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New Hampshire
Lack of enthusiasm for Biden among New Hampshire Dems could spell trouble for his reelection bid: strategists
A recent Fox News Voter Analysis survey revealed that some Democrats in New Hampshire aren’t too excited about the prospect of President Biden serving as their party’s nominee in the 2024 presidential election, posing what could be significant challenges to his reelection bid.
The Fox News Voter Analysis, a survey of more than 900 New Hampshire Democrat primary voters, was released Wednesday. More than half (55%) of the respondents said they would be satisfied with Biden as the eventual Democrat nominee, with 13% saying they would be dissatisfied enough that they would not support him in the November election.
Iowa and New Hampshire have historically been the first states in the Democrats’ election process. However, Biden and the DNC attempted to change the primary calendar this year to kick off with South Carolina, a state that propelled the president to victory in 2020, to try and increase racial diversity in the election process.
That decision created a rift between national Democrats and Democrat voters in the battleground state, which has favored left-leaning candidates in recent national elections.
BIDEN WINS NEW HAMPSHIRE DEMOCRAT PRIMARY AFTER WRITE-IN CAMPAIGN
President Biden (Saul Loeb/AFP via Getty Images)
Biden won New Hampshire in the 2020 presidential election, depriving then-President Trump of the state’s four electoral votes. Voters in the state also maintained their support for the Democratic Party in the 2016 election, when then-candidate Hillary Clinton narrowly defeated Trump to earn the electoral votes.
Prior to Biden’s write-in primary victory in the Granite State on Tuesday night, the Democratic National Committee called the New Hampshire Democratic Party’s primary process “detrimental.”
Highlighting the findings from the Fox News Voter Analysis, Colin Reed, a Republican strategist and co-founder of South and Hill Strategies, told Fox News Digital that it “comes as no surprise given [Biden’s] disdain toward the state.”
Referencing Biden’s “humiliating fifth-place finish” in the New Hampshire Democrat primary election a little less than four years ago, Reed said, “Biden has been hell-bent on punishing New Hampshire’s first-in-the-nation primary. Even worse was the willingness of New Hampshire Democrats and their state party to stand idly by as their president and party insiders destroyed a long and storied tradition.”
The findings from the survey, according to another political strategist, show that Democrats in the state “are not particularly excited about another Biden-Harris term” and could possibly stay at home on Election Day.
“New Hampshirites tend to be very practical, level-headed people. They realize that Joe Biden is far too old and lacks the cognitive abilities to be president of the United States,” Kristin Tate, a Republican strategist and columnist for The Messenger, told Fox News Digital. “At the same time, folks in New Hampshire (including registered Democrats) look around and see that every aspect of American life has degraded under the Biden administration. Inflation is still high, our southern border is wide open, and war is breaking out around the globe.”
NEW HAMPSHIRE VOTERS FRUSTRATED WITH BIDEN, DNC FOR SKIPPING STATE: ‘WON’T GIVE US THE TIME OF DAY’
Voters are photographed at Bedford High School on Jan. 23, 2024, in Bedford, New Hampshire.
“Democrats should be worried. Their core voters strongly dislike Donald Trump but are not particularly excited about another Biden-Harris term,” Tate added. “Ultimately, some percentage of those voters may end up just staying home on voting day. Given how thin the margins were in 2020, this could make all the difference in the outcome of the 2024 election.”
In addition to economic hardships, Tate, who has grown to understand the inner workings of New Hampshire politics throughout the years, suggested Granite State residents could be turned off by another Biden term in the White House after “seeing the impacts” of the crisis that has unfolded at the southern border.
“For the first time in my lifetime, I am hearing New Hampshire residents talking about the border crisis with a heightened level of concern,” she said. “Until recently, the open border was mostly a theoretical discussion for most East Coasters. But now that Texas Gov. Greg Abbott is sending thousands of migrants to East Coast areas, including Boston, residents in the Northeast are seeing the impacts of the border crisis firsthand.”
Despite what some Republicans believe should be a concern for Biden as he moves forward in his bid for a second consecutive term in the White House, Kevin Walling, a Democrat campaign strategist and former Biden 2020 campaign surrogate, believes Biden will ultimately receive support from a near totality of Democrats in New Hampshire.
Given the stakes of a Trump-Biden rematch this year, Walling said he believes “many of those 13% of Democratic primary voters will come home to the Biden-Harris ticket.”
Other recent Fox News Voter Analysis findings revealed that 53% of Republican primary voters would be satisfied with Trump as their nominee, with 35% dissatisfied enough not to vote for him.
Former President Trump and President Biden (Chip Somodevilla | Julia Nikhinson/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
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Due to those findings, Walling believes it’s Republicans, not Democrats, that should be worried ahead of the 2024 presidential election.
