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Has Trump kept his campaign promises to American workers? Here's what some say.

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Has Trump kept his campaign promises to American workers? Here's what some say.

Good morning. You’re reading a special Labor Day edition of the Up First newsletter. Subscribe here to get the newsletter delivered to your inbox, and listen to the Up First podcast for all the news you need to start your day.

Checking in with the labor movement

by Andrea Hsu, NPR labor and workplace correspondent

At this time last year, President Trump was courting America’s workers, promising them a renaissance if they helped send him back to the White House. Now seven months into his second term, he says he’s on track to keep that promise.

“Every policy of the Trump administration is designed to lift up the American worker, promote great-paying blue-collar jobs and to rebuild the industrial bedrock of our nation,” Trump said at a meeting of his Cabinet last week.

Many labor leaders could not disagree more.

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Protesters gather on the National Mall for the nationwide “Hands Off!” protest against President Donald Trump and his advisor, Tesla CEO Elon Musk, in Washington, D.C., on April 5, 2025.

Roberto Schmidt/AFP via Getty Images


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Roberto Schmidt/AFP via Getty Images

“By every measure, this has been the most hostile administration to workers in our lifetimes,” AFL-CIO President Liz Shuler told me in an interview ahead of Labor Day. “Working people are really not feeling secure in this economy.”

If you simply look at the numbers, workers appear to be in pretty decent shape. As of July, average wages were up 3.9% over the last year, outpacing inflation. Unemployment remains low, at just over 4%. Most people in America who want a job are working.

But behind these numbers, there’s a lot of uncertainty and tension.

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On the campaign trail, Trump often warned American workers that immigrants were taking their jobs. The Trump administration is now not only cracking down on people who are in the U.S. illegally, it has also ended programs that provided hundreds of thousands of people relief from unsafe conditions in their home countries. People who were previously allowed to stay and work in the U.S., sometimes for decades, have suddenly had their legal status revoked.

These new immigration policies are affecting workers and employers, forcing people out of jobs on farms in rural America, in factories in the Midwest, and in the homes of elderly people who need help – places that have long welcomed immigrants. In agriculture and long-term health care, Americans are not exactly lining up for jobs. Workers who are left behind after immigrant colleagues leave say they’re now working longer hours or having to train inexperienced newcomers.

Unions representing blue-collar workers, including those Trump considers his base, have additional concerns. They fear that big infrastructure projects launched when Joe Biden was president will be deprived of federal funds or even stopped all together.

“It’s chaos, it’s uncertainty, it’s unpredictability,” Brent Booker, general president of the Laborers’ International Union of North America, told me.

Booker is especially riled up right now about the Trump administration’s stop-work order on Revolution Wind, a wind farm under construction off the coast of Rhode Island. The administration paused the project last month, citing national security concerns. Booker points out that the project was permitted long ago, and it is 80% done. But now, several hundred workers who were out over the water, working to get it up and running, have been idled.

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Booker worries about what this signals to the entire renewable energy industry – and moreover, what it means for American workers who were counting on those jobs. “It runs contrary to everything that [Trump] promised to our members and to the American people,” he says.

There’s another topic I’ve spent a lot of time covering since January: the upheaval in the federal workforce. The Office of Personnel Management recently revealed that by year’s end, the government will have shed about 300,000 federal employees, most of them voluntary departures.

In an interview on CNBC, OPM director, Scott Kupor, described this as an opportunity — a chance to change the government to reward efficiency. This is something I’ve heard even Trump’s staunchest critics say is needed. But others warn that the mass exodus of federal employees, including several senior leaders at the CDC just last week, is leaving agencies ill-positioned to deliver the services Americans need. We have the next three-plus years to see who’s right.

Labor Day reads and listens

When you're stuck at the airport, you need the right soundtrack.

When you’re stuck at the airport, you need the right soundtrack.

Alex Wong/Getty Images


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When you're stuck at the airport, you need the right soundtrack.

When you’re stuck at the airport, you need the right soundtrack.

Alex Wong/Getty Images

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If you took advantage of the holiday weekend to travel, I hope your return trip goes off without a hitch. But if you find yourself dealing with a flight delay, don’t fret — Pop Culture Happy Hour has three songs to help you through those stressful travel moments.

Missouri workers are campaigning to reinstate mandated sick leave after state lawmakers repealed part of a voter-approved law. Proposition A, the voter-approved measure, was set to increase the minimum wage and allow workers to earn sick days. Since it was a statutory change, lawmakers were able to overturn the paid sick leave portion, with many citing the cost it would add to businesses. This time around, voters want it back as a constitutional amendment lawmakers can’t repeal. (via KCUR)

Visitation at all of Utah’s national parks has decreased this summer after a couple of record-setting years. The slump reflects a broader travel trend. International tourism has taken a dip due to economic uncertainty, fluctuating tariffs, and political rhetoric, which has led some foreign travelers to reconsider plans to visit the U.S. This shift could have big implications for local economies that rely heavily on tourism. (via KUER)

Movie-goers will get a chance to revisit a classic with fresh eyes when Jaws returns to theaters for its 50th anniversary this year. The movie takes place on Amity Island. To prepare for the event, NPR network station WBUR produced a three-part series called Jaws Island. The podcast brings the listeners to the real-life “Amity Island” at Martha’s Vineyard and explores the legacy of the blockbuster movie. Check out all three episodes here and photos of the “finatics” who ventured to the island for the anniversary.

