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New Michigan poll shows where Trump-Harris race stands after Biden decision

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New Michigan poll shows where Trump-Harris race stands after Biden decision


A new WDIV/Detroit News survey asked Michigan voters where they stand on the probable race for president between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris.

Harris hasn’t officially been nominated by the Democratic Party, but has the support of most major players, and is the presumed nominee after President Joe Biden pulled out of the race last weekend.

The WDIV/Detroit News survey was conducted between Monday and Wednesday, following Biden’s decision.

The Trump-Harris race for president

The WDIV/Detroit News survey found the presidential race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is dead even at 41%-41%.

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr. takes 10% of the vote while 6.0% of voters remain undecided. Here’s the full breakdown:

  • 41.6% Kamala Harris

  • 41.3% Donald Trump

  • 9.7% Robert F Kennedy Jr.

  • 0.7% Chase Oliver

  • 0.5% Jill Stein

  • 0.3% Named another candidate

  • 5.9% Undecided

The survey found that Kennedy holds a one-point lead among Independent voters, but nearly 18% remain undecided.

Other key findings from the survey:

  • Among men, Trump holds a wide lead of 50.3%-35.3%, with 8.0% of men going to Kennedy – a Trump lead of 15.0% among men. But among women, Harris leads 47.4%-33.0%, with 11.2% going to Kennedy – a Harris lead of 14.4% among women.

  • Among African American voters, 82.1% support Harris, 11.5% support Kennedy, no black voters in this survey supported Trump.

Voter motivation

The survey found that Michigan voters agree with Biden’s decision to step aside in the 2024 presidential race. 88.3% of voters agree compared to only 6.5% that disagree.

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Voters were asked if Biden’s announcement to not run again made them more or less motivated to vote in November.

  • 25.6% said they were more motivated.

  • 0.7% said they were less motivated.

  • 73.2% said it had no impact on their motivation.

The decision disproportionately made “Strong Democratic” voters, voters aged 18-29, and African American voters more motivated to vote in November.

  • 46.4% of voters aged 18-29 are more motivated to vote.

  • 38.5% of African American voters are more motivated to vote.

  • 36.6% of Strong Democratic voters are more motivated to vote.


Poll methodology:

The Glengariff Group, Inc. conducted a Michigan statewide survey of November 2024 likely general election voters. The 600 sample, live operator telephone survey was conducted on July 22-24, 2024 and has a margin of error of +/-4.0% with a 95% level of confidence. 17.8% of respondents were contacted via landline telephone. 82.2% of respondents were contacted via cell phone telephone. This survey was commissioned by WDIV Local 4 News and the Detroit News.

WDIV/Detroit News Survey, July 2024. (WDIV)
WDIV/Detroit News Survey, July 2024. (WDIV)
WDIV/Detroit News Survey, July 2024. (WDIV)

Copyright 2024 by WDIV ClickOnDetroit – All rights reserved.

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Michigan

Michigan becomes 20th state to outlaw ‘gay panic’ defense

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Michigan becomes 20th state to outlaw ‘gay panic’ defense


LANSING, MI – Michigan is now the 20th state in the U.S. to outlaw legal arguments that someone’s sexual orientation justified assaulting them.

Gov. Gretchen Whitmer signed into law the bill on Tuesday, July 23, banning the defense commonly referred to as “gay panic” or “LGBTQ+ panic.”

Under the new law, which goes into effect Oct. 23, a person charged with a violent crime can’t seek to reduce or evade criminal liability on claims that they lost control and reacted violently because of the victim’s sexual orientation, gender identity or gender expression.

“I have been incredibly passionate about this bill for several years, and I am elated to see it signed into law. Protecting the future of LGBTQ+ people across Michigan is something I have been working hard to do,” said the bill’s sponsor, state Rep. Laurie Pohutsky, D-Livonia.

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“This bill, alongside many other monumental pieces of legislation brought forth by Michigan Democrats, is a huge step toward securing a safe and inclusive state for all Michiganders.”

The bill was sent to the governor after passing along party lines June 27 in the state House, with Republicans voting against the bill. In the state Senate, Republican Sens. Mark Huizenga, Dan Lauwers, Jonathan Lindsey and Ed McBroom joined with Democrats on approving the bill.

