Science
Texas reminded motorists to drive safely. It didn’t work out as planned
Automobile accidents are a number one reason for dying within the U.S., and greater than half of U.S. states have embraced a seemingly low-cost, high-impact technique to drive dwelling simply how harmful the roads will be: posting annual freeway dying tolls on digital roadside message boards.
New analysis means that these indicators do, in actual fact, seize motorists’ consideration — simply not in the way in which coverage makers had hoped.
Scientists learning freeway collision information from Texas discovered that motorists who handed a message board saying annual visitors fatalities have been truly 4.5% extra prone to get into an accident over the following 10 kilometers (6.2 miles) than drivers unburdened by the data.
What’s extra, the chance of an accident elevated together with the posted dying toll. Essentially the most hazardous time of the yr was January — the month when indicators displayed the grand complete of highway deaths for the earlier yr.
In complete, a challenge supposed as a budget-friendly method to scale back freeway accidents seems to have straight contributed to an extra 2,600 crashes, 16 deaths and $377 million in extra prices per yr in Texas, in keeping with the examine revealed at this time within the journal Science.
Texas is one in every of no less than 28 U.S. states which have marketed annual visitors deaths as a part of their roadside security messaging. However the state was distinctive in that its drivers noticed the dying counts precisely one week every month: the week earlier than the Texas Transportation Fee’s month-to-month board assembly. The simply trackable schedule turned out to be a boon for the analysis group.
“God bless Texas,” stated Joshua Madsen, an accounting professor on the College of Minnesota’s Carlson Faculty of Administration, who carried out the examine with Jonathan Corridor, a professor of economics on the College of Toronto.
The pair reviewed two and a half years of freeway crash information from earlier than the signal program began in August 2012, plus 5 years of information from 2012 to 2017. They discovered there have been extra collisions in weeks when dying rely messages ran, with the best focus of accidents within the 10 kilometers instantly following the indicators.
Most crashes have been multi-vehicle incidents, they usually tended to occur when there have been a lot of extra calls for on drivers’ consideration, comparable to heavy visitors, sophisticated interchanges and areas with a number of indicators.
Finally, the protection messages had the identical impact on collision charges that one would count on from indicators elevating the velocity restrict by 3 to five mph, the researchers concluded.
The fatality counts do seem to have captured drivers’ consideration. The issue was that they hijacked that focus when it was most wanted on the highway.
Protected driving calls for steady consideration on the duty at hand, or what’s referred to as goal-directed consideration. It may be simply thwarted by stimulus-driven consideration, or the discover a driver provides to a sudden distraction, stated Dr. Donald Redelmeier, a College of Toronto professor and doctor at Toronto’s Sunnybrook Hospital, dwelling to Canada’s largest trauma middle.
“We didn’t evolve to journey at 70 or 80 miles per hour. It’s not the way in which our brains are designed,” Redelmeier stated. “One or two seconds of inattention could make all of the distinction on this planet whenever you’re driving a motorcar.”
Working example: Redelmeier co-authored a 2017 examine that discovered deadly bike accidents elevated throughout full moons, and shot up additional throughout supermoon occasions. Stimulus-driven consideration is most drawn to issues which can be giant, vivid and surprising — three qualities shared by each full moons and huge digital indicators blaring surprising dying tolls.
As soon as Madsen and Corridor had their information in hand, they contacted transportation officers in states the place the message boards have been used to share their findings. Few responded straight, and those that did appeared reluctant to simply accept that their well-intentioned intervention may not have the specified end result, Madsen stated.
“One among them — I received’t say which state it was — mainly emailed again and stated, ‘That is an fascinating examine, thanks for the suggestions, [but] we predict ours goes to assist in the long run,’ ” he stated.
The Texas Division of Transportation declined to debate the examine publicly, however officers issued an announcement in regards to the outcomes.
“We recognize any give attention to security and the vital have to encourage drivers to make one of the best choices behind the wheel,” the assertion stated. “In relation to this explicit examine, there are too many unknowns to attract any agency conclusions,” together with that the indicators truly distracted motorists.
Texas’ unlucky signage is hardly the primary public marketing campaign to backfire. One memorable 1999 examine discovered that accidents incurred throughout charity skydiving occasions designed to lift cash for Britain’s Nationwide Well being Service wound up costing the NHS almost 14 occasions greater than they really raised.
However as behavioral interventions, or nudges, change into a extra frequent instrument for coverage makers desperate to form individuals’s habits, the leads to Texas display the need of following good concepts up with equally good testing.
