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Fox News Poll: Harris, Trump locked in tight race in battleground Pennsylvania

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Fox News Poll: Harris, Trump locked in tight race in battleground Pennsylvania

Vice President Harris and former President Trump are locked in a tight race in Pennsylvania, mostly unchanged since July. This despite the array of newsworthy events since then, including the Democratic National Convention, a presidential debate, and a second Trump assassination attempt. 

The new Fox News survey of Pennsylvania voters finds Harris narrowly ahead of Trump by 2 points (50-48%) among registered voters, while the race is tied at 49% each among likely voters. 

The July results, conducted shortly after President Biden dropped out and endorsed Harris, but before she was conclusively the nominee, were deadlocked at 49% each. But even in March, when Biden was the presumed nominee, the contest was close to even.

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Since July, Harris has widened her lead among women (by 9 points), nonwhite voters (+8), and voters under age 30 (+17). Her support has held steady among two other sources of strength: college graduates and urban voters.

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Ninety-two percent of Harris supporters are certain of their vote versus 86% of Trump supporters.

Trump’s best groups include men, Whites without a college degree, independents, and rural voters. He has nearly doubled his lead among men and the small group of independents since July.

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Another reason the race is close is Trump has minimized Harris’ edge among suburban voters (+2). This is mostly due to the large gender gap among suburban voters:  suburban men support Trump by 14 points (suburban women go for Harris by 17). Meanwhile, Harris has successfully peeled off disaffected Republicans: she has 1 in 4 non-MAGA Republicans backing her.

In 2016, Trump beat Hillary Clinton by less than a point in the Keystone State, while Biden’s victory was by just over a point in 2020.

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In the expanded ballot (includes third-party candidates) Harris has a 2-point edge among registered voters while Trump is ahead by 1 point among likely voters.  

All results for the Harris-Trump head-to-heads and expanded ballot are within the error margin . 

“Pennsylvania is not breaking open and shouldn’t be expected to,” says Democratic Pollster Chris Anderson who conducts Fox News surveys alongside Republican Daron Shaw. “Both candidates have a little way to go to consolidate their bases and whoever does a better job there could determine who wins the state.”

The economy is the top issue for voters this election and most Pennsylvanians have a negative view of the economy (71%).

More voters think Trump can better handle the economy than Harris by 6 points.  Still, that’s half the advantage he had on the issue in April (+12 points over Biden). 

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Trump does best on immigration and border security (+17) and is also more trusted to make the country safer (+5).

Harris is seen as better able to handle abortion by 21 points. She also gets the nod on helping the middle class (by 8 points), protecting Democracy (+7), and fighting for people like you (+5). 

Neither has a clear edge in bringing needed change (Harris +3)            

Harris enjoys better favorable ratings than the former president — 48% favorable vs. 51% unfavorable for a 3-point net negative rating. Trump is underwater by 9 points (45% vs. 54%). It plays out the same way among the vice-presidential candidates: Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz’s rating is even (44% vs. 44%) while Ohio Sen. JD Vance is in negative territory by 13 points (39% vs. 52%).

Biden’s favorable rating is underwater by 16 points (42% vs. 58%).  

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In the Pennsylvania Senate race, Democratic candidate Bob Casey has a 9-point lead over Republican challenger David McCormick (53% to 44% among both registered and likely voters).  McCormick has narrowed the gap by 4 points since July when he was down by 13 (55-42%).

The reversal can mostly be attributed to a 13-point shift among men and a decrease in support for Casey among independents.  In July, men supported Casey by 6 points while today they back McCormick by 7 points, while independents supported Casey by 18 points in the summer and it’s a 5-point spread now. 

Some 10% of Casey backers split their ticket and back Trump in the presidential race while just 4% of McCormick supporters go for Harris.  

A few more things… 

— Gov. Josh Shapiro is popular, as 62% approve of the job he’s doing while a third disapprove (36%).  Most Democrats (92%) and over half of independents (53%) approve of him while two-thirds of Republicans (65%) disapprove.

