Science
Where Dalí Once Painted the Sea, Wind Turbines Are Set to Rise
PORT LLIGAT, Spain — Moises Tibau clambered aboard his small wood boat at daybreak, pushing off from a craggy outcropping in entrance of the home the place Salvador Dalí composed a few of his most well-known Surrealist work.
Mr. Tibau, one of many two remaining fishermen on this speck of a Mediterranean city about 100 miles north of Barcelona, hoped for a haul of lobster, langoustine and scorpionfish. However as he slowly motored into an in any other case abandoned bay, Mr. Tibau was preoccupied by the looming menace of modernization.
Authorities officers are set to approve building of an enormous floating wind farm simply offshore, and worldwide vitality corporations are already jockeying to harness the risky northerly winds within the space generally known as la Tramontana.
The push comes as a lethal summer time warmth wave made worse by local weather change is threatening to interrupt temperature data in England and sparking wildfires in France, Spain, Portugal and Greece.
Dozens of generators may quickly be marching throughout the horizon, offering urgently wanted renewable vitality to Catalonia, part of Spain that’s nonetheless extremely depending on fossil fuels, however basically altering the character of a area that has modified little from the time when Dalí walked the hills.
The contentious mission on the Spanish coast is emblematic of a push-and-pull happening all through Europe as officers rush to cut back planet-warming emissions by phasing out fossil fuels and quickly constructing utility-scale renewable vitality initiatives. The warfare in Ukraine has added urgency to the hassle, as European policymakers attempt to break away from their dependence on Russian oil and gasoline.
But from the coast of Spain to the rivers of Albania, efforts to deploy massive wind, photo voltaic and hydroelectricity initiatives are working into roadblocks that embody NIMBYism, environmentalist considerations and a forms that hampers fast motion.
Complicating issues is the truth that huge wind and photo voltaic initiatives require important area — one thing that may be troublesome to return by in Europe, a continent that additionally has hundreds of years of cultural historical past and artifacts to take care of.
The push to harness la Tramontana has emerged as the newest flash level in a rising debate over the place to find new renewable vitality initiatives throughout Europe. Moreover disrupting the views depicted in masterworks reminiscent of “The Persistence of Reminiscence,” residents of this sleepy nook of Spain say the offshore wind farm would additionally spoil the views from Cap de Creus Pure Park, place huge equipment perilously near one of many greatest marine preserves in Europe, deter vacationers from visiting the scenic city of Cadaqués and without end disrupt their bucolic lifestyle.
“As an area, I’m principally involved concerning the fishing, sure,” stated Mr. Tibau, 59, who has been working the waters for many years and is against the mission. “But in addition concerning the cultural spirit of Cadaqués, the panorama that impressed Dalí.”
Comparable tales are enjoying out across the continent. In northern France, scallop fishermen final 12 months fired flares and blocked a ship that was working to put in one of many nation’s first offshore wind farms, and in Sweden there’s resistance to a plan to construct wind farms in a pristine space of wilderness.
Europe’s Shift Away From Fossil Fuels
The European Union has begun a transition to greener types of vitality. However monetary and geopolitical issues may complicate the efforts.
Greek islanders are waging violent protests towards a significant wind farm that locals say would destroy outdated development forests and disrupt tourism, whereas in Italy, a convoluted allowing course of is hampering the flexibility of corporations to construct wind initiatives the place they’ve already been accepted.
Elsewhere in Spain, residents oppose plans for an enormous photo voltaic plant in Andalusia that they are saying would disrupt an archaeologically delicate website. And in Japanese Europe, activists not too long ago gained a significant victory when the Albanian authorities agreed to not set up dams on the Vjosa River for hydropower.
“Regardless of the overwhelming consensus that change is required, in the event you discuss to individuals, they simply don’t need a wind farm subsequent to them,” stated Viktor Katona, an vitality analyst at Kpler, a analysis agency. “The NIMBYism is certainly there, but it surely’s additionally the worry of the unknown, and it’s a couple of lifestyle.”
