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The Next Threat to L.A.? Rainfall That Could Cause Landslides

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The Next Threat to L.A.? Rainfall That Could Cause Landslides

While winds and flames continued to ravage Los Angeles, small teams began creeping onto the charred soils left in their wake.

Roughly a dozen members of the California Watershed Emergency Response Teams and the United States Forest Service are studying the edges of the Eaton and Palisades fires to determine what patches of land burned most severely. Soon, they’ll issue hazard maps to help people prepare for what comes next: the near-certain threat of floods and landslides that will loom for days, months and even years while the city recovers.

“After a wildfire, the hazard to the public is not over,” said Jeremy Lancaster, California’s state geologist. He and his team spent Wednesday hiking in the steep canyons that flank the San Gabriel and Santa Monica Mountains. When it rains hard enough, the sediment on slopes like these can swiftly tumble downhill onto houses that increasingly push up against the fire-prone foothills.

The two major hazards after a wildfire are flash flooding and post-fire debris flows. While spongy soils typically absorb water, burned soils can become hard packed like concrete, repelling water as a raincoat would. Water then funnels downslope without much, or any, vegetation left after a fire to keep it in check.

Hazard maps use a combination of satellite images and field testing of soils to show where patches of moderately to severely burned soils could make these post-fire risks more likely. Recommendations for emergency services to engineer barricades against the danger accompany the maps.

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The Palisades burn map was released on Thursday, and the Eaton map is still under review. Experts said the Palisades fire had mostly low to moderate burn severity, while the Eaton fire was likely to have more moderate to high burn severity.

Debris flows require three ingredients — steep slopes, burned soils and rain — and they’re often more dangerous than floods because the sediment they draw in claws at the landscape, creating a snowball effect that pulls a tumult of trees, vegetation, soil, rocks and anything else in its way.

“A debris flow is like a flood on steroids,” said Jason Kean, a research hydrologist with the United States Geological Survey. “It’s all bulked up with rocks and mud and trees.” While floods often have a longer reach, water churns faster in debris flows, which are less common but more destructive.

After the Thomas fire in 2017, a debris flow in Montecito, Calif., killed 23 people and damaged or destroyed more than 400 homes.

Neither homeowners’ insurance nor federal flood insurance covers the impact to properties of debris flows, which are defined by the Geologic Survey as landslides.

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The fire-flood cycle is a long-studied relationship, but scientists say a warming planet has made the post-fire threat more likely. Fires burn bigger and more severely. Rains hit harder and more often. Those changes expand the target area for post-fire hazards, which could increase the size and the frequency of floods and flows.

“The fire scientists are telling us that wildfires are increasing in size and severity,” Dr. Kean said. “From that fact alone, you’re exposing more terrain and making more terrain vulnerable to post-fire problems.”

With a dangerous combination of very steep terrain, lots of sediment, high-fire activity and a lot of people pushed up against the mountains, Los Angeles faces an extreme risk.

“The Los Angeles area and Southern California are the world capital for post-fire debris flows,” Dr. Kean said.

Debris flows are so common in Los Angeles that at the edge of the San Gabriel Mountains, where the Eaton fire burned, the state has carved debris basins to collect waste from major flow events. In Southern California, more than two million people live on alluvial fans, landforms that are conducive to flash floods and debris flows, according to Dr. Lancaster.

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The National Weather Service in Los Angeles collaborated with the Geological Survey to start the nation’s first early warning systems for these post-fire hazards in 2005. The geological survey sets a rainfall threshold that could set off landslides, and the Weather Service issues a warning if the rainfall they expect nears or surpasses it.

Jayme Laber, a senior hydrologist with the Los Angeles forecast office, has spent the last two decades issuing such warnings. While there’s still no sign of rain in the seven to 10 day forecast he issued on Wednesday, a garden-variety rainstorm that Angelenos see at least once or twice a year could be enough to kick off the next wave of hazards, which can develop within minutes.

“In a burned area, the kind of rain that would not cause problems would be a really light drizzly rain that just goes on and on,” Mr. Laber said. But at some point this winter, he added, “we’re going to get rainfall that has the potential to cause flash flooding and debris flows in these newly burned areas.”

This video of a small debris flow from 2016, which is close to the site of the current Eaton fire, shows how quickly large objects, like a six-foot boulder, can be sent rushing downhill.

Mr. Laber advised residents to prepare in case of a future evacuation, monitor the forecast and pay attention to local emergency officials if a warning is issued.

