Science
A leading pediatrician was already worried about the future of vaccines. Then RFK Jr. came along
The best and the worst thing about vaccination, pediatrician Dr. Adam Ratner says, is that it “makes nothing happen.”
A child successfully inoculated against a vaccine-preventable disease — the measles, let’s say, to name the most infectious of them all — doesn’t fall sick with that condition, doesn’t miss school, doesn’t go to the hospital. They don’t suffer life-changing complications. They don’t die prematurely.
This absence of action can make it easy to forget the role vaccination played in keeping that child healthy. It can be easy to confuse a society that has responsibly controlled measles for a society that is no longer threatened by measles.
These moments of complacency are when vaccine rates dip and illnesses long kept at bay by effective public health programs begin creeping back, Ratner said.
And almost always, the first preventable illness to elbow its way back onto the scene is measles — a highly contagious virus that’s stunningly adept at exploiting our social and physical weaknesses.
Measles “is the thing we see first when public health starts to falter,” Ratner said recently from his office in New York City.
“It’s not that humans aren’t susceptible to these diseases, or that Americans are somehow magically protected against these things that used to kill lots of us,” he said. “They can come back. And they will.”
Ratner, who heads the pediatric infectious disease unit at NYU Langone’s Hassenfeld Children’s Hospital, tracks the history of the virus and its vaccination in his new book “Booster Shots: The Urgent Lessons of Measles and the Uncertain Future of Children’s Health.”
Ratner began drafting the book after the 2018-19 measles outbreak in New York City, in which he treated some of the roughly 650 people who fell ill.
He continued writing during the COVID-19 pandemic, as debates over trust in public health turned bitter and rancorous.
It publishes as the Senate seems poised to confirm President Trump’s nominee, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., a prominent vaccine critic, as the next health secretary.
“He’s written a book that, sadly, couldn’t be better timed,” said Dr. Paul Offit, a virologist and immunologist at the University of Pennsylvania.
“As people become less and less comfortable about vaccines, as they become more and more cynical about vaccines, immunization rates are starting to decline. That’s already happening,” said Offit, who runs the Vaccine Education Center at the Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, where Ratner was a fellow. “Measles is the canary in the coal mine because it is the most contagious, far and away, of the vaccine-preventable diseases.”
In the book, which publishes Tuesday, Ratner describes a virus with an “unmatched ability to spread from person to person” that once regularly claimed the lives of at least 400 U.S. children per year.
Although a safe, cheap and effective vaccine to prevent most cases has been available “since well before the moon landing,” Ratner writes, measles has proved remarkably effective at undermining the collective effort required to keep populations healthy. The vaccine is to an extent a chronic victim of its own success.
“The better that we get at using the measles vaccine, the lower the case rates go. The lower the rates, the less people think about measles,” Ratner writes. Parents may wonder why it’s worth giving children an injection to prevent a disease that no one ever gets. Politicians may question whether vaccination drives are worth funding.
“When we forget,” Ratner writes, “measles thrives.”
Before the measles vaccine’s introduction in 1963, nearly all U.S. children contracted it before their 15th birthday, resulting in up to 4 million cases each year, according to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control. An estimated 48,000 people were hospitalized annually with serious complications such as encephalitis.
The measles vaccine, which in 1971 was combined with inoculations for mumps and rubella, is widely considered a triumph of public health. Since 2000, the MMR vaccine has saved an estimated 60.3 million lives.
There were 284 cases of measles in the U.S. last year, 40% of which required hospitalization. A full 96% of cases were in people who were unvaccinated, did not finish their MMR series or whose vaccine status was not known, according to the CDC.
Yet total eradication remains elusive, and control over the virus is precarious, Ratner warns.
A population achieves herd immunity from measles when more than 95% of people are fully vaccinated. Last year’s cohort of kindergartners failed to reach that target, with only 92.7% completing their measles, mumps and rubella vaccine series. Uptake rates among kindergartners for all vaccines declined from the year before.
Globally, armed conflict and social upheavals can upend vaccination goals. But it doesn’t require violence to derail public health goals, Ratner writes.
“Even in wealthy nations, when anti-vaccine charlatans and pseudoscience peddlers thrive, when funding to vaccination programs is cut, when well-meaning parents do not learn how to tell reliable information from its opposite and thus fail to vaccinate their children, measles is often the first sign,” Ratner writes. “It is also a sure indication that other problems are not far behind.”
Ratner finished the book well before the 2024 election and Kennedy’s subsequent elevation.
Kennedy was for several years chair of Children’s Health Defense, a nonprofit that falsely claims childhood vaccines cause autism, and has a well-documented history of publicly questioning the science behind the shots. He described the health effects of vaccines as a “holocaust” in 2015, for which he later apologized.
During confirmation hearings before two Senate committees last month, Kennedy said that his views on vaccines have been mischaracterized, and that he supported the childhood vaccination schedule.
The prospect of an outspoken vaccine critic heading the Department of Health and Human Services “is horrifying,” Ratner said in a recent interview. “I can’t imagine a worse situation for public health in the country.” (His views on Kennedy are solely his own, he noted, and don’t represent the position of his hospital.)
