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Trump first, Haley second, DeSantis third in highly anticipated final poll ahead of Iowa caucuses

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Trump first, Haley second, DeSantis third in highly anticipated final poll ahead of Iowa caucuses

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DES MOINES, IA – Former President Donald Trump remains the commanding front-runner in a closely watched poll of likely Republican presidential caucusgoers in Iowa.

And former ambassador and former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley edges Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis for second place.

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The final Des Moines Register/Mediacom/NBC News poll of likely Republican caucusgoers was released Saturday night, two days before the Iowa caucuses lead off the 2024 GOP presidential nominating calendar.

Trump stands at 48% support in the poll, with Haley at 20% and DeSantis at 16%

Multimillionaire biotech entrepreneur and first-time candidate Vivek Ramaswamy, who has relentlessly campaigned across the Hawkeye State the past couple of months, stands at 8% support in the poll.

BLIZZARD DERAILS IOWA CAMAPIGN EVENTS, WILL BELOW ZERO TEMPS DEPRESS CAUCUS TURNOUT?

Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump greets members of the audience after a Fox News town hall in Des Moines, Iowa, on Wednesday, Jan. 10, 2024.  (AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster)

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The new poll is the second straight survey in Iowa to indicate Haley ahead of DeSantis, following a Suffolk University poll that was released a few days ago. But her advantage over DeSantis in the new survey is within the sampling error. 

And poll indicates that just nine percent of Haley supporters are extremely enthusiastic about her White House bid, which was much lower than enthusiasm among those backing Trump and DeSantis.

The survey, conducted by longtime pollster Ann Selzer, has a well-earned tradition of accuracy in past GOP presidential caucuses, and is considered by many as the gold standard in Iowa polling.

Trump is the clear front-runner in the race for Republican standardbearer as he makes his third White House run.

Trump made history last year as the first former or current president to be indicted for an alleged crime, but his four indictments, including charges he tried to overturn his 2020 presidential election loss, have only fueled his support among Republican voters.

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TRUMP TAKES NO CHANCES AS THE IOWA CAUCUSES APPROACH

DeSantis, who was convincingly re-elected to a second term as Florida governor 14 months ago, was once the clear alternative to Trump in the Republican White House race. For months, he was solidly in second place behind the former president.

However, after a series of campaign setbacks over the summer and autumn, DeSantis saw his support in the polls erode.

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, a Republican presidential candidate, takes a selfie with a supporter at a campaign stop in Ankeny, Iowa on Jan. 12, 2024 (Fox News – Paul Steinhauser)

Haley, who served as ambassador to the United Nations in the Trump administration, grabbed momentum during the autumn, thanks to well-regarded debate performances. In recent weeks, she caught up with DeSantis for second place in polls in Iowa and in national surveys. 

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HALEY KNOCKS MEDIA EXPECTATIONS BUT LOOKS TO ‘BIG SHOWING’ IN IOWA

Haley also surpassed DeSantis and surged to second place and narrowed the gap with Trump in New Hampshire, the state that holds the first primary and second overall contest in the GOP nominating calendar, eight days after Iowa’s caucuses.

Former U.N. Ambassador and former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, a 2024 Republican presidential candidate, speaks to the crowd at a campaign event in Ankeny, Iowa, on Jan. 11, 2024. (Fox News/Paul Steinhauser) (Fox News – Paul Steinhauser)

DeSantis appears to have staked much of his presidential campaign on a strong finish in Iowa. He has highlighted that he has stopped in all 99 of the state’s counties and showcased his strong grassroots outreach organization in Iowa. Pundits have labeled Iowa a “do-or-die” state for the Florida governor.

Last month, in multiple interviews, even though he was down double digits in the polls to Trump in Iowa, DeSantis predicted victory.

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“We’re going to win Iowa. We’ve got the organization in place,” the governor declared in a Fox News Digital interview in Bettendorf, Iowa, a week before Christmas.

 

But DeSantis seems to have tempered expectations, telling Fox News multiple times in recent days that “we’re going to do well” in Iowa.

A large Donald Trump 2024 sign outside of the former president’s Iowa campaign headquarters is covered by snow, on Jan. 13, 2024 in Urbandale, Iowa. (Fox News – Paul Steinhauser)

The survey was released on Saturday evening, after a blizzard slammed into Iowa the past two days, and as frigid weather dropped temperatures below zero across the state.

