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A political realignment in PA: Despite recent Dem wins, the GOP is gaining momentum, analysts say

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A political realignment in PA: Despite recent Dem wins, the GOP is gaining momentum, analysts say


Top political analysts in Pennsylvania say the state is in the midst of a major demographic and electoral shift, which is likely to prove beneficial for the GOP. According to the latest figures coming out of the commonwealth, Republicans gained more than 10,000 new registrants in the last two months.

An analysis of data from the Pennsylvania Department of State conducted by the news outlets PoliticsPA and SpotlightPA found Pennsylvania’s running totals of Republican registrants as of mid-May had increased nearly 11,000 since March 29. Democratic rolls lost about 4,600, and nearly 20,000 Democrats have decided to switch parties or re-register as independent or third-party voters.

Up until recently, Pennsylvania could be counted on for flipping its gubernatorial seat every two terms and has showcased a diverse range of U.S. senators, from the conservative Rick Santorum to the late Arlen Specter, who famously switched from Republican to Democrat. Political strategists said the latest figures show the GOP may have a lot to celebrate in November despite recent Democratic dominance.

Democratic Gov. Josh Shapiro upset that gubernatorial trend when he defeated retired Army Col. and state Sen. Doug Mastriano in 2022 to succeed fellow Democrat Tom Wolf. And former President Trump failed to repeat the upset win he notched in 2016 while running against President Biden in 2020.

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TRUMP’S VISIT TO WORKING-CLASS PA TOWN EVOKES FOND MEMORIES, BUSINESSES SAY

A Pennsylvania welcome sign greets drivers on U.S. Route 222 entering Peach Bottom, Pa., from Maryland in 2022. (Charlie Creitz/Fox News)

However, the numbers tell the true tale, said Charlie Gerow, a Pennsylvania political strategist and former vice chairman of the American Conservative Union.

“Republicans have been gaining on the Democrats in Pennsylvania for a number of years, and the gap right now is very narrow,” Gerow said, noting how Democrats once outnumbered Republicans by 1 million in the commonwealth.

BIDEN CAMPAIGN LEANS INTO PENNSYLVANIA ROOTS

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When asked about recent Republican losses in light of Democrats’ declining registration advantage, Gerow said campaigns and registration figures have their differences.

“I have good news for the folks wringing their hands [about the Democrats’ recent successes]. [With] Donald Trump and David McCormick, Republicans are going to have a lot to celebrate.”

Gerow predicts McCormick will defeat Sen. Bob Casey Jr., D-Pa., who observers said in 2012 was helped into office by the name recognition and aisle-crossing popularity of his late father, former Gov. Robert P. Casey, the pro-life Democratic namesake of the landmark “Planned Parenthood v. Casey” case.

While Philadelphia and the suburbs see an influx of more moderate or liberal voters from the cities and a shift against populist conservatism, the numbers taken statewide appear to be moving in the GOP’s favor.

“The difference between the two parties’ registration is what is significant,” Gerow said. “What you’re seeing here is a very big demographic shift. The Republican Party is increasingly more populist. The Democrats are increasingly more elitist.”

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Mastriano, who ran against Shapiro in 2022, told Fox News Digital he was heartened by the latest statistics.

“The trends under multiple measures can’t be making Democrats happy,” he said. 

“Besides seeing statewide and even blue-centered areas like Philadelphia and Pittsburgh showing significantly more Republican registrations, even Gov. Shapiro’s big push for automatic registration when getting a driver’s license has resulted in bigger GOP gains, which I doubt Josh was expecting when he got behind this.”

While its major cities — Philadelphia, Pittsburgh and Allentown — remain reliably in Democratic hands, one of several spreadsheets provided by the State Department showed about 2,200 Philadelphia voters left the Democratic Party so far this year, while the GOP lost about 400.

Josh Shapiro

Democratic gubernatorial candidate Josh Shapiro addresses the media after casting his ballot at the Rydal Elementary School West polling location Nov. 8, 2022, in Rydal, Pa. (Mark Makela/Getty Images)

Allegheny County, home to Pittsburgh, lost just under 1,200 Democrats and 500 Republicans.

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Once reliably-Democratic areas like Schuylkill County now swing Republican, and Trump notably flipped several blue-friendly areas like Luzerne, home to Wilkes-Barre, and Northampton counties in 2016. But Republicans have suffered recent losses around Philadelphia, where once-red, middle-class Delaware County now leans reliably Democratic.

