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How Biden’s 9 unscripted words could impact the war in Ukraine | CNN Politics

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How Biden’s 9 unscripted words could impact the war in Ukraine | CNN Politics



CNN
 — 

Simply 9 unscripted phrases put an already jittery world on edge once more.

President Joe Biden’s suggestion in Poland on Saturday that Vladimir Putin’s onslaught on Ukraine ought to disqualify him from energy triggered a global political storm.

Again in Washington Sunday night, Biden informed reporters that he was not calling for regime change in Russia – echoing a message spelled out a number of occasions by his subordinates even earlier than he had returned to the US.

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However the world reverberations from the remarks depart the administration going through grave questions. Some are strategic and will impression the longer term course of the battle and so-far elusive hopes for a ceasefire. Others are political and relate to Biden’s standing at residence, amid a torrent of Republican criticism, and internationally, as he seeks to maintain the Western coalition collectively.

They embody:

  • Did the President’s remark dangerously escalate already excessive tensions within the worst confrontation between the West and Russia in a long time?
  • Has Biden shaken worldwide confidence in his so-far robust management in bringing the NATO alliance collectively in a united entrance in opposition to Moscow? And can Putin be capable to exploit disquiet over Biden’s feedback in European capitals?
  • Will the notion that Biden hopes to topple Putin – even when the US says it’s not true – harden the embattled Russian chief’s resolve in opposition to negotiations or trigger him to additional escalate an already cruel battle in opposition to civilians?
  • Has Biden’s now stinging rhetoric about Putin successfully dominated out any future direct diplomacy or conferences between the world’s high nuclear powers – and will it endanger world peace if they’ll’t talk in a future disaster that threatens humanity?
  • Or will Biden’s human response to spending time with Ukrainian refugees quickly be overtaken by the every day unfolding horror of the battle or come to be seen as a powerful ethical stand that modified the way in which the world views the Russian chief? In any case, ex-President Ronald Reagan’s name for then-Soviet chief Mikhail Gorbachev to “tear down this wall” in Berlin was initially opposed by a few of his personal aides as too provocative.
  • And eventually, since Moscow already sees terribly powerful Western sanctions as financial warfare and given Putin’s deeply conspiratorial view of the West and its function in vanquishing the Soviet Union, can a couple of unfastened presidential phrases that rile up everybody in Washington actually make issues any worse?

It was clear from the pace with which administration officers labored to make clear Biden’s comment that they knew it might be a giant drawback that would probably make an already fraught European geopolitical showdown a lot worse.

In a jab not in his scripted remarks, Biden stated, “For God’s sake, this man can’t stay in energy” in a reference to Putin. A White Home official stated Biden meant that “Putin can’t be allowed to train energy over his neighbors or the area” and stated Biden wasn’t referring to regime change. Secretary of State Antony Blinken was much more categorical throughout a visit to Jerusalem on Sunday.

“We don’t have a method of regime change in Russia, or wherever else for that matter,” Blinken stated. “On this case, as it’s in any case, it’s as much as the individuals of the nation in query. It’s as much as the Russian individuals.”

The clean-up language was hardly convincing given the clear context of the unique quote. However a comment with such implications in a time of excessive tensions clearly wanted strolling again. And shortly.

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Any concept that the US noticed the battle as an try to unseat Putin can be harmful since it will elevate the conflict to a direct confrontation between the US and Russia.

Biden has scrupulously tried to keep away from that state of affairs – notably blocking a Polish plan to ship Soviet-made fighter jets to Ukraine to keep away from the impression that NATO is taking a extra direct function within the battle. The scenario is already on a knife-edge since big Western shipments of anti-aircraft and anti-tank missiles are fueling Ukraine’s robust resistance and apparently inflicting heavy Russian casualties.

There’s little question that Biden handed Putin a propaganda present that would undermine the US President’s personal onerous work in conserving the concentrate on Ukraine. Moscow’s info complicated is definite to current the battle to the Russian individuals as a hostile push by the West so as to additional obscure the reality concerning the unprovoked assault on Ukraine. This might ease the political stress the West hopes will likely be constructed by harsh sanctions designed to alter Putin’s calculation.

However Biden’s preliminary efforts to keep away from personalizing the battle with Putin and characterizing the battle as a direct US-Russia showdown have been undermined by his personal hardening rhetoric towards the Russian chief in latest days. He made it recognized earlier this month that he believes that Putin is a battle felony after relentless assaults on Ukrainian cities and civilians that triggered an enormous refugee exodus.