The overwhelming majority of Europeans, together with these in and round Port Lligat, help formidable efforts to extend renewable vitality.
“After I first noticed it, I used to be supportive,” stated Josep Lloret, a outstanding marine biologist who teaches on the close by College of Girona. “We want options to mitigate local weather change.”
However as Mr. Lloret seemed into the main points and started to think about the results on the ecosystem, he soured on the mission.
“This is among the most necessary areas of the Mediterranean Sea,” he stated, noting that the European Union had not too long ago designated a lot of the close by space a marine protect and that there’s a close by chicken sanctuary on the coast. “It’s a scorching spot of biodiversity.”
Different scientists are additionally involved concerning the proposed wind farm. In a nook of a fish market within the close by city of El Port de la Selva, Patricia Baena and Claudia Traboni, two marine biologists working for the Spanish authorities, had been rehabilitating a sort of sentimental coral that’s typically caught in fishing nets.
They are saying that whereas fishing within the space takes a toll on the coral, generally known as gorgonia, the impact of the wind farm may very well be worse, as the massive underwater cables that anchor the generators to the ocean flooring churn up silt and disrupt the delicate ecosystem beneath the waves.
“They’re like bushes within the forest,” stated Ms. Baena. “In the event that they disappear, then the entire biodiversity related to them will disappear.”
Industrial fishermen, too, oppose the wind mission, fearing that its building and gear, together with electrical transmission strains, will push helpful pink shrimp farther out to sea.
Guillermo Francisco Cornejo, 46, head of the fishing guild in El Port de la Selva, stated with the fee to fish already excessive, the wind farm may make what’s an already tenuous livelihood unsustainable.
“They’re elevating the value of the petrol, elevating the value of the electrical energy, and we’re trapped,” he stated.
“You must sacrifice some components of the ocean,” stated Mr. Lloret, the marine biologist. “However you want to discover the locations the place you’ll do the least injury.”
The businesses hoping to assemble the wind farms say that their initiatives can be not considerably disrupt the surroundings.
“There’s a local weather emergency, and these type of options are crucial,” stated Carlos Martin, chief govt of BlueFloat Vitality, a Spanish firm that plans to bid on the mission later this 12 months.
BlueFloat’s mission would contain 35 generators, every one towering 856 ft above the water, and produce about 500 megawatts of vitality, sufficient to energy about half of the vitality demand for the native province, which has a inhabitants of about 750,000 individuals. Different corporations are additionally getting ready bids, a few of which may contain extra generators. Authorities officers and the businesses engaged on the initiatives say the placement simply off Port Lligat is the very best one within the area for offshore wind due to the robust Tramontana winds.
Mr. Martin contends that the truth that wind generators can be floating, relatively than fastened to the ocean flooring, will cut back the long-term results. And he stated that whereas some impression on the surroundings was inevitable, the crucial to construct new sources of unpolluted vitality outweighed such considerations.
“You may all the time see change as a menace,” Mr. Martin stated. “However change will be a possibility, and the chance right here is wonderful.”
Because the warfare in Ukraine drags on, European leaders have moved to curtail imports of Russian oil and gasoline, and pledged to hasten the rollout of latest renewable vitality initiatives.
In 2020, renewable vitality represented 22.1 % of vitality consumed within the European Union, in comparison with simply 12.2 % in the US. In Might, the European Fee unveiled a plan to double the usage of renewable vitality by 2030.
But with the warfare pushing up vitality costs across the globe, European leaders are starting to put aside local weather objectives and deal with decreasing vitality prices, reversing plans to cease burning coal and investing billions in new pure gasoline infrastructure.
And whilst governments are racing to greenlight new initiatives, there’s already a significant hole between what has been accepted and what’s beneath building as sluggish allowing, protests and environmental opinions result in delays. Throughout Europe, governments have accepted about 4 occasions as a lot wind energy as is definitely being constructed, in line with Vitality Monitor, a analysis agency.
