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Vermont was supposedly safe from the worst climate risks. Then came relentless floods

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Vermont was supposedly safe from the worst climate risks. Then came relentless floods


On a single day in late July, a pretty normal looking summer storm dropped a record 8 inches of rain over the Northeast Kingdom in just 24 hours.

Rivers and brooks swelled rapidly and jumped their banks. Homes that had sat in the same place for hundreds of years were swept away.

In the hard-hit village of Lyndonville, it was the fifth time in 13 months the town saw flooding, and the second time in July alone. Plenty of other Vermont towns were flooded at least three times in the last year.

More from Vermont Public: Frequent flooding in Vt. threatens the future of historic settlement patterns

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Vermont has a reputation for being a place that is relatively safe from the worst impacts of climate change. However, the latest series of climate fueled flooding disasters is raising questions about whether that’s the case.

Lyndonville Fire Chief Jeff Corrow said in 34 years of firefighting there, he thought he’d seen it all.

“This is an event that we’ve never had before to this degree,” he told Vermont Public reporter Peter Hirschfeld outside the fire station on July 31. “We’re venturing down a road that we haven’t been on. And it’s not a good road to be on.”

We’re venturing down a road that we haven’t been on. And it’s not a good road to be on.

Jeff Corrow, Lyndonville fire chief

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Lyndonville and the surrounding Northeast Kingdom communities aren’t alone in being on that road.

By at least one count, Washington County — home to Montpelier — is now tied for being the second-most disaster prone county in America. That’s if you count the number of federal disaster declarations from 2011 through 2023, as the think tank Rebuild by Design did.

Part of the problem, says Dartmouth College professor Jonathan Winter, is the rate at which storm systems are dropping precipitation over the region. Winter, a geographer, says human-caused climate change is making Vermont and its neighboring states up and down the Atlantic coast to New Jersey, much wetter.

His research finds the Northeast now sees 50% more extreme precipitation than it did before 1995, a finding that’s supported by the Fifth National Climate Assessment.

The mechanics behind this are fairly straightforward: As the atmosphere warms, it can hold more moisture, and that means more rain when that moisture gets wrung out.

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So far, Winter says in New England, it seems, “We’re getting the same storms, they just have more fuel to work with once they get here.”

More from Vermont Public: Feds grant Vermont a disaster declaration for earlier July storms

It’s a trend Winter says will likely continue as the climate warms, but that could be much improved if the world makes meaningful reductions in the amount of greenhouse gas emissions we humans produce.

On the flipside, if very little is done, the Northeast is expected to continue to see much more extreme rain.

This trend has come as an unpleasant surprise for many Vermonters — in particular, for farmers. Jon Wagner co-owns Bear Roots Farm in Williamstown and Barre, where he grows organic vegetables.

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Wagner used to farm on Long Island. But that ended after his fields were inundated with saltwater during Superstorm Sandy. He says they watched the vegetables turn black in the field overnight, and saw their soil get burned by saltwater.

“So we decided to move up to Vermont, a landlocked place where theoretically it couldn’t flood,” Wagner said. “But it turns out you can.”

Abagael Giles

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Jon Wagner of Bear Roots Farm holds one of the pumpkins they grew this year.

After farming through nearly a decade of drought — something else Vermont is seeing more of with climate change — a flash flood and sustained wet weather swept away about 75% of their harvest last summer.

“We basically came into the season on credit card debt,” he said. “So we’re still kind of taking it a week at a time, just trying to stay afloat.”

This year, they’re growing everything they can up on higher ground, including a couple of acres of heirloom pumpkins and winter squash. The relatively warm weather this summer has accelerated the pace of the growing season, and that’s been a welcome relief, Wagner said.

But in some places, higher ground brings other hazards in a changing climate.

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Up high in the Green Mountains in Ripton, there’s growing concern about landslides wiping out their mostly dirt roads.

Last summer during a torrential rainstorm, a hillside collapsed in the night, sweeping an entire home off of its foundation before the owner’s eyes. It was one of 82 landslides recorded by the Agency of Natural Resources after the July 2023 flooding event, and one of 11 that required a same-day evacuation.

More from Vermont Public: FEMA will review proposed floodplain map for Johnson after neglecting to include data from recent floods

“Landslides were not really a thing up here, except perhaps on Route 125, coming up the mountain,” said Laurie Cox, chair of the Ripton Select Board.

Cox said no one expected a landslide to jeopardize a home in Ripton, and the fact that one did is unsettling.

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 A white building stands atop a hill. There is a landslide to the right of the building.

Agency of Transportation

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Ripton wasn’t the only Vermont community to see mudslides last July. A landslide near Prospect St. in Barre from torrential rain in July 2023 can be seen from the air.

“All of that makes one realize that everything that you thought was solid under your feet isn’t always solid,” she said.

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Ripton is looking at rebuilding an old road that’s more of a trail now, so that emergency vehicles can get in and out if the highway is swept away in a future storm.

And state officials with Gov. Phil Scott’s administration have called for a new statewide “Landslide Taskforce” to coordinate evacuations during storms.

