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Cloud Wars: Mideast Rivalries Rise Along a New Front

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Cloud Wars: Mideast Rivalries Rise Along a New Front

ABU DHABI, United Arab Emirates — Iranian officers have anxious for years that different nations have been depriving them of considered one of their important water sources. But it surely was not an upstream dam that they had been worrying about, or an aquifer being bled dry.

In 2018, amid a searing drought and rising temperatures, some senior officers concluded that somebody was stealing their water from the clouds.

“Each Israel and one other nation are working to make Iranian clouds not rain,” stated Brig. Gen. Gholan Reza Jalali, a senior official within the nation’s highly effective Revolutionary Guards Corps in a 2018 speech.

The unnamed nation was the United Arab Emirates, which had begun an formidable cloud-seeding program, injecting chemical substances into clouds to attempt to drive precipitation. Iran’s suspicions are usually not shocking, given its tense relations with most Persian Gulf nations, however the true objective of those efforts is to not steal water, however merely to make it rain on parched lands.

Because the Center East and North Africa dry up, international locations within the area have launched into a race to develop the chemical substances and strategies that they hope will allow them to squeeze rain drops out of clouds that will in any other case float fruitlessly overhead.

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With 12 of the 19 regional international locations averaging lower than 10 inches of rainfall a 12 months, a decline of 20 % over the previous 30 years, their governments are determined for any increment of contemporary water, and cloud seeding is seen by many as a fast technique to sort out the issue.

And as rich international locations just like the emirates pump tons of of hundreds of thousands of {dollars} into the trouble, different nations are becoming a member of the race, attempting to make sure that they don’t miss out on their fair proportion of rainfall earlier than others drain the heavens dry — regardless of severe questions on whether or not the method generates sufficient rainfall to be well worth the effort and expense.

Morocco and Ethiopia have cloud-seeding packages, as does Iran. Saudi Arabia simply began a large-scale program, and a half-dozen different Center Jap and North African international locations are contemplating it.

China has probably the most formidable program worldwide, with the goal of both stimulating rain or halting hail throughout half the nation. It’s attempting to drive clouds to rain over the Yangtze River, which is working dry in some spots.

Whereas cloud seeding has been round for 75 years, consultants say the science has but to be confirmed. And they’re particularly dismissive of worries about one nation draining clouds dry on the expense of others downwind.

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The life span of a cloud, specifically the kind of cumulus clouds most definitely to supply rain, isn’t greater than a few hours, atmospheric scientists say. Sometimes, clouds can last more, however hardly ever lengthy sufficient to achieve one other nation, even within the Persian Gulf, the place seven international locations are jammed shut collectively.

However a number of Center Jap international locations have brushed apart the consultants’ doubts and are pushing forward with plans to wring any moisture they will from in any other case stingy clouds.

Right now, the unquestioned regional chief is the United Arab Emirates. As early because the Nineties, the nation’s ruling Al Nayhan household acknowledged that sustaining a plentiful provide of water could be as vital because the nation’s enormous oil and gasoline reserves in sustaining its standing because the monetary and enterprise capital of the Persian Gulf.

Whereas there had been sufficient water to maintain the tiny nation’s inhabitants in 1960, when there have been fewer than 100,000 folks, by 2020 the inhabitants had ballooned to almost 10 million. And the demand for water soared, as effectively. United Arab Emirates residents now use roughly 147 gallons per particular person a day, in contrast with the world common of 47 gallons, in line with a 2021 analysis paper funded by the emirates.

At the moment, that demand is being met by desalination crops. Every facility, nevertheless, prices $1 billion or extra to construct and requires prodigious quantities of power to run, particularly in comparison with cloud seeding, stated Abdulla Al Mandous, the director of the Nationwide Heart of Meteorology and Seismology within the emirates and the chief of its cloud-seeding program.

After 20 years of analysis and experimentation, the middle runs its cloud-seeding program with close to army protocols. 9 pilots rotate on standby, able to bolt into the sky as quickly as meteorologists specializing in the nation’s mountainous areas spot a promising climate formation — ideally, the kinds of clouds that may construct to heights of as a lot as 40,000 toes.

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They need to be prepared on a second’s discover as a result of promising clouds are usually not as widespread within the Center East as in lots of different components of the world.