“Individuals don’t like coal and oil and gasoline, however they don’t need some other choices,” stated Mr. Katona, the vitality analyst. “Authorities insurance policies space nonetheless chaotic, and it’s going to be very arduous to search out the answer.”
As Mr. Tibau headed out to verify the nets he had set two days earlier, a full moon nonetheless behind him at dawn, he handed a rocky peninsula that impressed artists together with Picasso, Man Ray and Marcel Duchamp. Atop a hill stood a lighthouse that served because the setting for the 1971 Kirk Douglas movie “The Gentle on the Fringe of the World.”
Lastly, he arrived at his buoy and introduced his boat to a cease.
Working alone, Mr. Tibau hauled up lots of of meters of web by hand, tossing again protected sea cucumbers and smaller crustaceans. After a half-hour of labor, he had a good catch: one massive lobster, one scorpion fish and a dozen langoustine.
Later within the day, cooks from close by eating places would come by the shaded spot the place Mr. Tibau mends his nets and purchase the morning’s catch for about $175.
It’s an association that hasn’t modified a lot in a half century, when a earlier era of fishermen taught Mr. Tibau the best way to work this small patch of sea.
“If Dalí was nonetheless alive in the present day,” Mr. Tibau stated, “he would have the ability to place an finish to this mission.”
Science
There's a reason you can't stop doomscrolling through L.A.'s fire disaster
Even for those lucky enough to get out in time, or to live outside the evacuation zones, there has been no escape from the fires in the Los Angeles area this week.
There is hardly a vantage point in the city from which flames or plumes of smoke are not visible, nowhere the scent of burning memories can’t reach.
And on our screens — on seemingly every channel and social media feed and text thread and WhatsApp group — an endless carousel of images documents a level of fear, loss and grief that felt unimaginable here as recently as Tuesday morning.
Even in places of physical safety, many in Los Angeles are finding it difficult to look away from the worst of the destruction online.
“To me it’s more comfortable to doomscroll than to sit and wait,” said Clara Sterling, who evacuated from her home Wednesday. “I would rather know exactly where the fire is going and where it’s headed than not know anything at all.”
A writer and comedian, Sterling is — by her own admission — extremely online. But the nature of this week’s fires make it particularly hard to disengage from news coverage and social media, experts said.
For one, there’s a material difference between scrolling through images of a far-off crisis and staying informed about an active disaster unfolding in your neighborhood, said Casey Fiesler, an associate professor specializing in tech ethics at the University of Colorado Boulder.
“It’s weird to even think of it as ‘doomscrolling,’ ” she said. “When you’re in it, you’re also looking for important information that can be really hard to get.”
When you share an identity with the victims of a traumatic event, you’re more likely both to seek out media coverage of the experience and to feel more distressed by the media you see, said Roxane Cohen Silver, distinguished professor of psychological science at UC Irvine.
For Los Angeles residents, this week’s fires are affecting the people we identify with most intimately: family, friends and community members. They have consumed places and landmarks that feature prominently in fond memories and regular routines.
The ubiquitous images have also fueled painful memories for those who have lived through similar disasters — a group whose numbers have increased as wildfires have grown more frequent in California, Silver said.
This she knows personally: She evacuated from the Laguna Beach fires in 1993, and began a long-term study of that fire’s survivors days after returning to her home.
“Throughout California, throughout the West, throughout communities that have had wildfire experience, we are particularly primed and sensitized to that news,” she said. “And the more we immerse ourselves in that news, the more likely we are to experience distress.”
Absorption in these images of fire and ash can cause trauma of its own, said Jyoti Mishra, an associate professor of psychiatry at UC San Diego who studied the long-term psychological health of survivors of the 2018 Camp fire.
The team identified lingering symptoms of post-traumatic stress disorder, depression and anxiety both among survivors who personally experienced fire-related trauma such as injury or property loss, and — to a smaller but still significant degree — among those who indirectly experienced the trauma as witnesses.
