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Why N.J. keeps getting missed by hurricanes and tropical storms

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Why N.J. keeps getting missed by hurricanes and tropical storms


After an unusually slow start, the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season is now in full blast, with multiple hurricanes and tropical storms popping up during the past few weeks — including the monstrous Hurricane Milton, which rapidly intensified from a tropical storm to a scary, powerful Category 5 hurricane in less than 24 hours.

Amid the flurry of tropical activity and serious threats to people and buildings in the southeastern U.S. region, one noticeable trend has developed. This year’s storms are not making their way up north to the New Jersey region.

Our area isn’t even getting the leftover rain and wind that commonly drifts in our direction after big storms make landfall along the U.S. Gulf coast or the southern Atlantic.

The reason is fairly simple, according to Ken Elliott, a meteorologist for WeatherWorks, a private forecasting company based in New Jersey.

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“High pressure has just been blocking everything,” Elliott said.

Elliott said large domes of high pressure have been larger and farther south than they normally are in the late summer and early fall, and those systems of circulating air have acted as a giant shield to block the southern storms or their remnants from pushing north.

“That basically deflected all the moisture south,” he noted.

Elliott said the same general pattern has been repeating itself during recent weeks.

“The first in a series of storms — Francine — went up to the Gulf Coast northound and it basically just ran into one of those highs. That rain just fell apart when it got too far inland,” the forecaster said.

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“Try as they might, these hurricanes just can’t get into that,” Elliott added. “The highs just reinforce themselves one after the other, and they (the tropical systems) run into dry air.”

Earlier this week, three different hurricanes were spinning in the Atlantic hurricane basin, and none of them are expected to bring any rain or wind to New Jersey.National Hurricane Center

During recent weeks, as hurricane season was ramping up, large high pressure systems have been circulating over Canada and dropping south, sometimes into the Ohio Valley and more recently over Missouri.

“Hurricanes go into the path of least resistance a lot of times, and they will try to find a way to escape,” Elliott said. “Hurricanes look for a weakness in the high. There’s really been no weakness in these highs.”

Elliott noted that Hurricane Milton will be staying far south of New Jersey only partly because of the strong highs near our region of the country. The other big factor with Milton is its steering winds, he said.

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Milton formed as a tropical storm in the western Gulf of Mexico, and steering winds are pushing the now-major hurricane across the eastern Gulf on a path that’s aiming directly at the west-central coast of Florida. And the steering winds are expected to push the storm fairly quickly out into the open Atlantic after it makes landfall Wednesday night.

That track is different, Elliott said, from the tropical systems that more commonly move up from the southern Gulf or southern Atlantic and push their way up to the north.

Hurricane Milton forecast cone

Hurricane Milton is expected to maintain its strength as a major hurricane before it slams into the western coast of Florida Wednesday night, bringing highly destructive winds, heavy rain and a life-threatening storm surge, forecasters warn.National Hurricane Center

Staying dry in New Jersey

With all the high pressure systems in place near New Jersey, the Garden State has had long stretches of dry and pleasant weather, except for some occasional spotty rain.

Last month turned out to be one of the driest Septembers ever recorded in New Jersey, with many areas of the state getting less than an inch of rain — and some areas reporting less than a half-inch — the entire month, according to data from the National Weather Service.

The dry trend has continued during the first eight days of October, with only a trace of rain reported in the Newark area, the Trenton area and the Atlantic City area.

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When will New Jersey see any substantial rain? Forecasters say they don’t see any major storms brewing right now, and there’s only a 30% to 40% chance that a cold front from the west might bring a little bit of rain to our region Sunday night or Monday morning.

Current weather radar

Thank you for relying on us to provide the local weather news you can trust. Please consider supporting NJ.com with a voluntary subscription.

Len Melisurgo may be reached at LMelisurgo@njadvancemedia.com or on X at @LensReality.





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New Jersey

Everything you need to know about becoming a poll worker in New Jersey

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Everything you need to know about becoming a poll worker in New Jersey


How much do you earn as a poll worker?

New Jersey poll workers earn $300, which equals $21.43 an hour. Gov. Phil Murphy signed a bill in March of 2022 increasing the pay from $200 to $300, to help attract more poll workers.

Thompson said, “We also are allowed to pay you for transporting the materials back to the Board of Elections, or picking up the voting machine keys in the morning, so for each district that you’ve got it’s $12.50 to pick up keys from your municipal clerk, or to deliver all the materials back at the end of the night, that’s also an additional $12.50, so someone could earn more than $300.”