“We’re on 24-hour availability — we dwell inside 30 to 40 minutes of the airport — and from arrival right here, it takes us 25 minutes to be airborne,” stated Capt. Mark Newman, a South African senior cloud-seeding pilot. Within the occasion of a number of, doubtlessly rain-bearing clouds, the middle will ship multiple plane.

The United Arab Emirates makes use of two seeding substances: the standard materials made from silver iodide and a newly patented substance developed at Khalifa College in Abu Dhabi that makes use of nanotechnology that researchers there say is best tailored to the new, dry circumstances within the Persian Gulf. The pilots inject the seeding supplies into the bottom of the cloud, permitting it to be lofted tens of hundreds of toes by highly effective updrafts.

After which, in principle, the seeding materials, made up of hygroscopic (water attracting) molecules, bonds to the water vapor particles that make up a cloud. That mixed particle is just a little larger and in flip attracts extra water vapor particles till they kind droplets, which ultimately turn into heavy sufficient to fall as rain — with no considerable environmental affect from the seeding supplies, scientists say.

That’s in principle. However many within the scientific group doubt the efficacy of cloud seeding altogether. A serious stumbling block for a lot of atmospheric scientists is the issue, maybe the impossibility, of documenting web will increase in rainfall.

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“The issue is that after you seed, you’ll be able to’t inform if the cloud would have rained anyway,” stated Alan Robock, an atmospheric scientist at Rutgers College and an skilled in evaluating local weather engineering methods.

One other downside is that the tall cumulus clouds commonest in summer season within the emirates and close by areas could be so turbulent that it’s tough to find out if the seeding has any impact, stated Roy Rasmussen, a senior scientist and an skilled in cloud physics on the Nationwide Heart for Atmospheric Analysis in Boulder, Colo.

Israel, a pioneer in cloud seeding, halted its program in 2021 after 50 years as a result of it appeared to yield at finest solely marginal positive factors in precipitation. It was “not economically environment friendly,” stated Pinhas Alpert, an emeritus professor on the College of Tel Aviv who did one of the vital complete research of this system.

Cloud seeding received its begin in 1947, with Common Electrical scientists working beneath a army contract to discover a technique to de-ice planes in chilly climate and create fog to obscure troop actions. A number of the strategies had been later utilized in Vietnam to delay the monsoon season, in an effort to make it tougher for the North Vietnamese to produce their troops.

Whereas the underlying science of cloud seeding appears simple, in observe, there are quite a few issues. Not all clouds have the potential to supply rain, and even a cloud seemingly appropriate for seeding might not have sufficient moisture. One other problem in scorching climates is that raindrops might evaporate earlier than they attain the bottom.

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Typically the impact of seeding could be bigger than anticipated, producing an excessive amount of rain or snow. Or the winds can shift, carrying the clouds away from the realm the place the seeding was performed, elevating the potential for “unintended penalties,” notes an announcement from the American Meteorological Society.

“You may modify a cloud, however you’ll be able to’t inform it what to do after you modify it,” stated James Fleming, an atmospheric scientist and historian of science at Colby Faculty in Maine.

“It would snow; it’d dissipate. It would go downstream; it’d trigger a storm in Boston,” he stated, referring to an early cloud-seeding experiment over Mount Greylock within the Berkshire Mountains of western Massachusetts.

This appears to be what occurred within the emirates in the summertime of 2019, when cloud seeding apparently generated such heavy rains in Dubai that water needed to be pumped out of flooded residential neighborhoods and the upscale Dubai mall.

Regardless of the difficulties of gathering knowledge on the efficacy of cloud seeding, Mr. Al Mandous stated the emirates’ strategies had been yielding not less than a 5 % improve in rain yearly — and virtually definitely way more. However he acknowledged the necessity for knowledge masking many extra years to fulfill the scientific group.

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Over final New Yr’s weekend, stated Mr. Al Mandous, cloud seeding coincided with a storm that produced 5.6 inches of rain in three days — extra precipitation than the United Arab Emirates typically will get in a 12 months.

Within the custom of many scientists who’ve tried to change the climate, he’s ever optimistic. There’s the brand new cloud-seeding nanosubstance, and if the emirates simply had extra clouds to seed, he stated, possibly they may make extra rain for the nation.