“Effectively-intentioned behavioral interventions are at all times educated guesses, so each time sensible, these interventions ought to be rigorously examined at a smaller scale earlier than they’re applied at a bigger scale,” stated Craig Fox, a behavioral scientist on the UCLA Anderson Faculty of Administration who has written on nudges gone improper. “Oftentimes our intuitions and predictions about what’s going to work — even when knowledgeable by strong behavioral science — change into improper.”
Madsen stated the Texas Division of Transportation cooperated with the researchers in sharing information. As soon as the outcomes have been in, nonetheless, “they mainly went radio silent.”
To one of the best of his information, Madsen added, Texas stopped utilizing the indicators final yr. The state acknowledged in its assertion that it not posts the fatality counts.
Science
Cluster of farmworkers diagnosed with rare animal-borne disease in Ventura County
A cluster of workers at Ventura County berry farms have been diagnosed with a rare disease often transmitted through sick animals’ urine, according to a public health advisory distributed to local doctors by county health officials Tuesday.
The bacterial infection, leptospirosis, has resulted in severe symptoms for some workers, including meningitis, an inflammation of the brain lining and spinal cord. Symptoms for mild cases included headaches and fevers.
The disease, which can be fatal, rarely spreads from human to human, according to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
Ventura County Public Health has not given an official case count but said it had not identified any cases outside of the agriculture sector. The county’s agriculture commissioner was aware of 18 cases, the Ventura County Star reported.
The health department said it was first contacted by a local physician in October, who reported an unusual trend in symptoms among hospital patients.
After launching an investigation, the department identified leptospirosis as a probable cause of the illness and found most patients worked on caneberry farms that utilize hoop houses — greenhouse structures to shelter the crops.
As the investigation to identify any additional cases and the exact sources of exposure continues, Ventura County Public Health has asked healthcare providers to consider a leptospirosis diagnosis for sick agricultural workers, particularly berry harvesters.
Rodents are a common source and transmitter of disease, though other mammals — including livestock, cats and dogs — can transmit it as well.
The disease is spread through bodily fluids, such as urine, and is often contracted through cuts and abrasions that contact contaminated water and soil, where the bacteria can survive for months.
Humans can also contract the illness through contaminated food; however, the county health agency has found no known health risks to the general public, including through the contact or consumption of caneberries such as raspberries and blackberries.
Symptom onset typically occurs between two and 30 days after exposure, and symptoms can last for months if untreated, according to the CDC.
The illness often begins with mild symptoms, with fevers, chills, vomiting and headaches. Some cases can then enter a second, more severe phase that can result in kidney or liver failure.
Ventura County Public Health recommends agriculture and berry harvesters regularly rinse any cuts with soap and water and cover them with bandages. They also recommend wearing waterproof clothing and protection while working outdoors, including gloves and long-sleeve shirts and pants.
While there is no evidence of spread to the larger community, according to the department, residents should wash hands frequently and work to control rodents around their property if possible.
Pet owners can consult a veterinarian about leptospirosis vaccinations and should keep pets away from ponds, lakes and other natural bodies of water.
Science
Political stress: Can you stay engaged without sacrificing your mental health?
It’s been two weeks since Donald Trump won the presidential election, but Stacey Lamirand’s brain hasn’t stopped churning.
“I still think about the election all the time,” said the 60-year-old Bay Area resident, who wanted a Kamala Harris victory so badly that she flew to Pennsylvania and knocked on voters’ doors in the final days of the campaign. “I honestly don’t know what to do about that.”
Neither do the psychologists and political scientists who have been tracking the country’s slide toward toxic levels of partisanship.
Fully 69% of U.S. adults found the presidential election a significant source of stress in their lives, the American Psychological Assn. said in its latest Stress in America report.
The distress was present across the political spectrum, with 80% of Republicans, 79% of Democrats and 73% of independents surveyed saying they were stressed about the country’s future.
That’s unhealthy for the body politic — and for voters themselves. Stress can cause muscle tension, headaches, sleep problems and loss of appetite. Chronic stress can inflict more serious damage to the immune system and make people more vulnerable to heart attacks, strokes, diabetes, infertility, clinical anxiety, depression and other ailments.
In most circumstances, the sound medical advice is to disengage from the source of stress, therapists said. But when stress is coming from politics, that prescription pits the health of the individual against the health of the nation.
“I’m worried about people totally withdrawing from politics because it’s unpleasant,” said Aaron Weinschenk, a political scientist at the University of Wisconsin–Green Bay who studies political behavior and elections. “We don’t want them to do that. But we also don’t want them to feel sick.”
Modern life is full of stressors of all kinds: paying bills, pleasing difficult bosses, getting along with frenemies, caring for children or aging parents (or both).
