Connect with us

Arkansas

Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State Odds, Picks | NCAAF Betting Preview (Saturday, Sept. 23)

Published

on

Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State Odds, Picks | NCAAF Betting Preview (Saturday, Sept. 23)


Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State Odds

Saturday, Sept. 23

7 p.m. ET

ESPN+

Southern Miss Odds
Spread Total Moneyline

-7

Advertisement

-110

48.5

-110o / -110u

-275

Arkansas State Odds
Spread Total Moneyline

+7

Advertisement

-110

48.5

-110o / -110u

+220

Southern Miss and Arkansas State have both struggled to begin the season. However, they’ve both also faced some tough opponents, so it’s difficult to tell how good these teams actually are.

Advertisement

The one thing that does seem certain to me, however, is that both of these teams could use improvement on the offensive side of the ball. With the style of play we may see, this game will likely not be an enjoyable viewing experience.

With that being said, here’s my preview and my best bet to take advantage of for Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State.


Check out our NCAAF Betting Hub for more college football previews, predictions, news and analysis.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles

This is now the third weekend in a row in which I have written about Southern Miss, so I feel like I have the team pegged pretty well at this point.

Southern Miss is probably better than what we’ve seen to this point based on its schedule. The Golden Eagles were not able to compete with Florida State, of course, and held Tulane to 21 points, but they were able to muster only three of their own against a solid Green Wave defense.

I believe that this week, we will start to get an indication of who this Golden Eagles team is. Currently, this team ranks 126th in Offensive Success Rate. They have thrown the ball at the 30th-highest rate in the country, but they haven’t been effective either rushing or passing.

Advertisement

Quarterback Billy Wiles has shown improvement over what USM had last year, but that didn’t take much. He has thrown for 592 yards in three games with a -0.06 EPA per dropback.

Running back Frank Gore Jr. was injured in Saturday’s loss, but according to head coach Will Hall, “he’s looking good.”

Defensively, this team has been more formidable. It ranks 50th in Defensive Success Rate, coming in at 46th against the run and 63rd against the pass.

Allowing explosives and generating Havoc have been issues. Southern Miss ranks 121st in Havoc Rate and 132nd in Explosiveness. The Golden Eagles will need to rein in these big plays if they wish to have their overall productivity match their down-to-down numbers.


Arkansas State Red Wolves

Arkansas State was probably the worst team in FBS through the first two weeks of the season. In two games against Oklahoma and Memphis, the Red Wolves were outscored 110-3. It looked like this team had already given up on Butch Jones and mailed it in for the season.

Advertisement

However, in Week 3, there were potential signs of life. Against FCS opponent Stony Brook, the Red Wolves put up 6.81 yards per play and won 31-7.

Arkansas State is pretty awful.  However, it did get back on track with a win against Stony Brook, so maybe the team hasn’t quit yet.

This is a bad program — even for the FCS level — but the win does create some potential momentum for Jones’ squad to get back on track.

This season, Arkansas State ranks 129th in Success Rate on offense. The Red Wolves’ rushing offense is a bit better, ranking 104th compared to 128th for the passing offense.

The one bright spot has been a ranking of 19th in Rushing Explosiveness. This is a weakness for the Southern Miss defense and may be the main hope the Red Wolves have of putting points on the board.

Advertisement

Defensively, things haven’t been much better. Arkansas State ranks 120th in Success Rate Allowed and 122nd in Finishing Drives. The Red Wovles are also 93rd in Rushing Success Rate Allowed and 127th in Passing Success Rate Allowed.

The must-have app for college football bettors

The best NCAAF betting scoreboard

Advertisement

Free picks from proven pros

Live win probabilities for your bets


Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State

Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Southern Miss and Arkansas State match up statistically:

Advertisement
Southern Miss Offense vs. Arkansas State Defense
Rush Success 123 94
Line Yards 131 81
Pass Success 113 120
Havoc 98 97
Finishing Drives 103 121
Quality Drives 88 123
Arkansas State Offense vs. Southern Miss Defense
Rush Success 110 46
Line Yards 113 96
Pass Success 128 67
Havoc 87 83
Finishing Drives 128 98
Quality Drives 132 103
Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling 119 70
PFF Coverage 97 106
Special Teams SP+ 82 122
Middle 8 128 101
Seconds per Play 30.0 (113) 23.8 (19)
Rush Rate 49.2% (103) 52.1% (96)

Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State

Betting Pick & Prediction

While I do think that Southern Miss is the better team, I think that the current line may be a touch over-inflated.

However, I can’t stomach backing Arkansas State at this point in the season.

Instead, for the second week in a row, I will be on the under in a Southern Miss game.

I believe that both of these offenses are putrid, while the defenses are a bit more respectable – despite the early-season numbers.

I don’t expect much scoring from either of these teams unless Wiles is able to turn the corner and provide USM with the passing game it’s been searching for.

Advertisement

I’m going to bet against that happening this week and take the under at 49 points.

What is QuickSlip?

QuickSlip is an Action Network feature that allows users to automatically pre-load their bet slip at FanDuel Sportsbook.


How would you rate this article?

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.



Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading
Advertisement
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Arkansas

DoorDash activates severe weather protocol, suspending service in parts of Arkansas

Published

on

DoorDash activates severe weather protocol, suspending service in parts of Arkansas


LITTLE ROCK, Ark. – Due to the ongoing winter storm sweeping through the Natural State, DoorDash has activated its Severe Weather Protocol and temporarily suspended operations in Little Rock and various parts of the Natural State.

