Nebraska
The independent union boss making Republicans nervous in deep-red Nebraska
Democrats see a rare opportunity in Nebraska’s U.S. Senate race, where independent candidate Dan Osborn is mounting an unexpectedly competitive challenge against Republican incumbent Deb Fischer.
Nebraska has backed Republicans in every presidential election since 1964. The state remains solidly conservative, due to large swaths of rural counties that regularly give GOP candidates 80 or 90 percent of their votes. Democrats rarely bother investing money or resources in Nebraska, which backed former President Donald Trump by nearly 20 points against President Joe Biden in 2020.
But Osborn, a moderate independent whose platform blends positions from both parties, may be making the race closer than initially expected. If Osborn prevails, he could serve as a crucial tiebreaking vote in the Senate, which is expected to be narrowly divided regardless of who wins the most competitive races in November.
A flurry of recent polls showed good news for Osborn. A Bullfinch Group survey, conducted among 400 likely voters from September 27 to October 1, showed him with a 5-point lead over Fischer (47 percent to 42 percent).
An Osborn-sponsored SurveyUSA poll showed him up one point (45 percent to 44 percent). It polled 558 likely voters from September 20 to September 23. A Global Strategy Group poll, conduced among 600 likely voters from August 26 to August 29, showed Fischer up one point (43 percent to 42 percent).
Kevin Smith, a professor of political science at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, told Newsweek that while a polling error is always possible, the “weight of evidence” suggests it may actually be a close race “given there are now a number of polls all triangulating on the general inference of a tight contest.”
“Both of the campaigns and increasingly outside funders are certainly treating this as a competitive race,” he said.
Osborn is running a “high visibility campaign” and has an “appealing back story,” Smith said, noting that his anti-establishment sentiment may be resonating with Nebraska voters “who are feeling fed up with both of the major parties.”
But he needs to not only win over Democrats and independents, but also at least some Republicans in order to win statewide in Nebraska. That remains a challenge, Smith said.
“There may well be a real thirst for a viable option outside of the traditional Republican/Democrat choice, and Osborn could well be tapping into that,” he said.
Fischer wasn’t expected to have a closer race. She rarely breaks from the GOP party line and has not had any scandals that would alienate voters in the state. She also received the endorsement of Trump, who remains popular with Nebraska Republicans.
“To the best of my knowledge there’s nothing in Deb Fischer’s record that should be unduly upsetting to the core conservative Republican voter that is the big constituency in a statewide race in Nebraska,” Smith said.
He added that some polls show Fischer with among the lowest approval rating in the Senate, such as a 2020 Morning Consult survey that placed her in the top 10 least popular senators. Still, he said it is a “stretch though, to think that would lead to a non-trivial chunk of Republican voters giving serious consideration to voting for an independent.”
Osborn, Fischer Fundraising Compared
While polling is tight, Fischer has maintained a fundraising advantage over Osborn.
At the end of June, the Republican incumbent had raised $6.2 million, while Osborn raised $1.6 million, according to the nonprofit OpenSecrets. She had spent $3.8 million, while Osborn had spent just under $1 million.
Fischer still had nearly $3 million in the bank, compared to Osborn’s $650,000
Osborn, a mechanic, military veteran and former leader of his manufacturing union, supports policies from both the Democratic and Republican parties. The issues page on his website emphasizes his support for a “secure border,” as well as gun rights. He also supports legalizing cannabis and reproductive rights.
He has not attached himself to either party, and he has not said who he would caucus with in the Senate, previously suggesting he might vote with whichever party has a majority.
“Nebraskans want a senator who listens to them,” said Dustin Wahl, Osborn’s communications director, in a statement to Newsweek. “He’s going to work for the regular folks of this state, and they can tell he’s the real deal.”
Fischer, however, has sought to highlight some of his more liberal views in an attempt to tie him to Democrats.
Derek Oden, a spokesperson for Fischer, told Newsweek that Osborn is a “liberal Democrat in disguise” who’s “funded by the same billionaire Democrats supporting Kamala Harris.”
If elected, Osborn would join a small but impactful group of independents already in the Senat. Bernie Sanders of Vermont and Angus King of Maine are both independents who caucus with Democrats. Senators Krysten Sinema and Joe Manchin are also independents who have left the Democratic Party, though they are both retiring this cycle.
Osborn Seeks to Avoid Fate of Other Independents
Democrats living in red states backed independent candidates in a handful of previous Senate races in the past few years, hoping that an independent may be able to win support from enough Republicans to pull off an upset. But these efforts fizzled in states like Alaska and Kansas, leading some to be wary of Osborn’s chances.
In 2014, Democrats hoped independent candidate Greg Orman could defeat Senator Pat Roberts, a Kansas Republican, as several polls at the time showed him in the lead. But Roberts ultimately won by double digits, with more than 53 percent of the vote to Orman’s 42.5 percent.
