Connect with us

News

The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2022

Published

on

The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2022

Senate contests are more and more changing into nationalized affairs, so whereas candidate high quality does matter (see No. 10 on this record), Democrats face a troublesome problem in holding their razor-thin Senate majority, no matter which Republicans emerge from these Might primaries.

CNN’s rating of the Senate seats almost definitely to flip sees a couple of modifications this month, all in Republicans’ favor. However the states holding Might primaries stay in the identical positions this month. The rating relies on CNN’s reporting and fundraising and promoting knowledge, in addition to historic knowledge about how states and candidates have carried out.

1. Pennsylvania

Incumbent: Republican Pat Toomey (retiring)

Pennsylvania — a state Biden gained in 2020 — stays the seat almost definitely to flip, however this month’s primaries will inform us much more about how aggressive the competition to succeed retiring GOP Sen. Pat Toomey might be in November. Trump weighed in on the GOP subject in early April, endorsing celeb coronary heart surgeon Mehmet Ozover former hedge fund government David McCormick. Whereas Ozis attempting to capitalize on the previous President’s assist, McCormick and his allies are arguing that McCormick is the true conservative. “I like Trump … however not his Senate decide,” voters say in a single current McCormick advert.
The massive query for the Might 17 major is whether or not Trump’s endorsement can be sufficient for Oz, who had been trailing in some polls earlier this spring. In accordance with a Monmouth College survey launched after the Trump endorsement, 22% of GOP major voters stated they had been very more likely to again Oz — an insignificant edge over McCormick (19%) and conservative commentator Kathy Barnette (18%). Sixty-nine p.c of GOP voters stated the Trump endorsement didn’t change how they felt about Oz.
On the Democratic facet, Lt. Gov. John Fetterman heads into the first because the front-runner due to his statewide title recognition and hefty fundraising. Within the Monmouth ballot, 44% of Democratic major voters stated they had been very more likely to again him — practically double the share who stated the identical about US Rep. Conor Lamb, who’s additionally from western Pennsylvania. A current advert from Fetterman, during which he vows to “tackle Washington,” comes throughout as a common election message from a progressive attempting to run as a populist outsider. However his major opponents have skilled their assaults on him in current debates, particularly over a 2013 incident during which he introduced alongside his shotgun to confront somebody who later turned out to be an unarmed Black jogger.
Lamb is making the argument for his electability. Promoting from his allies, together with one spot that opens with footage of the January 6, 2021, revolt on the US Capitol, highlights his success defeating “Trump Republicans” in his Pittsburgh-area Home seat — a transparent play for the suburban voters so vital to the Democratic coalition.

2. Georgia

Incumbent: Democrat Raphael Warnock

Advertisement
The Peach State, which stays at No. 2, additionally has its primaries in Might, however there’s much less intraparty pleasure right here. Regardless of enduring assaults from GOP opponents, former NFL participant Herschel Walker, who has the backing of each Trump and Senate Republican chief Mitch McConnell, should not have an issue clinching the nomination to problem Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock.
Having gained a particular election runoff in January 2021, Warnock is now searching for a full six-year time period. He raised an astounding $13.6 million within the first three months of the 12 months, which follows spectacular earlier quarterly hauls, and is operating direct-to-camera adverts on points with bipartisan attraction resembling jobs, infrastructure and well being care. In the meantime, Democrats hope that Warnock and gubernatorial candidate Stacey Abrams will generate the bottom turnout they desperately want in a midterm 12 months.
However Warnock is in critical jeopardy, even towards a wildcard candidate like Walker, who faces a myriad of questions on his enterprise background and allegations of threats he made towards girls. A lot of the GOP institution considered Walker as a legal responsibility originally of the cycle however have, publicly a minimum of, come round, whereas his staff has labored to maintain him comparatively on script. Democrats’ street to Senate management ran by way of Georgia final cycle, nevertheless it’s nonetheless difficult political terrain for them, particularly in a midterm 12 months with an unpopular Democratic President.