Biden’s remark concerning the Russian chief’s tenure on energy was not the one putting rhetoric of his tour. After assembly refugees on Saturday, Biden referred to as Putin a “butcher.” Beforehand, Biden had referred to as him a “thug” and a “murderous dictator.” And the script from which he departed to make the now infamous comment was in itself hawkish, previewing what Biden stated was a protracted wrestle, which sounded quite a bit like a brand new Chilly Struggle.

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On condition that Biden is probably going feeling the burden of world peace on his shoulders and acute empathy for these visited by unspeakable tragedy in Ukraine, his outbursts on his European journey could also be comprehensible as a human response to nice struggling.

“He went to the Nationwide Stadium in Warsaw and actually met with lots of of Ukrainians,” US ambassador to NATO Julianne Smith informed CNN’s Dana Bash on “State of the Union” on Sunday.

“Within the second, I feel that was a principled human response to the tales that he had heard that day,” Smith stated, underscoring once more that the US didn’t have a coverage of regime change in Russia.

However a President’s phrases should even be fastidiously chosen. As Saturday’s drama confirmed, it takes only a second to trigger a harmful diplomatic disaster.

Biden was largely profitable in reversing his propensity for gaffes throughout his 2020 election bid, throughout a marketing campaign robbed of spontaneous moments by the Covid-19 pandemic. It was unlucky that his previous habits of talking his thoughts at inopportune moments resurfaced now.

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Republicans seized on the President’s frank feedback on Sunday, searching for to dent an impression that Biden has responded effectively to Putin’s provocations up to now within the Ukraine disaster. Clearly, they didn’t simply have nationwide safety in thoughts but additionally politics forward of the midterm elections, that are being formed by the President’s diminished approval scores. And in a number of the criticism there was a way Republicans have been enjoying into the conservative media trope that Biden is previous, just isn’t in full management and will blunder the US right into a battle. Such a place conveniently forgets the tolerance of right-wing opinion hosts in the direction of ex-President Donald Trump’s volcanic rhetoric, but it surely has energy within the GOP grassroots.

Talking on CNN’s “State of the Union,” Idaho Sen Jim Risch, the highest Republican on the Senate Overseas Relations committee, appeared each to be underlining the administration’s message about being against regime change in Moscow whereas additionally discovering a technique to hammer Biden’s capability to guide.

Whereas praising Biden’s speech in Poland, the Idaho Republican stated, “There was a horrendous gaffe proper on the finish of it. I simply want he would keep on script.”

“This administration has executed every part they’ll to cease escalating,” Risch stated. However he added: “There’s not an entire lot extra you are able to do to escalate than to name for regime change.”

Ohio Republican Sen. Rob Portman was barely extra temperate however no much less vital.

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“First, I feel all of us consider the world can be a greater place with out Vladimir Putin. However second, that’s not the official US coverage. And by saying that, that regime change is our technique, successfully, it performs into the palms of the Russian propagandists and performs into the palms of Vladimir Putin,” Portman stated on NBC’s “Meet the Press.”

Biden’s feedback despatched shockwaves by means of Europe in addition to Washington. They usually appeared to annoy French President Emmanuel Macron, who has been a key determine in making an attempt, with little success, to get Putin to comply with a ceasefire.

“I wouldn’t use phrases like that as a result of I’m nonetheless in talks with President Putin,” Macron informed the France 3 tv channel, when requested about Biden’s remark that the Russian chief was a “butcher.”

Any future ceasefire deal Putin agrees to is unlikely to emerge from US diplomacy given the deep and mutual hostility between Moscow and Washington.

However any remaining settlement – and certainly the long-term objective of stopping harmful escalations between the world’s high two nuclear powers – is dependent upon them speaking to 1 one other. It was already onerous to see how Biden might meet a Russian chief whom he has branded a battle felony. This weekend’s occasions made that much more troublesome. And whereas the US objective in Moscow just isn’t regime change, it’s onerous to see any significant dialogue whereas Putin remains to be in cost.

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Trump names Treasury adviser from first term to chair economic panel

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Trump names Treasury adviser from first term to chair economic panel

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Donald Trump has tapped Stephen Miran, an economist who served during his first term, to chair his Council of Economic Advisers.

With the nomination, the president-elect is seeking to elevate to a White House economic post not only a critic of Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell but one who has accused the Biden administration of manipulating the economy and “usurping” the central bank’s role.

“Steve will work with the rest of my Economic Team to deliver a Great Economic Boom that lifts up all Americans,” Trump said in a statement on Sunday.

