Austin, TX
Austin’s housing market is in trouble
After having pulled through a dramatic home price correction over the past couple of years, the former pandemic boomtown of Austin, Texas, is now navigating even more troubled waters, as buyers scared off by brewing economic uncertainty are failing to show up for the city’s growing housing supply.
“Our market here was showing signs of price stabilization after unprecedented declines, as buyers re-entered the market after the 3 percent interest rate ‘hangover’ finally wore off at the beginning of the year,” Scott Turner, founder of Austin-based Riverside Homes, told Newsweek.
“But the economic uncertainty caused by tariffs and the risk of recession definitely affected their mentality, making them more cautious and leaving housing inventory levels at nearly an all-time high.”
Brandon Bell/Getty Images
Why It Matters
Between February 2020 and May 2022, the median sale price of a home in Austin jumped by more than 60 percent, according to Redfin data, reaching a peak of $659,500. The increase was mainly a result of the massive influx of out-of-state newcomers sparked by the rise of remote work, which allowed many Americans to relocate to more affordable, more livable cities and turn their back on expensive metropolises.
But the Austin housing market, which had become one of the most overheated in the country, experienced a significant slowdown after the pandemic, with return-to-office orders affecting the number of people relocating to the Texas capital. With a few notable exceptions, home prices have been consistently falling in the city, year-over-year, since late 2022.
The City’s Boom And Bust
“The story of the Austin housing market is basically the same as the national story, just a bit more dramatic,” Austin-based Joel Berner, senior economist at Realtor.com, told Newsweek.
“Following the peak of the pandemic, there was a major run-up in home prices amid record-low mortgage rates as buyers rushed to snatch up homes.”
Eldon Rude, a longtime housing market analyst based in Austin, told Newsweek: “Texas was one of several Sun Belt states that experienced significant in-migration between 2020 and 2022, which resulted in an imbalance in demand over supply for homes.
“Such strong demand, coupled with extremely low mortgage interest rates, resulted in significant increases in home prices in all of the major metropolitan areas in the state.”
The median listing price in the city jumped from $369,745 in April 2020 to $625,000 in April 2022, an uptick of 69 percent in just two years. At the same time, inventory plummeted, though it quickly recovered to pre-pandemic levels by 2023.
“Since then, inventory has continued to grow year-over-year, and March 2025 had more active for-sale listings in Austin than any March in our data history,” which dates to March 2017, Berner said.
But buyers are not exactly jumping on the chance of buying a home, even with more options available on the market.
“Just because home prices are coming down and there are more listings, doesn’t mean that prices are affordable. So there’s still a supply problem in cities like Austin,” Turner said. “I think only 25 percent of Austinites can afford to purchase a home at the median home price.”
Rude said: “With interest rates now higher than they were prior to COVID, coupled with a slower economy and less in-migration into the state, there are now fewer buyers in the market, and what buyers there are face affordability challenges given elevated home prices as well as higher mortgage payments.”
Berner said: “The supply growth has softened prices, and the median listing price in March 2025 was $510,000, down 7.2 percent from March 2024. It has been a slow year, with 12 consecutive months of prices falling year-over-year. The correction has come for Austin sooner and more significantly than the national housing market.”
According to Turner, home prices are now stabilizing after “an unprecedented drop.”
Despite a gloomy outlook for the city’s housing market’s short-term future, Turner said Austin’s economy remains robust.
“Our real estate market is returning to a ‘new normal’ in terms of supply and demand,” he said.
That is—as long as the Trump administration’s tariffs do not massively disrupt the city’s market even further.
“Austin’s economy outside of real estate is fairly diversified and still strong, but neither Austin nor Texas are immune to the impacts of a recession or tariffs, in the case of home building,” he said.
“It will take time for our market to work through this inventory, but despite Austin’s growth, much of this inventory remains unattainable for most Austinites, particularly with rates where they are, making matters worse.”
The Ripple Effect Of Trump’s Tariffs
Turner said that existing homes currently for sale on the Austin market are not going to be impacted much by the tariffs, but these are still influencing buyer behavior, making them “more cautious.”
