirt in the mornings.
The horse Beer wants most
Beer’s top selection is No. 5 High Camp, trained by Will Walden and ridden by John Velazquez. He has two career starts, both at Gulfstream Park on dirt. Beer highlighted his maiden win going seven furlongs – he waited while others made premature moves on the far turn, then tipped out at the top of the stretch and finished strongly. Beer called that finish “probably the best part of the race” and said the pedigree supports the added distance. Aragona agreed, noting High Camp handled rail pressure in his debut and responded once he got clear. He is the one horse who appears on both sets of picks.
The Handicappers’ Verdict
David Aragona’s picks:
Lockstocknpharoah
Incredibolt
High Camp
Buetane
Mike Beer’s picks:
High Camp
Lockstocknpharoah
Buetane
Ocelli
Kentucky
So, where does Kentucky go from here?
It was a disasterclass for Mark Pope and the Kentucky basketball program on Tuesday. Tyran Stokes’ commitment to Kansas was a big part of that, but it was more so everything surrounding his polarizing decision to turn down the Wildcats as a Nike athlete in favor of the adidas-affiliated Jayhawks.
Why was Pope liking tweets about the No. 1 recruit in the country uniting a divided fanbase when all of the intel leading up to the announcement suggested KU was the likely choice? Why did Mo Williams respond to Stokes on Twitter about going public with his decision on ESPN’s Inside the NBA — and likely committing an NCAA violation in the process? Why did UK think it was a good PR move to announce Justin McBride’s signing 30 minutes before the biggest recruiting decision for the program in over a decade, completely taking the shine away from his addition as a massive impact piece off the bench for the Wildcats? Did you even remember McBride committed to Kentucky through the chaos of Stokes’ move to Lawrence? You should, because he’s worth the attention, despite the poorly calculated rollout on UK’s part.
Stokes commitment to Kansas is by far Pope’s worst recruiting miss to date, considering his investment in the top-ranked prospect and who he could have landed had he pivoted when the writing was on the wall. 16 of the top 30 prospects visited with the Wildcats and 22 total — not including the brother of a redshirt freshman and the son of an assistant coach — received offers. Zero committed. Do you have a real chance with at least one or two if you read the room that, if you have to offer the kid’s high school coach and mentor, while armed with a historic bag of cash and Nike’s help, he might just not be into you? Odds are good.
That’s water under the bridge now, though, and there is no crying on the yacht. Figure it out or the next guy will. That’s the situation Pope is in, laying a solid foundation with the likes of Zoom Diallo, Alex Wilkins, Kam Williams, Braydon Hawthorne, Ousmane N’Diaye, McBride and Malachi Moreno, but clearly missing a game-changing star talent. The roster as currently constructed is a potential NCAA Tournament team, but that’s not the standard in Lexington. It’s not understanding the assignment. That will take a needle-mover, but who?
Iowa State’s Milan Momcilovic and Santa Clara’s Allen Graves are the obvious answers. Land either of those two and everyone shuts up about Stokes. Easy move for Pope, assuming he can pull it off. The issue? They’re both leaning toward keeping their names in the NBA Draft, just like Baylor’s Tounde Yessoufou — there were multiple reports Tuesday that the latter has already decided to officially turn pro. Money talks, though, and the Wildcats have plenty of it. Yank that rabbit out of the hat and close things out with another shooter or two, along with complementary depth. That’s exactly where UK goes from here.
What if Momcilovic, Graves and Yessoufou are off the table, though, ready for life in the pros (or just not wanting to come)? A reclassification option or two could emerge over the course of the AAU season this spring and summer. They always do. Top-10 recruit Ryan Hampton just received an offer this week and has been publicly rumored as a candidate while nine total players currently hold scholarships from Pope and the Wildcats. It’s not the sexiest group of talent for now, but a lot can change over the next several months. Maybe a surefire option emerges there?
If not that path, be prepared to hear the international names thrown around in a hurry. Pope is already rumored to be flying across the world to meet with such a talent as we speak — and there is probably more where that comes from, considering there are still four spots to fill. Again, maybe not clear head-turners based on names and/or stats, but quite the range of talent to choose from if your evaluation is top-notch.
