Atlanta, GA
Notebook: Opportunity in Atlanta's rotation, a sleeper in Anaheim and a better way to play fantasy baseball
Please indulge me while I turn into an old man right before your eyes and complain to you without being prompted.
I think there are better ways to play fantasy baseball that we haven’t tapped into yet. Those ideas can be pushed aside until October or November — we’ll need a few logs for the fire then anyway.
Most of my friends and family don’t play fantasy baseball, but curiosity occasionally leads them to question some of the things about the hobby. The most frequently asked question:
“Why do you have pickups on the weekend, doesn’t everyone else have things to do?”
The best answer I can give in 2024, as I approach 20 years of writing and talking about fantasy sports for a living, is that it’s just always been done this way, and that reason is even less satisfying to say than it is to hear.
I assume that many other people who play this game have something they enjoy doing, or at least some obligations to their friends and loved ones to be present during the weekend. Heck, I’ve even heard speeches from NFBC Hall of Fame inductees, thanking their families for the time they had to spend working on free-agent bidding instead of spending those hours together.
My old boss from the RotoWire years, Peter Schoenke, was the first person I saw make this plea a decade ago. If he hasn’t been able to generate movement on this front, maybe this is just shouting into the void.
“It’s time for Sunday night pickups to go away!”
The alternative is simple. Run weekly pickups on Thursday nights, which works out great since Thursday night is not a weekend night, and like Sunday night, it’s not a particularly busy night for games. Plus, all 30 teams are scheduled to play each week on Fridays, offering a clean weekly lineup deadline day outside of the first two weeks of the season when Friday can be left open in the MLB schedule as a built-in makeup date for postponements.
Thursday is for pickups, and the weekend is just the weekend, in all of the best ways.
Imagine thinking about how much you want to spend trying to add Colton Cowser in a 12-team league before the weekend, instead of on Sunday afternoon while you’re driving back from a birthday party, a soccer tournament, a dance recital, or a trampoline park.
I’ll end my simple plea on this note. I realize getting your league(s) to change can be very difficult. This is merely tweaking the schedule, rather than updating scoring categories, expanding or shrinking rosters, or re-writing the constitution in your dynasty league, and when you look back at the changes that have been made to your league over time, you often wonder why your league ever chose to do it the old way.
Rates & Barrels Recaps!
Listen to Rates & Barrels wherever you enjoy podcasts — including Spotify, Apple Podcasts, YouTube, the ad-free option within The Athletic app. Also, be sure to join our Discord!
Here’s a quick look at the topics we discussed on the show this week.
Monday
The new week began with a recap of a bad weekend in baseball on the injury front with Spencer Strider (UCL sprain), Shane Bieber (Tommy John surgery), Luis Robert Jr. (hip flexor strain), and Trevor Story (dislocated shoulder) facing lengthy absences.
- As the Braves try to manage the absence of Strider, Bryce Elder is on regular rest the same day as Allan Winans, who was optioned to Triple-A after getting the turn in Strider’s place. Despite getting hit a bit in spring training, Elder had a 12:0 K:BB and showed improved numbers in Eno’s Stuff+ model. The longer-term eyes remain on AJ Smith-Shawver and Hurston Waldrep, but Elder was an All-Star last season before a second-half fade and might be a nice “one-week early” stash with a two-start week approaching during the week of April 22.
- Injuries have piled up quickly on the White Sox’s position players. The loss of Robert, Eloy Jiménez, and Yoán Moncada have helped drop the team’s run scored projection from BP’s PECOTA to 658 this season (29th in the league). Those absences will almost certainly have a negative impact on the run production of the remaining rosterable bats — most notably, Andrew Vaughn — at least until Bryan Ramos and Colson Montgomery enter the picture later this season.
- As a longer-term trend of rising pitching injuries continues, should we consider reducing the number of pitchers in active lineups, adding IL spots, or making other modifications to roster rules in future seasons?
Tuesday
After focusing on the “who” from the weekend injuries, The 3-0 Show Reunion Tour focused on the variety of reasons “why” baseball is struggling to keep pitchers healthy. Spoiler: there is plenty of blame to go around.
- Beyond pitching injuries, we discussed the Pirates’ fast start and examined why things might be a bit different this time around after a 20-9 start through the end of April resulted in a 76-86 record in 2023. Paul Skenes is working in shorter outings thus far at Triple-A Indianapolis, where he’s turned in six scoreless frames with an 11:1 K:BB in his first two starts.
- How aggressively will the Marlins look to the future with their top two pitchers down following Tommy John surgery? Jazz Chisholm Jr. would be a very interesting fit for a lot of contending teams, but he won’t reach free agency until the end of the 2026 season. Jesús Luzardo is also three seasons away from free agency, but the league-wide need for pitching will drive plenty of interest. How many currently healthy players on the Marlins roster will be on their next playoff team?
Thursday
Jackson Holliday’s highly-anticipated debut with the Orioles took place Wednesday, leading us into our first Project Prospect of 2024, before looking at a few potential waiver wire pickups, and answering a handful of mailbag questions.
- After Thursday’s episode was recorded, the criminal complaint against Ippei Mizuhara was posted to Twitter by Meghann Cuniff. It’s a doozy, and offers answers to many of the questions that surfaced when this story first broke during the Seoul Series in Korea.
