Connect with us

Finance

This week in Bidenomics: Kamalanomics looks better

Published

on

This week in Bidenomics: Kamalanomics looks better

After the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by half a point on Sept. 18, President Biden called the move a “declaration of progress.” Inflation isn’t yet whipped, but victory is coming into view.

There’s some other progress that’s important for Democrats. Voters and investors are warming to Vice President Kamala Harris’s economic plan as the Democratic presidential nominee and her Republican opponent, Donald Trump, enter the home stretch of the campaign. Even better for Harris, voters seem to blame her less than Biden for the high inflation of the last three years, which sent Biden’s approval rating into an unrecoverable nose dive.

The Financial Times has now conducted two monthly polls in a row in which voters say they trust Harris more than Trump to handle the economy. When Biden was still in the race, Trump beat him handily on the economy. But Harris inched ahead of Trump in August and expanded that lead slightly in September.

That FT poll looked like an outlier back in August, but other data now shows Harris drawing even with Trump on the economy. The latest Morning Consult poll finds 46% of voters trust both Harris and Trump on the economy. On issues such as the cost of living, housing affordability, and jobs, Harris’s approval rating exceeds Biden’s by 25 percentage points or more. That’s a startling shift, given that Harris’s policies are quite similar to Biden’s and she is, after all, the incumbent.

Read more: What the 2024 campaign means for your wallet: The Yahoo Finance guide to the presidential election

Advertisement

In a recent Quinnipiac poll of swing states, voters in the crucial state of Pennsylvania rate Harris higher than Trump on the economy by two points. She’s two points behind on the economy in Michigan and four points behind in Wisconsin, yet once again, she’s closing a large gap. In University of Michigan surveys, 41% say Harris would be better for the economy, while 38% say Trump would be better, and 15% think it won’t make any difference.

Finally, in monthly surveys of business executives by Oxford Economics, a Trump presidency ranks as the top geopolitical concern during the next year. Worries about the adverse effects of a Trump presidency have climbed for three months in a row, with 43% of respondents now saying another Trump presidential term would pose a significant risk to the global economy. That’s largely because of Trump’s promise to enact sweeping tariffs and deport millions of working migrants. A Harris presidency doesn’t register as a geopolitical risk, as it would, in many ways, represent a continuation of the status quo.

Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris listens as she joins Oprah Winfrey at Oprah's Unite for America Live Streaming event Thursday, Sept. 19, 2024 in Farmington Hills, Mich. (AP Photo/Paul Sancya)

Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris listens as she joins Oprah Winfrey at Oprah’s Unite for America Live Streaming event Thursday, Sept. 19, 2024 in Farmington Hills, Mich. (AP Photo/Paul Sancya) (ASSOCIATED PRESS)

These improving views of a Harris economy and dimming views of a Trump economy aren’t happening in a vacuum. Forecasting firms such as Goldman Sachs crunched the numbers and concluded that Harris’s policies would be better for economic growth than Trump’s. Those types of analyses typically assume each candidate can get Congress to fully enact favored policies by passing legislation, which isn’t always realistic. Yet Trump’s most concerning economic policies — tariffs and deportation — are things he could do largely without congressional approval. Harris’s most disruptive policies — a higher corporate tax rate and a new wealth tax, for instance — would only be possible under a Democratic sweep of Congress and the White House, which seems unlikely.

Read more: Trump vs. Harris: 4 ways the next president could impact your bank accounts

Advertisement

Harris, meanwhile, has focused heavily on pocketbook issues such as more affordable housing, healthcare, and childcare. The Morning Consult survey found such policies to be highly popular, and it also found that voters broadly associate those policies with Harris. Trump has few specific ideas for lowering everyday costs.

Drop Rick Newman a note, follow him on X, or sign up for his newsletter.

None of this means Harris is cruising to victory. The race remains incredibly close, with the final electoral vote tally likely to come down to small pockets of swing voters in six or seven states. In the Michigan surveys, independent voters seem to favor Trump on the economy, which could spell trouble for Harris among the late-breaking swing voters she’ll need to win.

What Harris seems to be doing, however, is neutralizing what was once Trump’s biggest advantage. As ever, the economy is the top issue for voters, and when Biden was the Democratic candidate, Trump’s edge on the economy was beginning to look indomitable. Before Biden withdrew in July, betting markets gave Trump 66% odds of winning and Biden just 18%, with Harris and other potential Biden replacements making up most of the rest.