U.S.-made sunscreens have not been updated for decades, which is a reason why Korean and European sunscreens are hyped for their superior protection against UV radiation. But are U.S.-made sunscreens really subpar? Chemist and science communicator Michelle Wong joins Short Wave to discuss the research on UVA and UVB rays and provide advice on how to maximize your sun protection, regardless of which sunscreen you use.

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This newsletter was edited by Suzanne Nuyen.

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Takeaways from an eventful 2025 election cycle

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Takeaways from an eventful 2025 election cycle

Is there such a thing as an “off year” for U.S. elections? The elections in 2025 were not nearly as all-encompassing as last year’s presidential race, nor as chaotic as what is expected from next year’s midterms. But hundreds of elections were held in dozens of states, including local contests, mayoral races, special congressional elections and two highly anticipated governor’s races.

Many of the elections were seen as early tests of how lasting President Trump’s 2024 gains might be and as a preview of what might happen in 2026.

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Here are five takeaways from the 2025 election cycle.

In Elections Seen as Referendums on Trump, Democrats Won Big

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Democrats did well in nearly all of this year’s elections, continuing a pattern that has played out across off-year elections for the last two decades: The party that wins the White House routinely loses ground in the next round of elections.

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Virginia and New Jersey have historically swung away from the president’s party in governor’s races

The change in the final margin from the presidential election to the next election for governor

Sources: Virginia Department of Elections, N.J. Division of Elections, Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Elections. The New York Times

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Elections in these years are often viewed as referendums on the president’s performance. And Mr. Trump’s approval ratings, after months of holding steady, took a dip in November.

A notable shift came in New Jersey, where the majority-Hispanic townships that swung toward Mr. Trump in 2024 swung back to Democrats in the 2025 governor’s race. That contributed significantly to the victory of Representative Mikie Sherrill, the Democratic candidate, over Jack Ciattarelli, the Trump-backed Republican.

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New Jersey’s majority-Hispanic towns snapped back left in 2025

Each line is a township whose width is sized to the number of votes cast in 2025

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Note: Includes townships where more than 500 votes were cast in 2025. Sources: N.J. county clerks, N.J. Division of Elections, U.S. Census Bureau. The New York Times

The leftward swing was viewed by many political commentators as a reaction to Mr. Trump. If that is the case, it remains to be seen how much of it will carry over into 2026.

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Progressive and Moderate Democrats Are Both Claiming Victories

Democratic strategists continue to debate whether the party should embrace progressive candidates or more moderate ones. And in 2025, the election results had both sides feeling emboldened.

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In New York City, Zohran Mamdani, a democratic socialist who struggled to garner support from the Democratic Party, defeated former Gov. Andrew Cuomo by nine points. A similar story played out in Jersey City, where James Solomon, a progressive, crushed former Gov. James McGreevey of New Jersey in a mayoral runoff. Progressives also prevailed in cities like Detroit and Seattle.

Centrist Democrats, meanwhile, came away with arguably the two biggest wins of the year against Trump-endorsed Republicans. Abigail Spanberger and Ms. Sherrill, both Democrats, outperformed their polling estimates and decisively won the high-profile governor’s races in Virginia and New Jersey.

The debate will continue among Democrats as several 2026 primaries have prominent progressive and moderate candidates going head to head.

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In Texas, Representative Jasmine Crockett, a progressive, entered the primary race for a U.S. Senate seat against the more moderate James Talarico. A similar situation has developed in Maine, where Graham Platner has pitched himself as a more progressive alternative to Janet Mills in the party’s attempt to unseat Senator Susan Collins, a Republican. Other progressives, like Julie Gonzales in Colorado and Brad Lander in New York, are challenging incumbent Democrats in primary races.

A Record 14 Women Will Serve as Governors in 2026

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Virginians elected Ms. Spanberger as their first female governor. In New Jersey, Ms. Sherrill became the second woman to secure the position. Both women significantly outperformed Vice President Kamala Harris’s margins from the 2024 presidential race, improving on her results by almost 10 points.

Female candidates also did well down the ballot. Eileen Higgins will be the first female mayor in Miami after defeating Emilio González, who had the support of Mr. Trump. And, in Seattle, Katie Wilson defeated the incumbent mayor, Bruce Harrell.

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States that will have female governors in 2026

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Source: Center for American Women and Politics at Rutgers University. The New York Times

Come 2026, a record 14 women — 10 Democrats and four Republicans — will serve as governors, with six of them expected to run for re-election next year. (More than a dozen states have yet to elect a female governor.)

