Finance
Trump’s Social Security tax break could make two fragile safety nets even weaker
Donald Trump’s call to exempt Social Security benefits from income taxes may offer an alluring political sound bite.
But the move would undermine not just one critical safety net for seniors, but two.
Trump’s plan is expected to exhaust the reserve funds for both Social Security and Medicare faster than anticipated, according to tax policy experts.
That would saddle seniors with an even bigger cut in Social Security benefits than currently estimated and throw a healthcare program that covers 67 million into chaos. Taxes on Social Security payouts help fund Medicare’s hospital coverage.
The plan would also add $1.6 trillion over 10 years to the country’s budget deficit with few economic gains, these experts said.
“It’s not setting the entitlements up for success and it’s not putting our budget in a good position,” Garrett Watson, a senior policy analyst and modeling manager at the nonpartisan Tax Foundation, told Yahoo Finance.
The proposal has both the Tax Foundation and the Center for American Progress, which often are on opposite sides of tax policy, warning of the potential consequences.
“If smart analysts on the left and smart analysts on the right of the tax policy don’t think it’s a good idea, that certainly tells you something,” Brendan Duke, senior director for economic policy at the left-leaning Center for American Progress Action Fund, told Yahoo Finance.
“It’s probably not a good idea.”
‘Bottom half are losers’
Trump, the Republican presidential candidate, first floated the idea late last month at a rally in Harrisburg, Pa., vowing that “seniors should not pay taxes on Social Security and they won’t,” without offering further details.
On Wednesday, Trump stood by a banner that read “No tax on Social Security” at a campaign rally in Asheville, N.C., calling the tax a “cruel double taxation.”
As it stands now, about 40% of seniors must pay federal income taxes on their Social Security benefits. The tax is progressive, meaning those with the lowest incomes aren’t taxed, while wealthier seniors with substantial income outside of their benefits are.
Exempting benefits from income taxes would provide an effective 44% benefit increase for seniors with the highest incomes, a 6% increase for middle-income ones, and no increase for most in the bottom half, according to Marc Goldwein, a senior policy director for the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget.
That’s before Social Security runs into trouble.
The tax seniors pay on their Social Security benefits also goes directly into funding the trust fund that supports the social program. Eliminating those taxes accelerates when the reserves for Social Security run out.
Currently, Social Security’s reserves are expected to be exhausted by 2035, at which point benefits will get cut by 21%. If Trump’s proposal is enacted, those reserves are estimated to run dry by 2033 and benefits would be slashed by 25%.
Even with the benefits cut, wealthier seniors come out slightly ahead with the tax break, pocketing a 9% increase, per Goldwein.
That’s not the case for lower-earning Social Security beneficiaries who would see their benefits reduced by a quarter with no tax break.
“The bottom half are losers,” Watson said.
Overall, the plan would water down what is considered the biggest anti-poverty program in the United States.
“There is no world where this does not increase the elderly poverty rate,” Duke said.
‘That’s actually pretty scary’
Trump’s plan would also empty out the reserves that Medicare uses for hospital coverage — known as Medicare Part A — sooner than anticipated.
Right now, that fund is expected to run out in 2036. That moves up to 2030 under Trump’s plan, according to Watson.
The Medicare trustees have said the fund’s insolvency could first cause delays in payments to health plans and providers of hospital services. Additionally, seniors’ “access to health care services could rapidly be curtailed.”
“Nobody actually knows what happens when Medicare runs out of money,” Duke said. “And that’s actually pretty scary.”
‘Mechanically add to the budget deficit’
The implications for the federal deficit are also sizable.
Not taxing seniors’ benefits means $1.6 trillion in total revenue would not go to the trust funds that support Social Security and Medicare from 2024 to 2033, according to calculations using data from the most recent Social Security and Medicare trustees reports.
“This would mechanically add to the budget deficit and go in the wrong direction in solving that problem,” Watson added.
There would be very little economic return from the proposal, too, Watson found.
The country’s long-run gross domestic product would increase by 0.1%, while the economy would add around 64,000 full-time jobs. Wages would tick up by less than 0.05%.
“The intent [of the proposal] is trying to protect seniors who are operating on fixed incomes from inflation and provide more relief by not taxing it,” Watson said. “But if it’s done without offsets, it weakens the very entitlements they’re trying to protect.”
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Janna Herron is a Senior Columnist at Yahoo Finance. Follow her on X @JannaHerron.
Finance
By the Numbers: Financial report reveals scale of financial costs, growth
Following a year marked by financial turbulence, Northwestern’s financial report for fiscal year 2025 revealed the University’s struggles and growth as they navigated a tumultuous landscape in higher education.
The latest report detailed fiscal year 2025, which began Sept. 1, 2024 and ended Aug. 31, 2025. It did not include the University’s stipulated $75 million payment to the federal government, which was part of the agreement struck in November 2025.