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Miran was a senior adviser for economic policy at the Treasury department in the first Trump administration.

Currently a senior strategist at hedge fund Hudson Bay Capital Management, he said he was honoured. “I look forward to working to help implement the President’s policy agenda to create a booming, noninflationary economy that brings prosperity to all Americans!” he posted on X.

The White House Council of Economic Advisers is a three-person group that advises the president on economic policy.

Trump has threatened US trading partners, vowing to impose sweeping tariffs, including 25 per cent levies on goods from Mexico and Canada and 10 per cent on China’s imports, on his first day in office.

On the campaign trail, Trump vowed to impose blanket levies of 20 per cent on all US imports, as well as tariffs of 60 per cent on those from China, suggesting his second-term policies could be more protectionist and disruptive to the global economy and markets than his first.

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The president-elect has also pledged to renew tax cuts he enacted during his first spell in the White House.

Earlier this year, Miran co-wrote a paper accusing Biden’s Treasury department of manipulating the economy during the election, arguing the government’s dependence on short-term debt amounted to “stealth quantitative easing and impedes the Fed’s ability to fight inflation.

“By adjusting the maturity profile of its debt issuance, Treasury is dynamically managing financial conditions and, through them, the economy, usurping core functions of the Federal Reserve”, he wrote with economist Nouriel Roubini.

“We dub this novel tool ‘activist Treasury issuance,’ or ATI. By manipulating the amount of interest-rate risk owned by investors, ATI works through the same channels as the Fed’s quantitative easing programs.”

In FT Alphaville last year, Miran co-authored a piece warning against the perils of a two-tier bond market, which “would impair Treasuries’ ability to serve as risk-free collateral underpinning the global financial system” and bring to the US the chaos of a defaulting emerging economy.

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Miran has also hit out at Powell for urging more aggressive fiscal and monetary stimulus in October 2020, about a month before that year’s election, to aid the economic recovery amid the Covid-19 pandemic.

“Powell was wrong politically and economically when he urged Congress to ‘go big’ on fiscal stimulus in October of 2020, on the eve of a Presidential election, suggesting that voters favour Democrats’ $3 trillion proposals over Republicans’ $500 billion”, Miran wrote on X in September. “We know what happened next.”

Miran must be confirmed by the US Senate.

Last month, Trump named Kevin Hassett as chair of the National Economic Council.

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Review by Senate Democrats finds more unreported luxury trips by Clarence Thomas

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Review by Senate Democrats finds more unreported luxury trips by Clarence Thomas

The Supreme Court is pictured on Oct. 7 in Washington, D.C.

Mariam Zuhaib/AP


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Mariam Zuhaib/AP

WASHINGTON — A nearly two-year investigation by Democratic senators of Supreme Court ethics details more luxury travel by Justice Clarence Thomas and urges Congress to establish a way to enforce a new code of conduct.

Any movement on the issue appears unlikely as Republicans prepare to take control of the Senate in January, underscoring the hurdles in imposing restrictions on a separate branch of government even as public confidence in the court has fallen to record lows.

The 93-page report released Saturday by the Democratic majority of the Senate Judiciary Committee found additional travel taken in 2021 by Thomas but not reported on his annual financial disclosure form: a private jet flight to New York’s Adirondacks in July and jet and yacht trip to New York City sponsored by billionaire Harlan Crow in October, one of more than two dozen times detailed in the report that Thomas took luxury travel and gifts from wealthy benefactors.

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The court adopted its first code of ethics in 2023, but it leaves compliance to each of the nine justices.

“The highest court in the land can’t have the lowest ethical standards,” the committee chairman, Illinois Sen. Dick Durbin, said in a statement. He has long called for an enforceable code of ethics.

Republicans protested the subpoenas authorized for Crow and others as part of the investigation. No Republicans signed on to the final report, and no formal report from them was expected.

A spokesman for Crow said he voluntarily agreed to provide information for the investigation, which did not pinpoint any specific instances of undue influence. Crow said in a statement that Thomas and his wife Ginni had been unfairly maligned. “They are good and honorable people and no one should be treated this way,” he said.

Attorney Mark Paoletta, a longtime friend of Thomas who has been tapped for the incoming Trump administration, said the report was aimed at conservatives whose rulings Democrats disagreed with.

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“This entire investigation was never about ‘ethics’ but about trying to undermine the Supreme Court,” Paoletta said in a statement posted on X.