- Holliday debuted with the Orioles on Wednesday, leading us to wonder how his projections from The BAT X stack up to other middle infielders for the rest of 2024. With a 99 wRC+ built around a .257/.330/.378 ROS line (eight homers, 10 steals), Holliday’s numbers don’t jump off the page at first glance, but as we have discussed on the show over the years, prospect projections are often underwhelming. A quick spin with the FanGraphs Auction Calculator spits out fringe Top 40 middle infielder value for the rest of the season, but the “Would You Rather?” redraft toss-ups belong somewhere in the range of Jeremy Peña (fringe Top 20 MI) based on the possibility that Holliday exceeds expectations over the course of his rookie season.
- We also discussed the early struggles of Ceddanne Rafaela, who agreed to an eight-year extension with the Red Sox earlier this week. The extension reduces the chances of a lengthy demotion to Triple-A even if his early struggles persist, and Rafaela’s defense at a major position of need (center field) will afford him a lot of opportunities to reduce the chase and swing-and-miss that has been a part of his profile since debuting with Boston late last season.
- José Soriano is rostered in just 2% of NFBC Main Event leagues. He’s getting a shot in the Angels’ rotation while Chase Silseth (elbow inflammation) is on the IL. Soriano had Tommy John surgery in February of 2020 and again in June of 2021, so his workload will likely be managed carefully if he’s able to stake his claim for a permanent spot as a starter.
Friday
Join the Live Hive at 1p ET/10a PT on our YouTube channel!
- This week, we’ll discuss making early adjustments, look back at one of the most ridiculous homers Trevor May allowed and offer up a game plan for pitching to Mookie Betts.
(Top photo of Bryce elder: Jonathan Dyer-USA TODAY Sports)
Atlanta, GA
Braves News: Short term free agent options, rumors, more
We are nearing the opening of the International Free Agency signing period, on January 15th. The Braves are reportedly set to sign one of the top prospects in the class, but the biggest story of the signing period is that Roki Sasaki will be able to sign with a team formally. Reportedly he has not made a decision yet, which will pose problems for teams hoping to sign him, as they will need to hold open space in their bonus pool for him. If the Braves are involved, look for them to delay finalizing deals with the free agents they are expected to sign until Sasaki informs them they are out of the running or makes a final decision. While there hasn’t been any reporting to the point, there are some reasons to believe that Atlanta could be desirable for Sasaki. Sasaki’s agent has indicated some interest in having a friendlier and less invasive media market, a team set up for short and long term success, and having a team with a good pitching development reputation, all of which fit Atlanta. Furthermore, Atlanta’s extensive history of handing out extensions to their young players must be appealing to a player in Sasaki’s financial situation, as his short term income is dramatically limited by the international free agency process, and Atlanta has been polled among the most desirable teams to play for among MLB players. I will be interested to see if Atlanta is involved in the Sasaki sweepstakes.
Braves News
We are really at the bottom of the barrel here, with no moves of note and not to the point of Spring Training news either.
MLB News
Players like Anthony Santander and Jack Flaherty are reportedly at the point of considering more short term, high AAV deals, which could be of interest to an Atlanta front office that has been fond of that type of deal.
Garrett Crochet has talked with the Red Sox about signing an extension, after the star lefty was traded to Boston from Sox to Sox earlier this offseason.
International Amateur Free Agent Darell Morel has flipped to sign with the Pirates, after initially agreeing on a deal with the Dodgers, as the Dodgers are holding open space in hopes of signing Roki Sasaki and Morel gets nearly double the bonus he was set to receive.
Atlanta, GA
Georgia elects first representative born after 2000
Rep. Bryce Berry, 23, won his race for the 56th district in a landslide. That makes Berry, born in 2001, Georgia’s first representative to be born after the year 2000.
Atlanta, GA
NBA postpones Houston Rockets v Atlanta Hawks game for winter storm
The game between the Houston Rockets and Atlanta Hawks scheduled for Saturday has been postponed because of a winter storm.
The NBA said the decision was made “to prioritize the safety of the players, fans and staff due to the severe weather and hazardous icy conditions in the Atlanta area”.
The league said a date for a rescheduled game will be announced at a later time. The Rockets’ team flight arrived in Atlanta before the postponement was announced.
A winter storm dumped snow and ice on the Atlanta area Friday and roads were expected to refreeze Saturday night.
Power outage numbers around Atlanta crept up Friday night as falling trees on power lines became a widespread issue. More than 110,000 customers were without electricity, mostly in the Atlanta area.
On Friday, four passengers were injured after a Delta Air Lines jet bound for Minneapolis aborted its takeoff. Delta spokesperson Morgan Durrant said the plane experienced an engine problem.
While the issue happened during the snowstorm that caused widespread cancellations and delays in Atlanta – the world’s busiest airport – officials couldn’t say if the problem was related to the weather.
The 201 passengers, two pilots and five flight attendants aboard evacuated the Boeing 757-300 using inflatable slides and were bused back to a concourse. One of the injured passengers was taken to a hospital, while three were treated at the airport for minor injuries.
-
Politics1 week ago
New Orleans attacker had 'remote detonator' for explosives in French Quarter, Biden says
-
Politics1 week ago
Carter's judicial picks reshaped the federal bench across the country
-
Politics1 week ago
Who Are the Recipients of the Presidential Medal of Freedom?
-
Health7 days ago
Ozempic ‘microdosing’ is the new weight-loss trend: Should you try it?
-
World1 week ago
South Korea extends Boeing 737-800 inspections as Jeju Air wreckage lifted
-
Technology3 days ago
Meta is highlighting a splintering global approach to online speech
-
World1 week ago
Weather warnings as freezing temperatures hit United Kingdom
-
News1 week ago
Seeking to heal the country, Jimmy Carter pardoned men who evaded the Vietnam War draft