“If you’re witnessing [trauma] in the media, happening on the streets that you’ve lived on and walked on, and you can really put yourself in that place, then it can definitely be impactful,” said Mishra, who’s also co-director of the UC Climate Change and Mental Health Council. “Psychology and neuroscience research has shown that images and videos that generate a sense of personal meaning can have deep emotional impacts.”
The emotional pull of the videos and images on social media make it hard to look away, even as many find the information there much harder to trust.
Like many others, Sterling spent a lot of time online during the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic. Back then, Sterling said, the social media environment felt decidedly different.
“This time around I think I feel less informed about what’s going on because there’s been such a big push toward not fact-checking and getting rid of verified accounts,” she said.
The rise of AI-generated images and photos has added another troubling kink, as Sterling highlighted in a video posted to TikTok early Thursday.
“The Hollywood sign was not on fire last night. Any video or photos that you saw of the Hollywood sign on fire were fake. They were AI generated,” she said, posting from a hotel in San Diego after evacuating.
Hunter Ditch, a producer and voice actor in Lake Balboa, raised similar concerns about the lack of accurate information. Some social media content she’s encountered seemed “very polarizing” or political, and some exaggerated the scope of the disaster or featured complete fabrications, such as that flaming Hollywood sign.
The spread of false information has added another layer of stress, she said. This week, she started turning to other types of app — like the disaster mapping app, Watch Duty — to track the spreading fires and changing evacuation zones.
But that made her wonder: “If I have to check a whole other app for accurate information, then what am I even doing on social media at all?”
Science
Pink Fire Retardant, a Dramatic Wildfire Weapon, Poses Its Own Dangers
From above the raging flames, these planes can unleash immense tankfuls of bright pink fire retardant in just 20 seconds. They have long been considered vital in the battle against wildfires.
But emerging research has shown that the millions of gallons of retardant sprayed on the landscape to tame wildfires each year come with a toxic burden, because they contain heavy metals and other chemicals that are harmful to human health and the environment.
The toxicity presents a stark dilemma. These tankers and their cargo are a powerful tool for taming deadly blazes. Yet as wildfires intensify and become more frequent in an era of climate change, firefighters are using them more often, and in the process releasing more harmful chemicals into the environment.
Some environmental groups have questioned the retardants’ effectiveness and potential for harm. The efficiency of fire retardant has been hard to measure, because it’s one of a barrage of firefighting tactics deployed in a major fire. After the flames are doused, it’s difficult to assign credit.
The frequency and severity of wildfires has grown in recent years, particularly in the western United States. Scientists have also found that fires across the region have become faster moving in recent decades.
There are also the longer-term health effects of exposure to wildfire smoke, which can penetrate the lungs and heart, causing disease. A recent global survey of the health effects of air pollution caused by wildfires found that in the United States, exposure to wildfire smoke had increased by 77 percent since 2002. Globally, wildfire smoke has been estimated to be responsible for up to 675,000 premature deaths per year.
Fire retardants add to those health and environmental burdens because they present “a really, really thorny trade-off,” said Daniel McCurry, an assistant professor of civil and environmental engineering at the University of Southern California, who led the recent research on their heavy-metal content.
The United States Forest Service said on Thursday that nine large retardant-spraying planes, as well as 20 water-dropping helicopters, were being deployed to fight the Southern California fires, which have displaced tens of thousands of people. Several “water scooper” amphibious planes, capable of skimming the surface of the sea or other body of water to fill their tanks, are also being used.
Two large DC-10 aircraft, dubbed “Very Large Airtankers” and capable of delivering up to 9,400 gallons of retardant, were also set to join the fleet imminently, said Stanton Florea, a spokesman for the National Interagency Fire Center in Boise, Idaho, which coordinates national wildland firefighting efforts across the West.