A similar story played out in Alaska in 2020, when independent Al Gross faced off against Republican Senator Dan Sullivan. Polls leading up to the election showed a tight race, with a handful even showing Gross taking a lead over the incumbent. Sullivan ended up winning handily, with 54 percent of the vote to Gross’ 41 percent.
Four years earlier, some polls also showed independent candidate Evan McMullin in a tight race against GOP Senator Mike Lee in Utah. Lee went on to win with by about 10 points, with 53 percent of the vote to McMullin’s 43 percent.
All three independents overperformed expectations—with Orman and McMullin running in years expected to be difficult for Democrats—but ultimately fell short. Osborn will spend the next month on the campaign trail in a bid to win over enough voters to try to avoid a similar fate.
Smith said it is a possibility that Nebraska’s Senate race could see similar results.
“What the polls may be picking up is an element of general dissatisfaction, at least among some Republicans and independents, with the GOP candidate or the party in general,” he said. “But it’s obviously one thing to express a theoretical preference on a survey and another to cast an actual vote.”
How Republican Is Nebraska?
In 2020, Trump won Nebraska by 19 points, securing 58 percent of the vote in the state to Biden’s 39 percent.
Trump won all but two counties, Douglas County, which includes the liberal outpost of Omaha and Lancaster County, which contains the college town of Lincoln.
That marks a leftward shift from 2016, when Trump won the state by 25 points, with 59 percent of the vote, while Hillary Clinton won 34 percent. Omaha and its suburbs have drifted increasingly Democratic in recent years, but not enough to cancel out the large number of Republican votes in the rural, western part of the state.
The Cook Political Report rates the presidential race in Nebraska as safely Republican. However, it is one of two states, along with Maine, to split its Electoral College votes. Trump is expected to win the two statewide votes, as well as two of its three Congressional districts.
The Senate race is rated as “Likely Republican,” meaning it is “not considered competitive at this point” but has “the potential to become engaged.”
Update 10/3/24 5:40 p.m. ET: This article was updated with additional information.
Nebraska
Wisconsin and Nebraska are both seeking bowl eligibility and an end to their losing streaks
WHAT’S AT STAKE?
Bowl eligibility goes to the winner. Wisconsin is looking to extend its bowl streak to 22 seasons, third-longest in the nation. Nebraska has lost four straight after a 5-1 start and is looking to go to a bowl for the first time since 2016, the longest drought in the Power Four. The Badgers, losers of three straight, have clinched bowl eligibility the last two years with wins over Nebraska.
KEY MATCHUP
Nebraska QB Dylan Raiola vs. Wisconsin pass defense. Raiola will be playing his second game with new offensive coordinator Dana Holgorsen as the play-caller. The freshman has struggled against Big Ten opponents. He’s thrown just three touchdown passes and been intercepted eight times over the last six games. Wisconsin has one of the best pass defenses in the conference and has allowed just three TD passes in six games.
PLAYERS TO WATCH
Wisconsin: QB Braedyn Locke, like Raiola, has struggled and will have a new offensive coordinator following the firing of Phil Longo. The Badgers have scored a combined 33 points during their three-game losing streak, with Locke completing 49.4% of his passes (49 of 99) with two TDs and four interceptions.
Nebraska: DE Ty Robinson, a sixth-year player, will need to be his best in his final home game going against a Wisconsin offensive line that has allowed just 11 sacks. He’s one of the most disruptive defensive linemen in the Big Ten, with 10 tackles for loss and six sacks.
FACTS & FIGURES
Wisconsin has won 10 straight meetings with Nebraska, including all nine since the Freedom Trophy was introduced in 2014. The Badgers are 11-1 against Nebraska since the Huskers joined the Big Ten in 2011. … Nebraska is 0-8 under second-year coach Matt Rhule when trying to win a sixth game to become bowl-eligible. … Badgers have allowed only two plays of 40-plus yards, tied with Ohio State for fewest in the country. … Wisconsin’s Tawee Walker is averaging 97.3 rushing yards per game in his six Big Ten starts.
Nebraska
Detective speaks out about Nebraska teen’s 1969 murder case
(WOWT) – Stabbed at least a dozen times, the body of 17-year-old Mary Kay Heese was discovered along a country road in 1969.
In an update to an exclusive First Alert 6 investigation, the detective who helped solve the decades-long cold case is speaking out.
“It’s been a dark cloud over Wahoo for a long time. There’s a lot of people who remember that,” Saunders County Attorney Investigator Ted Green said.
For nine years, Detective Green has learned much about the victim’s life and how it came to an end.
“She fought some, there was a struggle,” Green said.
The suspect, Joseph Ambroz, was 22 years old in 1969 and paroled from prison for about six months when he came to live with his mom in Wahoo.
“I still don’t understand how she got in the car because that wasn’t Mary Kay’s personality,” Kathy Tull, the victim’s cousin, said in an interview.
