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Mizzou Football: Iowa Hawkeyes Preview

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Mizzou Football: Iowa Hawkeyes Preview


The last time Missouri played Iowa, future NFL 1st round quarterback Blaine Gabbert was driving Missouri late in the game until he threw game-sealing pick six to future Buffalo Bill Micah Hyde.

It’s been 14 years since the Tigers played Missouri’s Hat, and during that time Iowa has been fairly consistent if not uninspiring: some of the worst offenses you’ve ever seen paired with the most effective defenses on the planet. All they do is beat teams they should beat and play the most boring brand of football you can think of. But, hey, it works!

And now, Missouri – minus its best athlete and lineman on offense – goes up against yet another elite-tier Iowa defense and a lackluster offense that struggles to do even the most basic stuff consistently well. Should be…fun?

When Missouri Has the Ball

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Missouri’s Offense vs. Iowa’s Defense

When a defense is 6th in the nation in SP+ there’s very few things that they struggle with. And, in particular with the Hawkeyes, they are the most basic bitch defense you can think of: no big plays allowed, mediocre havoc, one of the most accurate tacklers in the country, and one of the more effective scoring defenses out there. It’s going to be zero fun watching an underwhelming Mizzou offense with several weeks off try to restart the offense against these eleven defenders.

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Run the Ball

Arkansas v Missouri

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Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images

Usually, Iowa has supremely stout run defenses but that isn’t the case this year. The Hawkeyes rank a shocking 106th in rushing success rate allowed, as well as 119th in opponent’s opportunity rate. We all know that Mizzou would prefer to run the ball 50 times per game and this is the group that will let them do it. The Tigers should shoot for at least a 48% rushing success rate.

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Arkansas v Missouri

Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images

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Iowa’s defense in standard downs: 74th. Iowa’s defense in passing downs: 42nd. But considering that Iowa pass defense ranks 30th overall it would be best to avoid all obvious passing down situations and keep the Hawkeyes guessing. A 45% standard downs success rate should suffice.

Finish Your Dang Drives

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Missouri quarterback Brady Cook (12) runs for a touchdown in the fourth quarter of a game against Arkansas on Saturday, Nov. 30, 2024, at Faurot Field. (CAL TOBIAS/ROCK M NATION)

This will be the second straight stingy scoring defense Missouri will see, and Mizzou was able to crack open Arkansas’ stranglehold inside the 40 in their matchup this year. Iowa, on the other hand, comes into this game with a mere 3.7 points allowed per opportunity, almost right where Arkansas was. Missouri has scored at least 20 points in every victory this year and Iowa has allowed at least 20 points in every loss so let’s start there: 6 scoring opportunities at 3.5 points per opportunity for a total of 21.

When Iowa Has the Ball

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Missouri’s Defense vs. Iowa’s Offense

With two quarterbacks and one of the best running backs in the country missing this game, Iowa’s already anemic offense will be sputtering with backups at the key positions on offense. Missouri hasn’t been nearly as stout defensively as the year has gone on but should see a renaissance against a bad unit with backups.

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Keyword: should.

Stop the Run

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Missouri linebacker Triston Newson (14) tackles Arkansas tight end Luke Hasz (9) on Saturday, Nov. 30, 2024 at Faurot Field in Columbia. (MICHAEL BANIEWICZ/ROCK M NATION)

Iowa isn’t very good at running the ball but they are 5th in the nation in run rates on standard downs with a 73% chance of running the ball in that situation. They also rank 52 in running the ball in passing downs (35%). Stop the run -> make them pass -> profit. I’d like to see Iowa’s rushing success at 40% or less.

Turnovers!

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Missouri defensive linemen Johnny Walker Jr. (15) and Chris McClellan (7) celebrate recovering an Arkansas fumble after the end of a game against Arkansas on Saturday, Nov. 30, 2024, at Faurot Field. (CAL TOBIAS/ROCK M NATION)

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Given the amount of fumbles and types of passes batted around, Iowa should have turned the ball over 10.7 times and, in reality, they’ve had 11 turnovers, so they’re right on track. But Iowa’s defense should have had 19.6 turnovers while in reality they’ve grabbed 24. So the Hawkeye’s have benefited from a little bit of luck and an opportunistic defense…and Mizzou’s defense is going to need to flip the script. Mizzou’s defense has been good at taking advantage when the opportunity presents itself and they need to ride that to a +2 in the turnover department.

Conclusion

Iowa is a more extreme version of Missouri which means this game could go very quick and be very boring. Mizzou’s penchant for waiting until the 4th quarter to score points would be a very bad idea against this type of opponent, but Iowa’s offense could be so ineffective that it might not matter. Hopefully we’re pleasantly surprised by an entertaining game because this has all the makings of a snoozer of a low-scoring result.



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Iowa nonprofit worries about meeting Thanksgiving meal demand amid SNAP funding concerns

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Iowa nonprofit worries about meeting Thanksgiving meal demand amid SNAP funding concerns


CEDAR RAPIDS, Iowa (KCRG) – A local nonprofit that provides Thanksgiving meals to families in need says it might not be able to fill all requests this year due to concerns about SNAP benefit funding during the government shutdown.

The Iowa Giving Crew has distributed Thanksgiving dinners since 2017. This year, the organization plans to distribute 2,500 meals, surpassing its previous record of 2,000, and is expanding its coverage area to include the Quad Cities.

“People don’t always humanize that, and you know, it’s really hard to share that story,” said Danielle Monthei, fundraising director for Iowa Giving Crew.

Monthei said she understands food insecurity firsthand, having been raised by a single mother who relied on SNAP benefits.

