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Israel-Hizbollah ceasefire holds as thousands seek to return to homes

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Israel-Hizbollah ceasefire holds as thousands seek to return to homes

A US-brokered ceasefire between Israel and Hizbollah appeared to be holding on Wednesday morning, raising hopes that some of the more than 1mn Lebanese civilians displaced by the conflict would be able to return home.

The deal, which took effect at 4am local time, was described by US President Joe Biden as “designed to be a permanent cessation of hostilities”.

Thousands of evacuated residents attempted to return to their homes in Beirut’s bombed-out southern suburbs on Wednesday, as the Lebanese government gave its official backing to the ceasefire.

“Today we begin the process of rebuilding what was destroyed,” said Lebanon’s Prime Minister Najib Mikati. “Despite the great pain and this great catastrophe that afflicted the nation . . . it is a new day.”

But in a sign of the fragility of the deal, the Israel Defense Forces issued an “urgent message” to the residents of southern Lebanon, warning them not to return to their villages or approach Israeli forces.

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An Israeli security official said the country’s jets were still patrolling over Lebanon and that ground troops were positioned inland and “prepared for any developments and any violations”.

He added that since the morning there had been “several instances” in which “suspicious people” had come close to Israeli troops, who responded with warning fire. 

The official said such “isolated events” could recur in coming hours “until people understand what’s happening on the ground”.

The Lebanese army also called on civilians to wait before returning to “occupied territories” in the south of the country and to exercise caution due to unexploded ordnance in other areas.

More than 1mn Lebanese people have been displaced by the fighting, which was triggered when Hizbollah, the Iran-backed militant group, began firing into northern Israel in the days after Hamas’s October 7 2023 attack from Gaza.

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About 60,000 Israelis have also been evacuated from the north of their country due to Hizbollah rocket, missile and drone fire.

During the conflict, more than 3,700 Lebanese and more than 140 Israelis have been killed.

The offensive dealt a series of devastating blows to Hizbollah, killing its longtime leader Hassan Nasrallah and damaging large amounts of its weapons and infrastructure, as well as destroying broad swaths of the country’s east and south.

In a pre-recorded video message on Tuesday evening, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said the objective of the war had been to return northern Israeli residents to their homes. But he stopped short of calling for them to do so immediately.

Northern Israeli mayors and regional council heads had blasted Netanyahu on Tuesday for agreeing the deal with Hizbollah.

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Dahiyeh residents celebrate the ceasefire deal, with one man carrying a picture of the assassinated Hizbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, Beirut, Lebanon © Bilal Hussein/AP

Under the terms of the agreement, announced by Biden and approved by Israel’s cabinet, the IDF will gradually withdraw from Lebanon over a period of 60 days and be replaced by the Lebanese army.

The Lebanese government is formally required to “prevent Hizbollah and all other armed groups in the territory of Lebanon from carrying out any operations against Israel”, while Israel is obliged “not to carry out any offensive military operations against Lebanese targets”.

Hizbollah will be barred from rebuilding its infrastructure in southern parts of Lebanon. The group’s fighters are meant to move mainly north of the Litani river, which runs up to 30km from the Israel-Lebanon border.

The deal is based on UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which ended the previous Israel-Hizbollah war in 2006, but was never properly implemented.

Hizbollah has accepted the ceasefire agreement, according to people involved in the negotiations.

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Iran also welcomed the ceasefire, despite previously insisting that Israel had to end its war against Hamas in Gaza before the hostilities could stop.

Hizbollah is the most powerful force in the Tehran-led “axis of resistance”, an umbrella of militant groups that began launching attacks against Israel in solidarity with Hamas.

Hamas itself issued a statement commending Hizbollah’s “immense sacrifices” and the “pivotal role” it had played over the past year’s hostilities, but stopped short of praising the ceasefire.

Biden said the US and France would work with Israel and Lebanon for this week’s deal to be fully implemented, adding there would be no US troops deployed in southern Lebanon.

He added that his administration would pursue an effort to revive talks among Turkey, Egypt, Qatar and Israel on a Gaza ceasefire.

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Mike Waltz, the national security adviser of president-elect Donald Trump, has also hailed what he termed “concrete steps towards de-escalation in the Middle East”.