The stress that stems from politics isn’t fundamentally different from other kinds of stress. What’s unique about it is the way it encompasses and enhances other sources of stress, said Brett Ford, a social psychologist at the University of Toronto who studies the link between emotions and political engagement.
For instance, she said, elections have the potential to make everyday stressors like money and health concerns more difficult to manage as candidates debate policies that could raise the price of gas or cut off access to certain kinds of medical care.
Layered on top of that is the fact that political disagreements have morphed into moral conflicts that are perceived as pitting good against evil.
“When someone comes into power who is not on the same page as you morally, that can hit very deeply,” Ford said.
Partisanship and polarization have raised the stakes as well. Voters who feel a strong connection to a political party become more invested in its success. That can make a loss at the ballot box feel like a personal defeat, she said.
There’s also the fact that we have limited control over the outcome of an election. A patient with heart disease can improve their prognosis by taking medicine, changing their diet, getting more exercise or quitting smoking. But a person with political stress is largely at the mercy of others.
“Politics is many forms of stress all rolled into one,” Ford said.
Weinschenk observed this firsthand the day after the election.
“I could feel it when I went into my classroom,” said the professor, whose research has found that people with political anxiety aren’t necessarily anxious in general. “I have a student who’s transgender and a couple of students who are gay. Their emotional state was so closed down.”
That’s almost to be expected in a place like Wisconsin, whose swing-state status caused residents to be bombarded with political messages. The more campaign ads a person is exposed to, the greater the risk of being diagnosed with anxiety, depression or another psychological ailment, according to a 2022 study in the journal PLOS One.
Political messages seem designed to keep voters “emotionally on edge,” said Vaile Wright, a licensed psychologist in Villa Park, Ill., and a member of the APA’s Stress in America team.
“It encourages emotion to drive our decision-making behavior, as opposed to logic,” Wright said. “When we’re really emotionally stimulated, it makes it so much more challenging to have civil conversation. For politicians, I think that’s powerful, because emotions can be very easily manipulated.”
Making voters feel anxious is a tried-and-true way to grab their attention, said Christopher Ojeda, a political scientist at UC Merced who studies mental health and politics.
“Feelings of anxiety can be mobilizing, definitely,” he said. “That’s why politicians make fear appeals — they want people to get engaged.”
On the other hand, “feelings of depression are demobilizing and take you out of the political system,” said Ojeda, author of “The Sad Citizen: How Politics is Depressing and Why it Matters.”
“What [these feelings] can tell you is, ‘Things aren’t going the way I want them to. Maybe I need to step back,’” he said.
Genessa Krasnow has been seeing a lot of that since the election.
The Seattle entrepreneur, who also campaigned for Harris, said it grates on her to see people laughing in restaurants “as if nothing had happened.” At a recent book club meeting, her fellow group members were willing to let her vent about politics for five minutes, but they weren’t interested in discussing ways they could counteract the incoming president.
“They’re in a state of disengagement,” said Krasnow, who is 56. She, meanwhile, is looking for new ways to reach young voters.
“I am exhausted. I am so sad,” she said. “But I don’t believe that disengaging is the answer.”
That’s the fundamental trade-off, Ojeda said, and there’s no one-size-fits-all solution.
“Everyone has to make a decision about how much engagement they can tolerate without undermining their psychological well-being,” he said.
Lamirand took steps to protect her mental health by cutting social media ties with people whose values aren’t aligned with hers. But she will remain politically active and expects to volunteer for phone-banking duty soon.
“Doing something is the only thing that allows me to feel better,” Lamirand said. “It allows me to feel some level of control.”
Ideally, Ford said, people would not have to choose between being politically active and preserving their mental health. She is investigating ways to help people feel hopeful, inspired and compassionate about political challenges, since these emotions can motivate action without triggering stress and anxiety.
“We want to counteract this pattern where the more involved you are, the worse you are,” Ford said.
The benefits would be felt across the political spectrum. In the APA survey, similar shares of Democrats, Republicans and independents agreed with statements like, “It causes me stress that politicians aren’t talking about the things that are most important to me,” and, “The political climate has caused strain between my family members and me.”
“Both sides are very invested in this country, and that is a good thing,” Wright said. “Antipathy and hopelessness really doesn’t serve us in the long run.”
Science
Video: SpaceX Unable to Recover Booster Stage During Sixth Test Flight
President-elect Donald Trump joined Elon Musk in Texas and watched the launch from a nearby location on Tuesday. While the Starship’s giant booster stage was unable to repeat a “chopsticks” landing, the vehicle’s upper stage successfully splashed down in the Indian Ocean.
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