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Austin, TX

Austin-area housing outlook positive; job growth, slower home prices pluses, expert says

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Austin-area housing outlook positive; job growth, slower home prices pluses, expert says


Longtime Central Texas housing market analyst Eldon Rude recently gave his 21st annual forecast at an event sponsored by the Home Builders Association of Greater Austin. Rude is principal of 360° Real Estate Analytics, an Austin-based real estate consulting firm.

“This year is going to be better than last year, for many reasons,” Rude said.

Rude said that, among its peer cities, Austin had the biggest decline in its ratio of median family income to median home price last year, as home prices declined amid rising mortgage interest rates.

(According to Fidelity, for most individuals and families, a home’s value, generally speaking, should be no more than three to five times their total annual household income.)

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Austin saw a decline from the high end of that range —from a multiplier where the median home price was five times that of the median family income in 2022 — down to a multiplier last year of 3.9 (that is, the median home price last year was $481,200, while the median family income was $122,300).

Some slowdown in home prices could be a plus in helping Austin continue to attract people and businesses.

“In the span of a year, we got more attractive, and I think that’s a good thing,” Rude said.

In another positive, Rude said, his homebuilder clients report that sales have started off well in the first six weeks of the year.

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“All industry eyes are on the direction of interest rates,” Rude said.

And while some other metros are losing population and jobs, Rude said, he and other analysts expect Texas and the Austin area to outperform many places around the country.

“There is reason for all of us to feel good about where we are,” Rude said.

He said the Austin region gained 32,800 jobs from December 2022 to December 2023, a 2.5% job growth rate. The local jobless rate was 3% in December.

“So many talented people and companies have decided over time this is a place they want to live and grow their businesses,” Rude said. “We are so lucky we are in this industry in Austin, Texas.”

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In advance of his presentation, attended by nearly 700 industry professionals Thursday, Rude shared these takeaways of his 2024 forecast with the Statesman:

  • “Looking at the market for previously owned homes, I see available inventory remaining tight this year as many existing home owners remain reluctant to sell their homes if they have an existing mortgage with an interest rate well below what they can get with a new loan.”
  • “New homebuilders are starting the year with enough inventory to give prospective buyers options as they look for a new home. Also, many builders are offering interest rate buy-downs to purchasers to help them qualify for a mortgage.”
  • “As we move deeper into 2024, I expect the number of available new homes will drop as builders work to reduce their inventory to levels more consistent with pre-COVID norms for the industry.”
  • “With fewer new homes in inventory expected later this year, homebuyers will see more competition for available homes, with builders likely offering fewer price concessions than buyers have seen over the last year or so.”
  • The biggest challenge I see emerging in the new home market in the coming years is the dwindling supply of lots and land available to build homes. The most significant issues are related to the challenges in securing adequate water supplies to build enough homes to accommodate the region’s future needs. Builders, developers and investors continue to look further out for land.”



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Austin, TX

Austin Police Department updates procedures after controversial deportation

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Austin Police Department updates procedures after controversial deportation


AUSTIN, Texas — An update to the Austin Police Department’s (APD) procedures outlines that officers are not required to contact U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) when a person is found to have an ICE administrative warrant if they have no other arrestable charge.  

The update follows a controversial deportation from January, when a woman’s disturbance call to APD led to her detainment, alongside her 5-year-old child, who is a U.S. citizen.  

The incident led to questions from the community regarding the way APD is supposed to interact with ICE.  

In a March 4 memo, APD Police Chief Lisa Davis said that the directives provided by ICE administrative warrants could be confusing in their wording.

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According to Davis, officers have not historically regularly encountered administrative warrants while using the National Crime Information Center database, which is used to conduct identity checks. However, in 2025, federal agencies began entering a large volume of administrative warrants into the system.

According to the memo, administrative warrants are formatted in a way that looks similar to criminal warrants in the system.

The APD General Orders have been updated to clearly define the difference between criminal warrants and ICE administrative warrants, as well as specific instructions for how ICE administrative warrants should be handled moving forward.

“APD recognizes the sensitivity of this issue, not only within our city but across the nation. These policies were updated to provide clarity to our officers, ensure compliance with state law, and maintain officer discretion guided by supervisory oversight and operational consideration,” Davis said in the memo.