For new home construction, on the other hand, “the impact of tariffs cannot be overstated,” Turner said. “Significant cost increases, particularly in Texas, where we are more reliant on imported building supplies, combined with falling prices would be devastating, not just to Austin’s market, but nationwide. If it gets worse, homebuilding could be the first major industry hit by ‘stagflation,’”
It is not only tariffs that are causing concerns among homebuilders in the U.S. and Austin—but uncertainty over whether the president would stick to these tariffs or change his mind.
“As homebuilders, we can’t easily adjust our business to such sudden changes,” Turner said. “We are getting notices from suppliers every week regarding price increases.”
Berner said that the direct effect of tariffs on the Austin housing market has not yet been felt, “but as an area with strong new construction activity, the tariffs on Canadian lumber especially will work to drive up the cost of newly built homes in the Austin metro.”
In recent years, the economist explained, builders in Austin have excelled at delivering affordable new inventory to the city’s market, and the median price of a new home in Austin is currently lower than the price of existing homes. That is due primarily to where the new inventory is being built, Berner specified, in outlying areas of the metropolitan area.
“This will be jeopardized by tariffs, as builders will be forced to pass on additional costs to new home buyers,” Berner said. “What we will see even sooner is the indirect effect of the tariffs on consumer confidence, dampening demand for home purchases and leading to another slow year of home sales in Austin.
“Unless mortgage rates drop significantly, we anticipate that depressed homebuyer sentiment will lead to continued price depreciation and low volume of home sales in Austin.”
Austin, TX
AUS plans for 18,000 departing passengers day after Trump order pays TSA employees
AUSTIN, Texas — The Austin airport expects over 18,000 departing passengers on Saturday, this coming the morning after Trump signed an executive order to pay TSA employees after Congress failed to agree on DHS funding.
The airport recommends travelers arrive 2.5 hours early for domestic flights and three hours early for international departures.
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AUS noted that many MotoGP fans will be departing from the airport this weekend, the motorcycle racing event at Circuit of the Americas happening this weekend and ending on Sunday.
The DHS shutdown has burdened airports nationwide with hours-long TSA lines. Austin’s lines were especially long during SXSW, stretching out the terminal and down the road.
Austin, TX
Austin Police Investigating Two Friday Morning Traffic Fatalities
The Austin Police Department is investigating two fatal Friday morning crashes that represent the city’s 17th and 18th traffic fatalities of the year.
APD put out details about the two deaths in separate press releases on Friday. The first bulletin reveals that at 3:03 a.m. on March 27, officers responded to a single motor vehicle collision in the 2600 block of W. Slaughter Ln.
According to the release, the collision involved a motorcycle leaving the roadway. The motorcycle rider, 27-year-old Evan Sedall, was pronounced dead on the scene.
The incident is being investigated as the city’s 17th fatal crash of the year. On this date in 2025, the city had seen 20 fatal crashes resulting in 24 deaths.
According to the second press release, at 3:58 p.m., officers responded to a collision involving a motor vehicle and a pedestrian in the southbound lanes of the 13300 block of N. U.S. Highway 183.
An unidentified pedestrian was pronounced dead on the scene. The driver of the vehicle remained at the scene and cooperated with the investigation.
This incident is being investigated as Austin’s 18th fatal crash of the year, resulting in 18 fatalities
The statements in these press releases are from the initial assessments of the fatal crashes, and the investigations are still pending. Fatality information could change.
Anyone with information about either case should contact APD’s Vehicular Homicide Unit at 512-974-8111. Residents can also submit anonymous tips through the Capital Area Crime Stoppers Program by visiting its website or calling 512-472-8477.
Austin, TX
Austin’s Star Is Still Shining Bright: Venture Funding To City’s Startups Hits All-Time High
At the height of the pandemic and the global shift to remote work, tech founders and investors alike flocked to Austin, Texas, drawn to a more business-friendly environment, relatively lower housing costs, and the city’s hip reputation.
Venture firms that set up shop in the Texas capital city included Bedrock Capital, Breyer Capital, and 8VC 1, among others. Elon Musk famously moved Tesla’s headquarters to Austin in 2021, while also purchasing a house and establishing a residence there.
But as more employees returned to in-office work, Austin slowly seemed to fall out of favor with the tech community, some of whom said it had been overhyped as a startup hub.
