Science
In a Twist, Old Coal Plants Help Deliver Renewable Power. Here’s How.
Throughout the nation, growing old and defunct coal-burning energy vegetation are getting new lives as photo voltaic, battery and different renewable vitality tasks, partly as a result of they’ve a decades-old function that has develop into more and more beneficial: They’re already wired into the ability grid.
The miles of high-tension wires and towers usually wanted to attach energy vegetation to clients far and huge might be expensive, time consuming and controversial to construct from scratch. So photo voltaic and different tasks are avoiding regulatory hassles, and probably rushing up the transition to renewable vitality, by plugging into the unused connections left behind as coal turns into uneconomical to maintain burning.
In Illinois alone, no less than 9 coal-burning vegetation are on monitor to develop into photo voltaic farms and battery storage amenities within the subsequent three years. Related tasks are taking form in Nevada, New Mexico, Colorado, North Dakota, Nebraska, Minnesota and Maryland. In Massachusetts and New Jersey, two retired coal vegetation alongside the coast are being repurposed to attach offshore wind generators to the regional electrical grids.
“A silver lining of getting had all of those soiled energy vegetation is that now, we have now pretty strong transmission traces in these locations” mentioned Jack Darin, director of the Illinois chapter of the Sierra Membership, an environmental advocacy group. “That’s an enormous asset.”
Over the previous twenty years, greater than 600 coal-burning mills totaling about 85 gigawatts of producing capability have retired, based on the U.S. Power Info Administration. (Particular person energy vegetation can have a couple of generator.) A majority of the 266 remaining coal-burning energy vegetation within the nation had been constructed within the Seventies and Eighties, and are nearing the tip of their roughly 50-year operational lifetime.
Most of that retired capability is not going to get replaced with coal, because the business will get squeezed out by cheaper renewable vitality and harder emissions laws. On the similar time, renewable vitality producers are going through obstacles getting their tasks related to the grid. Constructing new energy traces is dear and controversial as neighbors usually oppose transmission traces that may disturb scenic vistas or probably cut back property values close by. As well as, getting power-line tasks accepted by regulators might be time consuming.
Constructing and working renewable vitality tasks has lengthy been cheaper than fossil gas vegetation. The barrier “isn’t economics anymore,” mentioned Joseph Rand, a scientist on the Lawrence Berkeley Nationwide Laboratory, which conducts analysis on behalf of the U.S. Division of Power. “The toughest half is securing the interconnection and transmission entry.”
This makes outdated coal vegetation a sexy choice as websites for renewable vitality tasks. Not solely are the outdated vegetation already wired into the transmission system, in addition they have substations, which assist convert electrical energy to a provide that’s appropriate to be used in properties and companies.
That was a key think about selecting Brayton Level Energy Station as a grid connection level for a 1,200-megawatt wind farm 37 miles off the coast of Massachusetts, mentioned Michael Brown, chief govt officer of the offshore wind developer Mayflower Wind.
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At 1,600 megawatts, the coal-fired plant was the most important one in New England when it retired in 2017. The power itself, situated within the waterfront city of Somerset, might be changed by an undersea-cable manufacturing facility owned by the Italian firm Prysmian Group. And the offshore wind venture will hook up with the grid on the Brayton Level interconnection level, making use of the prevailing substation there.
In one of the vital bold efforts, Vistra Corp., a Texas-based energy technology firm that additionally owns quite a lot of energy vegetation in California and Illinois, mentioned it could spend $550 million to show no less than 9 of its coal-burning amenities in Illinois into websites for photo voltaic panels and battery storage.
The most important, a plant in Baldwin, Unwell., that’s set to retire by 2025, will get 190,000 photo voltaic panels on 500 acres of land. Collectively, the panels will generate 68 megawatts of energy, sufficient to produce someplace between 13,600 and 34,000 properties, relying on the time of yr. It can additionally get a 9-megawatt battery, which is able to assist distribute electrical energy when demand peaks or the solar isn’t shining.
Vistra chief govt, Curtis Morgan, mentioned it turned clear that the ability firm would want to “depart coal behind” and it was keen to construct new zero-emissions tasks to interchange a few of the energy from these vegetation. Nevertheless, he mentioned, the sluggish technique of getting approval from grid operators, which coordinate and monitor electrical energy provides, has been a roadblock for numerous Vistra’s proposed tasks.
A surge in proposals for wind, photo voltaic and battery storage tasks has overwhelmed regulators lately, based on an evaluation from the Lawrence Berkeley Nationwide Laboratory, which overlooks the College of California’s Berkeley campus. In 2021, wait instances had nearly doubled from a decade earlier than, to almost 4 years, and that doesn’t embody the growing variety of tasks which are withdrawing from the method completely.
