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Red Sox playoff odds: Walk-off loss to Yankees drops Boston to 5% chance

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Red Sox playoff odds: Walk-off loss to Yankees drops Boston to 5% chance


NEW YORK — The Red Sox played a winnable game in Thursday’s series opener at Yankee Stadium. But a four-hit night from an offense that went 0-for-11 with runners in scoring position wasn’t enough and Boston fell, 2-1, in 10 innings.

Boston failed to gain any ground in the American League wild card race. The Twins had the night off but the Tigers (4-2 loss to Colorado) and Mariners (5-4 loss to Texas) did play. The Red Sox are back to one game above .500 at 74-73 and enter Friday with a 4½ game gap to close with 15 games to go. Is there still time?

“You’ve got to stay positive,” said third baseman Rafael Devers (through translator Carlos Villoria Benítez. “If you come tomorrow and win and then win the next two games, then you’re right back there again in the fight. You have to just keep playing, stay positive and anything can happen.”

FanGraphs lists Boston’s postseason odds at just 5%. The Sox will play three more times in the Bronx before an off day Monday, then a three-game series against the Rays at Tropicana Field. On Friday, the Twins will begin a home series with the Reds, the Tigers will begin a set against the Orioles in Baltimore and the Mariners will keep playing Texas.

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WILD CARD STANDINGS:

1. Baltimore Orioles — 83-64 (.565) +4.5 games

2. Kansas City Royals — 80-67 (.544) +1.5 games

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3. Minnesota Twins — 78-68 (.534)

Others in the race:

4. Detroit Tigers — 75-72 (.510) — 3.5 games back

T-5. Boston Red Sox — 74-73 (.503) — 4.5 games back

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T-5. Seattle Mariners — 74-73 (.503) — 4.5 games back



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Boston, MA

1 person shot during scuffle at pro-Israel rally in Boston suburb, authorities say

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1 person shot during scuffle at pro-Israel rally in Boston suburb, authorities say


NEWTON, Mass. — A pro-Israel rally in a Boston suburb turned violent Thursday evening when a passerby was shot during a scuffle after confronting a group of demonstrators, authorities said.

Police were called at 6:40 p.m. to the scene of what they described as a small rally in Newton. Words were exchanged before a passerby rapidly crossed the street and tackled one of the demonstrators, Middlesex County District Attorney Marian Ryan said.

“A scuffle ensued. During that scuffle, the individual who had come across the street was shot by a member of the demonstrating group,” Ryan said during a news conference late Thursday.

Scott Hayes, 47, of Framingham, was arrested on charges of assault and battery with a dangerous weapon and violation of a constitutional right causing injury. He is scheduled to be arraigned in district court Friday, Ryan said.

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The shooting victim, who was not identified, was being treated at a hospital for life-threatening injuries, Ryan said.

Acting Newton Police Chief George McMains asked witnesses to provide investigators with photos or videos of the confrontation. He said police would provide extra patrols at “houses of worship” over the next several days.

Newton Mayor Ruthanne Fuller called the shooting a “frightening incident” and asked for everyone to remain calm as police investigate.

“I know people will have a lot of questions, and we will share information with Newtonians and the press when we are able,” Fuller said. “It’s really early stages of an active investigation.”



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Boston, MA

Missouri Tight End Brett Norfleet Back From Injury, Playing Against Boston College

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Missouri Tight End Brett Norfleet Back From Injury, Playing Against Boston College


After missing last week and seeing the field sparingly against Murray State, sophomore tight end Brett Norfleet will return to action against Boston College, according to Pete Thamel.

Norfleet only recorded one reception for four yards in the opening matchup with the Racers on very limited snaps. Prior to week one, he had experienced some hip pain that left him questionable. He practiced in a green jersey, signifying no-contact, leading up to week one.

The O’Fallon, Mo product broke out last year for the Tigers, posting 197 yards and three touchdowns, while also becoming one of quarterback Brady Cook’s most trusted targets.