However, overall, there are 3,894,593 Democratic voters registered in Pennsylvania to 3,504,984 Republicans, according to state data.

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State Sen. Jarrett Coleman of Lehigh County added he believes the registration gap narrowing is indicative of public sentiment increasingly favoring the GOP.

“[It] is due to the fact that the Republican Party is more focused on kitchen table issues, and that resonates with voters,” Coleman said. “The people I talk to are more concerned about being able to pay their bills and making ends meet. They’re turned off by the Democratic Party’s unrelenting focus on social issues and making every election about abortion.”

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Sam Chen, a top Pennsylvania political analyst and professor at Northampton Community College in Bethlehem, called the recent trends “fantastic” for Republicans and “worrisome” for Democrats.

Chen called attention to Pennsylvania voters’ proclivity to split their tickets

“In 2016, we saw Donald Trump win the presidency, Pat Toomey win his Senate seat, and then, down the row offices, it was all Democrats,” Chen said. He added that it may “take the edge off” such shifts in voter registration, and that that may not mean all of the “new” Republican voters will automatically support Trump or McCormick.

He argued that while some may try to delineate conservative and moderate Republicans, the true variable is populist via non-populist, regardless of party.

At the same time, Chen said there are things on the populist side of the party that voters for former Sen. Pat Toomey, R-Pa., a longtime respected lawmaker who was not afraid to criticize Trump at times, would not support. Chen later added that some of the gross declines in party registrations, regardless of net gains and losses, are likely attributed to voter distaste with the entire body politic.

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“They may not necessarily be conservative or moderate or populist,” Chen said. “They may also just be fed up and feel like they don’t have a home in their own party.”

State department officials who supplied data for purposes of this story declined to comment. 



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Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania State Police Reports: Suspect snorts cocaine at the station; Tased along I-476

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Pennsylvania State Police Reports: Suspect snorts cocaine at the station; Tased along I-476


The latest new reports from the Pennsylvania State Police Media station:

June 20

Drugs: Troopers charged a 27-year-old New Castle woman with possession of drug paraphernalia after they observed a white powder under her nose and a wax glassine bag on her lap while she was waiting in the station headquarters on Baltimore Pike. She had been in custody but additional charges were added.

June 15

Fraud: A 53-year-old Springfield man walked into the Media station to report an unknown person used his TD Bank credit card to make purchases online.

June 14

Resisting: At 7:10 p.m. troopers stopped a black Mini-Cooper on Interstate 476 south in Marple for traffic violations. Once stopped, a passenger got out and ran. Troopers intersected him and the male got into a fighting stance and attempted to fight the trooper, who deployed a Taser. The male, Shane Rowe, 28, of Marcus Hook had a warrant for his arrest in the borough. He also provided a fake ID to Troopers and was arrested.

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June 7

Theft: Troopers responded to Concord Crossing in Concord Township for identity theft. No leads, cased closed.

Vehicle theft: Troopers took the report of a 76-year-old Media man who said that his Kia Soul was stolen.

DUI: At 11:53 p.m. troopers stopped a 2017 Nissan Altima on Smithbridge Road west of Route 202 for vehicle code violations. The operator, a 35-year-old Wilmington man, was found to be under the influence.

June 6

Vehicle theft: A 2015 Lincoln was stolen from the driveway of a 91-year-old Edgmont resident on West Chester Pike. The keys were left in the vehicle.

Vehicle taken: Troopers charged a 39-year-old Aston man after a Ford F-250 from Northwinds Rentals in Glen Mills taken without permission by deceit.

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DUI: At 7:42 p.m. A 2018 Kia exited the ramp from Interstate 95 to Stewart Avenue, crossed the road back down the on ramp and crashed into the guiderail on the Interstate. The driver, a 22-year-old from Secane, was found to be under the influence.

June 5

DUI: At 1:59 a.m., troopers stopped a 2014 Jeep in Interstate 95 south in Ridley. A 44-year-old Philadelphia man was found to be under the influence and arrested.

June 4

Harassment: Troopers responded to the Home Depot in Concord for the report of harassment. The subject, a 42-year-old Aston male, was not there but was later identified and issued a citation.

June 1

Extortion: Troopers responded to Maris Grove Medical Center in Concord for a 72-year-old man who was extorted by an unknown subject out of $500 in Bitcoin.