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In parts of Dahiyeh, an area of Beirut where Hizbollah has a controlling presence, traffic was at a standstill, as people sought to return to their homes. Many waved both Hizbollah and Lebanon’s flags as they sang and shot guns in the air in celebration.

“As soon as the bombs stopped this morning, I came here,” said Hajj Amin, a 56-year-old notary public. “I just wanted to see with my own eyes what the enemy had done to my neighbourhood.”

Nabih Berri, speaker of the Lebanese parliament, called on his compatriots to “return to your land, for it will be glorified by your return to it, even if you live in the rubble of houses”.

Netanyahu said that “the duration of the ceasefire depends on what will happen in Lebanon”.

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He also insisted he had reached “full understandings” with the US that Israel will maintain “full military freedom of action” in the event that Hizbollah breaks the terms of the deal.

“If Hizbollah violates the agreement and tries to arm itself, we will attack,” Netanyahu said. “If it tries to rebuild terrorist infrastructure near the border, we will attack. If it launches a rocket, if it digs a tunnel, if it brings in a truck with missiles, we will attack.”

Cartography by Cleve Jones

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Gregg Jarrett: Americans had final say on Jack Smith's 'misbegotten' Trump prosecutions

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Gregg Jarrett: Americans had final say on Jack Smith's 'misbegotten' Trump prosecutions

Fox News legal analyst Gregg Jarrett said Tuesday that President-elect Trump’s latest legal victory “came as no shock” after U.S. special counsel Jack Smith requested to drop the federal election interference case. Jarrett told “Fox & Friends” that Smith appeared “desperate” to help the Democratic presidential nominee win in order to save his job and continue the “misbegotten” prosecutions.

NEW YORK JUDGE GRANTS TRUMP REQUEST TO FILE MOTION TO DISMISS CHARGES, CANCELS SENTENCING INDEFINITELY

GREGG JARRETT: This is no great shock. The moment Trump won, Smith’s misbegotten cases were over. And he knew and feared that that might happen. Which is why he tried to rush the prosecutions before the election. And when he failed, then he attempted to harm Trump’s chances at the ballot box to really see to the public damaging documents right before the election. And that, of course, ignored DOJ rules that forbid it. Even the judge said that’s irregular, but she happily went along with it. You know, the special counsel, I think, was desperate to help the Democratic nominee win so he could keep his job and continue these vindictive prosecutions. Obviously, it didn’t work. Americans had the final say.

WASHINGTON, DC – AUGUST 1: Special Prosecutor Jack Smith addresses reporters after his grand jury has issued more indictments of former President Donald Trump in Washington, DC.  (Bill O’Leary/The Washington Post via Getty Images)

These two cases should never have been brought. Jack Smith was appointed three days after Trump announced he was running for president, which tells you everything you need to know. No fair or neutral prosecutor would have ever done this. These were purely political, which is what Jack Smith has always done in his career. They were legally weak based on completely untested legal theories, and constitutional roadblocks were everywhere in front of him. The Supreme Court shredded the J6 case on immunity grounds, and the high court also said, ‘DOJ, you’re misusing the obstruction charges.’ So in the end, there was really nothing left of Smith’s cases. 

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GREGG JARRETT: TRUMP’S SENTENCING IS CANCELED. WILL REALITY EVER TAKE A BITE OUT OF BRAGG’S OUTRAGEOUS CASE?

Smith’s case was related to the investigation into the Jan. 6 U.S. Capitol breach.

“The Government has moved to dismiss the Superseding Indictment without prejudice,” U.S. District Judge Tanya Chutkan wrote in a decision. “Defendant does not oppose the Motion…and the court will grant it.”

Smith also filed a motion to drop his appeal in his classified records case against Trump – a case that was tossed in July by federal Judge Aileen Cannon. Cannon ruled Smith was unlawfully appointed as special counsel. 

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The moves come after Smith, earlier this month after Trump’s victory in the 2024 presidential election, signaled he would begin winding down his case against Trump. The filing went live on the Department of Justice docket on Monday afternoon.

Fox News’ Brooke Singman contributed to this report.

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China’s market targets are ‘just psychological’, says former regulator

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China’s market targets are ‘just psychological’, says former regulator

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A former senior Chinese financial regulator has said top Beijing leaders set “psychological” targets for the nation’s stock markets and currency exchange rate that are not based on fundamentals.