The updated procedures instruct officers to contact their supervisor when a person is found to have only an ICE administrative warrant, but no other arrestable criminal charge. From there, the officer or their supervisor may contact ICE, but is not required to.

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“Austin Police and City of Austin leadership share a paramount goal for Austin to be a safe city for everyone who lives, works, or visits here,” Davis said in the memo. “We particularly want to ensure that anyone who witnesses or is the victim of a crime feels secure in contacting the police for help.”

According to the memo, the entire APD staff will be required to complete new training regarding these updates.  

“In concert with the policy updates, APD is launching a public webpage to help people understand their rights and provide links to resources available from the City of Austin and community organizations, such as Know Your Rights training,” Davis said in the memo. “The webpage will also include information on the option of using APD Victim Services as an alternative to calling 9-1-1, when appropriate, and links to all general orders and policies related to immigration.”



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Austin, TX

Texas Plans Second Execution of the Year

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Texas Plans Second Execution of the Year


Cedric Ricks spoke in his own defense at his 2013 murder trial, something most defendants accused of a terrible crime do not do. Ricks confessed that he had killed his girlfriend, Roxann Sanchez, and her 8-year-old son. He admitted he was aggressive and had trouble controlling his anger, stating that he was “sorry about everything.” […]



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Austin, TX

Will the rest of Austin allergies seasons be as bad as cedar this year?

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Will the rest of Austin allergies seasons be as bad as cedar this year?


Austin had a particularly itchy and drippy cedar fever season to start the year. Many winter days, from late December into February, had high or very high ashe juniper (aka cedar) pollen counts. 

Central Texas has a year-round allergy season with mold popping up at any time. For the more traditional spring and fall allergy seasons, forecasters at AccuWeather are predicting some of the allergens across the country will be worse this year than average. 

Texas, though, is a different story.

For grass allergies, which happen now through September, AccuWeather estimates Austin will have an average season. However, just west of the Interstate 35 corridor in the Hill Country to almost El Paso, that season is expected to be worse than normal. 

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“Texas may experience above-average grass pollen for a few weeks,” AccuWeather’s allergy report said, “though the season could be shorter-lived compared to northern areas.” 

It all depends on the weather

How much rain we get in the next six months and the perennial Texas heat will all affect the growing season for grasses and weeds, as well as the amount of pollen trees produce. The Farmers’ Almanac and the Old Farmers Almanac are both predicting a wetter and warmer spring.

Rain helps plants grow, which can increase pollen production over time. However, rainfall during allergy season can also bring temporary relief by washing pollen out of the air. That’s what we’re expecting this weekend, with our first meaningful rain chance in nearly three weeks. Tree and weed pollen levels might briefly drop, but mold could spike because it thrives in damp, humid weather. 

If spring continues with excessive heat like we saw in February, it could limit the growth of some plants and trees. Extreme heat can reduce how much they grow, and how much pollen they produce. On the other hand, if we get a healthy balance of rain and only slightly above-normal temperatures — not extreme heat — pollen counts could climb. That’s especially true as we head into April, typically our windiest month of the year, which helps spread pollen more easily.

How can you treat allergies in Austin?

If you are feeling the effects of allergies, here are some things you can do to lessen them: 

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  • Start taking allergy medication at least two weeks before your allergen’s season is supposed to start. Keep taking your allergy medication throughout your allergen’s season, even on low-pollen days.
  • Vary your allergy medication. You can take a nasal spray, an eye drop and an oral antihistamine at the same time to treat the different symptoms. If one kind of allergy medication isn’t working, consult your doctor about whether you should add a second one or switch out the medication. 
  • Take a shower before going to bed.
  • Take off outside clothes or shoes when you get into the house.
  • Do a daily nasal wash such as a neti pot or saline spray.
  • Consider seeing an allergist to get drops or shots to lessen your reaction to the allergen. 

Consider these household tips to improve your chances of keeping allergens away:

  • Change the filters in your house regularly during cedar fever season.
  • Vacuum and sweep regularly. 
  • Change your sheets, especially your pillow regularly. 
  • Keep doors and windows closed.
  • Clean out the vents in your home.
  • Have your home tested for indoor allergens such as mold.
  • Wash and brush the animals in your house to lessen the amount of allergens in the air. 
  • Wear a mask outside or inside while you are trying to lessen the pollen or mold indoors.



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