DUI: At 1:49 a.m., a 2010 Honda was stopped on Route 202 at Smithbridge Road for equipment violations. The 22-year-old female driver from Wilmington was found to be under the influence.

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Theft: Troopers responded to Pop’s Pizza on Route 202 in Concord for a subject attempting to pass a counterfeit $100 bill to pay for food.

Harassment: Troopers investigated a 17-year-old Glen Mills student harassing a female student by email and in person during school.

May 31

Trespass: At 11:26 p.m. troopers responded to the former Sleighton Farm School for a disturbance. An 18-year-old male from Glenolden driving a 2013 Mercedes Benz was issued a citation.

May 29

Assault: At 2:13 p.m. troopers responded to Elwyn school for a 14-year-old male from Upper Darby striking a faculty member. The youth was arrested and subsequently turned over to his guardians.

May 9

Assault: At 9:53 a.m. Troopers responded to the 100 block of Fairmont Avenue in Concord Township for juvenile who struck an 8-year-old in the head.

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April 30

Fleeing: At 1 p.m., troopers were contacted by Upper Providence police who were following a 2004 Ford Taurus for a series of thefts in Springfield. A traffic stop was attempted at Route 352 and Gradyville Road but the vehicle fled. The pursuit was terminated after the Ford crossed into the opposite direction at North State and West Rolling roads. The Ford was last seen on North State missing a rear bumper.

April 28

Retail theft: Just after 4 p.m. LensCrafters in the 500 block of Wilmington West Chester Pike reported the theft of 20 pairs of glasses valued at a total of $7,466.

DUI: At 10:28 p.m., troopers stopped a 2015 Mercury on Interstate 95 in Tinicum for straddling the dotted line. The driver, a 54-year-old male from Philadelphia, was found to under the influence and was arrested.

April 20

Theft: A 64-year-old man, a resident of the 1400 block of Pheasant Lane, Edgmont, walked into the station to report he had lost $4,000 after giving his credit card information to a subject online.

April 13

Pursuit: Troopers attempted to stop a vehicle committing multiple traffic violations on Interstate 95 north. The pursuit ended for safety reasons after the vehicle entered the Philadelphia International Airport.

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DUI: At 3:21 a.m., troopers stopped a 2024 Toyota Crown for traffic violations on Interstate 95 south in Ridley Township. The operator a 30-year-old  Wilmington man was found to be under the influence and to be in possession of narcotics.

April 12

Harassment: At 4:13 p.m., troopers responded to the 100 block of Forge Road in Middletown for an active domestic between mother and daughter. The victim said she canceled her mother’s dinner reservation plans after the mother threw car keys at her, hitting her in the face. The 56-year-old mother admitted to the throwing the keys after the plans were canceled. She was charged with harassment.

April 10

Retail theft: Wegman’s in Concord reported $844 in crab meat had been stolen by a male wearing a black jacket, pants and hat.

April 5

Theft: Videon Chrysler Dodge Jeep Ram on West Chester Pike reported the theft of $2,800 in auto parts.

March 26

Theft: An 88-year-old resident of Hayburn Road in Chadds Ford Township reported that someone attempted to by a iPhone for $629 using his credit card information. The funds were recovered by the bank.

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Protection from abuse: Just before 6 p.m., troopers responded to Bishops Drive in Chester Heights for the report of PFA violation. The boyfriend, a 26-year-old male from Egg Harbor, N.J., was attempting to use a Instagram business account to contact her.

March 25

Weapon found: A civilian turned in a weapon at the station. They found a Sig Sauer handgun fully loaded on a parking lot of a business on Evergreen Drive in Concord.

Retail theft: Wawa in Granite Run reported at 4:38 p.m. that a male took assorted snacks and fled in a silver Honda CRV.

Retail theft: At 2:46 p.m., troopers responded to the Acme in Granite Run for the theft of $500 in mostly nonedible groceries and a $75 bag of dog food.

March 14

Pursuit: Just after 10 p.m., troopers attempted to stop a Chrysler 300 on Baltimore Pike near Concord Road for traffic violations. The pursuit continued north but was called off due to safety concerns. The Chrysler later hit a guide rail at the Media Bypass and became disabled. The occupants, a 22-year-old Philadelphia man and a 25-year-old Darby man, ran but were later apprehended by police.

