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Maryland vs. Minnesota prediction: Odds, expert picks, QB matchup, player news, betting trends, and stats

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1 year ago

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Maryland vs. Minnesota prediction: Odds, expert picks, QB matchup, player news, betting trends, and stats


Maryland started 3-1 with wins over UConn and @UVA, with a 27-24 loss to Michigan State where Maryland only had a 10% win expectancy. Though they lost 42-28 to undefeated Indiana, the Terps actually had the smallest margin of defeat of any team Indiana has played this season, equating to a moral victory of sorts. They were somewhat surprisingly outclassed by Northwestern who leveled UM 37-10, before bouncing back to squeeze out a 29-28 win over USC. As usual, HC Mike Locksley’s offense is a pass-slated group that ranks top-10 in both passing rate and completion rate (69.5%). A strong linebacker group that ranks 11th in havoc rate bolsters a credible run defense that ranks 19th in yards per successful rush and eighth in yards after contact allowed.

Minnesota took a tough beat in a Week 1 19-17 loss to North Carolina where they had a 86% win expectancy, then rattled off a pair of shutouts over FCS Rhode Island and Nevada. However, then they took a 31-14 smacking at the hands of Iowa before traveling to @Michigan where they lost a close 27-24 coin flip. With Minnesota HC PJ Fleck feeling the pressure of starting 0-3 against P4 opponents, Minnesota won a dramatic 27-24 nailbiter against USC, providing us a classic HC Fleck snap-session on the refs as the game winded down. The Gophers then hopped on a plane to complete their first ever “SoCal Sweep” and took down @UCLA 21-17. UM is 5-2 ATS and has a penchant for producing one-score games, which makes for great TV.

NBC Sports has all the latest info and analysis you need, including how to tune in for kickoff, odds from BetMGM, player news and updates, and of course our predictions and best bets for the game from our staff of experts.

Listen to the B1G Talk podcast with Todd Blackledge and Noah Eagle for the most compelling storylines across all of college football, with the biggest teams on the rise and the latest rankings!

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Game Details and How to watch Maryland @ Minnesota live

· Date: Saturday, October 26, 2024
· Time: 3:30 PM EST
· Site: Huntington Bank Stadium
· City: Minneapolis, MN
· TV/Streaming: FS1

Want to check out the other games on the College Football schedule this week? We’ve got you covered right here on NBC Sports with all the matchup, venue, game-time and TV/streaming info so you won’t miss any of the action!

Game odds for Maryland & Minnesota

The latest odds as of Thursday night courtesy of BetMGM:

  • Moneyline: Minnesota (-185), Maryland (+150)
  • Spread: Minnesota 4.5
  • Over/Under: 46.5 points

This game opened Minnesota -2.5 but is now trading between -4 to -4.5 depending on the book. The moneyline dropped with Minnesota at -205 and moved down slightly to a market best -175 with a low of -195. Maryland went from +170 to a best price of +158 and a low of +143. The total was set perfectly at 46.5 right from the jump and hasn’t budged since Monday.

NBC Sports Bet Best Bet

NBC Sports Betting Analyst Eric Froton (@CFFroton) thinks:
“Minnesota just defeated a USC program that is somewhat similar to Maryland in terms of scheme and competencies. Four of Minnesota’s five games have been decided by one score or less, and Maryland has the offensive chops to keep pace. I lean Maryland with the +4.5 points.”

Listen to the Bet the Edge podcast as hosts Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick provide listeners with sharp actionable insight, market analysis and statistical data to help bettors gain more information before placing their wagers.