3. Nevada

Incumbent: Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto

The Silver State strikes up two slots on this month’s rating. Democratic Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto faces a troublesome race in a transient state that Biden gained by 2 factors in 2020. The President’s approval score has sunk since then, and Nevada has among the highest fuel costs within the nation, which might play into the GOP messaging that is attempting to pin steep every day dwelling prices on the social gathering in energy. Even when Cortez Masto manages to distinguish herself from generic Democrats, that effort might be overtaken by a foul nationwide atmosphere, particularly if Republicans are capable of make extra inroads with Latino voters. It would not assist that the state Democratic Celebration is fractured.
Cortez Masto, the previous chair of Senate Democrats’ marketing campaign arm, outraised seemingly GOP nominee Adam Laxalt within the first quarter of the 12 months — $4.4 million to $1.6 million. However cash is not anticipated to be a difficulty for Laxalt, a former state lawyer common — he succeeded Cortez Masto in that function — and grandson of a former senator and governor, who will profit from GOP exterior spending. Democrats argue that Laxalt, who co-chaired Trump’s 2020 marketing campaign within the state, has gone too far down the election conspiracy street and that his anti-abortion positions will alienate voters. However that won’t matter as a lot if voters determine it is time for a change in Washington.

4. Arizona

Incumbent: Democrat Mark Kelly

Holding regular in fourth place is Arizona, the place Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly is operating for a full six-year time period after successful a particular election in 2020. He is one of many best-positioned Democratic incumbents on the subject of his private story and marketing campaign coffers. However the former astronaut has a voting document now and is operating in a purple border state that solely narrowly backed Biden. Kelly is attempting to stake out variations from the White Home — resembling his opposition to lifting Title 42. However no matter any actual separation between him and Biden, messaging these nuances is an arguably more durable job than it’s for Republicans to blanketly tie him to an unpopular President.
Fortunately for Kelly, the messy Republican major subject will not be sorted till August. So whereas he is dealing with assaults from the Nationwide Republican Senatorial Committee, he would not but have a well-defined opponent. Trump has teased that an endorsement is coming. It is unlikely to be for state Lawyer Normal Mark Brnovich, who’s been a goal of the previous President’s wrath for not doing extra to research the 2020 election. Enterprise capitalist Blake Masters is backed by Peter Thiel, who’s additionally behind Trump’s chosen candidate in Ohio. However Masters additionally has the endorsement of the Membership for Development, which can not sit properly with Trump given his variations with the group over the Ohio Senate major.

5. Wisconsin

Incumbent: Republican Ron Johnson

GOP Sen. Ron Johnson lastly stepped up his fundraising — he introduced in about $6 million within the first three months of the 12 months after saying in January that he was breaking his pledge to solely serve two phrases. He is been operating optimistic spots, that includes households who say their terminally sick family members benefited from Johnson’s assist for so-called Proper to Strive laws.
That is not why Wisconsin slides down two spots on this record. The senator stays unpopular — 36% of registered voters considered Johnson favorably whereas 46% considered him unfavorably, in accordance with a Marquette College Regulation Faculty ballot launched Wednesday. (In February, the identical ballot discovered him underwater by a barely worse 12 factors.) Half of voters within the April Marquette survey stated the phrase “cares about folks like me” didn’t describe Johnson. That explains why Democrats proceed to imagine this seat is a greater pickup alternative with Johnson operating than had it been an open seat.

However Biden can be unpopular in Wisconsin. After successful the state with about 49% in 2020, his approval score has hovered at about 43%, with some 53% disapproving, since final fall. The winner of the Democratic major in August will seemingly be tied to Biden, particularly with inflation rising as a high concern, in accordance with the Marquette ballot, and worries over the coronavirus (about which Johnson has stated loads of controversial issues) reaching a brand new low.