According to the University’s 2025 financial report, net assets sit at $16.2 billion, up from 2024’s $15.6 billion. However, the University spent almost $148 million more than it brought in during fiscal year 2025.
In the last five fiscal years, the University has increased steadily in operating costs for assets without donor restrictions.
Year-to-year increases in operating costs hovered around 10% in the past five fiscal years. Simultaneously, revenue growth has decreased year to year, from 12.8% between 2021 to 2022 to only 3.9% between 2024 to 2025.
Amanda Distel, NU’s chief financial officer, identified “rising benefits expenses, litigation, new labor contracts, and rapidly unfolding federal actions” as key challenges in fiscal year 2025 in the report.
Before the deal, NU invested between $30 to $40 million each month to sustain research impacted by the federal freeze, interim President Henry Bienen confirmed in an Oct. 24 interview with The Daily.
In an attempt to reduce costs, the University announced a switch in July to UnitedHealthcare from Blue Cross Blue Shield as the University’s employee health care administrator, effective Jan. 1. However, faculty and staff have reported increased out-of-pocket costs for certain services like mental health care.
Financial aid increased from $618.3 million in fiscal 2024 to $638.3 million in fiscal year 2025. Among undergraduate students in the 2024-25 school year, 15% are first-generation college students and 22% receive federal Pell Grants. According to the report, most families earning less than $70,000 per year attend at no cost, and most families earning less than $150,000 per year attend tuition-free.
Tuition is the second largest source of revenue behind grants and contracts. By the end of the fiscal year, the University held $778 million in outstanding conditional awards, an increase from fiscal 2024’s $713.5 million, according to the report.
Distel wrote that the number of gift commitments above $100,000 reached its highest in University history, calling it a “strong year of philanthropic support.”
Donor funds are categorized by whether or not restrictions were imposed on the time, use or nature of the donation. In fiscal 2025, University net assets without donor restrictions totaled $9.59 billion, or 59.1%, while net assets with donor restrictions totaled $6.65 billion, or 40.9%, of total net assets.
The University’s investment in construction efforts saw an immense uptick from $275.2 million in fiscal 2024 to $750.5 million in fiscal 2025.
This cost is spread across multiple projects, such as Ryan Field, which started construction in 2024 and is slated to open October 2026. The project operates with a $862 million budget, including a $480 million contribution from the Ryan family.
The Ann McIlrath Drake Executive Center, Cohen Lawn and Jacobs Center renovations also continued during the fiscal year.
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Related Stories:
— The Daily Explains: How does Northwestern spend its money?
— Northwestern NIH, NSF grant cessations total more than $1 billion
— Northwestern announces 3.3% tuition increase ahead of 2025-26 academic year
Finance
When should kids start learning about money? Advice from local financial advisor
REDMOND, Wash. — When should kids start learning about money, and preparing for adult expenses like rent, car payments, and insurance?
It’s a question asked recently by an ARC Seattle viewer.
We took the question to Adam Powell, Financial Advisor at Private Advisory Group in Redmond. Powell talked with ARC Seattle co-anchor Steve McCarron to share insights on the right age to form money habits, common financial mistakes parents unknowingly pass down to their children, and practical tips to set kids up for long-term financial success.
Find more ARC Seattle stories on our YouTube page.
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Finance
Soft-saving era? Gen-Z embraces new financial trend that puts experiences over long-term planning
LOS ANGELES (KABC) — Many Gen-Zers are adopting a financial approach that prioritizes quality of life in the present, a trend that’s being called “soft saving.”
Bob Wheeler, a CPA, described the mindset as a shift in how young adults balance their current lifestyle with longterm planning.
“It’s really a financial approach of ‘I want to make sure I have a good quality of life, and I’m thinking about the future,’ but not as much as the present,” Wheeler said.
For many Gen Z consumers, that can mean spending more on experiences – like vacations or concerts – rather than saving for major purchases like a car or home.
Wheeler said the approach can offer emotional benefits.
“I think there are definitely benefits, I mean, less anxiety, feeling like life is what you want it to be, fulfillment, versus saving for later on,” he said.
Still, financial experts caution against ignoring longterm stability. Wheeler encouraged young workers to take advantage of employer-sponsored retirement plans.
“They’re not going to do the max. They’re going to do enough to make sure they’re getting the match from your employer, so maybe they’re doing 3% or 5%. Maybe they’re not maxing out their IRAs. Maybe they’re doing $2,500,” he said.
He also stressed the importance of building an emergency fund, typically enough to cover six months of expenses.
“I want people to enjoy their life now because tomorrow is not promised,” Wheeler said. “I also just really reiterate to them ‘and you need to have some money set aside because we don’t know.’”
But saving for a home may not be practical for everyone. In some places, renting can be cheaper, and tenants avoid maintenance costs.
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