If each venture at present ready for approval will get constructed, “we may hit 80 p.c clear vitality by 2030,” mentioned Mr. Rand, the lead creator of the report. “However we’d be fortunate if even 1 / 4 of what’s proposed really will get accomplished.”
Three of Vistra’s battery storage tasks in Illinois — on the Havana, Joppa and Edwards coal vegetation — additionally benefited from an infusion of grants from a state regulation, the Local weather and Equitable Jobs Act, aimed toward supporting a “simply transition” for coal-dependent communities towards renewable vitality. It was signed by Gov. J.B. Pritzker final fall, and in addition required all fossil-fuel-burning vegetation to chop their emissions to zero by 2045, which may result in their closure, although a lot of the coal vegetation in Illinois had been already poised to close down inside a decade.
The Coal-to-Photo voltaic Power Storage Grant Program that emerged from the laws additionally helps two different battery tasks, owned by NRG Power, which might be constructed on the Waukegan and Will County coal-burning energy stations.
The benefit of constructing renewable vitality tasks on outdated coal vegetation is twofold, mentioned Sylvia Garcia, the director of the Illinois Division of Commerce and Financial Alternative, which oversees the coal-to-solar program. First, tasks profit from the convenience of reusing an current connection to the grid. Second, it’s an effort towards “attempting to reinvest within the communities which have misplaced these coal vegetation” within the first place, she mentioned.
Whereas the brand new tasks will briefly create building jobs, working a photo voltaic plant or battery facility often doesn’t require as many staff. The Baldwin plant beforehand employed round 105 full-time staff. And whereas Vistra has not but finalized numbers on a site-by-site foundation, the 9 Illinois tasks mixed will create 29 full-time jobs yearly, the corporate’s communications director, Meranda Cohn, mentioned in an e-mail.
Coal vegetation additionally sometimes sit on a large parcel of land, and redeveloping these websites into renewable vitality tasks is a technique to put one thing productive on a chunk of property that may in any other case go unused.
“It’s actually shifting a really unfavorable useful resource into one that’s extra constructive for the neighborhood,” mentioned Jeff Bishop, chief govt of Key Seize Power, which plans to find a 20-megawatt battery storage venture at a retired coal plant close to Baltimore, Md.
Elsewhere in Holyoke, Mass., the retirement of Mount Tom Station, a coal plant that had operated for greater than 5 many years, offered numerous potentialities, mentioned Julie Vitek, vp of presidency and regulatory affairs for the ability producer ENGIE North America. After conferences with authorities officers, environmental teams and residents, a photo voltaic farm emerged as one of the best ways to “give new life to the commercial land at Mount Tom,” she mentioned.
Right now, the property is residence to some 17,000 photo voltaic panels and a small battery set up that type a neighborhood photo voltaic venture managed by Holyoke Fuel & Electrical, a city-owned utility that offers clients the selection to choose in to receiving solar energy from the venture. The panels produce about 6 megawatts of energy, sufficient to energy about 1,800 properties.
It’s not solely photo voltaic, battery and wind builders which are eyeing outdated coal vegetation for his or her infrastructure. TerraPower, a nuclear energy enterprise based by Invoice Gates, is finding a 345-megawatt superior nuclear reactor adjoining to a retiring coal plant in Kemmerer, Wyo. The situation is not going to solely permit the reactor to make the most of the prevailing grid connection, but in addition to utilize the coal plant’s cooling system, mentioned Chris Levesque, the TerraPower president and chief govt.
“In a approach, it’d be an actual disgrace to not make use of these coal vegetation,” Mr. Levesque mentioned.
Science
There's a reason you can't stop doomscrolling through L.A.'s fire disaster
Even for those lucky enough to get out in time, or to live outside the evacuation zones, there has been no escape from the fires in the Los Angeles area this week.
There is hardly a vantage point in the city from which flames or plumes of smoke are not visible, nowhere the scent of burning memories can’t reach.
And on our screens — on seemingly every channel and social media feed and text thread and WhatsApp group — an endless carousel of images documents a level of fear, loss and grief that felt unimaginable here as recently as Tuesday morning.
Even in places of physical safety, many in Los Angeles are finding it difficult to look away from the worst of the destruction online.
“To me it’s more comfortable to doomscroll than to sit and wait,” said Clara Sterling, who evacuated from her home Wednesday. “I would rather know exactly where the fire is going and where it’s headed than not know anything at all.”