The Flood Safety Act, a new state law passed this year, makes it harder to build new structures in places where rivers are likely to wash them away.

But with entire 200-plus year old communities located in places that now flood, these are not the only changes the state will be forced to contemplate in the coming decades.

More from Vermont Public: Capitol Recap: Vermont lawmakers’ new Flood Safety Act wants to bolster rivers, wetlands as natural mitigation

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For his part, Jon Wagner of Bear Roots Farm says he’s grateful Vermont has water, and doesn’t have to contend with sea level rise.

Still, he says he doesn’t think of any place as being safe from climate change.

A field of pumpkins on a slanted hill, under a cloudy gray sky.

Abagael Giles

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This summer, Bear Roots Farm planted as much as they could up high.

“I think ultimately, it is affecting everyone everywhere,” he said.

And while it presents a challenge for farming here, Wagner says he’s determined to adapt.

Have questions, comments or tips? Send us a message.

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Tourism Leaders To Gather In Killington For Vermont Tourism Summit

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Tourism Leaders To Gather In Killington For Vermont Tourism Summit


Tuesday, April 28-Wednesday, April 29 —KILLINGTON— The Killington Grand Resort Hotel & Conference Center will host the 41st Annual Vermont Tourism Summit, bringing together business owners, operators, and industry professionals from across the state for two days focused on collaboration, strategy, and growth within Vermont’s tourism economy.



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Vermont residents remain concerned over potential environmental provisions

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Vermont residents remain concerned over potential environmental provisions


This week, a bill that would make changes to Vermont’s Act 181 is receiving testimony in the House Committee on Environment. Certain provisions in Act 181 could trigger a permitting process through Vermont’s land use protection law, Act 250. A rule related to road building and some lands identified as “critical natural resource areas” by the state’s land use review board are expected to take effect this year. Last month, legislation passed the Senate and is currently in the House to push those deadlines back by a few years. For Corinth resident Neil Ryan, that not enough. “The group of people that was largely left out of the process: Rural Vermonters are having this imposed upon them with no say,” he said. Ryan and his family have built their own farms for generations. He believes if the provisions take effect, it would be very difficult for future generations to accomplish what he has. “The difficulty of the Act 250 process, the costs associated with the Act 250 process, we wouldn’t have started those farms likely,” he said. However, Ryan said he does support the portion of Act 181 that allows towns to opt into being exempt from the permitting process altogether. This is meant to assist housing development. On Tuesday, regional planning commissions told lawmakers that many towns have opted in. Still, Vermont is not on track for its goal of 40,000 + homes by 2030. “We’re not saying rural housing growth should stop or slow,” Executive Director of the Northwest RPC Catherine Dimitruk said. “Were saying those additional units that we need, we should be doing all we can to encourage and incentivize.”The bill will remain in House environment for the foreseeable future.

This week, a bill that would make changes to Vermont’s Act 181 is receiving testimony in the House Committee on Environment.

Certain provisions in Act 181 could trigger a permitting process through Vermont’s land use protection law, Act 250.

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A rule related to road building and some lands identified as “critical natural resource areas” by the state’s land use review board are expected to take effect this year.

Last month, legislation passed the Senate and is currently in the House to push those deadlines back by a few years. For Corinth resident Neil Ryan, that not enough.

“The group of people that was largely left out of the process: Rural Vermonters are having this imposed upon them with no say,” he said.

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Ryan and his family have built their own farms for generations. He believes if the provisions take effect, it would be very difficult for future generations to accomplish what he has.

“The difficulty of the Act 250 process, the costs associated with the Act 250 process, we wouldn’t have started those farms likely,” he said.

However, Ryan said he does support the portion of Act 181 that allows towns to opt into being exempt from the permitting process altogether. This is meant to assist housing development.

On Tuesday, regional planning commissions told lawmakers that many towns have opted in. Still, Vermont is not on track for its goal of 40,000 + homes by 2030.

“We’re not saying rural housing growth should stop or slow,” Executive Director of the Northwest RPC Catherine Dimitruk said. “Were saying those additional units that we need, we should be doing all we can to encourage and incentivize.”

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The bill will remain in House environment for the foreseeable future.



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Hour-by-hour: See when to expect steady snow Tuesday in Vermont, New York

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Hour-by-hour: See when to expect steady snow Tuesday in Vermont, New York


Roads will turn slippery mid-morning through mid-afternoon

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Hour-by-hour: See when to expect steady snow Tuesday in Vermont, New York

Roads will turn slippery mid-morning through mid-afternoon

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NBC5 meteorologists expect a burst of steady snow to arrive Tuesday morning in Vermont and northern New York, lasting through the early-mid afternoon. Deteriorating road conditions will lead to slow travel for several hours, with some improvement expected by the evening commute.Watch the video above to see the timeline for your area.

NBC5 meteorologists expect a burst of steady snow to arrive Tuesday morning in Vermont and northern New York, lasting through the early-mid afternoon.

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Deteriorating road conditions will lead to slow travel for several hours, with some improvement expected by the evening commute.

Watch the video above to see the timeline for your area.

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