And the place would these additional clouds come from?

“Making clouds could be very tough,” he acknowledged. “However, who is aware of, possibly God will ship us anyone who can have the concept of learn how to make clouds.”

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If you're living with a drug or mental health problem, here's where to look for help

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If you're living with a drug or mental health problem, here's where to look for help

Fatal overdoses in the U.S. fell for the first time in five years in 2023, according to preliminary estimates recently released by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, but UCLA researcher Joseph Friedman warns that the new findings should not be interpreted to mean that the nation’s drug and mental health crises are abating.

Friedman has analyzed “deaths of despair” that result from overdose, suicide and liver disease due to alcoholism and found that while death rates for white Americans have dipped, rates have risen in recent years among people of color in the U.S., especially among Native and Black Americans. Illegal opioids such as fentanyl have ravaged Black and low-income communities in Los Angeles.

While it’s difficult to pinpoint the exact reasons behind substance abuse or suicide, Friedman as well as other experts in addiction medicine and mental health say racial inequality, economic distress and historical trauma have aggravated those problems in marginalized communities.

If you or someone you know needs immediate help for a mental health, substance-use or suicidal crisis, call or text 988, or chat online by visiting the suicide and crisis line’s website. For mental health resources and referrals, call the Los Angeles County Department of Mental Health’s Help Line 24/7 at (800) 854-7771.

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Here are other organizations that offer information, counseling and support services:

Nakeya Fields, a licensed clinical social worker in Pasadena, founded the Black Mental Health Task Force, a coalition that brings together mental health professionals, clients, nonprofits, community organizations, educators and others in California to raise awareness about mental wellness. Her Therapeutic Play Foundation offers activities designed to improve resilience and coping skills through creative arts, play and sports. It provides individual, couples, group and family therapy for Black, Latinx, LGBTQ+ and other members of marginalized populations.

The American Indian Counseling Center, a division of the Los Angeles County Mental Health Department, offers crisis intervention, 24/7 intensive mental health services and counseling for all ages, as well as physician consultations for medications and referrals to culturally relevant support groups. Call (562) 402-0677 and ask to speak with the on-duty worker.

United American Indian Involvement’s behavioral health program provides outpatient substance use disorder treatment and mental health services to American Indians and Alaska Natives living throughout Los Angeles County. Visit the website or call (213) 202-3970.

Melanin and Mental Health offers an online network of Black and brown mental healthcare providers that is searchable by geographic area, issue type and treatment sought. It’s also possible to filter results by therapists’ racial background and specialty, as well as by insurance carrier.

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The Black Mental Health Alliance offers confidential referrals to culturally competent mental health professionals who are in its database of licensed therapists.

Painted Brain advocates for mental wellness in underserved L.A. communities by offering self-care, relaxation and therapeutic art and play sessions, support groups and trainings for mental health professionals. As part of its peer-led model, many of the staff have experienced mental health issues themselves. Its community center and art space is located at 5980 W. Pico Blvd. in Los Angeles.

The Los Angeles LGBT Center offers individual, couples, family, group therapy and psychiatric care, as well as support for people struggling with substance use. The center has locations in West Hollywood, at Mi Centro in East L.A., at its Trans Wellness Center near MacArthur Park and in South L.A.’s Leimert Park neighborhood.

The Community Health Project Los Angeles provides services to people who use drugs by way of a harm-reduction approach that emphasizes offering clean needles as well as education on how to respond to an overdose.

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Are 'deaths of despair' really more common for white Americans? A UCLA report says no

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Are 'deaths of despair' really more common for white Americans? A UCLA report says no

Nakeya Fields has seen how the stresses that come with being Black — racial injustice, financial strain, social isolation — can leave people feeling hopeless and push some into substance abuse.

It’s one of the reasons the Pasadena social worker started offering “therapeutic play” gatherings for Black mothers like herself and children.

“I’m trying to host more safe spaces for us to come and share that we’re suffering,” the 32-year-old said. “And honestly, the adults need play more than kids.”

Yet while Black and brown mental health practitioners such as Fields have labored to address these issues within their communities, a very different conversation has been occurring in the nation at large.

For years, discussions about America’s substance-abuse crisis have focused almost exclusively on the narrative that it is white, middle-age adults who face the greatest risk of dying from drug overdoses, alcoholic liver disease and suicide.