A writer and comedian, Sterling is — by her own admission — extremely online. But the nature of this week’s fires make it particularly hard to disengage from news coverage and social media, experts said.
For one, there’s a material difference between scrolling through images of a far-off crisis and staying informed about an active disaster unfolding in your neighborhood, said Casey Fiesler, an associate professor specializing in tech ethics at the University of Colorado Boulder.
“It’s weird to even think of it as ‘doomscrolling,’ ” she said. “When you’re in it, you’re also looking for important information that can be really hard to get.”
When you share an identity with the victims of a traumatic event, you’re more likely both to seek out media coverage of the experience and to feel more distressed by the media you see, said Roxane Cohen Silver, distinguished professor of psychological science at UC Irvine.
For Los Angeles residents, this week’s fires are affecting the people we identify with most intimately: family, friends and community members. They have consumed places and landmarks that feature prominently in fond memories and regular routines.
The ubiquitous images have also fueled painful memories for those who have lived through similar disasters — a group whose numbers have increased as wildfires have grown more frequent in California, Silver said.
This she knows personally: She evacuated from the Laguna Beach fires in 1993, and began a long-term study of that fire’s survivors days after returning to her home.
“Throughout California, throughout the West, throughout communities that have had wildfire experience, we are particularly primed and sensitized to that news,” she said. “And the more we immerse ourselves in that news, the more likely we are to experience distress.”
Absorption in these images of fire and ash can cause trauma of its own, said Jyoti Mishra, an associate professor of psychiatry at UC San Diego who studied the long-term psychological health of survivors of the 2018 Camp fire.
The team identified lingering symptoms of post-traumatic stress disorder, depression and anxiety both among survivors who personally experienced fire-related trauma such as injury or property loss, and — to a smaller but still significant degree — among those who indirectly experienced the trauma as witnesses.
“If you’re witnessing [trauma] in the media, happening on the streets that you’ve lived on and walked on, and you can really put yourself in that place, then it can definitely be impactful,” said Mishra, who’s also co-director of the UC Climate Change and Mental Health Council. “Psychology and neuroscience research has shown that images and videos that generate a sense of personal meaning can have deep emotional impacts.”
The emotional pull of the videos and images on social media make it hard to look away, even as many find the information there much harder to trust.
Like many others, Sterling spent a lot of time online during the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic. Back then, Sterling said, the social media environment felt decidedly different.
“This time around I think I feel less informed about what’s going on because there’s been such a big push toward not fact-checking and getting rid of verified accounts,” she said.
The rise of AI-generated images and photos has added another troubling kink, as Sterling highlighted in a video posted to TikTok early Thursday.
“The Hollywood sign was not on fire last night. Any video or photos that you saw of the Hollywood sign on fire were fake. They were AI generated,” she said, posting from a hotel in San Diego after evacuating.
Hunter Ditch, a producer and voice actor in Lake Balboa, raised similar concerns about the lack of accurate information. Some social media content she’s encountered seemed “very polarizing” or political, and some exaggerated the scope of the disaster or featured complete fabrications, such as that flaming Hollywood sign.
The spread of false information has added another layer of stress, she said. This week, she started turning to other types of app — like the disaster mapping app, Watch Duty — to track the spreading fires and changing evacuation zones.
But that made her wonder: “If I have to check a whole other app for accurate information, then what am I even doing on social media at all?”
Science
Pink Fire Retardant, a Dramatic Wildfire Weapon, Poses Its Own Dangers
From above the raging flames, these planes can unleash immense tankfuls of bright pink fire retardant in just 20 seconds. They have long been considered vital in the battle against wildfires.
But emerging research has shown that the millions of gallons of retardant sprayed on the landscape to tame wildfires each year come with a toxic burden, because they contain heavy metals and other chemicals that are harmful to human health and the environment.
The toxicity presents a stark dilemma. These tankers and their cargo are a powerful tool for taming deadly blazes. Yet as wildfires intensify and become more frequent in an era of climate change, firefighters are using them more often, and in the process releasing more harmful chemicals into the environment.
Some environmental groups have questioned the retardants’ effectiveness and potential for harm. The efficiency of fire retardant has been hard to measure, because it’s one of a barrage of firefighting tactics deployed in a major fire. After the flames are doused, it’s difficult to assign credit.
The frequency and severity of wildfires has grown in recent years, particularly in the western United States. Scientists have also found that fires across the region have become faster moving in recent decades.