The court did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Thomas has said he was not required to disclose the trips that he and his wife took with Crow because the big donor is a close friend of the family and disclosure of that type of travel was not previously required. The new ethics code does explicitly require it, and Thomas has since gone back and reported some travel.

The report traces back to Justice Antonin Scalia, saying he “established the practice” of accepting undisclosed gifts and hundreds of trips over his decades on the bench. The late Justice Ruth Bader Ginsberg and retired Justice Stephen Breyer also took subsided trips but disclosed them on their annual forms, it said.

The investigation found that Thomas has accepted gifts and travel from wealthy benefactors worth more than $4.75 million by some estimates since his 1991 confirmation and failed to disclose much of it. “The number, value, and extravagance of the gifts accepted by Justice Thomas have no comparison in modern American history,” according to the report.

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It also detailed a 2008 luxury trip to Alaska taken by Justice Samuel Alito. He has said he was exempted from disclosing the trip under previous ethical rules.

Alito also declined calls to withdraw from cases involving Donald Trump or the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the Capitol after flags associated with the riot were seen flying at two of Alito’s homes. Alito has said the flags were raised by this wife.

Thomas has ignored calls to step aside from cases involving Trump, too. Ginni Thomas supported Trump’s efforts to overturn the 2020 presidential election that the Republican lost to Democrat Joe Biden.

The report also pointed to scrutiny of Justice Sonia Sotomayor, who, aided by her staff, has advanced sales of her books through college visits over the past decade. Justices have also heard cases involving their book publishers, or involving companies in which justices owned stock.

Biden has been the most prominent Democrat calling for a binding code of conduct. Justice Elena Kaganhas publicly backed adopting an enforcement mechanism, though some ethics experts have said it could be legally tricky.

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Justice Neil Gorsuch recently cited the code when he recused himself from an environmental case. He had been facing calls to step aside because the outcome could stand to benefit a Colorado billionaire whom Gorsuch represented before becoming a judge.

The report also calls for changes in the Judicial Conference, the federal courts’ oversight body led by Chief Justice John Roberts, and further investigation by Congress.

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Sweden criticises China for refusing full access to vessel suspected of Baltic Sea cable sabotage

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Sweden criticises China for refusing full access to vessel suspected of Baltic Sea cable sabotage

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Sweden has sharply criticised China for refusing to allow the Nordic country’s main investigator on board a Chinese vessel suspected of severing two cables in the Baltic Sea.

The Yi Peng 3 sailed away from its mooring in international waters between Denmark and Sweden on Saturday, and appears to be heading for Egypt after Chinese investigators boarded the ship on Thursday.

The Chinese team had allowed representatives from Sweden, Germany, Finland and Denmark on board as observers, but did not permit access for Henrik Söderman, the Swedish public prosecutor, according to authorities in Stockholm.

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“It is something the government inherently takes seriously. It is remarkable that the ship leaves without the prosecutor being given the opportunity to inspect the vessel and question the crew within the framework of a Swedish criminal investigation,” foreign minister Maria Malmer Stenergard said in comments provided to the Financial Times.

The Swedish government had put pressure on Chinese authorities for the bulk carrier to move from international waters into Swedish territory to allow a full investigation over the severing of Swedish-Lithuanian and Finnish-German data cables last month.

People close to the probe said the boarding of the vessel on Thursday had shown there was little doubt it was involved in the incident.

Yi Peng 3 belongs to Ningbo Yipeng Shipping, a company that owns only one other vessel and is based near the eastern Chinese port city of Ningbo. A representative of Ningbo Yipeng told the FT in November that “the government has asked the company to co-operate with the investigation”, but did not answer further questions.

There is a split among countries over the motivation behind the cutting of the cables. Some people close to the investigation said they believed it was bad seamanship that may have led to the Yi Peng 3’s anchor dragging along the seabed in the Baltic Sea.

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However, other governments have said privately that they suspect Russia was behind the damage and may have paid money to the ship’s crew.

The severing of the two cables was the second time in 13 months that a Chinese ship has damaged infrastructure in the Baltic Sea.

The Newnew Polar Bear, a Chinese container ship, damaged a gas pipeline in October 2023 by dragging its anchor along the bottom of the Baltic Sea for a considerable distance during a storm. Officials reacted slowly to that incident, allowing the vessel to leave the region without stopping, something that they were keen to prevent in the case of the Yi Peng 3.

Nordic and Baltic officials are sceptical about the possibility of the same thing occurring twice in quick succession. “The Chinese must be truly dreadful captains if this keeps on happening innocently,” said one Baltic minister.

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