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The theory, which was presented by two Princeton economists in 2015 and based on data from 1999 to 2013, argued that despair was behind rising premature mortality rates among white Americans, especially those who were less educated.

Virtually overnight, the “deaths of despair” concept began to drive the national discourse over populist far-right politics; the rise of Donald Trump; and deepening political polarization over such topics as addiction treatment, law enforcement and immigration.

But after roughly a decade, researchers at UCLA and elsewhere have begun to dismantle this idea.

In a study published recently in the journal JAMA Psychiatry, authors found that deaths of despair rates for middle-age Black and Native Americans have surged past those of white Americans as the overdose crisis moves from being driven by prescription opioids to illegal drugs such as fentanyl and heroin.

While the opioid crisis did raise drug overdose deaths among white Americans for a time, it was an anomaly, said Joseph Friedman, a social medicine expert at UCLA’s David Geffen School of Medicine who was the lead author of the journal analysis. In fact, by 2022 the rate for white Americans had started to dip.

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“What’s really important is that now, with these three causes of death, the gap has closed, and it’s moving in the other direction,” Friedman said.

Sandra Mims, a community health worker with Community Health Project L.A., puts out boxes of Narcan — a naloxone nasal spray that reverses the effects of opioid overdose — at an event at MacArthur Park in Los Angeles on International Overdose Awareness Day.

(Mel Melcon / Los Angeles Times)

The analysis found that deaths of despair for Black Americans hit a rate of 103.81 per 100,000 people in 2022, compared with 102.63 for white Americans. The rate for Native American and Alaska Native populations was even higher at 241.7 per 100,000 people in 2022.

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The UCLA analysis doesn’t specify the midlife personal issues that might have led to addiction or suicide.

But the authors say that flaws in the methodology of the 2015 deaths of despair report skewed its conclusions about who was most at risk. Specifically, Friedman said that it failed to give enough consideration to long-standing racial inequities that Black Americans experience in income, educational attainment, incarceration and access to quality medical care, all of which can contribute to drug use and poor mental health outcomes. And statistics for Native Americans weren’t factored in at all.

“It was burned into the American psyche that it was white people in the rural U.S.,” Friedman said. “It was just a very small piece of the truth that was very interesting but was widely sold as something it wasn’t.”

Another recent worrying sign, Friedman says: Deaths of despair among Latinos are starting to catch up to those among Black and Native Americans.

Princeton professors Anne Case and her husband Angus Deaton, winner of the 2015 Nobel Prize in economic sciences, were thrust into the media spotlight when their deaths of despair findings were first published. Deaton told NPR that during a visit to the White House, even President Obama asked him about the phenomenon.

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Their 2020 book, “Deaths of Despair and the Future of Capitalism,” was described by publisher Princeton University Press as “a troubling portrait of the American dream in decline.”

“For the white working class, today’s America has become a land of broken families and few prospects. As the college educated become healthier and wealthier, adults without a degree are literally dying from pain and despair,” the publisher said.

Fields, who employs yoga and pottery in her therapy, said this framing was misleading and racially biased.

“I’m actually flabbergasted that somebody has a term called ‘deaths of despair,’” Fields said. “It’s ‘despair’ when white people experience this suffering. But when we experience it, it’s just what we have to deal with.”

Nakeya Fields

Nakeya Fields says it’s important to address mental wellness issues early, before people reach a crisis point and become another statistic.

(Jason Armond / Los Angeles Times)

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Both Friedman and Fields say their critiques are not intended to minimize deaths among white Americans.

Still, Friedman wonders: “How do we empower Black and Native American communities in a way that enables them to treat these problems?”

Racism must be considered when trying to make sense of the crisis in premature deaths, says Dr. Helena Hansen, head of UCLA’s Department of Psychiatry and a senior author on Friedman’s analysis. Hansen, who is Black and specializes in addiction psychiatry, also co-authored the book “Whiteout: How Racial Capitalism Changed the Color of Opioids in America.”

For years, pharmaceutical companies steered expensive prescription pain medications, such as the opioid Oxycontin, as well as the most effective medications for opioid-use disorder, to white Americans with good access to healthcare, she said.