“That should be a flashing red light to the RNC and GOP strategists and doesn’t even factor in the high number of unregistered and independent voters who turned out last night in support of former Gov. Nikki Haley; that said they would back Biden if it becomes a 2020 rematch,” he said.
Fox News’ Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.
Get the latest updates from the 2024 campaign trail, exclusive interviews and more at our Fox News Digital election hub.
Crime
Elijah Allman’s arrest on March 1 was his second in New Hampshire in a matter of days.
A court hearing for Cher’s son Wednesday over allegations he broke into a New Hampshire home this month has been canceled.
Elijah Allman’s arrest on March 1 was his second in New Hampshire in a matter of days. Allman, the 49-year-old son of the iconic singer and actress, was also detained Feb. 27, accused of acting belligerently at a prestigious prep school in Concord.
It is unclear if Allman, of Malibu, California, has any connection to the home in Windham, New Hampshire. He is being held in the Rockingham County Department of Corrections, Superintendent Jonathan Banville said.
The hearing Wednesday was continued until an undetermined date after Allman got an attorney Wednesday morning. The attorney, Sarah Landres, did not respond to a request for comment.
Allman, whose father was the late singer Gregg Allman, is charged with two counts of criminal mischief, one count of burglary and a count of breach of bail for breaking into the home on March 1. Police said in a report that Allman did not have permission to be at the home and forcibly entered it.
Officials at St. Paul’s School said Allman last month identified himself as the parent of a prospective student and slipped into the dining hall as some students were leaving the building. Police responded to reports that he was disturbing people in the building.
He was charged with four misdemeanors in the school incident: two counts of simple assault, criminal trespass and criminal threatening. Allman was also charged with a violation of disorderly conduct, which is illegal in the state but not considered a crime. He was released on bail.
Allman did not respond to an email requesting comment, and a phone number for him was not working.
In December 2023, Cher filed a petition to become a temporary conservator overseeing her son’s money, saying Allman’s struggles with his mental health and addiction have left him unable to manage his assets and potentially put his life in danger.
The petition says the superstar performer’s son is entitled to regular payments from a trust fund. But “given his ongoing mental health and substance abuse issues,” she is “concerned that any funds distributed to Elijah will be immediately spent on drugs, leaving Elijah with no assets to provide for himself and putting Elijah’s life at risk,” the petition says.
Los Angeles Superior Court Judge Jessica Uzcategui denied the request, saying she was not convinced that a conservatorship was urgently needed. Allman was in the courtroom with his attorneys, who acknowledged his previous struggles but argued that he was in a good place, was attending meetings, getting treatment and reconciling with his estranged wife.
The son of Cher is scheduled to be in court Wednesday for a hearing over allegations he broke into a New Hampshire home earlier this month.
It was the second arrest in a matter of days for Elijah Allman, 49, of Malibu, California, who was detained Feb. 27 after allegedly acting belligerently at a prestigious prep school in New Hampshire. It was unclear if Allman had any connection to either St. Paul’s School or the home in Windham, New Hampshire.
Allman remains in the Rockingham County Department of Corrections in what is called preventive detention, Superintendent Jonathan Banville said.
Allman, whose father was the late singer Gregg Allman, faces two counts of criminal mischief, one count of burglary and a count of breach of bail for breaking into the home on March 1. Police said in a report that Allman did not have permission to be at the home and forcibly entered it .
In the incident at the prep school, Allman was charged with four misdemeanors: two counts of simple assault, criminal trespass and criminal threatening. Allman was also charged with a violation of disorderly conduct, which is illegal in the state but not considered a crime.
At about 7 p.m. that day, Concord police responded to reports that Allman was disturbing people in the dining hall of St. Paul’s School. After charging Allman, police said he was released on bail as his case works through the court system.
Allman did not respond to an email requesting comment, and a phone number for him was not working. It was unclear from the court records if Allman has an attorney.
In December 2023, Cher filed a petition to become a temporary conservator overseeing her son’s money, saying Allman struggles with mental health issues and addiction have left him unable to manage his assets and potentially put his life in danger.
The petition from the singer and actress said Elijah Allman is entitled to regular payments from a trust fund. But “given his ongoing mental health and substance abuse issues,” she is “concerned that any funds distributed to Elijah will be immediately spent on drugs, leaving Elijah with no assets to provide for himself and putting Elijah’s life at risk,” the petition says.
A few weeks later, Los Angeles Superior Court Judge Jessica Uzcategui denied the request, saying she was not convinced that a conservatorship was urgently needed. Allman was in the courtroom with his his attorneys, who acknowledged his previous struggles but argued that he is in a good place now, attending meetings, getting treatment and reconciling with his previously estranged wife.
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