New Hampshire
Nikki Haley keeps one eye on Iowa as she seeks to win New Hampshire primary
Republican presidential candidate Nikki Haley faces a unique challenge in the final two weeks before the Jan. 15 Iowa caucuses.
She must simultaneously woo Iowans who could give her an added boost above rival Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL) while stumping in New Hampshire, where independent voters could help her defeat former President Donald Trump, the front-runner, in the state’s primary on Jan. 23.
TRUMP HOLDS FOX NEWS TOWN HALL TO COUNTER CNN IOWA DEBATE WITH DESANTIS AND HALEY
Unlike DeSantis and to a lesser extent Trump, Haley has not staked her 2024 campaign on winning the Iowa caucuses. She has instead placed a sizable emphasis on New Hampshire and her home state of South Carolina. But given Iowa’s outsize advantage in the primary, a strong showing there will be crucial in her bid to replace DeSantis as the only viable alternative candidate to Trump.
The Florida governor has gone all in for Iowa, campaigning in all 99 counties and positioning himself for an outright win or a strong second-place finish behind Trump. Haley’s campaign and allies are covertly hoping a second-place finish in Iowa would steal momentum away from DeSantis ahead of the New Hampshire primary, where Haley is hoping for a second-place finish or better as well.
“I think the expectations for Haley in Iowa are appropriately less, but if she can overperform there, then I think she’s got, I think, a strong team waiting for her in New Hampshire led by the most popular Republican in the state,” said Jim Merrill, a seasoned New Hampshire GOP strategist, of Haley and the support of Gov. Chris Sununu (R-NH). “And then she’s going to go to her home state in South Carolina. So it feels like a pretty shrewd strategy that they’re executing here with the final two weeks.”
“It’s tougher to organize in Iowa because it’s harder to find the caucus people … and it’s heavily dominated by evangelical Christians,” said Linda Fowler, a political scientist at Dartmouth University. “So with that context, I think New Hampshire makes sense for her. Plus, she has an enthusiastic governor who’s stumping for her.”
The former U.N. ambassador and South Carolina governor has barnstormed the Granite State with Sununu since she earned his backing last month. Yet Haley hasn’t quite abandoned Iowa and even plans to bring Sununu with her to campaign in Des Moines on Friday. She finished the final days of 2023 in the Hawkeye State and will face off against DeSantis during a CNN debate in Iowa on Jan. 10. (Trump is skipping the debate for a Fox News town hall at the same time.)
“Nikki isn’t taking any voter for granted. She’s traveling across Iowa, answering every question and shaking every hand. We’re fighting for every inch,” said Olivia Perez-Cubas, Haley’s spokeswoman.
There is some historical precedence that Haley’s gamble could pay off. The late Arizona Sen. John McCain in his 2000 presidential run mostly ignored Iowa and went on to beat George W. Bush in New Hampshire but lost the South Carolina primary. He would ultimately lose the nomination to Bush. But during his 2008 presidential run, McCain again bypassed Iowa and won the New Hampshire primary and the South Carolina primary before eventually becoming the GOP nominee.
Haley’s allies aren’t wasting any funds in helping her replicate McCain’s 2008 strategy.
SFA Fund, the super PAC backing Haley’s campaign, outspent all other groups in 2023 at $42 million, according to the ad tracking company AdImpact. That’s roughly $2 million more than DeSantis’s super PAC, Never Back Down, spent in 2023 at $40.2 million. Trump’s super PAC, MAGA Inc., spent $34.4 million.
SFA Fund is the top spending advertiser of ’23.
Andy Beshear is the top spending candidate. Despite the #MDSen primary being in May 2024, David Trone was the 3rd highest-spending candidate. Tim Scott, who dropped out last month, is the highest-spending Republican candidate. pic.twitter.com/DSnbyLQYOB
— AdImpact Politics (@AdImpact_Pol) December 29, 2023
Americans for Prosperity, the billionaire Koch family-backed group, is spending $70 million to boost Haley in Iowa. “We’re just now starting to see the money, and it could make a difference,” Fowler said of Americans for Prosperity’s efforts to help Haley.
The DeSantis campaign slammed both Haley and Trump and their supporters for spending more than $38.4 million in negative ad spending against the governor, the most out of all the 2024 candidates.