Sprayed ahead of the fire, the retardants coat vegetation and prevent oxygen from allowing it to burn, Mr. Florea said. (Red dye is added so firefighters can see the retardant against the landscape.) And the retardant, typically made of salts like ammonium polyphosphate, “lasts longer. It doesn’t evaporate, like dropping water,” he said.
The new research from Dr. McCurry and his colleagues found, however, that at least four different types of heavy metals in a common type of retardant used by firefighters exceeded California’s requirements for hazardous waste.
Federal data shows that more than 440 million gallons of retardant were applied to federal, state, and private land between 2009 and 2021. Using that figure, the researchers estimated that between 2009 and 2021, more than 400 tons of heavy metals were released into the environment from fire suppression, a third of that in Southern California.
Both the federal government and the retardant’s manufacturer, Perimeter Solutions, have disputed that analysis, saying the researchers had evaluated a different version of the retardant. Dan Green, a spokesman for Perimeter, said retardants used for aerial firefighting had passed “extensive testing to confirm they meet strict standards for aquatic and mammalian safety.”
Still, the findings help explain why concentrations of heavy metals tend to surge in rivers and streams after wildfires, sometimes by hundreds of times. And as scrutiny of fire suppressants has grown, the Forestry Service has set buffer zones surrounding lakes and rivers, though its own data shows retardant still inadvertently drifts into those waters.
In 2022, the environmental nonprofit Forest Service Employees for Environmental Ethics sued the government in federal court in Montana, demanding that the Forest Service obtain a permit under the Clean Water Act to cover accidental spraying into waterways.
The judge ruled that the agency did indeed need to obtain a permit. But it allowed retardant use to continue to protect lives and property.
Science
2024 Brought the World to a Dangerous Warming Threshold. Now What?
At the stroke of midnight on Dec. 31, Earth finished up its hottest year in recorded history, scientists said on Friday. The previous hottest year was 2023. And the next one will be upon us before long: By continuing to burn huge amounts of coal, oil and gas, humankind has all but guaranteed it.
The planet’s record-high average temperature last year reflected the weekslong, 104-degree-Fahrenheit spring heat waves that shuttered schools in Bangladesh and India. It reflected the effects of the bathtub-warm ocean waters that supercharged hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico and cyclones in the Philippines. And it reflected the roasting summer and fall conditions that primed Los Angeles this week for the most destructive wildfires in its history.
“We are facing a very new climate and new challenges, challenges that our society is not prepared for,” said Carlo Buontempo, director of the Copernicus Climate Change Service, the European Union monitoring agency.
But even within this progression of warmer years and ever-intensifying risks to homes, communities and the environment, 2024 stood out in another unwelcome way. According to Copernicus, it was the first year in which global temperatures averaged more than 1.5 degrees Celsius, or 2.7 degrees Fahrenheit, above those the planet experienced at the start of the industrial age.
For the past decade, the world has sought to avoid crossing this dangerous threshold. Nations enshrined the goal in the 2015 Paris agreement to fight climate change. “Keep 1.5 alive” was the mantra at United Nations summits.
Yet here we are. Global temperatures will fluctuate somewhat, as they always do, which is why scientists often look at warming averaged over longer periods, not just a single year.
But even by that standard, staying below 1.5 degrees looks increasingly unattainable, according to researchers who have run the numbers. Globally, despite hundreds of billions of dollars invested in clean-energy technologies, carbon dioxide emissions hit a record in 2024 and show no signs of dropping.
One recent study published in the journal Nature concluded that the absolute best humanity can now hope for is around 1.6 degrees of warming. To achieve it, nations would need to start slashing emissions at a pace that would strain political, social and economic feasibility.
But what if we’d started earlier?
“It was guaranteed we’d get to this point where the gap between reality and the trajectory we needed for 1.5 degrees was so big it was ridiculous,” said David Victor, a professor of public policy at the University of California, San Diego.
The question now is what, if anything, should replace 1.5 as a lodestar for nations’ climate aspirations.
“These top-level goals are at best a compass,” Dr. Victor said. “They’re a reminder that if we don’t do more, we’re in for significant climate impacts.”