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March 8

Retail theft: At 3:42 p.m., troopers responded to Lens Crafters on Route 202 in Concord for a theft of 22 frames valued at $8,800, taken by two women who fled in a Hyundai Kona.



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Pennsylvania

Trump focuses on immigration, crime in first-ever rally in Philadelphia

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Trump focuses on immigration, crime in first-ever rally in Philadelphia


The former president painted a bleak picture of international politics.

“Our border is overrun, inflation is raging. Crime is out of control. Europe is in chaos. The Middle East is exploding. Iran is emboldened. China is on the march, and this horrible, horrible president is dragging us toward World War III,” Trump said. “We’re going to be in World War III soon.”

Trump also took on topics such as vaccine and mask mandates and critical race theory in schools, emphasizing his opposition to each. He made personal digs at Philly native and CNN anchor Jake Tapper, who will co-moderate the first presidential debate on June 27. Trump also spoke against the inclusion of transgender athletes in women’s sports.

The former president weighed in on the Pa. U.S. Senate race, throwing his support behind Republican candidate Dave McCormick, who is attempting to unseat incumbent Democrat Sen. Bob Casey.

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“You have my total support and my total endorsement, and you got to win, Dave McCormick,” Trump said, calling him a “seventh-generation Pennsylvanian” and inviting McCormick on  stage. McCormick returned the favor by endorsing Trump.

“We need new leadership,” McCormick said. “We need a new president in the White House that’s going to get our country back on track.”



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John Apa, Sharon, PA

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John Apa, Sharon, PA


 SHARON, Pennsylvania (MyValleyTributes) – On Thursday, June 20, 2024, we lost our beloved father John Apa  at age 91 where he resided for the past 2 years at John XXIII.

John was the second child of the late Giovanni and Annetta (Perri) Apa, born October 13, 1932 in Sharon, Pennsylvania.

He married the former Doris M. Welches on January 20, 1956 and she survives in Hermitage, Pennsylvania. 

John was a 1951 graduate of Farrell High School and attended Youngstown State University, Penn State-Shenango Valley Campus and HEI Institute in Niles, Ohio.

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John served his country honorably in the U.S. Army for two years during the Korean Conflict.

John worked for The Sharon Steel Corporation for 35 years as an Electrical Wireman and Lineman. He also wired many new homes being built in the Shenango Valley in his spare time.

After he retired, he took accounting classes and did taxes free of charge with The Keystone Blind Agency for many years. 

John walked in his father’s footprints and had a gorgeous garden for many years. He was always giving the fruit of his labor to family and friends. John loved keeping up to date with world events and family in Italy via his computer. He loved listening to music on different computer sites and singing along. He was a member of Covenant Presbyterian Church in Sharon, Pennsylvania and its Presbyters Class, Elder and Senior Fellowship.

Besides John’s wife, Doris, he is survived by two daughters, Rhonda Guerino-Chalenor (Steven) of Hermitage, Pennsylvania and Brenda Apa Burleson (Jim) of West Middlesex, Pennsylvania and son, John P. Apa (Tracy) of Hermitage, Pennsylvania, also, an “adopted daughter”, Connie Muna of Farrell, Pennsylvania. Also, five grandchildren Allyson Knott (Fred) of Wrightstown, New Jersey, Julia Hilderhoff (Bill) of Irwin, Pennsylvania, Natalie Votaw (Derek) of Knoxville, Tennessee, John T. Apa (Jamie) of Wake Forest, North Carolina and Justine Apa (Cody Smith) of Girard, Ohio. John is also survived by a sister, Joanne Jackson (Farrell) of Naples, Florida, and eight great-grandchildren.

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John was preceded in death, besides his parents, his sister, Antoinette Sabella and brother-in-law, Reverend Ty Sabella and his grandson, Christopher Donnelly.

A Memorial Service will be held on Saturday, July 6, 2024 at 11:00 a.m. at Covenant Presbyterian Church with the Rev. Rick Stauffer officiating, followed by a luncheon at the church. Entombment was in Hillcrest Memorial Park Mausoleum.

Arrangements have been handled by Harold W. Stevenson Funeral Home.

Memorial contributions may be made to Covenant Presbyterian Church at 263 East State Street, Sharon, PA  16146.

A television tribute will air Sunday, June 23 at the following approximate times: 8:58 a.m. on WKBN and 7:58 p.m. on FOX. Video will be posted here the day of airing.
 

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