There were reports of tech workers who had moved to the city during the pandemic and claimed to regret it, saying they were going back to places like the Bay Area. Musk relocated Tesla’s engineering headquarters back to California in 2023.
Funding tops pandemic peak
Undeterred by the “tourists,” the startup and venture community in Austin kept plugging away. And those efforts are reflected in a surge in funding to startups headquartered there last year, with 2025 posting an all-time high for Austin venture investment, Crunchbase data shows.
Investment into Austin-based startups spiked 64.8% to $7.19 billion in 2025 as more investors poured money into companies based in the region, according to Crunchbase data. That’s compared with the $4.37 billion raised by Austin-area startups in 2024 and tops even the $6.1 billion raised in 2021, at the height of the venture funding frenzy.
Notably, deal counts actually decreased from 312 in 2024 to 272 year over year, signaling an increase in later-stage deals. Indeed, the data corroborates that with $4 billion of the total raised in 2025 classified as late-stage rounds.
Last year’s totals were also more than double — 130% higher — than the $3.1 billion raised in 2023. That money was raised across 403 deals, signaling much smaller round sizes at the time and a more mature market.
A tech scene decades in the making
Morgan Flager, managing partner of Silverton Partners, doesn’t believe that the Austin funding performance in 2025 was anomalous.
Rather, he calls it “the payoff from decades of compounding.”
“Talent density in venture categories such as software, fintech, health tech, defense and robotics has reached a critical mass, driven by waves of Bay Area relocations, both full HQ moves and satellite offices, that brought technical, product and operational talent into the market,” Flager said.
That talent eventually left to build new companies, he said, and the cycle repeated.
“On the capital side, the stack has matured across all stages, from pre-seed through growth, with local firms that have now cycled through multiple funds and understand the market deeply,” Flager said. “Layer in a business-friendly regulatory environment, a relatively lower cost of living, as well as a lower effective tax rate, and Austin becomes an attractive place to start and scale a company.”
Former Austin Mayor Steve Adler saw so much potential in the city’s startup scene that he began a career in venture investing after his tenure ended in early 2023. (He now works for New York-based Commonweal Ventures).
Part of the city’s success as a startup hub stems from its reputation as a haven for mavericks and risk-takers, Adler has said.
“Most cities in the world, you try something, you fail; it’s hard to have access to the capital the second time,” he told Zillow co-founder Spencer Rascoff in a podcast interview in 2022. “In Austin, the civic folk heroes are the people that tried something and it didn’t quite work out and they worked on it until it did.”
Pat Matthews, founder of Active Capital, a solo GP venture firm based in nearby San Antonio, said that it feels like Texas and the Austin metro area specifically are becoming more attractive to manufacturing- and engineering-heavy businesses.
“Some of that may be thanks to Tesla, and some of it may simply reflect the physical advantages of the state,” he told Crunchbase News. “Either way, this [surge in financing] feels less like hype returning and more like capital concentrating around a narrower set of serious, technically differentiated companies.”
Deal sizes grow
That diversity among funded startups is reflected in last year’s investment totals for Austin, which were boosted by several large, late-stage deals across a broad range of industries.
The largest was a $1 billion Series C round for energy provider Base Power in October. New York-based Addition led that financing, which valued the 2-year-old company at $4 billion.
Looking back, February in particular was a busy month for venture funding. That month alone saw the second-, third- and fourth-largest rounds in Austin for the year. They included:
- A February Series C round in which autonomous surface vessels maker Saronic raised $600 million at a $4 billion valuation. Elad Gil led the round for the defense tech startup.
- Also in February, NinjaOne, which provides endpoint management, security and monitoring, raised $500 million in Series C extensions at a $5 billion valuation — more than doubling its value from just 12 months prior. The funding came in separate tranches led by Iconiq Growth and Google’s CapitalG, with participation from other investors.
- Robotics company Apptronik in February raised $415 million in Series A financing led by B Capital and accelerator Capital Factory. (A $520 million extension to that Series A was raised in February 2026, taking the total round to over $935 million.)
The findings correspond with Flager’s observations.