“And despite her team’s best efforts to keep expectations low for Haley in the Hawkeye State, the numbers don’t lie,” wrote Andrew Romeo, DeSantis’s campaign spokesman, in an email Tuesday. “The Wall Street Journal’s John McCormick noted yesterday how Haley and the super PAC supporting her will combine to drastically outspend the competition down the stretch in Iowa.”
Richard Arenberg, senior fellow in international and public affairs and visiting political science professor at Brown University, told the Washington Examiner that a respectable finish in Iowa will help Haley as she prepares to battle against Trump in New Hampshire, a state that will be decided by independents who make up the majority of voters.
But a recent flap-up over the origin of the Civil War could distract from Haley’s efforts. Haley caused a stir last week when she didn’t mention slavery as the cause of the war during a town hall event in New Hampshire. She cleaned up her comments in the aftermath of the backlash.
“I think that had a kind of chilling effect on the enthusiasm of some independents that maybe she could energize to come into the Republican primary and vote for her,” Arenberg said. “But a surprising second place in Iowa could maybe warm that up again.”
Scott Huffmon, a political scientist and the founder of the Center for Public Opinion and Policy Research at Winthrop University, claimed the controversy wouldn’t change her performance in Iowa. It “could move the odd New Hampshire independent,” but it would have “no impact on South Carolina.”
“And, despite her promise to the Sons of Confederate Veterans to not remove the Confederate flag from the statehouse when she first ran for governor, she publicly called for it to come down after the Mother Emanuel massacre, so that inoculates her somewhat,” he added referencing the 2015 murders of nine African American members of Emanuel African Methodist Episcopal Church in Charleston, South Carolina.
Still, Haley must face the gargantuan task of somehow beating Trump in New Hampshire, where he polls at 46.3%, according to the RealClearPolitics average of the Granite State, and Haley polls at 24.8%.
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“Trump is still king of the hill in New Hampshire. No question about it. His support has been pretty static. It hasn’t really moved up and hasn’t really moved down,” said Merrill. “Haley has accomplished, I think, half of the battle, which is getting yourself out of the scrum of all the other candidates, whether current candidates or those that have withdrawn like [former Vice President Mike] Pence or [Sen. Tim] Scott [R-SC] to position herself as the No. 2.”
The other half of the battle, Merrill added, is converting undecided voters and encouraging other people to consider voting due to the state’s same-day registration law. “I’m sure the Haley campaign has worked hard to identify people who aren’t currently registered but who could choose to do so Election Day and turn them out,” he said.
New Hampshire
Plymouth’s tap water beats Concord at state festival – Concord Monitor
The students had some tough decisions to make as they eyed phalanxes of Dixie Cups filled with water.
It’s a ritual of the New Hampshire Water Drinking Festival, where fourth and fifth-graders learn about how water systems work from state professionals in the Department of Environmental Services.
At the Manchester Water Treatment Facility on Wednesday, they participated in workshops touching on everything from how sewage treatment works to PFAS contamination. Then, students, teachers, parent chaperones and professionals sampled tap water from a handful of municipalities across the state. Blind to the origins of each water cup, they placed a vote for which one they thought tasted the best.
Each year, participating towns provide a cooler of tap water, poured that same day. Colder water generally tastes better, so organizers check to make sure it hasn’t been iced, and refrigeration is frowned upon. Water from the coolers is then dispensed into the paper cups in front of a corresponding letter to ensure the test is blind.
Relatively few towns and cities enter into the competition – this year, just Manchester, Concord, Hooksett and Plymouth – but still, there is some rivalry.
A water works employee from a city not competing in the contest completed the blind test and cast his vote. Organizers wouldn’t disclose which cups were which. As he walked away from the station with coworkers, he said, “As long as I didn’t vote for Concord.” He had, in fact, unknowingly selected Concord’s water as the tastiest.
Concord has been dominant in this taste-test for years, taking home the top spot for most of the last decade – including last year. With a well-protected surface water source in Penacook Lake, the city has invested in a system that delivers tasty, fresh water with minimal need for treatment. It’s paid off in the results.
This year, however, Plymouth took the top spot.
