Florida
Political Connections Florida February 13 2026
The budgets are out in Tallahassee, but that doesn’t mean the negotiations are over, and a key inflation measure falls to a nearly five-year low.
State Senate and House budgets reveal possible friction points
The budgets are out, but that doesn’t mean the negotiations are over.
In Tallahassee, the state Senate rolled out its proposed budget, one day after the house surprised everyone by releasing its proposed budget.
We’ve picked out some highlights and some of the possible friction points between the chambers.
The Senate is proposing a $115.1 billion budget, while the House spending plan comes in at $113.6 billion.
Here is one point where there could be a fight over dollars: the governor’s emergency fund.
The Florida House wants to prevent emergency dollars from being spent on immigration. That would be a big change. By declaring illegal immigration a state emergency, Gov. Ron DeSantis has spent more than $600 million from the emergency fund on immigration enforcement, including building Alligator Alcatraz.
The state has not been reimbursed so far by the federal government.
The House now wants that emergency fund limited to $100 million and to only be used for natural disasters.
Another DeSantis priority that the House’s budget does not fund is the Florida State Guard.
DeSantis revived the state guard and was requesting $63 million to fund it for the next year. The state guard has faced allegations of mismanagement, and the House currently has no money in budget to keep it going.
Another potential friction point is DOGE. Florida Chief Financial Officer Blaise Ingoglia has been traveling the state and auditing local governments as part of the administration’s push to eliminate property taxes.
The House does not include funding for codifying DeSantis’ DOGE agenda. Instead, the House has proposed creating an accountability office that would report directly to the legislature and not to the governor.
As of right now, the House does not have money for improving the campus of Hillsborough College, the potential new home of the Tampa Bay Rays. DeSantis had said that while state dollars would not directly fund a new stadium, there would be money to improve HC’s campus. This could still be negotiated with the Senate, as Republican state Sen. Danny Burgess is requesting $50 million be appropriated for HC improvements.
We’ve told you recently how the state is looking at a $120 million shortfall in the Florida AIDS drug assistance program. That shortfall could lead to thousands of people being unable to afford life-saving medication.
The House is trying to alleviate the shortfall by providing $68 million for it in the budget.
Finally, it looks like the House is on board to transfer the University of South Florida Sarasota Manatee campus to New College. The House budget proposal directs nearly $37 million to New College while setting up a potential transfer of funds from USF.
— Holly Gregory, Spectrum News
DHS appears headed into shutdown. What will be affected?
The nation is stumbling toward another lapse in government funding this weekend as most lawmakers have left Washington with no agreement to keep the Department of Homeland Security fully running.
The likely partial shutdown that will take place after midnight Friday will mark the third during President Donald Trump’s second term in office. But unlike the record-long shutdown this past fall and the short lapse in funding for a handful of departments just weeks ago, this one will only affect the Department of Homeland Security.
DHS houses several agencies that will see the impacts of a funding lapse and directly affect Americans.
Here is what we know about how the department and the public could feel the partial shutdown.
What a DHS shutdown means for agencies and Americans
DHS is often associated with the border and immigration but, despite being the crux of the potential shutdown, Immigration and Customs Enforcement, or ICE, is expected to be the least affected by a lapse in funding because of the influx of money Republicans and Trump allocated to it in their “one big, beautiful bill” signed into law this past summer.
At a hearing on Capitol Hill this week on the impacts of a potential lapse in funding, Rep. Mark Amodei, R-Nev., noted ICE and Customs and Border Protection “will be largely unaffected by a shutdown.”
The Coast Guard, on the other hand, also falls under the department and is expected to be affected. Appearing at the House Appropriations Subcommittee hearing this week, Vice Adm. Thomas Allan, the Coast Guard’s vice commandant, warned a shutdown at the department could disrupt pay for 56,000 active duty, reserve and civilian personnel and particularly affect morale.
He said that a lapse in funding requires the Coast Guard to suspend all missions except for those essential for national security and protection of life and property.