The Democratic subject continues to be unsure. Help for Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes, who has been seen because the front-runner, declined barely amongst seemingly major voters within the Marquette ballot, whereas assist for Milwaukee Bucks basketball staff government Alex Lasry ticked up. State Treasurer Sarah Godlewski and Outagamie County Govt Tom Nelson remained within the single digits. Almost half of these seemingly major voters, nonetheless, stated they hadn’t picked a candidate. Lasry and Godlewski are pouring their very own assets into the race to go up on TV. Barnes, who raised $1.7 million within the first quarter of the 12 months, has not but gone on TV. And not one of the candidates has emerged as a fundraising powerhouse the way in which different Democrats difficult unpopular Republicans (suppose Sens. Ted Cruz or Lindsey Graham) have in cycles previous.

6. New Hampshire

Incumbent: Democrat Maggie Hassan

Advertisement
New Hampshire stays at No. 6 because the Republican subject — upended late final 12 months by Gov. Chris Sununu’s resolution to not search the nomination — develops. Republicans trying to problem Democratic Sen. Maggie Hassan embrace state Senate President Chuck Morse, former Londonderry city supervisor Kevin Smith and retired Military Brig. Gen. Don Bolduc, who unsuccessfully sought the nomination for the state’s different Senate seat in 2020. And different Republicans have been throwing their hats within the ring forward of New Hampshire’s late major in September.
Hassan, a former two-term governor, is searching for a second Senate time period in a state that, on paper, needs to be extra favorable to Democrats than some other state on this record. Biden carried New Hampshire by 7 factors in 2020. An unfavorable nationwide atmosphere, nonetheless, might damage her reelection possibilities, even with out an opponent of Sununu’s caliber. Hassan has come out towards the Biden administration’s plan to raise Title 42, making her personal journey to the border final month that angered a number of Latino leaders again house.

7. North Carolina

Incumbent: Republican Richard Burr (retiring)

We’ll quickly discover out if one in all Trump’s earliest Senate major endorsements — for US Rep. Ted Budd final June — leads to victory. Budd should exceed 30% of the vote within the Might 17 major (which was delayed from March due to redistricting uncertainty) to keep away from a runoff for the seat GOP Sen. Richard Burr is vacating. Budd’s strongest opponent is former Gov. Pat McCrory, however former US Rep. Mark Walker has the potential to siphon off assist from the congressman. The conservative Membership for Development Motion has been boosting Trump’s decide. One current spot options Republican Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson praising Budd and knocking McCrory. “Pat’s a pleasant man, however he is no conservative,” Robinson says, admitting that he’d voted for McCrory up to now “however not this time.” McCrory and his allies are touting his document on immigration and arguing that Budd is “weak” on a bunch of points.
On the Democratic facet, former state Supreme Court docket Chief Justice Cheri Beasley has primarily cleared the first subject and has already pivoted to the final election. ” Washington, I feel each events are doing the job flawed,” she says in a current advert. Beasley outraised her potential GOP opponents within the first quarter of this 12 months, however cash will not be sufficient in a state Trump gained twice, particularly in a midterm 12 months, when Democratic turnout has typically waned. Senate Management Fund, the GOP tremendous PAC aligned with McConnell, has made advert reservations within the state to assist the eventual nominee. The Democratic equal, Senate Majority PAC, left North Carolina off its record of preliminary reservations.

8. Florida

Incumbent: Republican Marco Rubio

Democratic Rep. Val Demings, a former Orlando police chief with a compelling story, continues to outraise Republican incumbent Marco Rubio, bringing in additional than $10 million throughout the first three months of the 12 months to Rubio’s $5.8 million. Her marketing campaign just lately introduced a Hispanic outreach effort and a $3 million funding in a state bilingual coordinated marketing campaign.
However whereas cash is vital on this costly state, it will not be sufficient to flip the seat. And not one of the main exterior teams have made advert reservations right here, signaling that they view the race as much less aggressive. Demings already began at a drawback in a state the place Trump expanded on his victory margin in 2020 from 4 years earlier, however her job could be even more durable if the nationwide temper continues to bitter on Democrats this fall. She and Rubio have traded barbs on fuel costs and immigration. Rubio’s marketing campaign has tried to tie Demings to Biden’s resolution to rescind Title 42. Demings’ staff just lately stated she doesn’t assist lifting the measure “till there’s a plan to place extra boots on the bottom and assist our regulation enforcement officers on the border.”

