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Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions


The Pittsburgh Pirates (34-35) and Milwaukee Brewers (36-34) close out a 3-game set Sunday at American Family Field. First pitch is at 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 2-0

The Pirates have dropped 5 in a row and 8 of 10 to fall below .500. They’re still just 1 1/2 games out behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Pirates are 10-9 against divisional foes and 16-19 on the road overall.

Milwaukee has won 2 in a row after dropping 6 straight. They beat the Pirates 5-4 and 5-0 the last 2 days. Milwaukee is 20-16 at home and 10-5 against teams within the division.

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Pirates at Brewers projected starters

RHP Luis Ortiz vs. RHP Freddy Peralta

Ortiz (1-3, 4.64 ERA) makes his 7th start and 8th appearance. He has a 1.76 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 5.5 K/9 in 33 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 4 K Tuesday against Chicago Cubs
  • 2023 splits: 1-1, 3.20 ERA, 1.53 WHIP in 3 starts, 4 appearances at home; 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA, 2.10 WHIP in 3 road starts

Peralta (5-6, 4.73 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 70 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 5 K June 11 against Oakland Athletics
  • Last 5 starts vs. Pirates: 1-0, 1.69 ERA, 0.82 WHIP, 27 K in 26 2/3 IP

Pirates at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:03 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Brewers -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-145) | Brewers -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Pirates at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 5, Pirates 2

Moneyline

The Brew Crew is starting to hit its stride, and the Pirates are starting to fall back to the norm after a great start to the season. The only question is if Peralta, who has great history against Pittsburgh, can keep the Bucs down. Peralta has a 3.86 ERA and 1.17 WHIP at home this year vs. 6.04 ERA and 1.66 WHIP on the road.

That gives me enough confidence to LEAN BREWERS -160.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Brewers are 30-40 on the RL and 14-22 at home this season in what has been an underwhelming first 70 games. They have won 4 of 5 against Pittsburgh, and 3 of the 4 have been by more than a run.

I’ll take BREWERS -1.5 (+120).

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Over/Under

The wind is blowing in at 10 mph. The Under is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings in Milwaukee. These teams have remained under 9 runs in 3 of the last 4 against one another.

Neither offense will blow you away so I will LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-105).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Ryan Dodson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

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Milwaukee, WI

Anfernee Simons and Deni Avdija power the Trail Blazers past the Bucks 105-102

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Anfernee Simons and Deni Avdija power the Trail Blazers past the Bucks 105-102


MILWAUKEE — Anfernee Simons scored 28 points and Deni Avdija 19 as the Portland Trail Blazers beat the Milwaukee Bucks 105-102 on Saturday night.

Giannis Antetokounmpo hit two free throws to give the Bucks a 102-100 lead. Simons was fouled on a scoring drive and completed the three-point play, giving Portland a 103-102 lead with 23.5 seconds remaining.

Milwaukee turned it over on its next possession without getting a shot, giving Portland possession with 8.4 seconds remaining.

Simons hit two more free throws with 5.4 seconds left, giving Portland a 105-102 lead. Damian Lillard missed a 3-point try from the left side on the Bucks’ final possession.

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Antetokounmpo finished with 31 points and 11 rebounds, and AJ Green added 21 points on seven 3-pointers.

Trail Blazers: Portland snapped a two-game skid and won for the third time in five games.

Bucks: Milwaukee has lost two straight and four of five, with each loss to teams with sub-.500 records.

Simons’ three-point play gave the Blazers the lead for good at 103-102 with 23.5 seconds remaining.

Green’s seven 3-pointers matched his career high.

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Both teams play again Monday. The Trail Blazers are at the Detroit Pistons, and the Bucks are at the Toronto Raptors.

___

AP NBA: https://apnews.com/hub/NBA



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Miami Marlins, Milwaukee Brewers Among Cheapest Spenders of 2025 MLB Offseason

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Miami Marlins, Milwaukee Brewers Among Cheapest Spenders of 2025 MLB Offseason


The 2025 MLB offseason has been underway for over two months, with plenty of blockbuster trades and massive free agent signings defining the winter so far.

However, a few teams have seemingly sat out on the action altogether.

The Seattle Mariners, for one, have yet to commit a single dollar to their MLB payroll in any capacity, per Spotrac. The Miami Marlins are in a similar boat, with their only move thus far being a split contract for infielder Eric Wagaman.

The St. Louis Cardinals’ front office hasn’t been much more aggressive, simply spending $250K on international free agents. And although the Minnesota Twins, San Diego Padres and Milwaukee Brewers haven’t signed a free agent, they have at least spent money on avoiding arbitration with players, while the Kansas City Royals and Atlanta Braves gave pitchers Michael Wacha and Reynaldo López eight-figure extensions.

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It isn’t surprising that the Marlins have skimped out on their big league payroll, considering all of the franchise centerpieces they have traded away over the past year. In 2024 alone, Miami dumped Luis Arráez, Jazz Chisholm Jr., Tanner Scott, Jake Burger and Jesús Luzardo, just to name a few.

The Brewers, unlike the Marlins, actually made the playoffs in 2024, so their lack of spending is at least somewhat softened by their recent success. They also had first baseman Rhys Hoskins pick up his $18 million player option, which doesn’t count towards their free agent spending, nor does their one-year, $1.35 million agreement with backup catcher Eric Haase.

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There are still six weeks until pitchers and catchers report to Spring Training, and a good number of notable free agents are still out there on the open market. It remains to be seen if the cheaper teams will finally break out of their shells to add some of them, or if only the rich will get richer.

Continue to follow our Fastball On SI coverage on social media by liking us on Facebook and by following us on Twitter @FastballFN.

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Milwaukee, WI

Milwaukee Admirals beat Wild in overtime

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Milwaukee Admirals beat Wild in overtime


(Courtesy: Milwaukee Admirals)

Jake Lucchini scored the game-winning goal 62 seconds into overtime to lift the Admirals to a 2-1 win over the Iowa Wild in their first game of the new year.

Magnus Chrona stopped 31 shots in net for Milwaukee to pick up his seventh win of the season, while Joakim Kemell also lit the lamp for the Ads.

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Milwaukee fired 39 shots on goal, their second-highest total this season and the third straight game they have topped the 30-shots plateau.

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The Admirals dominated the early going, outshooting the Wild 17-5 through the first 15 minutes of the game. Kemell would give the Ads a 1-0 lead with his eighth goal of the season at the 14:59 mark of the opening frame. Kemell grabbed a loose puck on the Milwaukee blueline and skated in on a two-on-one before sending a snapshot over the glove of Iowa goalie William Rousseau.

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The Wild knotted the game at one at 8:30 of the second period when Matthew Sop found a loose puck near the Ads net and managed to poke it past netminder Chrona.  

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The score remained the way until a minute into overtime when Marc Del Gaizo won a puck battle along the far boards in the Iowa zone and found a streaking Lucchini, whose wicked wrister beat Rousseau glove-side to secure the win. It was the eighth goal of the season for Lucchini and his second career OT winner.

The Admirals continue their five-game home stand when they host Grand Rapids at 6 p.m. Saturday. The first 4,000 fans will take home a retro Admirals winter hat.

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