The comments to a seminar by Xiao Gang, former head of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, offer a rare insight into the often murky world of elite policymaking at a time when the Communist party under President Xi Jinping has been tightening control of the financial system.

In videoed remarks made at the seminar in mid-November at the PBC School of Finance at Tsinghua University and published on the social media site X last week, Xiao said that while top leaders did not officially set market levels, they became nervous when certain thresholds were passed.

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Xiao, who was removed as CSRC chief in 2016 after a severe market downturn, said senior officials kept “goals” in their minds for the markets. These were not “personal” targets but depended “rather on what the leadership considers as the standard”.

He said China’s leaders became uncomfortable if the stock market benchmark, the Shanghai Composite index, fell below 3,000 points.

“The 3,000-point goal is just a psychological goal; it has no scientific proof and does not come with any [formal] government order,” Xiao said, laughing. “But there is a consensus [among the top leadership].”

“This has been a [perception] ingrained in people’s minds for many years. But how much scientific basis is there for this? None,” he said.

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The frank comments from Xiao, who worked in China’s central bank before playing an important role in banking sector reform as head of state-owned Bank of China, were highly unusual even for a retired senior official. In China, discussion or criticism of the internal workings of the leadership process can lead to severe punishment.

Xiao said China’s leaders had once considered any weakening of the renminbi through Rmb7 to the dollar to be a very worrying prospect, but when this did finally occur several years ago, “nothing significant happened” to the markets.

“It wasn’t us who were worried; it was the senior leadership,” he said.

The onshore renminbi was trading onshore at Rmb7.26 to the dollar on Wednesday.

Beijing sees the exchange rate as critically important to its mission to develop China as a reliable trading partner, with numerous officials calling for a stable exchange rate against the dollar.

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Chinese authorities also see the country’s stock markets as both venues for corporate fundraising and important tools for maintaining social stability. Investors have long suspected the top leadership maintains unofficial targets for the markets and tries to steer trading when prices breach these levels.

Millions of Chinese households participate in the stock market as one of a limited range of investment opportunities available to the middle class in the country, particularly after a recent real estate sector crash.

State-affiliated entities, known as the “national team”, occasionally launch buying sprees to prop up stocks. In September, the government announced one of its biggest monetary policy interventions yet to encourage more institutional buying of equities.

Xiao was asked at the seminar about the government’s use of the “national team” to support markets.

“The ‘national team’ only intervenes at rock-bottom levels, such as 2,600, 2,700, or 2,800 points,” he said, referring to the Shanghai Composite Index. The index was at 3,276.58 after Wednesday’s morning trading session, up 0.5 per cent on the day.

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Xiao’s remarks drew a stinging rebuke from Dong Shaopeng, an advisory committee member of the Securities Association of China, a body under the direct supervision of the CSRC.

As a former regulatory official and a veteran of the financial sector, Xiao’s remarks could cause turmoil in public opinion, Dong wrote in an article posted on the social media platform Weixin.

“Such information, when taken out of context, spreads false information,” Dong said.

Xiao could not be reached for comment. The CSRC and the PBC School of Finance did not respond to a request for comment. The People’s Bank of China declined to comment.

Data visualisation by Haohsiang Ko

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With a record number of international students in the U.S., Trump brings uncertainty

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With a record number of international students in the U.S., Trump brings uncertainty

A group walks on the UC Berkeley campus on March 14, 2022, in Berkeley, Calif. California led the U.S. in international enrollment, with over 140,000 international students attending schools there in the 2023-24 academic year, according to the Institute of International Education.

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The 2023-24 school year saw more international students in the United States than ever before — setting a new record largely driven by graduate students and recent graduates in internship-type programs.

Over 1.1 million international students were in the U.S. during the last academic year, according to a survey of nearly 3,000 colleges and universities by the Institute of International Education (IIE) and sponsored by the U.S. State Department.

The new figures mark a full rebound from the start of the pandemic, when international enrollment dropped by 15%. But experts say those increases could once again be threatened under the incoming Trump administration, which upended the lives of many international students and workers in its first term.