“Although missions like law enforcement, national defense, and emergency response continue, a funding lapse has severe and lasting challenges for the Coast Guard’s workforce, operational readiness, and long-term capabilities,” he said. He also noted certain training for those such as pilots and boat crews would also stop, adding, “A shutdown also erodes mission readiness.”
Meanwhile, the Transportation Security Administration, or TSA, is often one of the most front-facing aspects of a government shutdown for many Americans and this one has the potential for the same. Past shutdowns have often led to major snags at airports across the nation — including flight cancellations and delays and longer wait times — as TSA employees, who must work without pay, call out sick or take other jobs.
At the House hearing this week, TSA acting Administrator Ha Nguyen McNeill noted that the rate of TSA workers who left their jobs from October to November last year amid the fall’s shutdown was a 25% increase from the same period the previous year. McNeill noted the “strain” shutdowns pose on the agency’s workers and said it can be hard for them to justify staying in a job where they could not be paid for weeks.
The Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency, which works to protect infrastructure around the country from cyberattacks and other physical risks, would also be affected. Acting CISA Director Madhu Gottumukkala said that under a shutdown at the department, work would be “strictly limited to those essential to protecting life and property” and noted many employees would work without pay.
“A shutdown forces many of our frontline security experts and threat hunters to work without pay — even as nation-states and criminal organizations intensify efforts to exploit critical systems that Americans rely on — placing an unprecedented strain on our national defenses,” Gottumukkala’s opening statement for the House hearing this week read.
The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), which is already facing major changes in the Trump administration, would also be touched by a lapse in funding. Gregg Phillips, associate administrator of FEMA’s Office of Response and Recovery, said “lifesaving missions for supporting disaster response efforts” would continue. But he warned in his written opening statement for the hearing that a delay in funding “could undermine our readiness for major incidents, including terrorism or large-scale disasters, by disrupting critical preparedness and response activities” and “erode public trust in the federal government’s ability to respond to emergencies.”
He also said it would affect FEMA’s ability to reimburse states for disaster relief costs and impact coordination with local partners.
Where things stand
Lawmakers in the House and Senate have largely left the nation’s capital as of Friday, and both chambers are scheduled to be on break next week, with the short-term funding patch they passed to keep the Department of Homeland Security funded through Feb. 13 set to expire at midnight.
Congress passed the last of its funding bills for the 2026 fiscal year last month, except for DHS, as Democrats push for changes to ICE following the shooting of two people in Minnesota by federal agents amid the administration’s immigration crackdown.
Democrats, Republicans and the White House have all said they are open to negotiating an agreement. But proposals sent back and forth between Congressional Democrats and the White House have yet to result in a deal.
Trump said Thursday that Democrats are proposing things that would be “very hard” for him to approve and told reporters on Friday that we “have to protect our law enforcement” when asked about where things stand.
Meanwhile, House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries of New York said Friday that “Donald Trump and Republicans have decided that they have zero interest in getting ICE under control.”
— Maggie Gannon, Spectrum News
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Florida
Audubon Florida leader has built reputation for working across party lines | The Invading Sea
By Issabella Gutierrez
As a child growing up in rural Florida, Julie Wraithmell once stood at the foot of a tall pine tree and watched a woman climb 50 feet into the air to occupy an abandoned eagle’s nest. The woman, Doris Mager, stayed there for a week to raise money for raptor rehabilitation. For young Julie, the “nest-in” became a blueprint for a life in conservation.
In Florida’s often unpredictable environmental policy landscape, Wraithmell has built a reputation for working across party lines.
Today, as the vice president and executive director of Audubon Florida, the state office of the National Audubon Society, she leads the organization’s statewide science and advocacy efforts from her office in Tallahassee. She spends the legislative session in committee hearings and meetings with lawmakers, agency officials and conservation leaders.
Over two decades, she has evolved from a field biologist and self-described “bird nerd” into an influential environmental leader in Florida, navigating a political landscape that can be as unpredictable as any treetop.
