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This week in Bidenomics: Kamalanomics looks better

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This week in Bidenomics: Kamalanomics looks better

After the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by half a point on Sept. 18, President Biden called the move a “declaration of progress.” Inflation isn’t yet whipped, but victory is coming into view.

There’s some other progress that’s important for Democrats. Voters and investors are warming to Vice President Kamala Harris’s economic plan as the Democratic presidential nominee and her Republican opponent, Donald Trump, enter the home stretch of the campaign. Even better for Harris, voters seem to blame her less than Biden for the high inflation of the last three years, which sent Biden’s approval rating into an unrecoverable nose dive.

The Financial Times has now conducted two monthly polls in a row in which voters say they trust Harris more than Trump to handle the economy. When Biden was still in the race, Trump beat him handily on the economy. But Harris inched ahead of Trump in August and expanded that lead slightly in September.

That FT poll looked like an outlier back in August, but other data now shows Harris drawing even with Trump on the economy. The latest Morning Consult poll finds 46% of voters trust both Harris and Trump on the economy. On issues such as the cost of living, housing affordability, and jobs, Harris’s approval rating exceeds Biden’s by 25 percentage points or more. That’s a startling shift, given that Harris’s policies are quite similar to Biden’s and she is, after all, the incumbent.

Read more: What the 2024 campaign means for your wallet: The Yahoo Finance guide to the presidential election

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In a recent Quinnipiac poll of swing states, voters in the crucial state of Pennsylvania rate Harris higher than Trump on the economy by two points. She’s two points behind on the economy in Michigan and four points behind in Wisconsin, yet once again, she’s closing a large gap. In University of Michigan surveys, 41% say Harris would be better for the economy, while 38% say Trump would be better, and 15% think it won’t make any difference.

Finally, in monthly surveys of business executives by Oxford Economics, a Trump presidency ranks as the top geopolitical concern during the next year. Worries about the adverse effects of a Trump presidency have climbed for three months in a row, with 43% of respondents now saying another Trump presidential term would pose a significant risk to the global economy. That’s largely because of Trump’s promise to enact sweeping tariffs and deport millions of working migrants. A Harris presidency doesn’t register as a geopolitical risk, as it would, in many ways, represent a continuation of the status quo.

Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris listens as she joins Oprah Winfrey at Oprah's Unite for America Live Streaming event Thursday, Sept. 19, 2024 in Farmington Hills, Mich. (AP Photo/Paul Sancya)

Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris listens as she joins Oprah Winfrey at Oprah’s Unite for America Live Streaming event Thursday, Sept. 19, 2024 in Farmington Hills, Mich. (AP Photo/Paul Sancya) (ASSOCIATED PRESS)

These improving views of a Harris economy and dimming views of a Trump economy aren’t happening in a vacuum. Forecasting firms such as Goldman Sachs crunched the numbers and concluded that Harris’s policies would be better for economic growth than Trump’s. Those types of analyses typically assume each candidate can get Congress to fully enact favored policies by passing legislation, which isn’t always realistic. Yet Trump’s most concerning economic policies — tariffs and deportation — are things he could do largely without congressional approval. Harris’s most disruptive policies — a higher corporate tax rate and a new wealth tax, for instance — would only be possible under a Democratic sweep of Congress and the White House, which seems unlikely.

Read more: Trump vs. Harris: 4 ways the next president could impact your bank accounts

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Harris, meanwhile, has focused heavily on pocketbook issues such as more affordable housing, healthcare, and childcare. The Morning Consult survey found such policies to be highly popular, and it also found that voters broadly associate those policies with Harris. Trump has few specific ideas for lowering everyday costs.

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None of this means Harris is cruising to victory. The race remains incredibly close, with the final electoral vote tally likely to come down to small pockets of swing voters in six or seven states. In the Michigan surveys, independent voters seem to favor Trump on the economy, which could spell trouble for Harris among the late-breaking swing voters she’ll need to win.