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The bitterly cold weather, which is forecast to extend into the working week, threatens to put a chill on turnout at Monday night’s caucuses.

Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, who did not campaign in Iowa this cycle as he concentrated his time and resources in New Hampshire, suspended his campaign on Wednesday. His sliver of support was reallocated to the other candidates still in the race.

The poll was conducted Jan 7-12 , with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.7 points.

Get the latest updates from the 2024 campaign trail, exclusive interviews and more at our Fox News Digital election hub.

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Illinois

Despite strides on equal pay, Illinois has long way to go

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Despite strides on equal pay, Illinois has long way to go


Illinois leads the nation with evidence-based equal pay laws like the salary history ban, salary transparency and the collection of pay data. But to fully realize pay equity in Illinois — and close the stubborn wage gaps faced by women and people of color — we must continue to press ahead with data-informed civic, worker, advocacy, legislative and employer action.

Recent analysis by the Project of Middle Class Renewal at the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign sheds light on how pay disparities show up throughout Illinois among employers with 100 or more employees. Thanks to Illinois’ forward-thinking pay data collection law, we have data to show where progress is being made and where we lag.

And what it shows is while we are making some progress for people in the highest income brackets, for people of color the wage gap is alarmingly wide. This unequal distribution reflects the realities of today’s economy: a booming stock market alongside record levels of food insecurity, the rich getting richer and those already struggling falling further behind. Black worker — men and women — unemployment is far higher than the national average.

When 46.6% of Illinois families lack the resources needed to fully participate in today’s economy, any wage gap is too large. Over time, that gap is the difference between stable housing and insecurity, career advancement or being stuck in a minimum wage job, and getting ahead or getting left behind.

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True pay equity is about more than whether two people of different genders or races are paid equally for the same work. It’s about equal opportunities, which means tackling occupational segregation, the lopsided responsibility for caregiving, and uneven access to the education that gets further out of reach for the people who would most benefit.

And yes, it also means making sure companies are paying employees fairly and reporting that data to the Illinois Department of Labor — and sharing it with the public.

Regularly receiving this data ensures we can clearly see the impact of policy and identify the gaps requiring action. With the federal administration dismantling, diminishing and devaluing data, states like Illinois need our own evidence to guide sound decision-making, enforcement, outreach and employer support.

Right now, that evidence shows we need to keep our foot on the gas for pay equity.

Sharmili Majmudar, executive vice president of policy, programs and research, Women Employed

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Study on school attendance merits scrutiny

The recent Sun-Times article on findings by the University of Chicago’s Consortium on School Research on student attendance and teacher relationships raises important questions, but it also deserves more careful interpretation.

The study reports correlations between student attendance and measures of teacher-student trust and school climate. However, a basic logical limitation should be acknowledged: students must already be attending school in order to form relationships with teachers and to report on them in surveys.

Attendance, in other words, is not just an outcome in this analysis — it is a prerequisite. This makes it difficult to determine whether stronger teacher relationships improve attendance, or whether students who attend more regularly are simply more likely to develop and report positive relationships.

In addition, the way the findings are presented publicly risks overstating teacher responsibility for attendance.

While teachers play an important role in students’ school experiences, attendance is shaped by many factors beyond the classroom, including family circumstances, student choice, transportation, health, neighborhood safety and district-level policies. Responsibility for attendance is shared among parents, students and the Chicago Public Schools administration; it does not rest primarily with teachers.

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Finally, while the consortium’s research is technically rigorous, readers should be aware that the study was conducted in collaboration with CPS, an institution with its own policy and reputational interests. This does not invalidate the findings, but it does underscore the need for restraint in drawing conclusions that assign responsibility.

Improving student attendance is a complex, multi-actor challenge. Oversimplifying it — by focusing too narrowly on teacher relationships — risks producing conclusions that are neither fair nor effective.

Rick Charles Wojciechowski, Old Irving Park

Trump’s double standard for protests

It is ironic that Donald Trump shows such empathy for the people of Iran protesting against their oppressive government. However, here in America, Trump cannot tolerate people protesting against the aggressive tactics of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement agents. In Chicago and Minnesota, he refers to peaceful protesters as “terrorists” and “wild, radical criminals.” Evidently, Trump seems to believe that protests are only acceptable when they happen overseas.