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— A majority of Pennsylvanians favor the use of fracking for oil and gas production, including 8 in 10 Republicans, 6 in 10 independents, and 4 in 10 Democrats. 

CLICK HERE FOR TOPLINE AND CROSSTABS

Conducted September 20-24, 2024, under the joint direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), this Fox News Poll includes interviews with a sample of 1,021 Pennsylvania registered voters randomly selected from a statewide voter file. Respondents spoke with live interviewers on landlines (134) and cellphones (616) or completed the survey online after receiving a text (271). Results based on the registered voter sample have a margin of sampling error of ±3 percentage points and for the subsample of 775 likely voters it is ±3.5 percentage points. Weights are generally applied to age, race, education, and area variables to ensure the demographics of respondents are representative of the registered voter population. Likely voters are based on a probabilistic statistical model that relies on past vote history, interest in the current election, age, education, race, ethnicity, church attendance, and marital status.

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Connecticut

Make Mother’s Day memorable with these 8 activities in Connecticut

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Make Mother’s Day memorable with these 8 activities in Connecticut


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May is almost here, bringing with it warmer weather, bright spring blooms and of course, Mother’s Day, this year falling on Sunday, May 10.

Looking for an activity to celebrate the women in your life outside of the house? Luckily, Connecticut has plenty of fun Mother’s Day events that mom, aunt or grandma would enjoy, all the way from a casual day of shopping at the farmers market to an elgant brunch inside a castle.

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Here are eight of Connecticut’s best Mother’s Day activities to check out with mom this year.

Cruise the Connecticut River

For moms who would love a day on the water, the Connecticut River Museum hosts special Mother’s Day cruises on RiverQuest, a tour boat that explores the river’s ecology and wildlife.

On May 10, RiverQuest will offer hour-long cruises at 10 a.m., noon and 2 p.m. Tickets are $10 for mom and one child, $15 for children under 12 or $20 for other adults.

Visit a vineyard

Does mom love a good glass of wine? Treat her to an afternoon at a vineyard. On Sunday, May 10, Stonington Vineyards will host a Mother’s Day celebration full of wine, sandwiches and sweet treats, shopping from local vendors and live music. Plus, create a custom bouquet with or for mom at the onsite Bloom Bar.

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Stonington’s Mother’s Day event is free to attend, with no registration required. The vineyard is located at 523 Taugwonk Road in Stonington.

Go flower picking

If mom is a fan of flowers, take her to Wicked Tulips, a flower farm with the biggest you-pick-tulip event in New England, complete with over 1.5 million blooming tulips of various colors and 75 varieties.

Admission, which includes 10 tulips, costs $5.50 for children, $24.95 for adults on weekdays or $29.95 for adults on weekends. Additional tulips can be purchased for $1.50 per stem. Online tickets for Wicked Tulips must be reserved for a specific date and time, though guests can stay as long as they want after entering. Tickets are also sold at the door, but entry is more expensive and not guaranteed.

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Wicked Tulips is open from 10 a.m. to 7 p.m. Monday through Friday or 9 a.m. to 7 p.m. Saturday and Sunday from mid-April through mid-May. Located at 382 Route 164 in Preston.

Eat brunch in a castle

While Mother’s Day brunch is offered at tons of restaurants in Connecticut, one venue in Portland is hosting a special lavish brunch that will make mom feel like a queen. At Saint Clements Castle and Marina, mom can enjoy brunch in a literal castle from the 1800s, complete with lush surrounding grounds and breathtaking waterfront views of the Connecticut River.

The castle’s Mother’s Day brunch includes a gourmet buffet of decadent desserts and chef-inspired dishes, including a personalized omelet station, sliced prime rib and a cheesecake station. Tickets to the brunch cost $70 for adults or $30 for children ages 4-12. Reservations can be made online for 10:30 a.m. or 1 p.m. p.m. on Sunday, May 10.