According to a release Friday night, the precautionary measure comes as the winter storms deliver hazardous conditions across the city, including heavy snowfall and strong winds.

Cities with suspended operations include Little Rock, North Little Rock, Conway, Pine Bluff, Jacksonville, Cabot, Searcy, Malvern, Lonoke, Heber Springs, Star City, Clinton, Rison and Sheridan.

“With heavy snowfall and low visibility, the snowstorm is a serious threat to our community, and we’ve taken decisive action by activating our Severe Weather Protocol,” DoorDash spokesperson Julian Crowley said. “We deeply appreciate the patience and understanding of Dashers, merchants and consumers, and will resume operations as soon as it’s safe to do so.”

Advertisement

Officials said they will continue to monitor conditions on the ground and will communicate additional changes to their operations as needed. 



Source link

Continue Reading

Arkansas

Knowing the Florida Gators Opponent: Arkansas Razorbacks

Published

on

Knowing the Florida Gators Opponent: Arkansas Razorbacks


Gainesville, Fla. – The Florida Gators men’s basketball team’s next destination is Fayetteville, Ark., as they’ll take on the Arkansas Razorbacks (11-4, 0-2) on Saturday for their third SEC matchup of the season. 

Florida is currently sitting at 14-1 on the season and 1-1 in conference play. They opened their SEC slate with a nail-biting loss to the Kentucky Wildcats, losing 106-100 in Lexington. 

However, the Gators were able to avenge this loss with one of the most dominant wins in men’s basketball history on Tuesday over No. 1 Tennessee. They trounced the Volunteers 73-43 in the O’Dome, marking the Gators’ first regular-season win over an AP No. 1-ranked team in program history and the biggest win over a No. 1-ranked team in the NCAA since 1968. 

But enough about what Florida has done this season, let’s shift the focus to their opponents, the Razorbacks, and see who they are. 

Advertisement

Arkansas’ season started out nice with a win over Lipscomb. However, it wouldn’t be the same for them in their second game of the season against then-ranked No. 8 Baylor, as they found themselves on the losing end of a tightly contested battle. 

Then, following a good stretch for the team in red, they were tasked with the current No. 13 in the AP Poll, Illinois, and things wouldn’t go so well for new Razorbacks head coach John Calipari. His team was outclassed in this game 90-77, which ended their winning streak at four. 

Arkansas did make amends with their fans a few games later, though. While participating in the Jimmy V Classic, they matched up with then-ranked No. 14 Michigan, who they narrowed past 89-87. 

This win over the Wolverines helped maintain a three-game win streak that would eventually turn into a six-game streak. However, since SEC play started for the Razorbacks, they are 0-2 with losses to Tennessee and Ole Miss, who are currently ranked in the Top 25 AP Poll. 

These pair of losses put Arkansas at just a 1-4 record against teams on their schedule to have been ranked or that are currently ranked.

Advertisement

While it was a complete roster overhaul for Calipari and the Razorbacks this offseason that was fueled by the transfer portal, their biggest grab has been from the high school ranks. 

They added highly ranked players like Johnell Davis, Adou Thiero and Jonas Aidoo all from the portal, but it’s former five-star guard Boogie Fland who’s been arguably the best player for the Razorbacks this season. 

Fland is averaging 15.5 points, 5.9 assists and 3.6 rebounds per game through 15 games this season. He is also connecting on 35.7 percent of his threes, which shows he’s more than just an inside scorer. Additionally, his 5.9 assists rank 24th among his competitors. 

But in these first two SEC games, Fland is just 10-for-35 from the field and 3-for-17 from deep. 

If the Gators can’t keep him in check like he’s been over these last two, then it might be a long afternoon for the visitors on Saturday. 

Advertisement

Despite bringing in tons of talent that should’ve resulted in a great offense, Arkansas has been anything but that. 

They currently rank inside the bottom five teams in the SEC in scoring offense, averaging 79.4 points per game. They do have two players scoring at least 15.0 points per game, but that’s pretty much it. Outside of Thiero (16.9) and Fland, they only have one other player in double figures (DJ Wagner, 10.5). 

Moreover, if this becomes a free-throw-dominated affair, the Gators shouldn’t be too worried about the Razorbacks’ performance at the line. They are shooting 71.1 percent from the charity stripe, which is good for 12th in the league. 

And, lastly, they have little to no presence on the glass. They are the worst team in the SEC in offensive rebounding, and they are 13th out of 16 teams in overall rebounding. These are two areas where the Gators dominate, and if things play out like they have been this season, then the visitors should outmuscle their counterparts. 

This game will be televised on Saturday at 4 pm on ESPN. 

Advertisement



Source link

Continue Reading

Arkansas

Viewer pictures: The Natural State transforms into a winter wonderland

Published

on

Viewer pictures: The Natural State transforms into a winter wonderland


LITTLE ROCK, Ark. – A winter storm rolled into Arkansas Thursday and brought with it snow to the majority of western and central Arkansas.

Many from around the Natural State sent in pictures of their area covered in snow.

Though Arkansas is already full of natural beauty, there’s something about the state covered in snow that makes it even more of a winter wonderland.

Several kids from around the state got out and took advantage of the day off of school by throwing snowballs, digging up the snow, sledding and of course making snow angels.

Many who got out in the snow had enough accumulated to make snow men.

Share your snow day pictures at KARK.com/winter-pics.

Advertisement



Source link

Continue Reading

Trending