“A good chunk of the capital raised in Austin was driven by several large deals. Similar to what we saw across the U.S. in 2025, venture funding in Austin was more concentrated than it has been in the past,” he told Crunchbase News. “Roughly 38% of the capital deployed went to the top five venture financings in Austin. I believe the top 10 deals nationally accounted for more than 40% of the capital raised last year. We’ll see if this trend continues into 2026 and beyond. The start of the year suggests it will.”
Krishna Srinivasan, founding partner of Live Oak Ventures, agrees, noting that from a dollars perspective, the surge in financings was driven by a handful of outsized capital-intensive deals in newer categories such as defense and deep tech.
“These companies require a combination of technology, land for manufacturing facilities, and talent for manufacturing tasks. Austin has unique skillsets for that,” he said. “It has a density of three things: talent in deep tech with The University of Texas, and many others moving to Texas in light of favorable business conditions with expertise in these industries; expansive land around Central Texas that is inexpensive, especially compared to California; and lower cost manufacturing-related labor especially given the surge in manufacturing jobs such as at Tesla in recent times.”
Burgeoning industries
Once upon a time, Austin was better known as home to software and CPG companies. And while those types of companies certainly still exist, a number of other industries are growing increasingly robust, as the local investors have pointed out.
As with many top tech markets, Flager said Austin has long been strong for application and infrastructure software, which is currently being challenged by AI. In his view, that talent has migrated to building “quality” vertical agentic software and AI-native businesses.
“We are seeing these companies grow quickly and build scale, while using less capital — which is exciting,” he added. “The domain experts who built and scaled application software companies here over the last two decades are spinning out to build the next generation of native AI businesses.”
The market overall is also broadening in interesting ways. Defense and autonomy have emerged as breakout categories, with Austin becoming one of the stronger markets in the country for dual-use and autonomous systems companies, noted Flager.
“The combination of software and hardware skills now in Texas, along with a business-friendly regulatory environment, has allowed Austin to take a leadership position in these important and developing markets,” he said. “Energy tech is also a natural fit given Texas’ grid scale and the surging power demands of AI infrastructure.”
Finally, robotics and advanced manufacturing are also gaining momentum, driven by deep engineering talent and the ability to scale manufacturing near Austin cost-effectively, allowing engineers, executives and other factory employees to coexist and collaborate in close proximity.
Srinivasan noted that his firm is seeing strong activity in vertical AI companies, or companies that serve vertical markets with AI that is tuned on specialized proprietary vertical data, often targeting the services and labor expenditures by their customers.
“These companies deliver ‘Services as Software’ with close to software gross margins and pricing models that are based more on usage and outcomes as opposed to the traditional seat-based models,” he said.
Srinivasan also expects the city to continue to see large funding deals in defense and deep tech, given the combination of local strengths and robust global demand for such products.
Continued momentum
Investors and companies continue to be drawn to Austin. In late December, San Francisco-based venture firm Craft Ventures signed a lease in the city. One of the firm’s founders, David Sacks, also announced that he had personally moved to Austin. The firm’s other founder, Bill Lee, had lived and worked in the city since 2022.
In late March of this year, Musk announced plans to build two semiconductor factories totaling 100 million square feet in Austin to supply advanced chips for SpaceX and Tesla. The venture, known as Terafab, aims to manufacture 1 trillion watts of computing power per year, he said. Media outlets valued the initiative at nearly $25 billion.
Also this week, Barcelona-based AI health tech startup Biorce announced it will open an office and hire in Austin.
CEO Pedro Coelho told Crunchbase News that with the company’s New York office already established, the next step was not just expansion, “but choosing the right place to build.”
“And we chose Austin for one reason above all: talent,” he said. “As an AI health tech company, our success depends on attracting exceptional people across engineering, data and life sciences. Austin has rapidly become one of the most competitive talent markets. The city is one of the fastest-growing in the United States. This brings together deep tech expertise, entrepreneurial energy and a growing concentration of healthcare innovation. Ideal for our goal of building an R&D hub. “
Coelho also points out that Biorce has witnessed a “trend” of people moving from the Bay Area to Austin, noting that “the quality of life has gained notoriety.”
“But for us, this isn’t about following a trend,” he added. “It’s about building where the best people are — and where they want to be.”
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