Pennsylvania
A political realignment in PA: Despite recent Dem wins, the GOP is gaining momentum, analysts say
Top political analysts in Pennsylvania say the state is in the midst of a major demographic and electoral shift, which is likely to prove beneficial for the GOP. According to the latest figures coming out of the commonwealth, Republicans gained more than 10,000 new registrants in the last two months.
An analysis of data from the Pennsylvania Department of State conducted by the news outlets PoliticsPA and SpotlightPA found Pennsylvania’s running totals of Republican registrants as of mid-May had increased nearly 11,000 since March 29. Democratic rolls lost about 4,600, and nearly 20,000 Democrats have decided to switch parties or re-register as independent or third-party voters.
Up until recently, Pennsylvania could be counted on for flipping its gubernatorial seat every two terms and has showcased a diverse range of U.S. senators, from the conservative Rick Santorum to the late Arlen Specter, who famously switched from Republican to Democrat. Political strategists said the latest figures show the GOP may have a lot to celebrate in November despite recent Democratic dominance.
Democratic Gov. Josh Shapiro upset that gubernatorial trend when he defeated retired Army Col. and state Sen. Doug Mastriano in 2022 to succeed fellow Democrat Tom Wolf. And former President Trump failed to repeat the upset win he notched in 2016 while running against President Biden in 2020.
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A Pennsylvania welcome sign greets drivers on U.S. Route 222 entering Peach Bottom, Pa., from Maryland in 2022. (Charlie Creitz/Fox News)
However, the numbers tell the true tale, said Charlie Gerow, a Pennsylvania political strategist and former vice chairman of the American Conservative Union.
“Republicans have been gaining on the Democrats in Pennsylvania for a number of years, and the gap right now is very narrow,” Gerow said, noting how Democrats once outnumbered Republicans by 1 million in the commonwealth.
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When asked about recent Republican losses in light of Democrats’ declining registration advantage, Gerow said campaigns and registration figures have their differences.
“I have good news for the folks wringing their hands [about the Democrats’ recent successes]. [With] Donald Trump and David McCormick, Republicans are going to have a lot to celebrate.”
Gerow predicts McCormick will defeat Sen. Bob Casey Jr., D-Pa., who observers said in 2012 was helped into office by the name recognition and aisle-crossing popularity of his late father, former Gov. Robert P. Casey, the pro-life Democratic namesake of the landmark “Planned Parenthood v. Casey” case.
While Philadelphia and the suburbs see an influx of more moderate or liberal voters from the cities and a shift against populist conservatism, the numbers taken statewide appear to be moving in the GOP’s favor.
“The difference between the two parties’ registration is what is significant,” Gerow said. “What you’re seeing here is a very big demographic shift. The Republican Party is increasingly more populist. The Democrats are increasingly more elitist.”
Mastriano, who ran against Shapiro in 2022, told Fox News Digital he was heartened by the latest statistics.
“The trends under multiple measures can’t be making Democrats happy,” he said.
“Besides seeing statewide and even blue-centered areas like Philadelphia and Pittsburgh showing significantly more Republican registrations, even Gov. Shapiro’s big push for automatic registration when getting a driver’s license has resulted in bigger GOP gains, which I doubt Josh was expecting when he got behind this.”
While its major cities — Philadelphia, Pittsburgh and Allentown — remain reliably in Democratic hands, one of several spreadsheets provided by the State Department showed about 2,200 Philadelphia voters left the Democratic Party so far this year, while the GOP lost about 400.
Democratic gubernatorial candidate Josh Shapiro addresses the media after casting his ballot at the Rydal Elementary School West polling location Nov. 8, 2022, in Rydal, Pa. (Mark Makela/Getty Images)
Allegheny County, home to Pittsburgh, lost just under 1,200 Democrats and 500 Republicans.
Once reliably-Democratic areas like Schuylkill County now swing Republican, and Trump notably flipped several blue-friendly areas like Luzerne, home to Wilkes-Barre, and Northampton counties in 2016. But Republicans have suffered recent losses around Philadelphia, where once-red, middle-class Delaware County now leans reliably Democratic.
However, overall, there are 3,894,593 Democratic voters registered in Pennsylvania to 3,504,984 Republicans, according to state data.
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State Sen. Jarrett Coleman of Lehigh County added he believes the registration gap narrowing is indicative of public sentiment increasingly favoring the GOP.