With an influx of federal money, Plymouth has been working to upgrade its water system for the last several years, including with a new well near Holderness. Department of Environmental Services staff at the tasting said this was the first year water from the new well had been “entered” by Plymouth in the competition.
The upgrades in Plymouth appear to be paying off, with the town taking home the award for best-tasting tap water in the state.
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New Hampshire
FAA Employee Accused Of Threatening Trump | Teen Reported Missing | Summer Forecast | More: Nearby News NH
Community Corner
Also: Head-on and rollover crashes; teen arrested after shooting; machete threat at homeless camp; armed career criminal sent to prison.
CONCORD, NH — Here are the Top 10 most popular stories and posts from around New Hampshire Patch sites last week.
Rollover Crash Shuts Down Part Of Downtown Concord; 2 People Hospitalized: Video: An elderly driver and passenger of a crossover with a Massachusetts registration were taken to Concord Hospital Monday night after a crash.
FAA Employee From Nashua Threatened To Kill President Donald Trump: U.S. Attorney: Dean DelleChiaie was accused of writing that he was going to “neutralize/kill” Trump, adding “God knows your actions and where you belong.”
Find out what’s happening in Concordfor free with the latest updates from Patch.
Head-On Crash | Brush Fire Near Homeless Camp | Students Feted | Fun Things To Do | More: PM Patch NH: Also: Recall roundup; elderly man, experiencing a medical condition, crashes into a cop cruiser; week-ahead weather; mom tribute survey.
Nashua Teen Accused Of Shooting A Massachusetts Man In The Leg: Angers Manuel Hernandez Peguero faces first-degree assault, felonious use of firearms, and stalking after a fight on Eaton Street Saturday.
Find out what’s happening in Concordfor free with the latest updates from Patch.
Rollover Crash Shutters Downtown | Montana Armed Career Criminal Sent To Prison | More: PM Patch NH: Teen faces shooting charge; franchisees open 10th Aroma Joe’s; Granite State Challenge semis; FAA employee accused of threatening Trump.
One Driver Injured After Head-On Crash On Clinton Street Near Page Road In Bow: Video: Police are investigating a crash just over the Concord line in Bow on Route 13 Friday. A fatal crash is also under investigation in Deering.
Concord Man Arrested On Criminal Threatening Charge On Hall Street: Concord Police Log: Plus: An Amherst man was arrested on credit card fraud charges; man arrested for stalking, breach; man charged with speeding on Loudon Road.
Elderly Man Experiencing Medical Episode Gets Into Minor Crash With Concord Police Cruiser Downtown: Video: An officer was not hurt Friday night after investigating a man who was passed out behind the wheel at Loudon Road and North Main Street
Man From Pembroke Arrested On Domestic Violence, Obstruction Charges On Centre Street: Concord Police Log: Boscawen man charged with aggravated DUI; man arrested on assault and mischief charges on Mountain Road; stalking incident at Royal Gardens.
El Niño Summer Forecast: How Hot And Stormy Will It Be In New Hampshire: Driven by warming ocean waters in the Pacific, the El Niño is likely to strengthen through the summer.
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Here are some other posts readers may have missed:
Ward 5 City Councilor Booted From Council’s City Manager Review Process Due To Conflict Of Interest
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New Hampshire
New Hampshire mothers’ labor force participation rate – Valley News
This Mother’s Day, the NHFPI team is recognizing the hard work of New Hampshire mothers by doing what we do best: highlighting key data that underscores both the challenges mothers face and the vital contributions they make across the Granite State.
Below are five key facts surrounding New Hampshire’s mothers and families.
Mothers with children under age 18 make up 13% of NH labor force
Based on 2020-2024 aggregated data, there were approximately 125,418 Granite State mothers between the ages of 20 to 64 with children under 18 years old who lived with them. Among this group, about 80% were in the labor force.
Mothers ages 20 to 64 with at least one child under 18 years old made up about 13% of the total 2024 Granite State labor force. However, labor force participation varied depending on the age and number of children in the household. Here’s how that total 13% breaks down:
- 3%: Mothers with at least one child under age 6
- 2%: Mothers with at least one child under 6 and at least one child between 6-17
- 8%: Mothers with at least one child between ages 6-17
While many parents may choose to remain out of the labor force to care for children, the high cost and low availability of child care may push many mothers to reduce their work hours or leave the workforce entirely. The average cost for an infant and four-year-old in center-based care in New Hampshire was nearly $30,000 per year during the 2022-2024 period; this equates to about 19.0% of household income for median-income married couples with children under 18 ($157,670 in median household income in 2020-2024), and 59.1% for median-income single mothers ($50,766).