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But at the same time, Black and brown Americans were unfairly subjected to law enforcement policies that prioritized incarceration for illegal drug use over increasing access to more humane medical strategies to help them, further harming already vulnerable communities, Hansen said.

“In our society, people with access to the new technologies and pharmaceuticals are more likely to be white,” Hansen says. “None of this is by accident. All of this is the direct result of careful racially and class-segmented marketing strategies by pharmaceutical companies.”

This two-tiered system arose because drug manufacturers, doctors and policymakers have for too long failed to see people from historically marginalized communities who live with addiction and mental health crises as worthy of the same sympathy and treatments that many white Americans receive, Hansen says.

Joseph Gone, a professor of anthropology at Harvard who has spent 25 years studying the intersection of colonialism, culture and mental health in Indigenous communities, agreed.

“Deaths of despair have been a reality for Indigenous communities since conquest and dispossession,” he said.

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“It’s amazing how much grief our people contend with from early deaths — there are not that many communities in America that bear it quite the way we do,” said Gone, who is a member of the Aaniiih-Gros Ventre tribal nation of north-central Montana. “Until we acknowledge and take responsibility for the casualties of colonization, which endure to this day through deaths of despair, it’s going to be very hard to turn this around.”

Gone, who has collaborated with Friedman on previous research, says the mental health crisis in tribal nations is aggravated by widespread joblessness and generational poverty, and a lack of healthcare resources to treat people in need of immediate or long-term treatment.

Just one traveling psychiatrist serves reservations spread across both Montana and Wyoming — a region covering more than 243,300 square miles — mostly to manage patients’ prescriptions, he says.

And “for all of Indian country, we’re talking about a very small number of in-patient psychiatric facilities,” Gone says.

General practitioners can serve as a first line of defense, but they are not necessarily equipped to address the ongoing life crises that can lead to excessive drug and alcohol use, Gone says.

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Fields says it’s important to address mental wellness issues early, before people reach a crisis point and become another statistic.

While her focus remains on Black women, she’s developed additional programming for adults, families and children, such as developmental screenings that measure for high stress levels. In June, Fields will co-present “Rap 4 Peace,” a conference and gala featuring hip-hop artists talking about mental health and reducing gun violence.

“This ‘tragedy of despair’ lives in us,” Fields says. “We breathe it. We go outside hoping that nobody will harm us or our children because they feel threatened by us. This is truly harmful to our bodies.”

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SpaceX plans to launch 90 rockets from Vandenberg Space Force Base by 2026. Could that harm the coast?

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SpaceX plans to launch 90 rockets from Vandenberg Space Force Base by 2026. Could that harm the coast?

SpaceX plans to launch 90 rockets into space from a Santa Barbara County military base by 2026, tripling the number of blasts rocking the coastal community — and raising concerns from neighbors and environmental groups about the effects on marine life.

Founded by billionaire Elon Musk, SpaceX has ramped up the number of rocket launches from Vandenberg Space Force Base in recent years, and it has made clear its desire to increase the frequency of blastoffs. But during a California Coastal Commission hearing Friday, U.S. Space Force officials outlined for the first time its own plans to multiply the number of launches from the base, from 37 in 2023 to more than 120 a year by 2026.

The overwhelming majority of those rocket liftoffs would be conducted by SpaceX, which has already done more launches from the base than the commission has approved.

Last year SpaceX breached an agreement with the commission that limited the number of launches to six, sending 28 rockets into space.

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It is seeking an agreement with the commission to do 36 launches a year, increasing to 90 in 2026.

The decision by the commission, which was created to protect the state’s coastal resources, will directly affect residents and marine life near the military base that hear and feel the rockets’ sonic booms.

It could also redirect the future of SpaceX, whose pursuit to redefine space exploration is already closely tied with U.S. military interests, given its work as a military contractor.

“The ultimate goal is for this to be more routine and not a huge deal,” said Space Force Col. Bryan Titus, operations vice commander at the base.

Formed in 2019, the U.S. Space Force has been looking to improve its ability to send rockets into space, Titus said, so SpaceX’s ability to launch with more frequency is a benefit to the U.S. military.

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SpaceX launched 96 rockets in 2023 from Vandenberg and three other facilities: Cape Canaveral Space Force Station in Florida, NASA’s Kennedy Space Center in Merritt Island, Fla., and SpaceX Starbase in Boca Chica, Texas.