Attend a craft festival

If mom is the creative type, take her to the New England Spring Craft Festival at Mohegan Sun this Mother’s Day weekend. This unique festival blends creativity with culinary excellence in a showcase featuring over 275 artisans.

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Shop for the perfect gift for mom, or let her pick it our herself, from handcrafted jewelry, luxurious spa products or specialty candles, and sample a lineup of food offerings all the way from unique salsas to handmade chocolates.

Online tickets cost $13 for one day or $18 for the whole weekend, and children ages 14 and under enter for free.

The festival will take place from 9 a.m. to 6 p.m. on Saturday, May 9 and 9 a.m. to 5 p.m. on Sunday, May 10. Mohegan Sun Earth Expo & Convention Center is located at 1 Mohegan Sun Blvd. in Uncasville.

Enjoy afternoon tea

Pamper mom with an elegant afternoon tea service aboard the Essex Steam Train. The train’s “Mommy & Me Tea” event takes guests on a scenic 90-minute train ride through the Connecticut River Valley in a restored 1920s era Pullman Dining car. Dress in your Sunday best, listen to comforting classical music and take in the scenery while enjoying an assortment of teas, finger sandwiches and pastries.

Mommy & Me Tea is offered from 11:30 a.m. to 1 p.m. on Saturday, May 9, with tickets starting at $59.99.

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Go to the farmers’ market

For the moms who love to shop, head over to Bozrah Farmer’s Market on Saturday, May 9 for a special Mother’s Day Market full of handmade clothing, fresh baked pastries, unique crafts, flowers, plants and plenty of other goods from local vendors. From 11 a.m. to 2 p.m., enjoy a day of shopping, food trucks and live music with mom.

The market will take place at Maples Farm Park, located at 45 Bozrah St. in Bozrah.

Run a 5K

If you and mom are the active type, consider running a race together on Mother’s Day. This year, the annual Bridgeport Hospital Mother’s Day 5K will start at 7:45 a.m. on Sunday, May 10, starting and ending at the hospital’s Milford Campus.

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The event not only consists of a 5K, but fitness options for the whole family: a timed 5K run and walk, a 3K walk and a kid’s fun run for ages nine and under. Registration for the races costs $40 for adults or $20 for students ages 10-18, while the kid’s fun run is free to enter. Prizes will be distributed to the top runners, as well as the fastest mother-daughter and mother-son teams.



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Maine

Opinion: What Maine’s candidates are missing about aging

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Opinion: What Maine’s candidates are missing about aging


The BDN Opinion section operates independently and does not set news policies or contribute to reporting or editing articles elsewhere in the newspaper or on bangordailynews.com

Kaitlyn Cunningham Morse is founder of Maine Aging Partners, a Maine-based consulting firm that helps families navigate aging and long-term care decisions.

In the coming election, Maine candidates will talk about housing. They will talk about workforce shortages, affordability, economic development and the future of our state.

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What many will not do is confront the force tying those issues together: Maine is aging faster than our systems are adapting.

That omission matters.

Too much of our public conversation around aging still proceeds as though this is a manageable strain on an otherwise functional system — something that can be solved with another grant, another pilot program, another commission, or simply more patience.

But if that approach were working, it would be working by now.

Instead, we continue discussing the downstream effects of aging as if they are separate and unrelated problems.

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We debate labor shortages. We debate housing shortages. We debate burnout. We debate economic stagnation.

All while ignoring the quiet reality unfolding behind closed doors across this state.

Somewhere in Maine, an older couple is beginning to struggle. One has fallen twice. The other is forgetting medications. The home that served them for 40 years no longer serves them now. And when no clear path exists — when there is no accessible support, no plan, no obvious next step — that problem does not stay within their household.

It lands downstream.

It lands in front of the daughter leaving work early because her father cannot be left alone. It lands in front of the employer wondering why a once-reliable manager is suddenly distracted. It lands in front of the small business losing a key employee to caregiving demands. It lands in front of the hospital trying to discharge someone with nowhere appropriate to send them. It lands in front of local leaders trying to solve workforce and housing issues while more residents quietly age out of independence.