Michigan set to become 20th state outlawing ‘gay panic’ defense

According to the National LGBTQ+ Bar Association, Michigan is the 20th state to ban the gay panic defense.

Michigan has had at least four cases between 1970 and 2020 where a murder defendant used the gay panic defense, according to a 2020 study by W. Cartsen Andresen, a professor at St. Edward’s University in Texas.

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The National LGBTQ+ Bar Association said that it has tracked dozens of cases across the U.S. where juries have acquitted defendants due to the LGBTQ+ panic defense strategy. The crimes in those cases ranged from assault to murder.

Under Michigan’s new law, a person is not justified in using force against another person based on the discovery or knowledge of the victim’s sex, gender identity, gender expression or sexual orientation.

That discovery or knowledge also is not permitted as evidence to demonstrate reasonable provocation, to show that an act was committed in the heat of passion or to support a defense of reduced mental capacity.

Victims’ sexuality can be used to justify crimes. Legislation could stop it.

One of the most infamous cases of the use of the defense was the 1998 murder of Matthew Shepard, a gay student at the University of Wyoming. Shepard, 21, was driven to a remote area by two men who then brutally beat him, tied him to a fence and left him to die.

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Lawyers defending one of Shepard’s killers argued his client was partly triggered by an unwanted sexual advance by Shepard and previous traumatic experiences with LGBTQ+ people. The judge did not allow the defense.



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Jet skier will take to Lake Michigan to fundraise for good cause

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Jet skier will take to Lake Michigan to fundraise for good cause


Jet skier will take to Lake Michigan to fundraise for good cause – CBS Chicago

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Frank Giannelli plans to cross 100 miles of open water from Chicago to Saugatuck, Michigan, to raise money for Get Behind The Vest.

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Michigan voters unmoved by Trump shooting, liberal pollster finds in new swing-state poll

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Michigan voters unmoved by Trump shooting, liberal pollster finds in new swing-state poll


DETROIT — Former President Donald Trump did not gain many sympathy votes in Michigan after being shot, according to a new survey from a Democratic pollster.

Public Policy Polling, a Democrat-affiliated firm, canvassed 731 Great Lakes State voters July 16 to 17 for liberal group Progress Michigan and included it in its Lake Effect newsletter, a monthly offering that “tracks public opinion about a variety of issues and political figures.”

One poll question: “This past weekend, there was an attempted shooting of former President Donald Trump at a rally. No matter how you were planning to vote in the presidential election in November, does the attempted shooting of former President Trump change how you were planning to vote, or not?”

Former President Donald Trump greets attendees upon arrival at his campaign rally at the Bojangles Coliseum on July 24, 2024 in Charlotte, North Carolina. Getty Images

Only 5% of people said yes. The vast majority, 93%, said no, and 2% said they weren’t sure.

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When Progress Michigan listed its key takeaways from the polling, the Trump question was not one of them.

Michael Traugott, University of Michigan Center for Political Studies emeritus research professor of political studies, said he was not surprised by the meager Trump bump. In a polarized environment, committed voters tend to stick with their parties, he said.

‘We’re in a period of very high political polarization, and the importance of party identification as a predictor of the vote has has been increasing recently,” Traugott told The Post. “If you were to look at the data from the 2020, exit polls, about 95% of Democrats voted for Joe Biden and about 95% of Republicans voted for Donald Trump. I think it’s pretty standard data.”

Where Trump was mentioned in the polling takeaways, it was related to a recent US Supreme Court decision that found presidents are immune from prosecution for “official acts.”

That ruling unraveled a federal case against Trump for his alleged mishandling of classified documents.

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Donald Trump rally shooting
An overwhelming number of respondents, 93%, answered the shooting did not change how they were “planning to vote,” according to the poll. REUTERS

Polling on the immunity ruling was split. Some 54% of people opposed it, while 38% supported it. The polling cohort tilted left.

While 39% of people polled were Democrats, only 32% were Republicans. Independents were 29% of the group.

By comparison, Democrats hold the Michigan House with a 56-54 edge, and the state Senate with a 20-18 edge. Real life is a much more even split.

Forty-nine percent of people took the poll via text and 51% on landline phones. Forty percent of those polled came from union families. Forty-nine percent voted for Biden in 2020, while 46% voted for Trump. Only 5% voted for someone else or did not vote.

Progress Michigan and Public Policy Polling did not respond to requests for comment.

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