The 1.5-degree threshold was never the difference between safety and ruin, between hope and despair. It was a number negotiated by governments trying to answer a big question: What’s the highest global temperature increase — and the associated level of dangers, whether heat waves or wildfires or melting glaciers — that our societies should strive to avoid?
The result, as codified in the Paris agreement, was that nations would aspire to hold warming to “well below” 2 degrees Celsius while “pursuing efforts” to limit it to 1.5 degrees.
Even at the time, some experts called the latter goal unrealistic, because it required such deep and rapid emissions cuts. Still, the United States, the European Union and other governments adopted it as a guidepost for climate policy.
Christoph Bertram, an associate research professor at the University of Maryland’s Center for Global Sustainability, said the urgency of the 1.5 target spurred companies of all kinds — automakers, cement manufacturers, electric utilities — to start thinking hard about what it would mean to zero out their emissions by midcentury. “I do think that has led to some serious action,” Dr. Bertram said.
But the high aspiration of the 1.5 target also exposed deep fault lines among nations.
China and India never backed the goal, since it required them to curb their use of coal, gas and oil at a pace they said would hamstring their development. Rich countries that were struggling to cut their own emissions began choking off funding in the developing world for fossil-fuel projects that were economically beneficial. Some low-income countries felt it was deeply unfair to ask them to sacrifice for the climate given that it was wealthy nations — and not them — that had produced most of the greenhouse gases now warming the world.
“The 1.5-degree target has created a lot of tension between rich and poor countries,” said Vijaya Ramachandran, director for energy and development at the Breakthrough Institute, an environmental research organization.
Costa Samaras, an environmental-engineering professor at Carnegie Mellon University, compared the warming goals to health officials’ guidelines on, say, cholesterol. “We don’t set health targets on what’s realistic or what’s possible,” Dr. Samaras said. “We say, ‘This is what’s good for you. This is how you’re going to not get sick.’”
“If we were going to say, ‘Well, 1.5 is likely out of the question, let’s put it to 1.75,’ it gives people a false sense of assurance that 1.5 was not that important,” said Dr. Samaras, who helped shape U.S. climate policy from 2021 to 2024 in the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy. “It’s hugely important.”
Scientists convened by the United Nations have concluded that restricting warming to 1.5 degrees instead of 2 would spare tens of millions of people from being exposed to life-threatening heat waves, water shortages and coastal flooding. It might mean the difference between a world that has coral reefs and Arctic sea ice in the summer, and one that doesn’t.
Each tiny increment of additional warming, whether it’s 1.6 degrees versus 1.5, or 1.7 versus 1.6, increases the risks. “Even if the world overshoots 1.5 degrees, and the chances of this happening are increasing every day, we must keep striving” to bring emissions to zero as soon as possible, said Inger Anderson, the executive director of the United Nations Environment Program.
Officially, the sun has not yet set on the 1.5 target. The Paris agreement remains in force, even as President-elect Donald J. Trump vows to withdraw the United States from it for a second time. At U.N. climate negotiations, talk of 1.5 has become more muted compared with years past. But it has hardly gone away.
“With appropriate measures, 1.5 Celsius is still achievable,” Cedric Schuster, the minister of natural resources and environment for the Pacific island nation of Samoa, said at last year’s summit in Azerbaijan. Countries should “rise to the occasion with new, highly ambitious” policies, he said.
To Dr. Victor of U.C. San Diego, it is strange but all too predictable that governments keep speaking this way about what appears to be an unachievable aim. “No major political leader who wants to be taken seriously on climate wants to stick their neck out and say, ‘1.5 degrees isn’t feasible. Let’s talk about more realistic goals,’” he said.
Still, the world will eventually need to have that discussion, Dr. Victor said. And it’s unclear how it will go.
“It could be constructive, where we start asking, ‘How much warming are we really in for? And how do we deal with that?’” he said. “Or it could look very toxic, with a bunch of political finger pointing.”
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