What Harris seems to be doing, however, is neutralizing what was once Trump’s biggest advantage. As ever, the economy is the top issue for voters, and when Biden was the Democratic candidate, Trump’s edge on the economy was beginning to look indomitable. Before Biden withdrew in July, betting markets gave Trump 66% odds of winning and Biden just 18%, with Harris and other potential Biden replacements making up most of the rest.

The same betting markets now give Harris 52% odds of winning, and Trump 47% odds. That says more about momentum than the actual likelihood of winning, but at the moment, you’d rather have Harris’s mojo than Trump’s. It’s too early for Harris to declare victory, but a declaration of progress would be fitting.

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Rick Newman is a senior columnist for Yahoo Finance. Follow him on X at @rickjnewman.

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Bank of America’s 18,000 financial advisors just got a new AI tool as the company posts a record quarter | Fortune

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Bank of America’s 18,000 financial advisors just got a new AI tool as the company posts a record quarter | Fortune

Good morning. Bank of America posted its strongest earnings in nearly two decades, and CFO Alastair Borthwick says AI is becoming key to the bank’s performance.

The bank reported on Wednesday that Q1 2026 net income was $8.6 billion, with earnings per share up 25% to $1.11, which is the highest level in almost 20 years. On a media call, Borthwick pointed to AI as an increasingly important driver, highlighting a new internal tool for financial advisors.

The Meeting Journey tool helps advisors prepare for client meetings by pulling together key information. BofA has about 18,000 financial advisors across its wealth management platform, serving millions of clients, he said. Before meeting with a client, advisors regularly need to update themselves with a wide range of information such as client history, recent activity, and CIO guidance, he explained. 

The tool searches and consolidates client relationship insights and recent activity into ready-to-use prep materials and, with client consent, acts as an AI notetaker during virtual meetings. It also summarizes meeting decisions and next steps based on those notes. The goal is to cut down hours of manual prep and free advisors to focus on client relationships.

“Efforts like this translate into results,” Borthwick said, pointing to record first-quarter revenue and improved cost control. 

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Preparing for meetings once meant pulling data from multiple systems; now much of that work is automated, he said. “Not necessarily the judgment—that can be human,” Borthwick added. The bank invests around $13.5 billion annually in technology, including approximately $4 billion on new initiatives like AI.

More broadly, BofA’s strong quarter was driven by several factors:
—Net interest income rose 9% to $15.9 billion as loan and deposit growth accelerated.
—Trading revenue hit $6.3 billion—its best in roughly 15 years—boosted by a record high 30% jump in equities.
—Investment banking fees climbed 21% to $1.8 billion on a solid M&A market.
—Asset management fees grew 15% to $4.2 billion.
—Productivity gains, including from AI, helped the company maintain cost discipline and improve its efficiency ratio by 170 basis points to 61%. 

With revenues outpacing expenses, BofA achieved its third consecutive quarter of operating leverage at 2.9%. This week, Morningstar raised its fair value estimate for BofA to $65 per share, up from $58.

Amid ongoing uncertainty around geopolitics, rates, and credit, Borthwick said the bank’s data shows a resilient U.S. consumer. Unemployment remains at around 4.3%, supporting spending, while a recent rise in gas outlays hasn’t materially changed the broader picture, he said. “You can see that in our asset quality,” he added.

Sheryl Estrada
sheryl.estrada@fortune.com

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Christopher Filiaggi was appointed interim CFO of Corebridge Financial, Inc. (NYSE: CRBG), effective April 24. Filiaggi, chief accounting officer of Corebridge since 2023, will serve as interim CFO while the company prepares for its planned merger with Equitable Holdings, Inc. This appointment follows the previously announced transition of CFO Elias Habayeb. Prior to his current role, Filiaggi held finance leadership positions with Corebridge and American International Group, Inc.

Sean McCabe was appointed CFO of Cineverse, an entertainment technology company (Nasdaq: CNVS), effective April 20. He succeeds Mark Lindsey, with whom the company is in discussions to transition into a senior financial consulting role. McCabe previously served as VP and corporate controller at Cineverse in 2023 and 2024. He returns from Freestar, an ad-tech company, where he led accounting and finance teams and worked on mergers and acquisitions, treasury, and capital structure optimization. Before joining Freestar and Cineverse, McCabe held controller positions at Jukin Media, Fulgent Genetics, and National Grid.