More than half of NH mothers took unpaid maternity leave in 2023
While maternity leave can allow women to remain in the labor force after giving birth and bond with their newborn, access to paid leave may be limited for some Granite State mothers. According to 2023 data collected by the New Hampshire Department of Health and Human Services, 52.2% of mothers took paid leave and 54.5% took unpaid leave, with some mothers taking a combination of both; 7.1% did not take any leave from work after their child was born.
While the survey data does not specify how long mothers were out of work, both paid and unpaid leave time varies depending on workplace and governmental policy. The New Hampshire Paid Family and Medical Leave (NH PFML) Program is a voluntary insurance program that provides workers with 60% wage replacement for up to six weeks per year when they take time off for qualifying life events, including caring for a new child. However, unawareness of the program, a lack of access among smaller employers, concerns around job loss, and affordability constraints can deter enrollment, with only around 3% of Granite State workers participating in the program in 2025.
The federal Family and Medical Leave Act (FMLA) allows for up to 12 weeks of unpaid leave with job protection for eligible employees, although many families may not be able to forgo that income and still cover household costs. Nationally, new mothers returning to the workforce take an average of ten weeks of maternity leave, including both paid and unpaid time.
About 23% of all single female-headed families with children live in poverty
According to 2020-2024 aggregated data, around 2.3% of married-couple Granite State families with at least one related child under five years old lived in poverty. In contrast, single female-headed families with a child or children all under five years old were more than thirteen times more likely to live in poverty, with over one out of four families (29.3%) having household incomes below the federal poverty threshold.
According to the same five-year data, having at least two related children, one under age five and one between the ages of five and 17 years, increased a family’s likelihood of living in poverty. Around 47.8% of single female-headed households with this family composition were in poverty, compared to only about 2.3% of married-couple families.
Healthcare barriers remain for postpartum mental health services
Adequate health care access before, during, and following pregnancy is crucial for maintaining and improving the health status of a mother and her baby. According to the most recent data from 2023, around 85.9% of Granite State mothers started prenatal care during the first trimester, with 88.5% attending at least nine prenatal care visits throughout their pregnancy. Around 94.7% reported having at least one postpartum checkup.
Despite relatively high prenatal and postpartum care, engagement with the health care system before pregnancy was more limited. Among those who had a health care visit in the 12 months before their pregnancy, 69.2% had a regular family or primary care visit, 67.3% had a regular OB/GYN visit, and 20.4% had a visit for family planning services.
New mothers are also more likely to experience symptoms of anxiety and depression. In 2023, about 69.7% of Granite State mothers reported being able to receive needed mental health services following birth. Among those who were not able to receive that needed care, the most common reasons identified by mothers included not having the time due to work, child care, or other commitments (44.9%); not knowing where to go for services (40.2%); not being able to afford care (24.1%); and not being able to get an appointment as soon as they needed (20.0%).
Medicaid finances more than a fifth of healthcare services for new Granite State mothers
Medicaid is a state-federal fiscal partnership that provides health coverage for New Hampshire adults and children with low incomes, people with disabilities, certain older adults, and other eligible populations. In 2023, New Hampshire expanded Medicaid coverage for new mothers, permitting up to 12 months of postpartum coverage regardless of income changes.
Medicaid remains crucial for providing health care access for new mothers and their children across the state. In 2023, around 21% of births in New Hampshire were financed through Medicaid, and nearly 24% of mothers had their prenatal and postpartum care covered by Medicaid. Future data, if made available, can provide more insight into the results of recently expanded coverage.
On this Mother’s Day, these data highlight how New Hampshire mothers play a crucial role in supporting families, communities, and the state’s economy, while also navigating financial and health-related challenges. Policies that expand access to affordable child care, paid leave opportunities, and accessible health care can help ensure Granite State mothers and families have the support they need to thrive.
Williams is a senior policy analyst at NHFPI.
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