9. Ohio

Incumbent: Republican Rob Portman (retiring)

Tuesday’s Republican major in Ohio is the primary main check of Trump’s endorsement in a Senate major this 12 months — and the end result might assist decide whether or not this race is even remotely in play for November or falls off the map.
In mid-April, Trump backed “Hillbilly Elegy” writer J.D. Vance, whose very public criticism of Trump from 2016 had been a treasure trove for his major opponents and their advert makers. The previous President, although, appeared keen to look previous that. And it is paying off for Vance, a minimum of in accordance with a current Fox ballot, which noticed him double his assist from the earlier month and bounce into first place with 23%. This has persistently been a topsy-turvy race, and it is doable that Vance is touchdown on high at simply the fitting second for it to matter. However the Fox ballot, which was performed April 20-24, additionally underscores the fluidity of the race: Greater than 50% of those that expressed a candidate desire stated they might change their minds earlier than the GOP major.
And lacking out on Trump’s endorsement hasn’t stopped the jockeying amongst another candidates (and their allies) to tie themselves most carefully to Trump. Membership for Development Motion, for instance, which is backing former state treasurer Josh Mandel and is now in an open spat with Trump, is operating extra clips of Vance’s previous criticism of Trump. One other Membership advert featured folks, a few of whom stated “they love Trump,” questioning the previous President’s judgment on endorsements previous and current. GOP hopeful Mike Gibbons, in the meantime, is attacking Vance and Mandel as a star and politician, respectively, whereas leaning into his personal background as a businessman.

Former state social gathering chair Jane Timken has the backing of retiring GOP Sen. Rob Portman, however she too has appealed to Trump on the stump. Solely state Sen. Matt Dolan is operating really exterior the Trump election conspiracy lane within the GOP major. Apparently, his inventory has risen in some current polling. Both Timken or Dolan might attraction to a wider common election viewers than their major opponents, however they’re removed from the highest of the GOP pack.

No matter who wins, although, Democratic Rep. Tim Ryan — who’s favored to win his major Tuesday — begins at a drawback on this reddening state.

10. Missouri

Incumbent: Republican Roy Blunt (retiring)

Advertisement
It is nonetheless all about Eric Greitens in Missouri — does the previous governor, who resigned in shame in 2018, keep within the Republican race? Does he rating Trump’s endorsement? And does he win the GOP nod in August? These are the sequence of questions that may decide whether or not Missouri — a purple state that should not in any other case be aggressive — stays on this record.
Issues about Greitens deepened in March after courtroom paperwork revealed that his former spouse had alleged he was bodily abusive towards her and his youngsters, which he denies. Greitens is not any stranger to controversy, having resigned as governor amid allegations of sexual misconduct. Lots of his major opponents have referred to as on him to drop out. Anxious Republicans wish to see their major subject skinny, fearing that such a crowded pool of candidates might find yourself splitting the anti-Greitens vote and handing him a victory.

Some Democrats odor alternative. Trudy Busch Valentine, a nurse and Anheuser-Busch beer heiress, jumped into the race this spring. She hasn’t stated how a lot she’ll put money into her marketing campaign, however ought to this race turn out to be aggressive, Democrats might profit from having a candidate along with her personal cash to spend. However Valentine first has a major to win — whereas one Democrat dropped out of the race and endorsed her, the highest fundraiser, Marine veteran Lucas Kunce, would not appear to be he is going anyplace.