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Video: Engineer Is First Paraplegic Person in Space

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Video: Engineer Is First Paraplegic Person in Space

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Engineer Is First Paraplegic Person in Space

A paraplegic engineer from Germany became the first wheelchair user to rocket into space. The small craft that blasted her to the edge of space was operated by Jeff Bezos’ company Blue Origin.

Capsule touchdown. There’s CM 7 Sarah Knights and Jake Mills. They’re going to lift Michi down into the wheelchair, and she has completed her journey to space and back.

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A paraplegic engineer from Germany became the first wheelchair user to rocket into space. The small craft that blasted her to the edge of space was operated by Jeff Bezos’ company Blue Origin.

December 21, 2025

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This City’s Best Winter Show Is in Its Pitch-Dark Skies

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This City’s Best Winter Show Is in Its Pitch-Dark Skies
Flagstaff mandates that shielding be placed on outdoor lighting so that it doesn’t project skyward. There are also limits on the lumens of light allowed per acre of land.

The result is a starry sky visible even from the heart of the city. Flagstaff’s Buffalo Park, just a couple miles from downtown, measures about a 4 on the Bortle scale, which quantifies the level of light pollution. (The scale goes from 1, the darkest skies possible, to 9, similar to the light-polluted night sky of, say, New York City. To see the Milky Way, the sky must be below a 5.)

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Social media users in the Central Valley are freaking out about unusual fog, and what might be in it

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Social media users in the Central Valley are freaking out about unusual fog, and what might be in it

A 400-mile blanket of fog has socked in California’s Central Valley for weeks. Scientists and meteorologists say the conditions for such persistent cloud cover are ripe: an early wet season, cold temperatures and a stable, unmoving high pressure system.

But take a stroll through X, Instagram or TikTok, and you’ll see not everyone is so sanguine.

People are reporting that the fog has a strange consistency and that it’s nefariously littered with black and white particles that don’t seem normal. They’re calling it “mysterious” and underscoring the name “radiation” fog, which is the scientific descriptor for such natural fog events — not an indication that they carry radioactive material.

An X user with the handle Wall Street Apes posted a video of a man who said he is from Northern California drawing his finger along fog condensate on the grill of his truck. His finger comes up covered in white.

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“What is this s— right here?” the man says as the camera zooms in on his finger. “There’s something in the fog that I can’t explain … Check y’all … y’all crazy … What’s going on? They got asbestos in there.”

Another user, @wesleybrennan87, posted a photo of two airplane contrails crisscrossing the sky through a break in the fog.

“For anyone following the dense Tule (Radiation) fog in the California Valley, it lifted for a moment today, just to see they’ve been pretty active over our heads …” the user posted.

Scientists confirm there is stuff in the fog. But what it is and where it comes from, they say, is disappointingly mundane.

The Central Valley is known to have some of the worst air pollution in the country.

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And “fog is highly susceptible to pollutants,” said Peter Weiss-Penzias, a fog researcher at UC Santa Cruz.

Fog “droplets have a lot of surface area and are suspended in the air for quite a long time — days or weeks even — so during that time the water droplets can absorb a disproportionate quantity of gasses and particles, which are otherwise known as pollutants,” he said.

He said while he hasn’t done any analyses of the Central Valley fog during this latest event, it’s not hard to imagine what could be lurking in the droplets.

“It could be a whole alphabet soup of different things. With all the agriculture in this area, industry, automobiles, wood smoke, there’s a whole bunch” of contenders, Weiss-Penzias said.

Reports of the fog becoming a gelatinous goo when left to sit are also not entirely surprising, he said, considering all the airborne biological material — fungal spores, nutrients and algae — floating around that can also adhere to the Velcro-like drops of water.

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He said the good news is that while the primary route of exposure for people of this material is inhalation, the fog droplets are relatively big. That means when they are breathed in, they won’t go too deep into the lungs — not like the particulate matter we inhale during sunny, dry days. That stuff can get way down into lung tissue.

The bigger concern is ingestion, as the fog covers plants or open water cisterns, he said.

So make sure you’re washing your vegetables, and anything you leave outside that you might nosh on later.

Dennis Baldocchi, a UC Berkeley fog researcher, agreed with Weiss-Penzias’ assessment, and said the storm system predicted to move in this weekend will likely push the fog out and free the valley of its chilly, dirty shawl.

But, if a high pressure system returns in the coming weeks, he wouldn’t be surprised to see the region encased in fog once again.

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