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“She worked really, really hard. The benefits that we were given were really necessary for us,” Monthei said.

The nonprofit loads boxes with everything families need for a home-cooked Thanksgiving dinner. With SNAP benefits not being funded during the government shutdown, organizers worry more people will need assistance this year.

“What I think some of us feel the void we are trying to fill is food insecurity in general, whereas ‘Operation Give Birds’ is to create the Thanksgiving experience,” Monthei said.

The organization’s Operation Give Birds program typically focuses on providing Thanksgiving extras while families use their regular benefits for everyday groceries. But the current funding situation could change that dynamic.

People can start signing up on Thursday to receive Thanksgiving meals through the Operation Give Birds website or Facebook page. The program serves the areas of Cedar Rapids, Iowa City, Waterloo, Dubuque, and Davenport.

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“When people have access to their benefits, they can only worry about Thanksgiving,” Monthei said.

With Congress moving forward to reopen the government, Monthei said she hopes public support will help meet grocery needs so Operation Give Birds can focus on holiday extras.



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Iowa State Cyclones Rightfully See Significant Rise in Power Rankings Following Win

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Iowa State Cyclones Rightfully See Significant Rise in Power Rankings Following Win


The Iowa State Cyclones were able to finally snap their four-game losing streak in a shocking upset win over the TCU Horned Frogs. 

Coming into the game, there really wasn’t any reason to believe that the Cyclones could have gone on the road and pulled off an upset based on how they were playing. Furthermore, considering how they looked in the game, it was even more shocking to see the final outcome. 

Offensively, the team really didn’t have much in this one. Carson Hansen was able to eclipse 100 rushing yards, but it wasn’t easy. The Horned Frogs limited him to under four yards per carry, and they made him earn everything. 

Due to another poor performance by Rocco Becht, it was shocking to see the team be able to go on the road and win this one. Fortunately, the defense and special teams were able to make some big plays to help secure the win. With the victory, Iowa State was once again able to receive a positive bump in how they are viewed nationally. 

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Chris Vannini of The Athletic (subscription required wrote about the Cyclones rising significantly in their power rankings following an upset win. Following Week 11, they moved up from 48th to 39th. 

Iowa State Cyclones' running back Carson Hansen

Nirmalendu Majumdar/Ames Tribune / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

After free-falling in the power rankings the last few weeks, it was good to see the Cyclones move up into the Top 40. If they had lost to TCU, they very well could have been outside of the Top 50, looking in on their bye week. 

With injuries once again being an issue for the team, the bye week will hopefully help get some of their defensive players back for the final two games of the year. Even though they might not be able to compete for a Big 12 title, winning the last two games would bring them to a very respectable 8-4 regular-season record. 

While that might be a disappointment based on the preseason expectations for the program, a few move wins would make the year feel a lot better. Furthermore, even though some of their goals may have been altered, two more wins might be able to get them back to near the Top 25, which would be a nice accomplishment. 

Hopefully, the team will get healthy and work on some things during the bye week to improve going forward. Despite the win and the move up in the power rankings, it wasn’t an overly strong performance. 

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Matt Campbell Calls Iowa State Cyclones Defender Best in Big 12 Right Now

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Matt Campbell Calls Iowa State Cyclones Defender Best in Big 12 Right Now


The Iowa State Cyclones were mired in a brutal slump over the last few weeks. After starting the season 5-0, they had lost four consecutive games, sending their season into an ugly spiral.

Heading into their Week 11 matchup against the TCU Horned Frogs, expectations were very low. It is hard to blame any fans who weren’t bullish on their chances of winning, especially with their recent form.

However, the Cyclones overcame the odds, picking up an impressive come-from-behind victory. Trailing 20-6 in the fourth quarter with 13:30 remaining in the game, Iowa State scored the final two touchdowns of the game to win 20-17.

It wasn’t pretty, but the Cyclones ultimately ended their four-game losing streak, becoming bowl eligible in the process. There were a few standout performers in the game, but linebacker Kooper Ebel really stood out.

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Kooper Ebe

Lily Smith/The Register / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

One of the best players on the team, head coach Matt Campbell had nothing but praise for his junior linebacker’s performance against TCU.

“If you’d been missing Kooper Ebel the last four weeks, I don’t know if there’s a better defensive player in the Big 12 right now than him,” Campbell said, via Alec Busse of Cyclone Alert, part of the 247Sports Network (subscription required). “He’s playing with an elite accelerated vision. He’s playing with unbelievable toughness. He leads. He never comes out of the game. When you need to make a play, that guy is there to make a play.”

Ebel led the team with 11 combined tackles on Saturday afternoon, including one tackle for loss. He helps set the tone for the Iowa State defense, being all over the field, making plays, whether it is against the run or the pass.

There are a lot of great defensive players in the Big 12, so Campbell’s calling his linebacker the best player on that side of the ball in the conference is major praise.

Kooper Ebe

Nirmalendu Majumdar/Ames Tribune / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

In the nine games heading into the matchup with the Horned Frogs, Ebel had recorded 51 total tackles, 4.0 of which were for a loss, with 1.0 sacks and one pass defended.

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He is second on the team in tackles, behind only safety Marcus Neal, who has 70. His 5.0 tackles for loss are the third most, behind only Neal, with 9.0, and fellow linebacker Caleb Bacon, who has 6.5.

Ebel is one of seven players with at least one full sack for the Cyclones’ defense this year, and one of six with a forced fumble, as well.

That kind of production has been crucial to Iowa State’s success on that side of the ball this year.



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