“[It] is due to the fact that the Republican Party is more focused on kitchen table issues, and that resonates with voters,” Coleman said. “The people I talk to are more concerned about being able to pay their bills and making ends meet. They’re turned off by the Democratic Party’s unrelenting focus on social issues and making every election about abortion.”
Sam Chen, a top Pennsylvania political analyst and professor at Northampton Community College in Bethlehem, called the recent trends “fantastic” for Republicans and “worrisome” for Democrats.
Chen called attention to Pennsylvania voters’ proclivity to split their tickets
“In 2016, we saw Donald Trump win the presidency, Pat Toomey win his Senate seat, and then, down the row offices, it was all Democrats,” Chen said. He added that it may “take the edge off” such shifts in voter registration, and that that may not mean all of the “new” Republican voters will automatically support Trump or McCormick.
He argued that while some may try to delineate conservative and moderate Republicans, the true variable is populist via non-populist, regardless of party.
At the same time, Chen said there are things on the populist side of the party that voters for former Sen. Pat Toomey, R-Pa., a longtime respected lawmaker who was not afraid to criticize Trump at times, would not support. Chen later added that some of the gross declines in party registrations, regardless of net gains and losses, are likely attributed to voter distaste with the entire body politic.
“They may not necessarily be conservative or moderate or populist,” Chen said. “They may also just be fed up and feel like they don’t have a home in their own party.”
State department officials who supplied data for purposes of this story declined to comment.
Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania Convention Center Is Reinventing Today’s Events
For event professionals designing immersive experiences, the venue matters as much as the program. Increasingly, planners are looking for destinations that combine scale with innovation, and the Pennsylvania Convention Center in Philadelphia is stepping up to meet that challenge.
Located in the heart of Center City, the Pennsylvania Convention Center offers planners the infrastructure of a large-scale convention facility with the accessibility of a walkable urban destination. Spanning one million square feet, with seven exhibit halls, 82 meeting rooms, and one of the largest ballrooms in the Northeast, it delivers the flexibility needed for complex, multilayered events. A new strategic alliance between the Pennsylvania Convention Center and the Philadelphia Convention and Visitors Bureau further streamlines the planning process, offering a more connected experience from sourcing through execution.
A new facility-wide network of 150+ striking digital screens allows organizers to incorporate vibrant, engaging, and high-impact visuals during events. Photo: Courtesy of PHLCVB
Recent investments are reshaping how events come to life inside the Center. A new 150-screen digital network allows planners to integrate branding, wayfinding, and real-time messaging throughout the venue, creating a cohesive attendee journey from arrival to breakout sessions. Further expanding program possibilities, the Center has unveiled a new executive boardroom. Designed for leadership meetings, VIP briefings, and high-level sessions, the space enables meeting organizers to seamlessly incorporate elevated, executive experiences within larger events.
Equally important is the team behind the experience. Philadelphia’s hospitality community, from convention center staff to local partners and hospitality providers, operates as a coordinated extension of the planner’s team. This collaborative approach was on full display at the start of 2026 when Philadelphia hosted PCMA Convening Leaders, one of the industry’s most influential events. The annual meeting served as a strong example of Philadelphia’s ability to execute large-scale, high-profile meetings to the thousands of event organizers in attendance.
The Pennsylvania Convention Center’s Grand Hall is a dramatic, one-of-a-kind space crowned by a majestic arched ceiling. Photo: Courtesy of PHLCVB
Beyond the venue, Philadelphia enhances the attendee experience. More than 14,000 hotel rooms are conveniently located in Center City, and the city has been named the “Most Walkable City to Visit in the U.S.” for three consecutive years. The city’s walkability factor unlocks a range of possibilities for hosting off-site events, from historic venues and cultural institutions to a dining scene gaining national recognition, supplemented with recent Michelin acknowledgement. In Philadelphia, the city itself becomes more than just a venue—it is an extension of the event.
Anchored by the Pennsylvania Convention Center, Philadelphia’s connectivity translates into something more powerful: a destination where big ideas are easy to execute, experiences feel more connected, and every element, from venue to city, works together to elevate the event.
Start planning your next memorable meeting, convention, or event in Philadelphia at discoverPHL.com.
Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania state police trooper pleads guilty to using work computer to create AI-generated pornography
A Pennsylvania State Police corporal has pleaded guilty to creating AI-generated pornography, possessing child sexual abuse material and secretly filming women, including coworkers and a Montgomery County judge, according to the Pennsylvania Attorney General’s Office.
Thirty-nine-year-old Stephen Kamnik pleaded guilty in Montgomery County Court Wednesday to a total of 15 charges for years of abusing law enforcement databases, state-owned devices and unauthorized material for personal sexual gratification.
Kamnik, who is currently suspended without pay, used secured law enforcement and commonwealth computer systems to create AI-generated pornographic images of numerous women, according to the attorney general’s office. Prosecutors said Kamnik created some of the explicit material at a Montgomery County barracks.
The investigation, which was conducted by state police, found that Kamnik secretly filmed and photographed numerous women while on duty. Authorities said he repeatedly entered the women’s locker room at the state police barracks to take pictures of female officers.
Prosecutors said Kamnik also used the state’s Justice Network, known as JNET, to obtain hundreds of photographs of women, violating database policies.
Investigators also found an unlawfully recorded video of a Montgomery County magisterial district judge during a court proceeding that prosecutors said Kamnik edited for lewd purposes.
Authorities also found a stolen .22-caliber gun during a search of Kamnik’s vehicle in January 2025.
Kamnik pleaded guilty to four felony counts of unlawful use of a computer, sexual abuse of children, misdemeanor counts of invasion of privacy, tampering with evidence and other related offenses.
A Montgomery County judge is scheduled to sentence him July 8.
“These crimes stain the great work being done by law enforcement every day in communities across the Commonwealth,” Attorney General Dave Sunday said in a statement.
A lawsuit filed by a victim who alleges her image was used in AI-generated pornography claims Pennsylvania State Police were aware of prior incidents of Kamnik abusing his position as a state trooper but failed to properly discipline him.
The complaint alleges Kamnik took undergarments belonging to female troopers from a locker room and kept a mannequin at his assigned station where he placed the stolen clothing to photograph it.
It also alleges Kamnik conducted traffic stops involving female motorists while presenting himself as a law enforcement officer and making degrading requests, including asking them to stick out their tongues while he secretly filmed them.
Pennsylvania
When is the deadline to register for the Pennsylvania primary?
(Photo by Megan Varner/Getty Images)
PENNSYLVANIA – The 2026 midterm elections will decide control of the next U.S. Congress and key state leadership, including Pennsylvania’s statewide offices.
Before the general election, each state will hold primaries to determine which candidates appear on the November ballot.
By the numbers:
In Pennsylvania, the May primary will narrow the field of candidates who will compete in the November general election for several important posts, per Ballotpedia.
- U.S. House of Representatives — All 17 districts will hold primaries to choose nominees.
- Pennsylvania Governor — Although both major parties’ current frontrunners are effectively unopposed in their primaries, the contest sets the stage for the November race between incumbent Gov. Josh Shapiro and Republican Stacy Garrity.
- State Legislature — all 203 seats in the Pennsylvania House of Representatives and half of the State Senate seats are up for election, with primaries deciding many general election matchups.
Dig deeper:
Pennsylvania is considered a key battleground state in the 2026 midterms, with several congressional districts expected to be highly competitive and potentially pivotal in determining which party controls the two chambers of Congress.
As of April 2026, the Republican Party controls both chambers of Congress.
On Nov. 3, voters will cast ballots for all 435 U.S. House seats, 35 U.S. Senate seats and numerous state and local positions, according to the Bipartisan Policy Center.
Voters will decide 33 regularly scheduled Senate seats, plus two special elections to fill the seats vacated by J.D. Vance of Ohio and Marco Rubio of Florida, who left Congress to serve as vice president and Secretary of State, respectively.
Voter registration and deadlines
What you can do:
Voters in Pennsylvania who want to take part in the state’s 2026 primary must register by Monday, May 4, according to the Pennsylvania Department of State. This deadline applies to both new registrations and updates to existing voter registrations.
The primary election will be held on Tuesday, May 19. The mail-in ballot request deadline is Tuesday, May 12.
Voters are encouraged to check their registration status and ballot information well before these dates to ensure participation in both the primary and the November general election.
The Source: Information from the Pennsylvania Department of State, Ballotpedia, the Bipartisan Policy Center and previous FOX 5 NY reporting.
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