Continue Reading
Advertisement
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

News

Read the Report on Security in New Orleans

Published

on

Read the Report on Security in New Orleans

“It does not hinder policing, but the admin part is clogging up the works.”53 The most
frequently noted hindrance, particularly by law enforcement respondents, is the
amount of paperwork created for sergeants by the consent decree, which has a direct
result of keeping them off the streets.
“We are seeing blatant discretionary policing, where a cop can just walk by a
violator because they don’t feel like filling out the paperwork, so the violator feels
above the law, compounding propensity to commit crimes.”54
Surprisingly, it was NOPD respondents who said that the consent decree is not the
burdensome yoke others perceive it to be. While it may have been a difficult
adjustment for veteran NOPD officers, they said, new officers who have only known
policing under the consent decree do not feel tethered by it, as they have no other
comparison.
F.
Risk of Terrorism & Critical Security Incidents
The risk of terrorism – specifically mass shootings and vehicular attacks – remains highly
possible while moderately probable.
The two modes of terror attack most likely to be used are vehicular ramming and active
shooting. Both international and domestic terrorists have turned to these methods as a
cheap low-tech alternative to complex bomb plots, particularly in the case of lone wolf
attacks. Considering that the most high-profile target in New Orleans – Bourbon Street
– is an open air thoroughfare with little to no access control reinforces the rationale for
these two methods.
Aside from serving as a general deterrent, the larger police presence that Interfor and
nearly all stakeholders are advocating would ensure a quicker armed response to an
active shooter. To illustrate the fact, one need look no further than the August 4, 2019
active shooter attack in Dayton, Ohio. In this tragic act of terror, nine people were killed
and an additional seventeen were shot within thirty-two seconds of when the gunman
opened fire, at which point he was neutralized by the substantial police force in the
nearby vicinity. Sadly, the carnage would likely be far worse in the area of Bourbon
Street, where no evidence of a substantial quick reaction force ready to face a similar
threat was observed.
Increased visibility and a larger show of force also raise the chances to disrupt potential
terror attacks during the planning phase. Historically, the majority of intended attacks
which have been thwarted were detected during the planning phase, when would-be
53 NOPD Officer
54
A restauranteur
-37-
INTERFOR INTERNATIONAL

Continue Reading

News

Joe Biden blocks Nippon Steel’s $15bn takeover of US Steel

Published

on

Joe Biden blocks Nippon Steel’s bn takeover of US Steel

US President Joe Biden has blocked a $15bn deal by Japan’s Nippon Steel to buy US Steel, delivering a setback to Washington’s relations with its closest Asia-Pacific ally and prompting the companies to threaten legal action.

Biden, who has long been opposed to the purchase, issued an order on Friday compelling Nippon and US Steel “to fully and permanently abandon the proposed transaction” within 30 days.

In response, the two companies labelled the move “a clear violation of due process” and the law. In an indication of possible legal action, they added: “Following President Biden’s decision, we are left with no choice but to take all appropriate action to protect our legal rights.”

A clause in the original agreement with US Steel obliges Nippon to pay a $565mn break-fee payment in the event the deal is blocked.

Biden’s extraordinary intervention, which comes with just 17 days remaining of his term, caps a presidency in which he has sought to boost American jobs and has moved away from the free-trade agenda of previous administrations.

Advertisement

It is also likely to raise concerns about US receptiveness to future foreign investment, with president-elect Donald Trump, who won November’s election on a protectionist platform, also opposing the deal.

The companies said it was “shocking and deeply troubling that the US government would . . . treat an ally like Japan in this way”.

They added: “Unfortunately, it sends a chilling message to any company based in a US-allied country contemplating significant investment in the US.”

In the order, Biden said there was “credible evidence” that through the acquisition, Nippon “might take action that threatens to impair the national security of the United States”.

The Committee on Foreign Investment, which vets foreign acquisitions, failed to reach a consensus by a December 23 deadline on whether the transaction posed a national security threat.

Advertisement

The companies said the president had not presented any “credible evidence of a national security issue”, adding that “instead of abiding by the law, the process was manipulated to advance President Biden’s political agenda”.