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BetMGM Heisman odds

Line movement (open, current)
· Ashton Jeanty +5000, +200
· Cam Ward +20000, +240
· Travis Hunter +3500, +1800

Highest Ticket%
· Travis Hunter 16.5%
· Nico Iamaleava 9.2%
· Cam Ward 8.4%

Highest Handle%
· Travis Hunter 31.2%
· Ashton Jeanty 11.3%
· Cam Ward 8.8%

Quarterback matchup for Maryland @ Minnesota

  • Minnesota: A grad transfer from the University of New Hampshire, Brosmer was a heralded Second Team AP FCS All-American and Walter Payton Award Finalist last season before making his way to Minnesota. He’s completing 67.5% of his passes, which ranks 13th nationally, with a very respectable 77th% PFF passing grade. Though he’s piloting an efficient passing attack that ranks 34th in success rate, the Gophers rank a dismal 132nd in passing explosiveness and 118th in pass plays of 20+ yards. Just 10.7% of his pass attempts have been downfield though, so he’s not being asked to stretch the field that often.
  • Maryland: Billy Edwards Jr. beat out NC State transfer MJ Morris for the starting job and has excelled in the role, completing a laudable 69.5% of his throws for 2,112 passing yards and a 13-to-4 ratio while recording an 87.2 PFF offensive grade that ranks as the 13th highest mark among Power Four signal callers. Edwards has been getting the ball out of his hands in a brisk 2.22s on average, which is the second fastest release time in FBS. Similar to his counterpart Brosmer, Edwards is leading a rather conservative passing attack that ranks 122nd in explosive pass rate, but also 20th with a 1.4% interception rate that rarely puts their defense in a bad spot.

Trends & recent stats for Minnesota and Maryland

  • Minnesota has allowed three touchdowns on 111 completions, which is the second-best completion/TD rate in FBS. Texas tops the list by allowing one passing touchdown on 121 completions.
  • Minnesota is targeting their running backs in the pass game 8.4 times per game, sixth-most in FBS. UTEP currently leads the nation with 10.7 RB receiving targets per game.
  • Maryland wide receivers have been targeted 208 times this year, the fourth-most among Power Four wideouts. Minnesota has allowed 977 receiving yards so far, second fewest among Big Ten defenses.
  • The Terps’ pass defense has been a notch down from recent seasons, ranking 111th with 21% of completions of 20+ yards and 107th in yards per successful dropback (16.2 yards).

College Football talk is taking over Bet the Edge every Thursday throughout the season. BET THE EDGE is your source for all things sports betting. Get all of Vaughn Dalzell, Eric Froton, and Brad Thomas’ insights Thursdays at 6AM ET right here or wherever you get your favorite podcasts.

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

  • Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
  • Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
  • Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
  • Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)
  • Eric Froton (@CFFroton)

Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

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Minnesota

Minnesota investigators say child care centers captured in viral video were operating as expected

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6 hours ago

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January 4, 2026

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Minnesota investigators say child care centers captured in viral video were operating as expected


A video by a right-wing content creator accusing several Somali-owned child care centers in Minnesota of fraud went viral and led to compliance checks by Minnesota’s Department of Children, Youth, and Families. The agency says they were operating normally, except for one that was not yet open when investigators arrived.



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Game Recap: Kings 5, Wild 4 (S/O) | Minnesota Wild

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18 hours ago

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January 4, 2026

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Game Recap: Kings 5, Wild 4 (S/O) | Minnesota Wild


Matt Boldy scored late in the third to tie it and ultimately send the game to overtime, helping the Wild (25-10-8) extend their point streak to six games (3-0-3). Brock Faber had a goal and an assist, Jake Middleton and Joel Eriksson Ek also scored, and Jesper Wallstedt made 34 saves.

It was the second game of a back-to-back for Minnesota, which is coming off a 5-2 win at the Anaheim Ducks on Friday. The Wild and Kings will play again in Los Angeles on Monday.

“It was far from perfect of a game from us,” Faber said. “I thought we could have played better. With that quick turnaround, we’ll take the point. Now we need two in the next.”

Kempe put the Kings up 1-0 at 6:08 of the first period, scoring on a wrist shot from close range off Anze Kopitar’s cross-slot pass from below the goal line.

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Middleton tied it up 1-1 at 8:28, getting his first goal of the season in 36 games on a snap shot from the left circle set up by Mats Zuccarello.

“I think he thought I was Kirill (Kaprizov) in the slot there, so it was nice to get one,” Middleton joked. “I normally have a few goals before I take 35 games off from scoring, so this one was getting a little stressful but we got it out of the way.”