Betty Kleinberg, Deerfield

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Exhausted by ‘radical destruction’ of country’s norms

When does the radical destruction of our country’s norms end? The Constitution is being torn to shreds a little bit at a time.

We are watching as we are turned into a police state, mostly in states that simply have a different mindset than that of the current “regime.”

When did weaponization of the government become OK? Why must we give him the media attention he craves?

I am tired of this man. He has dominated our media coverage and our lives for more than 10 years. Enough already.

No other historical person of any profession has ever received this much attention. Why? Because he spews nonsense. It has to stop.

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Timothy Pinner, Des Plaines

Greenland’s not for sale

What’s the difference between Donald Trump and Greenland? Greenland is not for sale.

Ken Weiss, Palatine



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Indiana

College Football Playoff National Championship: Experts pick Miami-Indiana

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College Football Playoff National Championship: Experts pick Miami-Indiana


After more than four months and the 12-team College Football Playoff, the season has one game remaining.

On one side is Miami, an underdog in the tournament, looking to win its first national championship since 2001. On the other is Indiana, the top seed, but a team that has never reached these heights and could cap one of the most remarkable stories in the sport’s history.

Four ESPN All-Americans will play in the game. The Canes will play in their home stadium and Heisman Trophy QB Fernando Mendoza could cap his season with a title in his hometown.

Who wins? ESPN’s panel of 48 experts, analysts and reporters make their picks.

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Iowa

Iowa Lottery Pick 3 Midday, Pick 3 Evening results for Jan. 18, 2026

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The Iowa Lottery offers several draw games for those aiming to win big with rewards ranging from $1,000 to millions. The most an Iowan has ever won from playing the lottery was $343 million in 2018 off the Powerball.

Don’t miss out on the winnings. Here’s a look at Sunday, Jan. 18, 2026, winning numbers for each game:

Winning Pick-3 numbers from Jan. 18 drawing

Midday: 1-5-2

Evening: 0-0-5

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Check Pick-3 payouts and previous drawings here.

Winning Pick-4 numbers from Jan. 18 drawing

Midday: 0-8-4-5

Evening: 3-5-3-9

Check Pick-4 payouts and previous drawings here.

Winning Lucky For Life numbers from Jan. 18 drawing

11-18-21-42-48, Lucky Ball: 17

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Check Lucky For Life payouts and previous drawings here.

Feeling lucky? Explore the latest lottery news & results

When are the Iowa Lottery drawings held?

  • Powerball: 9:59 p.m. CT on Monday, Wednesday, and Saturday.
  • Mega Millions: 10:00 p.m. CT on Tuesday and Friday.
  • Lotto America: 9:15 p.m. CT on Monday, Wednesday, and Saturday.
  • Lucky for Life: 9:38 p.m. CT daily.
  • Pick 3 (Day): 12:20 p.m. CT daily.
  • Pick 3 (Evening): 10:00 p.m. CT daily.
  • Pick 4 (Day): 12:20 p.m. CT daily.
  • Pick 4 (Evening): 10:00 p.m. CT daily.

Winning lottery numbers are sponsored by Jackpocket, the official digital lottery courier of the USA TODAY Network.

Where can you buy lottery tickets?

Tickets can be purchased in person at gas stations, convenience stores and grocery stores. Some airport terminals may also sell lottery tickets.

You can also order tickets online through Jackpocket, the official digital lottery courier of the USA TODAY Network, in these U.S. states and territories: Arizona, Arkansas, Colorado, Idaho, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oregon, Puerto Rico, Washington D.C., and West Virginia. The Jackpocket app allows you to pick your lottery game and numbers, place your order, see your ticket and collect your winnings all using your phone or home computer.

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Jackpocket is the official digital lottery courier of the USA TODAY Network. Gannett may earn revenue for audience referrals to Jackpocket services. GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER, Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). 18+ (19+ in NE, 21+ in AZ). Physically present where Jackpocket operates. Jackpocket is not affiliated with any State Lottery. Eligibility Restrictions apply. Void where prohibited. Terms: jackpocket.com/tos.

This results page was generated automatically using information from TinBu and a template written and reviewed by an Iowa editor. You can send feedback using this form.



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