Detective Green believes a party grove was the destination.
“And she’s just thinking its ok a couple of guys I know from the restaurant and we’re going out for a ride,” Green said.
Green reveals that Mary Kay likely got in the car with the suspect and another young man who was with them.
“He committed suicide in 77 so if he wasn’t an active participant or just didn’t realize what was going to happened all of a sudden it just happened,” Green said.
A tip line set up by the victim’s cousin led to a lake west of Wahoo where the suspect’s car may have been dumped in 1969 where dive teams found a large metal object.
“It’s everybody’s hope the golden nugget you hope had been there. But there’s evidence I can’t discuss that there’s something there,” Green said.
Evidence that remains in the lake because Green got estimates of up to $400 to pull it from the muddy, murky water.
But Green said he has plenty more evidence, including an autopsy after exhuming the body of the victim with a forensic pathologist from the Offutt Military Identification Lab adding expertise.
“There’s DNA available, its just I’ve got to go off of we have available to us,” Green said.
Though forensics will play a part in this case, it appears solved the old-fashioned way.
“This is a case that didn’t have anything glaring but had small pieces along the way. This is all gum shoe, all gum shoe work,” Green said.
Green would not respond when asked if he has found a murder weapon.
The 1969 murder of a small town high school Junior led to hundreds of interviews and tips over 55 years, and the investigation narrowed from ten suspects to one.
“Well been able to exclude everybody mentioned as a suspect way back when except for this guy,” Green said.
Even though the suspect is in custody, the case is not closed.
If you have information on the murder of Mary Kay Hesse, call the Saunders County Attorney’s Office at 402-443-5613.
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Nebraska
Seven behavioral health care providers tapped for new program that helps Nebraskans in crisis • Nebraska Examiner
LINCOLN — Seven behavioral health care providers have been selected to launch a new certification program designed to improve mental health and substance use care across the state — and provide around-the-clock crisis help for Nebraskans.
Called the Certified Community Behavioral Health Clinics initiative, the effort has been described as “transformational.” To start, it will involve: CenterPointe, Community Alliance, Heartland Counseling Services, Heartland Family Services, Lutheran Family Services, South Central Behavioral Health Services and The Well.
“This is a significant step for Nebraska,” said Matt Ahern, interim director of the Department of Health and Human Services’ Medicaid and Long-Term Care division. “We’re really excited about this model because it incentivizes a more integrated care — a whole person approach rather than segmenting behavioral health from physical health and everything else happening in a person’s life.”
Serves all
Selection of providers, announced Wednesday, follows passage last year of Legislative Bill 276, the Certified Community Behavioral Health Clinic Act, sponsored by State Sen. Anna Wishart of Lincoln and signed into law by Gov. Jim Pillen.
This is a monumental step toward building healthier and stronger communities.
– State Sen. Anna Wishart of Lincoln
CCBHCs emerged from the Excellence in Mental Health Act, a federal law signed in 2014 to improve the nation’s mental health system. The model ensures that clinics provide a wide array of services, such as crisis response, medication management, psychotherapy and community and peer support.
In return, providers are allowed to participate in a restructured payment model that better accounts for costs associated with services, according to a DHHS news release. Certified clinics are required to serve anyone who requests care for mental health or substance use, regardless of their ability to pay, place of residence or age.
Over the next year, the Nebraska DHHS divisions of Behavioral Health and Medicaid and Long-Term Care will work with the seven provider organizations to develop services needed to meet the state requirements and federal criteria determined by the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration.
Programs are to be up and running by January 2026.
“The CCBHC model allows a clinic to truly focus on delivering the quality of care and breadth of services a person needs,” said Thomas Janousek, director of DHHS Behavioral Health. “It focuses on reducing administrative barriers for providers which ultimately results in better care for the individuals it serves.”
‘No-brainer’
By launching the initiative, Wishart said, the state is “transforming” the way Nebraskans access mental health and substance abuse care, in a coordinated and comprehensive way that fills service gaps.
“This is a monumental step toward building healthier and stronger communities,” she said Wednesday.
Wishart has said she expects the CCBHCs to reduce emergency room visits and incarcerations. Data from other states that have implemented such clinics have shown reductions in law enforcement involvement and hospital usage, state officials have said.
Pillen has called the legislation a “no-brainer” for Nebraska. His testimony at a legislative hearing in early 2023 surprised some, as the Republican governor stepped across the political aisle to speak on behalf of a bill introduced by a Democrat, Wishart.
At the time, Pillen said that Nebraskans “must come together to solve tough problems.”
After completing the certification program, a provider is to be recognized as a CCBHC, offering integrated physical and behavioral health services to Nebraska families. Services are to include: around-the-clock crisis support; easy access to mental health and substance use care; tailored treatment plans; specialized care for veterans and military personnel; peer support; comprehensive psychiatric rehabilitation.
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