The same betting markets now give Harris 52% odds of winning, and Trump 47% odds. That says more about momentum than the actual likelihood of winning, but at the moment, you’d rather have Harris’s mojo than Trump’s. It’s too early for Harris to declare victory, but a declaration of progress would be fitting.

Advertisement

Rick Newman is a senior columnist for Yahoo Finance. Follow him on X at @rickjnewman.

Click here for political news related to business and money policies that will shape tomorrow’s stock prices.

Read the latest financial and business news from Yahoo Finance

Advertisement

Finance

Will Trump’s US$200 Billion MBS Purchase Directive Reshape Federal National Mortgage Association’s (FNMA) Core Narrative?

Published

on

Will Trump’s US0 Billion MBS Purchase Directive Reshape Federal National Mortgage Association’s (FNMA) Core Narrative?
In early January 2026, President Donald Trump directed government representatives, widely understood to include Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, to purchase US$200 billion in mortgage-backed securities to push mortgage rates and monthly payments lower. Beyond its housing affordability goal, the move highlights how heavily the administration is leaning on government-sponsored enterprises like Fannie Mae to influence credit conditions and the mortgage market’s structure. With this large-scale…
Continue Reading

Finance

Holyoke City Council sends finance overhaul plan to committee for review

Published

on

Holyoke City Council sends finance overhaul plan to committee for review

HOLYOKE — The City Council has advanced plans to create a finance and administration department, voting to send proposed changes to a subcommittee for further review.

The move follows guidance from the state Division of Local Services aimed at strengthening the city’s internal cash controls, defining clear lines of accountability, and making sure staff have the appropriate education and skill level for their financial roles.

On Tuesday, Councilor Meg Magrath-Smith, who filed the order, said the council needed to change some wording about qualifications based on advice from the human resources department before sending it to the ordinance committee for review.

The committee will discuss and vote on the matter before it can head back to the full City Council for a vote. It meets next Tuesday. The next council meeting is scheduled for Jan. 20.

On Monday, Mayor Joshua Garcia said in his inaugural address that he plans to continue advancing his Municipal Finance Modernization Act.

Advertisement

Last spring, Garcia introduced two budget plans: one showing the current $180 million cost of running the city, and another projecting savings if Holyoke adopted the finance act.

Key proposed changes include realigning departments to meet modern needs, renaming positions and reassigning duties, fixing problems found in decades of audits, and using technology to improve workflow and service.

Garcia said the plan aims to also make government more efficient and accountable by boosting oversight of the mayor and finance departments, requiring audits of all city functions, enforcing penalties for policy violations, and adding fraud protections with stronger reporting.

Other steps included changing the city treasurer from an elected to an appointed position, a measure approved in a special election last January.

Additionally, the city would adopt a financial management policies manual, create a consolidated Finance Department and hire a chief administrative and financial officer to handle forecasting, capital planning and informed decision-making.

Advertisement

Garcia said that the state has suggested creating the CAFO position for almost 20 years and called on the City Council to pass the reform before the end of this fiscal year, so that it can be in place by July 1.

In a previous interview, City Council President Tessa Murphy-Romboletti said nine votes were needed to adopt the financial reform.

She also said past problems stemmed from a lack of proper systems and checks, an issue the city has dealt with since the 1970s.

The mayor would choose this officer, and the City Council will approve the appointment, she said.

In October, the City Council narrowly rejected the finance act in an 8-5 vote.

Advertisement

Supporters ― Michael Sullivan, Israel Rivera, Jenny Rivera, Murphy-Romboletti, Anderson Burgos, former Councilor Kocayne Givner, Patti Devine and Magrath-Smith ― said the city needs modernization and greater transparency.

Opponents ― Howard Greaney Jr., Linda Vacon, former Councilors David Bartley, Kevin Jourdain and Carmen Ocasio — said a qualified treasurer should be appointed first.

Vacon said then the treasurer’s office was “a mess,” and that the city should “fix” one department before “mixing it with another.”

The City Council also clashed over fixes, as the state stopped sending millions in monthly aid because the city hadn’t finished basic financial paperwork for three years.

The main problem came from delays in financial reports from the treasurer’s office.

Advertisement

Holyoke had a history of late filings. For six of the past eight years, the city delayed its required annual financial report, and five times in the past, the state withheld aid.