There are also the longer-term health effects of exposure to wildfire smoke, which can penetrate the lungs and heart, causing disease. A recent global survey of the health effects of air pollution caused by wildfires found that in the United States, exposure to wildfire smoke had increased by 77 percent since 2002. Globally, wildfire smoke has been estimated to be responsible for up to 675,000 premature deaths per year.
Fire retardants add to those health and environmental burdens because they present “a really, really thorny trade-off,” said Daniel McCurry, an assistant professor of civil and environmental engineering at the University of Southern California, who led the recent research on their heavy-metal content.
The United States Forest Service said on Thursday that nine large retardant-spraying planes, as well as 20 water-dropping helicopters, were being deployed to fight the Southern California fires, which have displaced tens of thousands of people. Several “water scooper” amphibious planes, capable of skimming the surface of the sea or other body of water to fill their tanks, are also being used.
Two large DC-10 aircraft, dubbed “Very Large Airtankers” and capable of delivering up to 9,400 gallons of retardant, were also set to join the fleet imminently, said Stanton Florea, a spokesman for the National Interagency Fire Center in Boise, Idaho, which coordinates national wildland firefighting efforts across the West.
Sprayed ahead of the fire, the retardants coat vegetation and prevent oxygen from allowing it to burn, Mr. Florea said. (Red dye is added so firefighters can see the retardant against the landscape.) And the retardant, typically made of salts like ammonium polyphosphate, “lasts longer. It doesn’t evaporate, like dropping water,” he said.
The new research from Dr. McCurry and his colleagues found, however, that at least four different types of heavy metals in a common type of retardant used by firefighters exceeded California’s requirements for hazardous waste.
Federal data shows that more than 440 million gallons of retardant were applied to federal, state, and private land between 2009 and 2021. Using that figure, the researchers estimated that between 2009 and 2021, more than 400 tons of heavy metals were released into the environment from fire suppression, a third of that in Southern California.
Both the federal government and the retardant’s manufacturer, Perimeter Solutions, have disputed that analysis, saying the researchers had evaluated a different version of the retardant. Dan Green, a spokesman for Perimeter, said retardants used for aerial firefighting had passed “extensive testing to confirm they meet strict standards for aquatic and mammalian safety.”
Still, the findings help explain why concentrations of heavy metals tend to surge in rivers and streams after wildfires, sometimes by hundreds of times. And as scrutiny of fire suppressants has grown, the Forestry Service has set buffer zones surrounding lakes and rivers, though its own data shows retardant still inadvertently drifts into those waters.
In 2022, the environmental nonprofit Forest Service Employees for Environmental Ethics sued the government in federal court in Montana, demanding that the Forest Service obtain a permit under the Clean Water Act to cover accidental spraying into waterways.
The judge ruled that the agency did indeed need to obtain a permit. But it allowed retardant use to continue to protect lives and property.
Science
2024 Brought the World to a Dangerous Warming Threshold. Now What?
At the stroke of midnight on Dec. 31, Earth finished up its hottest year in recorded history, scientists said on Friday. The previous hottest year was 2023. And the next one will be upon us before long: By continuing to burn huge amounts of coal, oil and gas, humankind has all but guaranteed it.
The planet’s record-high average temperature last year reflected the weekslong, 104-degree-Fahrenheit spring heat waves that shuttered schools in Bangladesh and India. It reflected the effects of the bathtub-warm ocean waters that supercharged hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico and cyclones in the Philippines. And it reflected the roasting summer and fall conditions that primed Los Angeles this week for the most destructive wildfires in its history.
“We are facing a very new climate and new challenges, challenges that our society is not prepared for,” said Carlo Buontempo, director of the Copernicus Climate Change Service, the European Union monitoring agency.
But even within this progression of warmer years and ever-intensifying risks to homes, communities and the environment, 2024 stood out in another unwelcome way. According to Copernicus, it was the first year in which global temperatures averaged more than 1.5 degrees Celsius, or 2.7 degrees Fahrenheit, above those the planet experienced at the start of the industrial age.
For the past decade, the world has sought to avoid crossing this dangerous threshold. Nations enshrined the goal in the 2015 Paris agreement to fight climate change. “Keep 1.5 alive” was the mantra at United Nations summits.
Yet here we are. Global temperatures will fluctuate somewhat, as they always do, which is why scientists often look at warming averaged over longer periods, not just a single year.
But even by that standard, staying below 1.5 degrees looks increasingly unattainable, according to researchers who have run the numbers. Globally, despite hundreds of billions of dollars invested in clean-energy technologies, carbon dioxide emissions hit a record in 2024 and show no signs of dropping.