They added the Cfius process “was deeply corrupted by politics, and the outcome was pre-determined”.

Biden’s intervention marks the failure of Nippon Steel’s ambitious expansion plan that morphed into a sensitive political issue in a US election year.

The decision by the outgoing president, who is known for his support for organised labour, follows fierce opposition to the deal from the United Steelworkers union. The group’s campaign proved fatal to the purchase, despite intense lobbying in recent weeks from executives at US Steel and Nippon.

The White House said Biden’s decision was not meant as a snub to Tokyo.

Advertisement

“This isn’t about Japan. It’s about US steelmaking,” National Security Council spokesperson John Kirby said on Friday. It is about “keeping one of the largest steel producers in the United States an American-owned company. It is not about the extraordinary, close relationship, any alliance, that we have with Japan.”

US Steel shares were down more than 6 per cent after the decision.

Opponents of the takeover welcomed Biden’s decision.

Sherrod Brown, the outgoing Democratic senator from Ohio, wrote on X: “This deal . . . represented a clear threat to America’s national and economic security and our ability to enforce our trade laws. It’s why we fought it every step of the way. The president is right to block it.”

Biden’s move to quash the deal will leave the fate of US Steel in limbo. The company had warned it might close mills and reduce its workforce, possibly moving its headquarters away from Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, if the agreement was blocked.

Advertisement

Nippon’s proposed takeover had attracted significant support in parts of the US that would have benefited from the promised investment and technology from the Japanese company.

William Chou, deputy director of the Japan chair at the Hudson Institute think-tank, said the decision would devastate the steelmaking communities in western Pennsylvania and Indiana.

“President Biden talks about protecting the American steel industry, but only in the abstract,” he added. “At no point did he engage with actual steelworkers, or address the technology needed to empower them to safeguard the steel industry.”

Japanese officials, speaking on condition of anonymity, have previously said that, while they understood the risk of political intervention that Nippon faced when launching a bid ahead of a US presidential election, it was baffling that a Japanese company should be labelled a security risk.

Heino Klinck, a former US deputy assistant secretary for defence for east Asia, said it was “ironic and nonsensical” that national security concerns were being cited as rationale for blocking the deal, because Japan hosted the world’s largest presence of the US’s forward-deployed military forces.

Advertisement

“This decision will cast a shadow on the alliance,” he said. “It is indeed unfortunate that the Biden administration has handed the Chinese Communist party yet another talking point on America not being a reliable partner.”

Additional reporting by Steff Chávez

Continue Reading

News

The U.S. Surgeon General wants cancer warnings on alcohol. Here's why

Published

on

The U.S. Surgeon General wants cancer warnings on alcohol. Here's why

Bottles of alcohol sit on shelves at a bar in Houston on June 23, 2020.

David J. Phillip/AP


hide caption

toggle caption

Advertisement

David J. Phillip/AP

U.S. Surgeon General Vivek Murthy is calling on Congress to require health warning labels that inform consumers about the link between alcohol consumption and the risk of cancer.

Murthy released a new advisory detailing how drinking alcohol increases the risk of developing seven types of cancer.

“Alcohol is the third leading preventable cause of cancer behind tobacco and obesity,” Murthy, who will leave office later this month, told NPR. “Just to put this in perspective, alcohol is responsible for about 100,000 cases of cancer in the United States each year and 20,000 cancer deaths.”

Advertisement

He told Morning Edition‘s Steve Inskeep that the seven cancers linked to alcohol consumption are breast, colorectal, esophagus, liver, mouth, throat and voice box (larynx).

“Most people don’t know about this link. And that’s the key reason why I’m putting out this advisory today,” Murthy said.

Murthy spoke with Morning Edition about the risk of alcohol consumption and the incoming surgeon general, Dr. Janette Nesheiwat.

This interview has been lightly edited for length and clarity.