Until then, Pope and this staff have to take one on the chin and acknowledge it was a real misread. There are other avenues, but life is much more difficult today and tomorrow than it was yesterday with the Wildcats forced to recover quickly. The party will be back on with Momcilovic, Graves, Yessoufou or the equivalent, but until then, those in that building have some questions to answer and no time to waste.
Learning how to read the room wouldn’t be a bad place to start, either.
Kentucky
Louisville officials stress safety precautions for Derby festivities
Kentucky Derby Week 2026’s updated schedule
Churchill Downs announced significant changes for the 152nd Kentucky Derby Week, including the return of Sunday racing and new Opening Day schedule.
Louisville residents and tourists are encouraged to take safety precautions while celebrating the 152nd Kentucky Derby May 2.
During an April 28 news conference, Mayor Craig Greenberg, joined by multiple city officials and Churchill Downs leadership, discussed safety, security, traffic planning and parking ahead of the event. First responding agencies, including Louisville Metro Police and the Louisville Fire Department, will be at the track.
“We have partners from local, state and federal agencies that come together to make the greatest two minutes in sports possible,” Churchill Downs Senior Director of Safety, Security and First Aid Dustin Clem said. “We want everyone to have a safe time while they’re at the track.”
Ahead of the event, Clem encouraged people to look at the Kentucky Derby website for information on parking and routes and download the Churchill Downs app to receive updates throughout the day.
LMPD Assistant Chief Bryan Edelen said officers will be “high visible” as they work across the city to ensure safety and keep traffic moving. Though the department wants residents to have fun, Edelen also emphasized the necessity of following the law and warned against street racing.
“While Churchill Downs is certainly the centerpiece, Derby is in every single neighborhood across this community. So are we,” he said. “If you choose to be reckless, the consequences will be real.”
Following reports of fighting at Kroger’s Fest-a-Ville, Greenberg said the city has “zero-tolerance” for teenagers looking to disrupt the event, and law enforcement is “prepared.”
“All of the Kentucky Derby Festival events [and] all of the events at Churchill Downs are intended to be safe, fun, family-friendly events, and we will not tolerate this type of behavior,” he said. “You will continue to see this, whether it’s a Kentucky Derby Festival event or otherwise. Our entire city deserves to be able to celebrate to enjoy these wonderful events safely.”
LFD will also have first responders throughout the city as well as during Thurby, the Kentucky Oaks and the Kentucky Derby. Firefighters are tasked with responding to fire alarms and fires, assisting with crowd control and medical emergencies, and identifying hazardous materials.
Fire Chief Brian O’Neill said that the number of responders at the track represents the third largest fire department in Kentucky on those days.
“If you think about 150,000 plus people in one place, if there is an event that happens, we’re not going to be able to get resources in, so we pre-stage everything,” he said.
Louisville Metro Emergency Services Deputy Director Kelly Jones encouraged residents to sign up for LENSAlert to receive emergency notifications. Visitors from out of town can text “Derby” to 67283 to receive notifications during Derby week.
Jones also suggested residents write down where they park their car, understand the prohibited items at the track and bring an extra phone charger.
Though Jones said crime at the track is “very minimal,” he encouraged people to take precautions, including keeping bags zipped to prevent theft. He also said people should “look for things that look out of place” to help prevent human trafficking.
“A young girl that could be inappropriately dressed for her age, someone who looks like they’re being led around by an older person, [or] someone who can’t speak for themselves in a conversation,” Jones said. “If it doesn’t look right to you, there’s a good chance that maybe it’s just not right, so find a first responder.”
Kentucky
Motorcyclist killed in early morning crash in Southern Kentucky
SCOTTSVILLE, Ky. (WZTV) — A 26-year-old man died early Sunday after a motorcycle crash in Allen County.
Investigators say Remington James Matlock, of Scottsville, was riding a 2017 Harley-Davidson north on Macedonia Road just after 1 a.m. when he drove off the road and hit a fence post.
Matlock was pronounced dead at the scene.
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The crash remains under investigation.
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