One recent study published in the journal Nature concluded that the absolute best humanity can now hope for is around 1.6 degrees of warming. To achieve it, nations would need to start slashing emissions at a pace that would strain political, social and economic feasibility.
But what if we’d started earlier?
“It was guaranteed we’d get to this point where the gap between reality and the trajectory we needed for 1.5 degrees was so big it was ridiculous,” said David Victor, a professor of public policy at the University of California, San Diego.
The question now is what, if anything, should replace 1.5 as a lodestar for nations’ climate aspirations.
“These top-level goals are at best a compass,” Dr. Victor said. “They’re a reminder that if we don’t do more, we’re in for significant climate impacts.”
The 1.5-degree threshold was never the difference between safety and ruin, between hope and despair. It was a number negotiated by governments trying to answer a big question: What’s the highest global temperature increase — and the associated level of dangers, whether heat waves or wildfires or melting glaciers — that our societies should strive to avoid?
The result, as codified in the Paris agreement, was that nations would aspire to hold warming to “well below” 2 degrees Celsius while “pursuing efforts” to limit it to 1.5 degrees.
Even at the time, some experts called the latter goal unrealistic, because it required such deep and rapid emissions cuts. Still, the United States, the European Union and other governments adopted it as a guidepost for climate policy.
Christoph Bertram, an associate research professor at the University of Maryland’s Center for Global Sustainability, said the urgency of the 1.5 target spurred companies of all kinds — automakers, cement manufacturers, electric utilities — to start thinking hard about what it would mean to zero out their emissions by midcentury. “I do think that has led to some serious action,” Dr. Bertram said.
But the high aspiration of the 1.5 target also exposed deep fault lines among nations.
China and India never backed the goal, since it required them to curb their use of coal, gas and oil at a pace they said would hamstring their development. Rich countries that were struggling to cut their own emissions began choking off funding in the developing world for fossil-fuel projects that were economically beneficial. Some low-income countries felt it was deeply unfair to ask them to sacrifice for the climate given that it was wealthy nations — and not them — that had produced most of the greenhouse gases now warming the world.
“The 1.5-degree target has created a lot of tension between rich and poor countries,” said Vijaya Ramachandran, director for energy and development at the Breakthrough Institute, an environmental research organization.
Costa Samaras, an environmental-engineering professor at Carnegie Mellon University, compared the warming goals to health officials’ guidelines on, say, cholesterol. “We don’t set health targets on what’s realistic or what’s possible,” Dr. Samaras said. “We say, ‘This is what’s good for you. This is how you’re going to not get sick.’”
“If we were going to say, ‘Well, 1.5 is likely out of the question, let’s put it to 1.75,’ it gives people a false sense of assurance that 1.5 was not that important,” said Dr. Samaras, who helped shape U.S. climate policy from 2021 to 2024 in the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy. “It’s hugely important.”
Scientists convened by the United Nations have concluded that restricting warming to 1.5 degrees instead of 2 would spare tens of millions of people from being exposed to life-threatening heat waves, water shortages and coastal flooding. It might mean the difference between a world that has coral reefs and Arctic sea ice in the summer, and one that doesn’t.
Each tiny increment of additional warming, whether it’s 1.6 degrees versus 1.5, or 1.7 versus 1.6, increases the risks. “Even if the world overshoots 1.5 degrees, and the chances of this happening are increasing every day, we must keep striving” to bring emissions to zero as soon as possible, said Inger Anderson, the executive director of the United Nations Environment Program.
Officially, the sun has not yet set on the 1.5 target. The Paris agreement remains in force, even as President-elect Donald J. Trump vows to withdraw the United States from it for a second time. At U.N. climate negotiations, talk of 1.5 has become more muted compared with years past. But it has hardly gone away.
“With appropriate measures, 1.5 Celsius is still achievable,” Cedric Schuster, the minister of natural resources and environment for the Pacific island nation of Samoa, said at last year’s summit in Azerbaijan. Countries should “rise to the occasion with new, highly ambitious” policies, he said.
To Dr. Victor of U.C. San Diego, it is strange but all too predictable that governments keep speaking this way about what appears to be an unachievable aim. “No major political leader who wants to be taken seriously on climate wants to stick their neck out and say, ‘1.5 degrees isn’t feasible. Let’s talk about more realistic goals,’” he said.
Still, the world will eventually need to have that discussion, Dr. Victor said. And it’s unclear how it will go.
“It could be constructive, where we start asking, ‘How much warming are we really in for? And how do we deal with that?’” he said. “Or it could look very toxic, with a bunch of political finger pointing.”
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