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That is what Maine’s aging crisis actually looks like.

Not simply older adults needing care. But families, employers and communities reorganizing themselves around a system under mounting strain.

Maine has the oldest population in the nation. Yet we still discuss aging as though it is a niche healthcare issue rather than a defining economic fact.

It is not separate from our workforce challenges. It is not separate from our housing crisis. It is not separate from our economic future.

When enough working-age adults reduce hours, leave jobs, delay advancement, or burn out because they are managing family caregiving in a fragmented system, the consequences ripple across the entire state.

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This is no longer simply an elder care issue. It is a workforce issue. An economic issue. A housing issue. A civic issue.

And until our leaders begin treating aging as a central challenge shaping Maine’s future — rather than a specialized concern delegated to familiar institutions and stakeholder groups — we will continue mistaking downstream symptoms for unrelated problems.

We cannot build a thriving Maine while ignoring the demographic reality reshaping nearly every major policy debate before us.

The future of this state depends on our willingness to finally say so.



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Massachusetts

Sayres: Pet sale ban would take Massachusetts backwards

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Sayres: Pet sale ban would take Massachusetts backwards


Senate Bill 3028, under consideration by legislators, would ban the sale of dogs and cats at pet stores, closing several family-owned businesses in Massachusetts. Proponents of the legislation say that these small businesses are a necessary sacrifice in the name of finding more homes for shelter animals and combating “puppy mills,” or irresponsible dog breeders.

But as a longtime shelter animal advocate who used to advocate for bills like S. 3028, I’ve learned that these pet-sale bans simply don’t help on either front.

In theory, it might seem logical: Ban pet stores from selling dogs, and people will go to shelters instead. But in reality, that’s not what happens at all.

Families go to pet stores precisely because they are looking for dogs that aren’t at the local shelter. They often have a specific breed of dog in mind. They may need a hypoallergenic dog that doesn’t shed, or a dog with predictable temperament or behavioral traits.

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If they can’t get a dog from a local store, then they’ll look elsewhere – typically on the Internet.

Go on TikTok or Craigslist, and you’ll find no shortage of people hawking puppies. Where do these dogs come from? It’s anyone’s guess, but it’s likely that many are sourced from puppy mills.

Which is ironic. Proponents of S. 3028 say banning retail pet sales will fight puppy mills. In reality, it will help puppy mills.

California gives proof to this. A Los Angeles Times investigation following the state’s ban on pet stores selling dogs found that “a network of resellers — including ex-cons and schemers — replaced pet stores as middlemen.”

Nor has California’s ban on retail pet sales reduced animal shelter overcrowding. Shelters in Los Angeles and San Francisco are struggling to deal with crowding in animal shelters more than five years after the ban was passed.

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As the former head of the national ASPCA, and a former executive director of the San Francisco SPCA, I always advocate that people adopt from shelters. But I also recognize that people want choices in where to get a dog. We should make sure that these avenues are well-regulated for animal and consumer protection.

And that’s why S. 3028 is counterproductive: It drives dogs and families away from pet stores, which are regulated brick-and-mortar local businesses, and into the black market where there are essentially no regulations to protect people and animals.

If Massachusetts goes down this road, it won’t stop with dogs and cats. Activists will lobby, as they have in Cambridge, for the entire Commonwealth to ban the sale of all pets at pet stores. Fish, hamsters, guinea pigs, you name it.

Where then will people get pets?

Some families will just drive to New Hampshire, as some Bay Staters already do for other goods. But others, particularly less-advantaged people without personal vehicles, will either have to turn to shady online marketplaces or perhaps not get a pet at all.

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The human-animal bond is something that all people should be able to experience and cherish. We can make the process of getting a pet both convenient and well-regulated so that animals and consumers are protected. Banning pet sales under S. 3028 would take us backwards.

Ed Sayres is the former CEO of the ASPCA and former president of the San Francisco Society for the Prevention of Cruelty to Animals, whose career in animal welfare spans four decades.



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