Inskeep: Is the science more definite than a few years ago? Do we know more about this link?

Advertisement

Murthy: We do. The science has been building for years, creating greater and greater certainty about more and more types of cancer. But what is clear is that while people know, for example, about the link between tobacco and cancer and other health risks and cancer, less than half of people in America know that alcohol is, in fact, connected to cancer risk.

Inskeep: Does it matter if you drink a lot or in moderation?

Murthy: It turns out it does. It turns out that more consumption of alcohol increases your risk of cancer. So we see significantly lower risk at lower levels of consumption.

Surgeon General Dr. Vivek Murthy speaks during an event on the White House.

Surgeon General Dr. Vivek Murthy speaks during an event on the White House in April. The nation’s top doctor has issued an advisory about the public health risks of widespread gun violence.

Susan Walsh/AP


hide caption

Advertisement

toggle caption

Susan Walsh/AP

Inskeep: I’m thinking about how to measure this risk. It sounds pretty bad, but there are so many risks with alcohol. In fact, there are already warnings about drinking during pregnancy, drinking while driving, obviously operating machinery, various other health problems. Is cancer even the main thing to worry about here?

Advertisement

Murthy: Well, it’s interesting that you mention those other risks, because on alcohol-containing bottles, there is, in fact, a surgeon general’s warning that mentions these two risks: drinking during pregnancy and drinking while operating a car or heavy machinery.

What I have called for in this advisory is that the surgeon general’s warning label be updated by Congress to include a third risk here, which is the risk of cancer. You know, we’ve seen in the first two cases that when people were warned about these risks, they became part of our common knowledge. They sort of just shape our behavior.

What I want people to know here is that, while we don’t have data to give a precise level at which every person can drink and minimize their risk of cancer, the exact level that’s right for each individual does depend on their own risk of cancer based on their genetics, their family history, environmental exposures.

The two critical things that the data does tell us are that, one, there is a significant increase in risk of cancer going from, you know, even at the current levels, that are within the guidelines. So that’s one drink a day for women, two drinks a day for men. But second, that the patterns we see suggest lower consumption is equated with lower risk.

So the bottom line is, if you drink regularly, keep in mind that less is better when it comes to reducing your cancer risk.

Advertisement

Inskeep: I want to note for people you’re heading out of office Jan. 20. President-elect Donald Trump has nominated a replacement, Dr. Janette Nesheiwat, who’s a Fox News contributor, also a doctor in urgent care. Have you had many conversations with her as she prepares to take over, assuming she’s confirmed?

Murthy: I have not, but I’m looking forward to connecting with her. And, you know, to her or to whomever is confirmed as the next surgeon general. I think something people may not know is that those of us who have served in this role have a strong fellowship. We are friends with each other across Republican and Democratic administrations. We help each other out and support each other. And if she is to serve as the next surgeon general, if she’s confirmed by the Senate, and certainly she’ll be a part of that group as well.

Inskeep: One other thing is on my mind, because you’ve issued a number of warnings during your time in office, I think sometimes about the famous 1964 surgeon general’s warning on smoking. My parents heard that and actually just quit smoking. They still had their old lighters when I was growing up, but they did not smoke at all. People listened to the surgeon general. Do you think people listen to the surgeon general the same way today?

Murthy: I think people still do listen to the office, but I’m certainly aware that there are many types of pathways to which people get their information these days. Many more than back in 1964 when the tobacco report came out from our office. But back then, when that report did come out, the very next year, Congress passed legislation for a warning label. And we started to see a big national effort come together where parents, community leaders, schools all came together to build campaigns to reduce tobacco use.

That, in my mind, has been the power of this office in history. – During this term as well, we’ve seen the issues we have raised around youth mental health, loneliness and isolation, social media, have driven national conversation and behavior change. My hope with this advisory on alcohol and cancer risk is that we can contribute to change as well, and help people ultimately be healthier.

Advertisement

This article was edited by Obed Manuel.

Continue Reading

Trending