Environmental groups argue that turning launches into a routine event could affect marine life.

“We’re concerned that more frequent launches will result in permanent changes,” said Ana Citrin, legal and policy director for the Gaviota Coast Conservancy.

Federal agencies, including the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service and National Marine Fisheries Service, monitor the effects of the liftoffs on such animals as sea otters, bats, western snowy plovers, California least terns and California red-legged frogs.

Thus far, the monitoring has shown that some of the animals might react to the blastoff by flushing, or fleeing from their nests and homes, but they return soon after, according to U.S. Space Force officials. No long-term effects have been seen, they said.

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SpaceX did not respond to a request for comment.

Flushing or hunkering down after a blast are already signs of wildlife exhibiting signs of stress, said Duncan Leitch, a professor of integrative biology at UCLA.

Most animals can adapt to infrequent incidents, but exposure to more frequent stressful incidents can change their biology as well as their behavior, he said.

In the worst-case scenarios, he said, the ability of birds to communicate could be impeded, and migratory birds could avoid the area. Fish and other animals that use sound to communicate and navigate underwater — including whales — could be affected too.

“Over a longer period of time, there may be reductions in the population of fish as they move away from the sound, or they may be affected to the point that it affects their health,” Leitch said. “It would change the ecosystem as far as other animals that rely on the fish.

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“Having sounds that are well into the damaging, or painful, range of decibels now occurring [100] times a year, the animals might not have the ability to change their behavior or accommodate these types of sounds.”

Some environmental groups, including the Surfrider Foundation, are asking the commission to reject the increase.

SpaceX “intends to begin increasing very rapidly, so we’re very concerned about this,” said Mandy Sackett, senior California policy coordinator for the Surfrider Foundation.

More frequent launches could change the way wildlife in the area responds in the long term, environmental groups said.

Members of the California Coastal Commission are also asking whether SpaceX should be entitled to circumvent the permit process, as federal agencies are.

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Federal entities negotiate agreements with the commission but ultimately can move ahead even without commission approval. In such cases, the commission’s recourse would be through mediation or the courts.

Because SpaceX is a U.S. Space Force contractor, military officials argue that all launch operations at the base by the company are “federal activities.”

But U.S. Space Force officials said only 25% of the rockets launched into space by SpaceX are carrying payloads for the Department of the Defense.

The vast majority of the liftoffs are for the company’s private benefit, raising questions about why SpaceX can dispense with permits when 75% of its blasts from the base don’t involve the U.S. government.

“That is still pretty skewed for me,” Commissioner Mike Wilson said during a meeting Friday.

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Some commissioners — whose focus is usually on environmental protection, development and water issues during their monthly meetings — also brought up the war in Ukraine during Friday’s discussion.

“I question the national security public benefit of concentrating that much power, literally communication power, in one company that we’re enabling in this case,” Wilson said. “[SpaceX] has already showed that it will play in international conflicts at the will of one human being.”

Wilson was referring to reports that Musk’s company refused to allow Ukraine to use satellite internet service from Starlink, a subsidiary of SpaceX, to help it carry out an attack against Russia in September 2022.

“If the idea is that we’re supporting these permits on the side that we’re promoting national defense, and then a single company is able to dismantle our allies during armed conflict — that really doesn’t align,” Commissioner Justin Cummings said.

“I suspect that would violate our strategies around national defense.”

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Titus declined to address the question, saying it was “out of my lane,” but he said he would try to get answers to address the commissioners’ concerns.

Some commissioners on Friday also argued that SpaceX, not U.S. military officials, should be making the company’s case in front of the agency.

“When this comes back, I think it would be really important that a representative from SpaceX comes to the meeting,” Cummings said.

Cummings said it was “ridiculous” for SpaceX not to appear at the meeting, despite multiple efforts from the agency to have SpaceX officials speak.

“They obviously refuse to because they’ve never shown up,” he said.

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On Friday, Commission Chair Caryl Hart suggested an agreement might not be possible unless SpaceX changes its stance.

“From my perspective,” Hart said, “I think we’re going to continue to hit significant obstacles in achieving a federal consistency ruling without having SpaceX.”

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