“People are trying to make political points, and people are angry about lots of things. But the problem is that the fallout is real children,” Ratner said. “When we can’t get new vaccines licensed, when we have to fight to keep the ones that are already licensed on a recommended schedule, it is children . . . that are going to suffer.”
There have been skeptics of inoculation for as long as humans have been experimenting with it. Ratner notes that when Puritan minister Cotton Mather advocated publicly in 1721 for variolation, an early form of smallpox vaccination, a grenade came crashing through his window bearing a note: “You Dog, Dam you: I’ll inoculate you with this, with a Pox to you.”
Hanging in his office is a framed vintage poster the CDC commissioned in the late 1970s, when the Vietnam War and Watergate had shaken the public’s faith in government authorities.
Above the “Star Wars” characters R2-D2 and C-3PO, the poster asks: “Parents of Earth, Are Your Children Fully Immunized?” It’s a reminder that vaccine hesitancy has been with us for decades, he says, and that accessible, trusted messengers can make a difference. The stakes could hardly be higher.
“Adam’s thesis is spot on: Public trust in science and public health is at an all-time low,” said Jay Vornhagen, a microbiologist and immunologist at Indiana University School of Medicine.
If we don’t find ways to rebuild that trust — if the medical and public health communities don’t reconnect with the public, and vice versa —more people, mostly children, will suffer,” Vornhagen said. “We need to come together as a community, to see the humanity in one another, and to make choices that extend beyond ourselves.”
Science
Lyrids Meteor Shower: How to Watch, Peak Time and Weather Forecast
Our universe might be chock-full of cosmic wonder, but you can observe only a fraction of astronomical phenomena with the naked eye. Meteor showers, natural fireworks that streak brightly across the night sky, are one of them.
The latest observable meteor shower will be the Lyrids, which has been active since April 14 and is forecast to continue through April 30. The shower reaches its peak April 21 to 22, or Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.
According to NASA, the Lyrids are one of the oldest known meteor showers, and have been enjoyed by stargazers for nearly 3,000 years. Their bright, speedy streaks are caused by the dusty debris from a comet named Thatcher. They appear to spring from the constellation Lyra, which right now can be seen in the eastern sky at night in the Northern Hemisphere.
The moon will be about 27 percent full tonight, appearing as a thick crescent in the sky, according to the American Meteor Society.
To get a hint at when to best watch for the Lyrids, you can use this tool, which relies on data from the Global Meteor Network. It shows fireball activity levels in real time.
And while you gaze at the heavens, keep an eye out for other stray meteors streaking across the night sky. Skywatchers are reporting that the amount of fireballs is double what is usually seen by this point in the year.
Where meteor showers come from
There is a chance you might see a meteor on any given night, but you are most likely to catch one during a shower. Meteor showers are caused by Earth passing through the rubble trailing a comet or asteroid as it swings around the sun. This debris, which can be as small as a grain of sand, leaves behind a glowing stream of light as it burns up in Earth’s atmosphere.
Meteor showers occur around the same time every year and can last for days or weeks. But there is only a small window when each shower is at its peak, which happens when Earth reaches the densest part of the cosmic debris. The peak is the best time to look for a shower. From our point of view on Earth, the meteors will appear to come from the same point in the sky.
The Perseid meteor shower, for example, peaks in mid-August from the constellation Perseus. The Geminids, which occur every December, radiate from the constellation Gemini.
How to watch a meteor shower
Michelle Nichols, the director of public observing at the Adler Planetarium in Chicago, recommends forgoing the use of telescopes or binoculars while watching a meteor shower.
“You just need your eyes and, ideally, a dark sky,” she said.
That’s because meteors can shoot across large swaths of the sky, so observing equipment can limit your field of view.
Some showers are strong enough to produce up to 100 streaks an hour, according to the American Meteor Society, though you probably won’t see that many.
“Almost everybody is under a light-polluted sky,” Ms. Nichols said. “You may think you’re under a dark sky, but in reality, even in a small town, you can have bright lights nearby.”
Planetariums, local astronomy clubs or even maps like this one can help you figure out where to go to escape excessive light. The best conditions for catching a meteor shower are a clear sky with no moon or cloud cover, sometime between midnight and sunrise. (Moonlight affects visibility in the same way as light pollution, washing out fainter sources of light in the sky.) Make sure to give your eyes at least 30 minutes to adjust to seeing in the dark.
Ms. Nichols also recommends wearing layers, even during the summer. “You’re going to be sitting there for quite a while, watching,” she said. “It’s going to get chilly, even in August.”
Bring a cup of cocoa or tea for even more warmth. Then lie back, scan the sky and enjoy the show.
Where weather is least likely to affect your view
Storm systems sweep across the country in early spring, and some will be obscuring skies tonight. But there will still be plenty of areas with clear skies, particularly in parts of the central United States.
“The best spot is going to be in the Upper Midwest,” said Rich Bann, a meteorologist with the Weather Prediction Center.
Minnesota, Wisconsin and Iowa will offer especially good sky-viewing weather and a beach on the Great Lakes could be a nice spot to look up at the stars.