In New York, it is likely that both candidates will be women: Representative Elise Stefanik, a Republican, began a campaign last month against the incumbent, Kathy Hochul.

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Special Elections Are Still Very Special (for Democrats)

Despite not flipping any House seats, Democrats outperformed Ms. Harris’s 2024 results in every House special election this cycle. Their wins, however, offer limited insight into what might happen in 2026.

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Special elections, which happen outside of regular election cycles to fill vacated seats, draw fewer voters than those in midterm or presidential years. Special election voters tend to be older and highly engaged politically, and they are more likely to be college educated. That has given Democrats a distinct advantage in recent years, and 2025 was no exception.

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Democrats did well in the 2025 special elections

Democratic candidates in this year’s special congressional elections outperformed Kamala Harris’s 2024 margins.

Sources: Special election results are from The Associated Press, and 2024 presidential margins by congressional district are estimates from The New York Times. The New York Times

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Democratic strength in special elections extended to lower-profile races held this year. In Virginia, Democrats secured 64 out of 100 seats in the House of Delegates. In Georgia, Democrats won two seats on the Georgia Public Service Commission, the first time the party won a non-federal statewide office since 2006. Pennsylvania Democrats swept the major Bucks County contests, electing a Democratic district attorney for the first time. And, in Mississippi, Democrats broke the Republican supermajority in the State Senate.

Odd-Numbered Years Are Still Very Odd (for Election Polls)

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Polling in off-year election cycles is challenging because it’s hard to know who will turn out to vote. This year, the polls significantly overestimated the Republicans in the Virginia and New Jersey governor’s races, which both had particularly high turnout for an off year. In 2021, polls had the opposite problem, as they overestimated Democrats.

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Polls missed in opposite directions in 2021 and 2025

Each dot is a poll from the relevant governor’s election, positioned according to its polling error in the election.

Notes: Chart includes polls fielded in October or November of the election cycle. Polling error refers to the difference between the actual result margin and the poll margin. Sources: Polls from 2025 were collected by The New York Times, and polls from 2021 were collected by the Roper Center for Public Opinion Research and 538. The New York Times

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Polling misses don’t necessarily carry over from cycle to cycle: Despite the leftward bias of the polls in 2021, they performed very well in 2022. After each election, pollsters look at the result and evaluate their performance, and then note where they went wrong. Analysis from groups like the American Association for Public Opinion Research frequently indicates that errors come from an incorrect sense of who shows up to vote. Pollsters then try to adjust for this error in the next election cycle.

The errors of 2025 may prove largely irrelevant, however, as the midterm elections will feature a larger, very different pool of voters with a new set of races, and a new host of lessons for pollsters to learn.

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Off years are weird, and the polling errors they produce often are as well.

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Putin tells news conference that Kremlin’s military goals will be achieved in Ukraine

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Putin tells news conference that Kremlin’s military goals will be achieved in Ukraine

MOSCOW — Russian President Vladimir Putin said Friday that Moscow’s troops were advancing across the battlefield in Ukraine, voicing confidence that the Kremlin’s military goals would be achieved.

Speaking at his highly orchestrated year-end news conference, Putin declared that Russian forces have “fully seized strategic initiative” and would make more gains by the year’s end.

Russia’s larger, better-equipped army has made slow but steady progress in Ukraine in recent months.

The annual live news conference is combined with a nationwide call-in show that offers Russians across the country the opportunity to ask questions of Putin, who has led the country for 25 years. Putin has used it to cement his power and air his views on domestic and global affairs.

This year, observers are watching for Putin’s remarks on Ukraine and the U.S.-backed peace plan there.

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U.S. President Donald Trump has unleashed an extensive diplomatic push to end nearly four years of fighting after Russia sent troops into Ukraine in February 2022, but Washington’s efforts have run into sharply conflicting demands by Moscow and Kyiv.

Putin reaffirmed that Moscow was ready for a peaceful settlement that would address the “root causes” of the conflict, a reference to the Kremlin’s tough conditions for a deal.

Earlier this week, Putin warned this week that Moscow would seek to extend its gains in Ukraine if Kyiv and its Western allies reject the Kremlin’s demands.

The Russian leader wants all the areas in four key regions captured by his forces, as well as the Crimean Peninsula, which was illegally annexed in 2014, to be recognized as Russian territory. He also has insisted that Ukraine withdraw from some areas in eastern Ukraine that Moscow’s forces haven’t captured yet — demands Kyiv has rejected.

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Video: Trump Mocks Obama, Biden in His Presidential ‘Walk of Fame’

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Video: Trump Mocks Obama, Biden in His Presidential ‘Walk of Fame’

new video loaded: Trump Mocks Obama, Biden in His Presidential ‘Walk of Fame’

The White House unveiled new plaques near the Oval Office mocking some of President Trump’s predecessors. The new display distorts history and aligns with Mr. Trump’s worldview.

By Chris Cameron and Jackeline Luna

December 18, 2025

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