A native Floridian, Wraithmell earned a bachelor’s degree in biology from Duke University and a master’s degree in science from Florida State University.
She began her career in 1997 as a biologist at the Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission, where she worked for eight years and helped launch the Great Florida Birding Trail, a 2,000-mile network connecting more than 500 wildlife-viewing sites.
Wraithmell now oversees 80 Audubon Florida staff members and 45 chapters statewide. Beyond lobbying, she directs habitat restoration strategies and coordinates policy teams focused on land conservation and water quality.
Renée Wilson, a senior communications coordinator at Audubon Florida, described Wraithmell as a “getter-donner” who remains “cool as a cucumber” even when tension runs high in the Capitol.
“She’s not a micromanager,” Wilson said. “She gives you the direction you need, and she’s there if you need a course correction, but she really empowers the staff to follow their passions.”

Her leadership was tested in 2024 and 2025, when proposals surfaced to add golf courses to state parks and to swap protected land at the Guana River Wildlife Management Area for development. Audubon Florida helped generate tens of thousands of public comments and coordinated bipartisan opposition that led to the withdrawal of both proposals.
Elizabeth Alvi, senior director of policy for Audubon Florida, said Wraithmell’s leadership in these sensitive moments is defined by a refusal to be pulled off course by short-term pressure. She added that Wraithmell is widely respected by lawmakers across the aisle.
“People know that when she speaks, it is grounded in science and aligned with a clear organizational priority, not opportunistic positioning,” Alvi said. “That discipline earns respect in the Capitol because it’s consistent and thoughtful.”
Wraithmell often quotes a mentor who told her that advocacy requires “weaving back and forth across the political aisle like sloppy drunks.”
“You might find yourself fighting a legislator over a road project one year, but you have to be ready to partner with that same person on a land conservation bill the next,” Wraithmell said. Holding onto professional grudges, she said, is a luxury the environment cannot afford.
That pragmatism shapes her push for stable funding for Florida Forever, the state’s land acquisition program that has preserved more than 1 million acres. While funding has fluctuated in recent years, she said unstable funding could impede critical habitat purchases as development pressures increase.

In 2010, Wraithmell led Audubon’s response to the Deepwater Horizon oil spill, advocating for restoration settlement funds to be directed toward coastal bird habitat recovery. Her efforts earned her the Charles H. Callison Award in 2015, the highest honor from the National Audubon Society.
Wraithmell does not shy away from the topic of climate change.
“The ocean is coming for us,” Wraithmell said. “Whether you call it climate change, sea-level rise or flooding, we are seeing the impacts on our shorebirds and our coastal communities right now.”
Under her leadership, Audubon Florida has expanded coastal resilience efforts, including protecting nesting grounds threatened by rising sea levels and promoting nature-based solutions such as wetland restoration and living shorelines. Alvi said many people underestimate how difficult it is to align science, policy timing and organizational reputation simultaneously.
“The most significant win will likely be institutional strength: a conservation movement in Florida that is more strategic, more science-driven and more disciplined in its public engagement,” Alvi said.
When asked to summarize Florida’s environmental story in a single place, Wraithmell pointed to the Everglades. She described it as an ecosystem shaped by historical “screw-ups,” from ditching and draining to the exploitation of birds.
“It’s a site of people coming together and saying, ‘Whoop, we screwed up. Now what are we going to do about it?’” Wraithmell said. “With billions of dollars in investment, we are seeing results.”
Despite the rapid pace of development across Florida, Wraithmell remains optimistic about the future, pointing to volunteers, students, and local advocates who make up the Audubon Florida network.
“Watching kind of the creative magic that they get up to together,” Wraithmell said. “That is what gives me hope for the next decade.”
The little girl watching from the ground is gone. Now, Julie Wraithmell is the one in the treetop, asking young Floridians to climb with her and protect wild Florida.
Issabella M. Gutierrez is a junior majoring in multimedia journalism at Florida Atlantic University. Banner photo: A great egret flies over the Florida Everglades (iStock image).