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Already, a few schools have recommended that their international students traveling overseas for winter break consider returning to the U.S. before President-elect Trump takes office on Jan. 20. That includes the University of Massachusetts Amherst, Wesleyan University and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

International students have made up around 5% of all college and university students in recent years. In the last school year, they injected about $44 billion into the U.S. economy, while also supporting about 378,000 jobs across the country, according to the group NAFSA: Association of International Educators.

Mirka Martel, who led the IIE survey, said while there is uncertainty, historically there has been bipartisan support to continue to welcome international students.

“We’ve seen numbers go up and down in the past, but overall, we’ve seen that there has been support, because of how much international students bring through economy and through culture to our states,” she said.

For the first time in 15 years, Indian students outnumber Chinese students

The new record in international students is largely fueled by graduate students and those in the Optional Practical Training (OPT) program, which allows foreign students to briefly work in the U.S. after completing their studies.

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While the number of undergraduate students stayed about the same compared to the previous year, the graduate cohort and OPT program grew by about 8% and 22% respectively — reaching historic highs.

Meanwhile, India and China together accounted for over half of all international students in the U.S., according to the IIE. But for the first time since 2009, more students came from India than China, with over 331,000 students from India present during the 2023-24 school year.

The number of international Indian students has been rising since 2021, in particular due to an increase in the number of Indian graduate students coming to the U.S. Meanwhile, the number of international Chinese students has been waning since the pandemic. But China remains the top-sending country for undergraduates, with 87,000 students.

“What we’re seeing is that the number of undergraduate students in some countries has been taking longer to rebound than the graduate numbers,” Martel from IIE said.

California, New York and Texas continue to be the most popular states for international students, but Missouri saw the biggest growth last school year, followed by Michigan and Illinois. STEM fields remained a favorite, drawing over half of all international students.

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Trump imposed restrictions affecting some international students in his first term

People walk by New York University in October 2023 in New York City. The university has a large international student enrollment.

People walk by New York University in October 2023 in New York City. The university has a large international student enrollment.

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Before Trump took office in 2017, the number of newly arrived international students in the U.S. had been rising for nearly a decade. During his first term, those numbers fell every year. But experts say international enrollment has fluctuated throughout the years, making it difficult to pinpoint the exact cause for the change in numbers.

One of Trump’s first initiatives upon taking office in 2017 was ordering a travel ban for nearly all travelers from several majority-Muslim countries. It was challenged in courts, but led to students being detained at airports or forced to return to their home countries. (It was later reversed by President Biden on his first day in office.)

Students from China also faced heightened scrutiny when it came to their visas amid an increase in U.S.-China tensions. That meant extra screenings, shorter stays, or even cancellations for at least hundreds of students.

And in 2020, the Trump administration temporarily barred international college students from being in the U.S. if their classes were entirely online. The move was met with swift backlash and quickly reversed.

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Students and schools remain wary of incoming Trump administration

During this year’s presidential campaign, Trump said it was important to retain international student talent. “What I will do is, you graduate from a college, I think you should get automatically, as part of your diploma, a green card to be able to stay in this country,” he told the All-In Podcast in June.

But some schools and international students in the U.S. have remained wary of the incoming Trump administration, given the president-elect’s first term.

At the Berklee College of Music in Boston, Yewon You from South Korea and Rachel Syuen from Malaysia told NPR they felt a lot of uncertainty going into the new presidency. Both are in the U.S. as participants in the Sony Music Group Global Scholars scholarship program.

You, who is a senior, said she has been closely monitoring the news on visas, foreign workers and immigration. She added that she adjusted her winter break plans to return to the U.S. before the inauguration as a precaution.

You’s biggest concern is about securing a job in the U.S. after college. Her big dream is to work in Hollywood and produce film scores, specifically for sci-fi movies. But she knows it can be difficult to obtain a work visa, and that visa policies change frequently.

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“I’m a senior and with a new president, there’s overlap on the pressure and uncertainty in finding a job after I graduate,” You said.

Syuen, also a senior, was initially excited by Trump’s promise of green cards for international students, but now questions if he will follow through due to a lack of details. Syuen said opportunities to study music in Malaysia were limited. She hopes to stay in the U.S. to produce music that blends her experiences, like incorporating traditional Chinese instruments into pop.

“I am equally nervous about everything, but I am also doing my part just to be a better version of myself each and every single day so that I remain competitive,” Syuen said.

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