But don’t expect to view the show from Chicago, as Illinois could see some thunderstorms. The weather will be better in the Northern and Central Plains, particularly the eastern Dakotas.
High, wispy clouds are expected over the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys and into parts of the Mid-Atlantic. But, Mr. Bann said, “you may be able to see some shooting stars through thin clouds.”
Clouds will be draped across much of the Southeast and the Northeast, though there could be some clearing in Florida, Georgia, the Carolinas and Virginia. Remember, the meteors could be visible all night long. If you look outside and see clouds, try again later.
Catching the spectacle will be challenging across much of the West, particularly from Washington into Northern California, where a storm system is bringing rain and snow. That system will move east overnight.
There are likely to be some pockets of clear skies at times across southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southwest Utah, Mr. Bann said.
Amy Graff contributed reporting.
Science
FBI probes cases of missing or dead scientists, including four from the L.A. area
WASHINGTON — Amid growing national security concerns, the FBI said Tuesday that it has launched a broad investigation in the deaths or disappearances of at least 10 scientists and staff connected to highly sensitive research, including four from the Los Angeles area.
“The FBI is spearheading the effort to look for connections into the missing and deceased scientists. We are working with the Department of Energy, Department of War, and with our state and state and local law enforcement partners to find answers,” the agency said in a statement.
The FBI’s announcement comes after the House Oversight Committee announced that it would investigate reports of the disappearance and deaths of the scientists, sending letters seeking information from the agencies involved in the federal inquiry as well as NASA, which owns the Jet Propulsion Laboratory in La Cañada Flintridge, where three of the missing or dead scientists worked.
“If the reports are accurate, these deaths and disappearances may represent a grave threat to U.S. national security and to U.S. personnel with access to scientific secrets,” Reps. James Comer (R-Ky.), chairman of the committee, and Eric Burlison (R-Mo.) wrote in the letters.
President Trump told reporters last week that he had been briefed on the missing and dead scientists, which he described as “pretty serious stuff.” He said at the time that he expected answers on whether the deaths were connected “in the next week and a half.”
Michael David Hicks, who studied comets and asteroids at JPL, was the first of the scientists who disappeared or died. He died on July 30, 2023, at the age of 59. No cause of death was disclosed.
A year later, JPL physicist Frank Maiwald died at 61, with no cause of death disclosed.
Two other Los Angeles scientists are part of the string of deaths and disappearances.
On June 22, 2025, Monica Jacinto Reza, a materials scientist at JPL, disappeared while on a hike near Mt. Waterman in the San Gabriel Mountains.
On Feb. 16, Caltech astrophysicist Carl Grillmair was fatally shot on the porch of his Llano home. The Los Angeles County Sheriff’s department arrested Freddy Snyder, 29, in connection with the shooting. Snyder had been arrested in December on suspicion of trespassing on Grillmair’s property.
Snyder has been charged with murder.
There is no evidence at this point that the deaths and disappearances, which occurred over a span of four years, are connected.
A spokesperson for NASA, which owns JPL, said in a statement on X that the agency is “coordinating and cooperating with the relevant agencies in relation to the missing scientists.
“At this time, nothing related to NASA indicates a national security threat,” agency spokesperson Bethany Stevens wrote. “The agency is committed to transparency and will provide more information as able.”
Representatives from Caltech, which manages JPL, did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
Science
What’s in a Name? For These Snails, Legal Protection
The sun had barely risen over the Pacific Ocean when a small motorboat carrying a team of Indigenous artisans and Mexican biologists dropped anchor in a rocky cove near Bahías de Huatulco.
Mauro Habacuc Avendaño Luis, one of the craftsmen, was the first to wade to shore. With an agility belying his age, he struck out over the boulders exposed by low tide. Crouching on a slippery ledge pounded by surf, he reached inside a crevice between two rocks. There, lodged among the urchins, was a snail with a knobby gray shell the size of a walnut. The sight might not dazzle tourists who travel here to see humpback whales, but for Mr. Avendaño, 85, these drab little mollusks represent a way of life.
Marine snails in the genus Plicopurpura are sacred to the Mixtec people of Pinotepa de Don Luis, a small town in southwestern Oaxaca. Men like Mr. Avendaño have been sustainably “milking” them for radiant purple dye for at least 1,500 years. The color suffuses Mixtec textiles and spiritual beliefs. Called tixinda, it symbolizes fertility and death, as well as mythic ties between lunar cycles, women and the sea.
The future of these traditions — and the fate of the snails — are uncertain. The mollusks are subject to intense poaching pressure despite federal protections intended to protect them. Fishermen break them (and the other mollusks they eat) open and sell the meat to local restaurants. Tourists who comb the beaches pluck snails off the rocks and toss them aside.
A severe earthquake in 2020 thrust formerly submerged parts of their habitat above sea level, fatally tossing other mollusks in the snail’s food web to the air, and making once inaccessible places more available to poachers.
Decades ago, dense clusters of snails the size of doorknobs were easy to find, according to Mr. Avendaño. “Full of snails,” he said, sweeping a calloused, violet-stained hand across the coves. Now, most of the snails he finds are small, just over an inch, and yield only a few milliliters of dye.
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