Sign up for The Invading Sea newsletter by visiting here. To support The Invading Sea, click here to make a donation. If you are interested in submitting an opinion piece to The Invading Sea, email Editor Nathan Crabbe.
Florida
Florida Democrats flipped two legislative seats in 2026 special election, their best performance in years
Florida Democrats had their best election night in years Tuesday, flipping two legislative seats.
Analysts and politicians point to the combination of strong candidates, low turnout special elections, rising gas prices compounding existing affordability issues and the ongoing conflict in Iran, which helped offset the registration and financial advantages of Republicans.
Also, historically, an unpopular president heading towards the midterm elections is always tricky for the party in power.
These factors may justify some optimism for the minority party in the state heading into the November election cycle, which could see rematches from Tuesday’s contests.
University of Central Florida political science professor Aubrey Jewett said at the campaign level Florida Democrats did a good job getting solid candidates who didn’t make mistakes and stuck to the message of affordability.
Also, there is the timing, as historically the sitting president’s party more often loses seats in midterm elections at the congressional and state legislative levels. Jewett added that unpopular presidents lose even more seats, noting that since the 2024 presidential election, Democrats have flipped more than two dozen seats in Republican or battleground states.
“President Trump’s unpopularity cast a long, dark shadow over these Republican candidates in these races,” Jewett said. “And so, even if you had decent candidates, it was just too much of an uphill battle because of President Trump’s unpopularity.”
One of those Democrats who won did so in a district that includes Trump’s Mar-a-lago estate
Democrat Emily Gregory of Jupiter led by 2.38 percentage points with 33,429 ballots cast in the House District 87 contest along the east coast of Palm Beach County. The district includes the home of President Donald Trump.
Gregory is a Treasure Coast native, a military spouse and mother of three with a master’s degree in public health from Columbia University who operates a small fitness business.
Tampa Democrat Brian Nathan, a U.S. Navy veteran and organizer with the International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers, was up 0.51 percentage points in the state Senate District 14 contest in Hillsborough County, where 80,016 votes were cast.
The results remain unofficial.
Republican Hilary Holley easily won the third legislative special election, House District 51 in Polk County, by more than 8 percentage points.
In the Tampa State Senate race, Jewett said there was evidence that Republicans seemed to be doing well in early voting, noting GOP candidate Josie Tomkow, a former House member, had good name recognition and funding.
“But it appears that the Democrats that turn out were strongly unified and (no party affiliation voters) must have gone strongly Democratic as well — and it seems likely that at least some Republicans voted Democratic,” Jewett said.
House Speaker-designate Sam Garrison, R-Fleming Island, who led GOP efforts for the House special elections, issued a statement Tuesday night that Republican Jon Maples ran an “extremely strong campaign” for the Palm Beach County seat, but faced “low Republican turnout due to awkward special election timing,” and also questioned “despicable, dark-money” attacks against the candidate.
Garrison added, “We will learn from today’s results and see you in November.”
Florida Republican and Democratic party chairs react to the election’s results
Republican Party of Florida Chairman Evan Power said the party is “proud” of its special election candidates and will continue to “engage, mobilize and lead.”
“Republicans are leading on the issues that matter the most to Floridians — public safety, economic growth, meaningful property tax reform, expanded school choice, and strong environmental stewardship,” Power said in a statement. “Our record isn’t just strong, it is unmatched. With a Republican voter registration advantage of nearly 1.5 million, we are well-positioned and fully energized as we head toward November.”
Florida Democratic Party Chairwoman Nikki Fried hopes the result makes Republican lawmakers pause as they approach Gov. Ron DeSantis’ call for a special session to redraw congressional district lines the week of April 20.
“Voters are tired of one-party rule and attempts to steal their votes,” Fried said in a conference call Wednesday with reporters. “They are tired of the skyrocketing costs and the chaos in the news this year.”
Fried also said the state party, which still faces a need to cut into the Republican supermajorities in the Legislature in the fall election, has been on the phones with national Democratic groups that have disengaged from Florida politics the past couple of cycles.
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