In the absence of Norfleet, Tyler Stephens and Jordon Harris have stepped into his role. Stephens has picked up three receptions for 22 yards early in the season and Harris earned his first career reception as a Tiger last week, good for nine yards.

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The Tiger offense hasn’t faltered without Norfleet, scoring 51 points in week one and 38 the one after. Not much of those points have been a result of a pass, with only one passing touchdown being thrown and nine on the ground.

Norfleet will prove a valuable weapon for Cook heading into Saturday’s matchup with the Eagles. Boston College, led defensively by safety Carter Davis and defensive ends Neto Okpala and Donovan Ezeiruaku, have allowed only 347 passing yards through two games. Majority of those came in week once, facing Florida State’s D.J. Uiagalelei.

Missouri kicks off from Faurot Field against Boston College at 11:45 a.m. on the SEC Network.

All Things Mizzou Podcast: No. 6 Mizzou Welcomes No. 24 Boston College

Start Date, Updates Learned for Mizzou’s $250 Million Faurot Field Project

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Boston College Quarterback Thomas Castellanos the Primary Focus for Missouri Defense



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Missouri vs. Boston College score prediction by expert football model

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Missouri vs. Boston College score prediction by expert football model


One of two games featuring ranked teams on the same field this week finds No. 6 Missouri playing host to newly-ranked No. 24 Boston College in this weekend’s Week 3 NCAA football action.

The last time we saw this SEC vs. ACC matchup was three years ago in Chestnut Hill, Mass., as the Eagles beat Mizzou by a touchdown in overtime.

But that was when Missouri was still looking for its identity under head coach Eli Drinkwitz, a process that has taken leaps and bounds after winning 11 games and the Cotton Bowl last season.

While the Tigers have yet to allow a point in two games this season, the Eagles will present a decidedly more difficult challenge: BC ranks 10th in scoring defense, 26th in scoring offense, and is 9th nationally by rushing for 285 yards per game on average.

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Boston College quarterback Thomas Castellanos hasn’t put the ball in the air often, just 26 times so far, but the dual threat player is hitting 73 percent of his throws with 6 touchdowns and no interceptions.

What do the analytics project for the matchup? Let’s turn to the SP+ prediction model to get a preview of how Boston College and Missouri compare in this Week 3 college football game.

The simulations currently favor the home team, and by an apparently generous margin.

SP+ predicts that Missouri will defeat Boston College by a projected score of 39 to 16 and to win the game by an expected 22.4 points.

The model gives Mizzou a strong 92 percent chance to win the game outright.

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SP+ is a “tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency” that attempts to predict game outcomes by measuring “the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football.”

How good is it this season? So far, the SP+ model is 47-44 against the spread with a 51.6 win percentage.

Missouri is a 16.5 point favorite against Boston College, according to the lines at FanDuel Sportsbook, which set the total at 53.5 points for the game.

FanDuel lists the moneyline odds for Missouri at -720 to win outright and for Boston College at +490.

If you’re using this projection to bet on the game, you should take…

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Other analytical models also favor the Tigers to win out at home.

That includes the College Football Power Index, a computer prediction model that uses data points from both teams to simulate games 20,000 times to pick winners.

Missouri comes out the expected winner in 76.6 percent of the computer’s simulations, while Boston College wins the game in the remaining 23.4 percent of sims.

But the index forecasts a slightly closer game, as Missouri is projected to be 11.3 points better than Boston College on the same field, not enough to cover this spread.

Missouri is projected to win 9 games this season and is sixth among SEC teams with a 39.8 percent chance to qualify for the College Football Playoff.

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Boston College will win 8.3 games this year, by the model’s calculations, with a 17.5 percent shot at the 12-team playoff, sitting fourth among ACC teams this week.

When: Sat., Sept. 14
Time: 12:45 p.m. Eastern
TV: SEC Network

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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