Perry gave Los Angeles a 2-1 lead at 16:57 of the second period when Byfield’s shot struck him in the wrist and redirected in for the power-play goal.

Eriksson Ek tied it 2-2 at 18:23 on the power play, taking Quinn Hughes’ stretch pass at the offensive blue line for a short breakaway, fending off defenseman Joel Edmundson and scoring on a wrist shot from the left circle.

Byfield put Los Angeles back in front 3-2 at 4:54 of the third period. He shot the puck caroming off the boards back into the crease, where Wallstedt lost it in his skates and it was eventually knocked in by a Wild stick during the ensuing scramble in front.

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“Shouldn’t be, that was terrible,” Byfield joked when asked if he knew it was his goal. “No, it’s good. I think it’s two now that were liked that, so I’ll take them how they come.”



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Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz on the defensive as fraud allegations mount after viral video uncovered Somali aid scheme

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7 days ago

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December 29, 2025

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Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz on the defensive as fraud allegations mount after viral video uncovered Somali aid scheme


Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz pushed back against the ever-growing fraud allegations levied against him in the disastrous aftermath of a viral video where an independent journalist cracked open a crucial part of the alleged Somali aid scheme.

A spokesperson for Walz, a Democrat who frequently provokes President Trump’s ire, addressed a bombshell video posted by conservative YouTuber Nick Shirley.

“The governor has worked for years to crack down on fraud and ask the state legislature for more authority to take aggressive action. He has strengthened oversight — including launching investigations into these specific facilities, one of which was already closed,” the spokesperson told Fox News.

Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz listens during a hearing with the House Oversight and Accountability Committee at the US Capitol on June 12, 2025 in Washington, DC. Getty Images

The spokesperson added that Walz has “hired an outside firm to audit payments to high-risk programs, shut down the Housing Stabilization Services program entirely, announced a new statewide program integrity director, and supported criminal prosecutions.”

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In the 43-minute video published on Friday, Shirley and a Minnesotan named David travel around Minneapolis and visit multiple childcare and learning centers allegedly owned by Somali immigrants.

Many were either shuttered entirely, despite signage indicating they were open, or helmed by staff who refused to participate in the video.

YouTuber Nick Shirley posted a mega-viral video on Friday uncovering new parts of the alleged Somali aid scheme. X / Nick Shirley

One of the buildings they visited displayed a misspelled sign reading “Quality Learing Center.” The ‘learning’ center is supposed to account for at least 99 children and funneled roughly $4 million in state funds, according to the video.

Shirley appeared on Fox News’ “The Big Weekend Show” on Sunday evening and boasted about his findings. He joked that the alleged scheme was “so obvious” that a “kindergartener could figure out there is fraud going on.”

“Fraud is fraud, and we work too hard simply just to be paying taxes and enabling fraud to be happening,” Shirley said.

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Shirley was kicked out for trespassing in one of the centers. X / Nick Shirley
Shirley joked that the alleged scheme was “so obvious” that a “kindergartener could figure out there is fraud going on. X / Nick Shirley

“There better be change. People are demanding it. The investigation have been launched just from that video alone. So there better be change, like I said we work way too hard to be paying taxes and not knowing where our money’s going,” he added.

Many officials have echoed Shirley’s calls for change, with FBI Director Kash Patel even announcing that the agency surged extra personnel to investigate the resources doled out to Minnesota. He said this is one of the first steps in a wide-reaching effort to “dismantle large-scale fraud schemes exploiting federal programs.”

FBI Director Kash Patel said the agency was fielding additional personnel to investigate fraud in Minnesota. FNTV

Federal investigators say half of the $18 billion granted to Minnesota since 2018 could have been stolen by fraudulent schemes — amounting to up to $9 billion in theft.

As of Saturday evening, 86 people have been charged in relation to these fraud scams, with 59 convicted so far.

Most of those accused of fraud come from Minnesota’s Somali community.

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Shirley’s mega-viral video cracked 100 million views Sunday night.



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