All poll workers also get instruction on how to use the voting machines, and what to do if there’s a problem. (Courtesy of the New Jersey Association of Election Officials)

How are poll workers recruited?

Besides word of mouth, Thompson said, “We do this through social media, through advertising, there’s portals on the State Division of Elections website.”

She said most New Jersey counties are still accepting applications. “Normally right before an election we’re short, sometimes 20% of what our needs are, but usually we get more applications than we can fill in a presidential year. People want to get involved.”

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How many poll workers are in each polling location?

New Jersey law stipulates the minimum number of poll workers in a voting location on Election Day needs to be four, but Thompson said, “There isn’t one election, except for a presidential election where we’re compliant with that, because we’re short (workers) every single, solitary year.”

What happens if there’s a problem?

Thompson said county Boards of Election have supervising poll workers, sometimes called runners or floor managers, who will respond to different voting locations within a district if any problem arises.

“These are the folks who are the one point of contact if something goes wrong,” said Thompson. “These are the ones that we rely on to maybe fix the paper jam or help the voter call for assistance if there’s an issue with their voter registration.”

She said whatever issues may arise, “Don’t leave your polling location unsatisfied, or without calling your Board of Elections. If you’re denied the right to help, we want to help you.”

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Thousands flee Florida for New Jersey as Hurricane Milton approaches

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Thousands flee Florida for New Jersey as Hurricane Milton approaches


Thousands of travelers scrambled to come back home to New Jersey Monday evening as Hurricane Milton threatened the Gulf Coast.

Some people paid six times more than the average cost of a flight to New Jersey from Florida. Several others were anxiously waiting on standby for any seats to open up.

Andy Kozma, of Edison, is among the fortunate few who were able to get on a flight from Key West— cutting his vacation short.

“All flights are full,” said Kozma. “Everywhere is standby. We’re just glad to have a seat.”

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Like Kozma, Emma Anmol Singh, of Stewartsville, ended her vacation in the Sunshine State early. She only had one day of rest and relaxation as the waves threatened her beach stay.

“The storm was really picking up when we left. We were lucky to get a flight out,” said Singh. “We had to leave at 5 a.m. The roads were pretty bad. There was a lot of traffic and the airport obviously was already packed.”

According to a public statement by Tampa International Airport, commercial and cargo operations will be suspended Tuesday at 9 a.m. The airport will not be staffed for emergency services or supplies.

A statement on Orlando International Airport’s website states the airport will remain open to accept emergency aid and relief flights as necessary; however, commercial flights will stop on Wednesday.

Grayson Thompson, of Maplewood, a Florida Southern freshman received a message from his lacrosse coach warning him of the threat of the Category 5 hurricane.

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“I booked a flight way early. I think I got a text Friday. This was the first flight I could get on,” said Thompson. “I had to take two connections, but now I’m home that’s all that matters.”

Austin Koolery, of River Vale, a University of Tampa senior, also was able to get out of the state safely. His mother began looking flights up as soon as she saw how devastating Hurricane Milton could be.

“She’s like, ‘Alright let me look at flights Tuesday. $150 Tuesday and $400 on Monday,’” said Koolery. “Ten minutes went by and she’s like. ‘They closed the airport on Tuesday. I’m getting you a Monday flight, you’re getting out of there.’ I got lucky.”

Koolery said his flight cost about $600 and he hasn’t heard from his airline about any emergency assistance.



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Did New Jersey just try to nudge a judge for a congestion pricing decision?

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Did New Jersey just try to nudge a judge for a congestion pricing decision?


While one lawsuit seeking to force the start of New York’s $15 congestion fee to enter lower Manhattan is moving forward, an attorney in New Jersey’s separate case to stop the fee has nudged a judge for a ruling.

Attorney Randy Mastro wrote U.S. District Court Senior Judge Leo M. Gordon on Friday informing him that a potential decision in a New York Superior Court case challenging New York Gov. Kathy Hochul’s indefinite pause of the June 30 congestion pricing plan would mean the tolling plan could start.

And that affects New Jersey’s suit, filed in July 2023, that was the subject of oral arguments in Newark in April. New Jersey’s suit seeks to overturn federal approvals that allowed congestion pricing to proceed. At the end of those hearings, Gordon said he planned to render a decision before the June 30 start date, but Hochul’s unexpected announcement bought some time.



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