Council disputes over job descriptions, salaries and reforms also stalled progress.

In November, millions in state aid began flowing back to Holyoke after the city made some progress in closing out its books.

The state had withheld nearly $29 million for four months but even with aid restored, Holyoke still faces big financial problems, the Division of Local Services said.

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Finance

Military Troops and Retirees: Here’s the First Financial Step to Take in 2026

Published

on

Military Troops and Retirees: Here’s the First Financial Step to Take in 2026

Editor’s note: This is the fourth installment of New Year, New You, a weeklong look at your financial health headed into 2026. 

You get your W-2 in January and realize you either owe thousands in taxes or get a massive refund. Both mean your withholding was wrong all year.

Most service members set their tax withholding once during in-processing and never look at it again. Life changes. You get married, have kids, buy a house or pick up a second job. Your tax situation changes, but your withholding stays the same.

Adjusting your withholding takes five minutes and can save you from owing the IRS or giving the government an interest-free loan all year.

Use the IRS Tax Withholding Estimator First

Before changing anything, run your numbers through the IRS Tax Withholding Estimator at www.irs.gov/individuals/tax-withholding-estimator. The calculator asks about your filing status, income, current withholding, deductions and credits. It tells you whether you need to adjust.

Advertisement

The calculator considers multiple jobs, spouse income and other factors that affect your tax bill. Running it takes about 10 minutes and prevents you from withholding too much or too little.

Read More: The Cost of Skipping Sick Call: How Active-Duty Service Members Can Protect Future VA Claims

Changing Withholding in myPay (Most Services)

Army, Navy, Air Force, Space Force and Marine Corps members use myPay at mypay.dfas.mil. Log in and click Federal Withholding. Click the yellow pencil icon to edit.

The page lets you enter information about multiple jobs, change dependents, add additional income, make deductions or withhold extra tax. You can see when the changes take effect on the blue bar at the top of the page.

Changes typically show up on your next pay statement. If you make changes early in the month, they might appear on your mid-month paycheck. If you make them later, expect them on the end-of-month check.

Advertisement

State tax withholding works differently. DFAS can only withhold for states with signed agreements. Changes require submitting DD Form 2866 through myPay or by mail. Not all states allow DFAS to withhold state tax.

Changing Withholding in Direct Access (Coast Guard)

Coast Guard members use Direct Access at hcm.direct-access.uscg.mil. The system processes changes the same way as myPay. Log in, navigate to tax withholding and update your information.

Coast Guard members can also submit written requests using IRS Form W-4. Mail completed forms to the Pay and Personnel Center in Topeka, Kansas, or submit them through your Personnel and Administration office.

Read More: Here’s Why January Is the Best Time to File Your VA Disability Claim

When to Adjust Withholding

Check your withholding when major life events happen. Marriage or divorce changes your filing status. Having kids adds dependents. Buying a house affects deductions. A spouse starting or stopping work changes household income.

Advertisement

Military-specific events matter, too. Deploying to a combat zone makes some pay tax-free. PCS moves change state tax situations. Separation from service means losing military income but potentially gaining civilian income.

Check at the start of each year, even if your circumstances seemingly stayed the same. Tax laws change. Brackets adjust for inflation. Your situation might be different even if it seems the same.

The Balance

Withholding too little means owing taxes in April plus potential penalties. Withholding too much means getting a refund but losing access to that money all year.

Some people like big refunds and treat it like forced savings. Others would rather have the money in each paycheck to pay bills, invest or set aside in normal savings.

Neither approach is wrong. What matters is that your withholding matches your tax situation and your preference for how you receive your money.

Advertisement

Run the estimator. Adjust your withholding. Check it annually. This simple process prevents tax surprises.

Previously In This series:

Part 1: 2026 Guide to Pay and Allowances for Military Service Members, Veterans and Retirees

Part 2: Understanding All the Deductions on Your 2026 Military Leave and Earnings Statements

Part 3: Should You Let the Military Set Aside Allotments from Your Pay?

Part 4: This Is the Best Thing to Do With Your 2026 Military Pay Raise

Advertisement

Stay on Top of Your Veteran Benefits

Military benefits are always changing. Keep up with everything from pay to health care by subscribing to Military.com, and get access to up-to-date pay charts and more with all latest benefits delivered straight to your inbox.

Story Continues

Continue Reading

Trending