Big Deal

BridgeWise’s inaugural “State of AI for Wealth in 2026” report finds that 78% of respondents globally are using AI tools for investment-related queries, with nearly half (45.7%) emerging as power users, consulting AI “always” or “often” when seeking investment information. The global study is based on 2,100 respondents across 19 countries.

The report also introduces a Global Wealth AI Optimism Index, a proprietary benchmark that evaluates the 19 included countries through four weighted pillars: adoption (AI usage frequency), confidence (trust in AI accuracy), edge (perceived competitive advantage when using AI for investing), and momentum (intent to replace traditional investment research with AI).

Going deeper

“From wool sneakers to GPUs: Allbirds’ desperate AI pivot and 600% stock surge, explained” is a Fortune article by Phil Wahba.

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On Wednesday, Allbirds, a sustainable footwear brand, “announced that it had secured $50 million in financing to turn itself into a tech company with a ‘long-term vision to become a fully integrated GPU-as-a-service (GPUaaS) and AI-native cloud solutions provider’ and that it would change its name to NewBird AI,” Wahba writes. You can read more here.

Overheard

“When people understand how their work drives the company’s value, they act like owners: they innovate, they solve problems, and they stay.”

—Vicente Reynal, chairman, president, and CEO of Ingersoll Rand, writes in a Fortune opinion piece titled “Here’s how employee ownership helped drive more than 8x enterprise value growth.”

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Buyers snap up homes for $200,000 under asking price as ‘fear and mystery’ grips Aussie property

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Buyers snap up homes for 0,000 under asking price as ‘fear and mystery’ grips Aussie property
Buyers are reporting making ‘lowball’ offers and having some success. (Source: REA/Getty)

When George Cherchian attended an open home in Sydney’s west recently, he was on the look out for one thing. A key detail would indicate how much competition he would have in vying for the house.

He attended every inspection for the property prior to the scheduled auction date. And when he didn’t see it, the buyers agent knew he was in a good position.

“I went to every single open home, and what I look for there is essentially the same faces. So if I’m seeing your face at every open I go to for one particular property, it tells me that you are just as interested in it as my clients are, or as I am,” he told Yahoo Finance.

“But that wasn’t the case here, we didn’t have any sort of repeat faces.”

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In the end, he put an offer in ahead of the planned auction date. Despite it being considerably lower than the advertised asking price, the vendor ultimately accepted it.

On behalf of the buyer, he secured the Baulkham Hills property for $1.9 million, $200,000 below the $2.1 million asking price.

Cherchian explained that in this particular case the vendor was in a position “where they couldn’t really afford to defer the settlement” as they had to sell because they had committed to buying another property.

But as “caution” grips property markets in Australia’s capital cities thanks to rising interest rates, higher fuel prices, ongoing uncertainty with the Iran war and impending policy changes around the taxation of investment properties, Cherchian said the sale is emblematic of the opportunities buyers can find right now in a less competitive market.

“Now that there are not as many buyers to contend with, there’s almost a bit of a window of opportunity for those who are able to make a decision,” he told Yahoo Finance.

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Overall, he said many buyers in Sydney were showing increased “caution” during so much uncertainty. As a result, “the things that need to transact, they are transacting at a discount”.

An auction for an Australian house with limited interest.
It’s been years since buyers were perceived to have much leverage in most Aussie housing markets. (Source: Getty)

Auction clearance rates in Sydney and Melbourne dropped in March, with the most recent results from April showing a clearance rate of just 54 per cent in Sydney, according to Domain, about 10 per cent lower than at the same time last year.

Dwelling prices went backwards in Sydney and Melbourne in the March quarter this year, according to property data giant Cotality. Prices fell 0.6 per cent in Melbourne and 0.2 per cent in Sydney.

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Mastercard’s $1.8 billion bet heralds the collapse of financial silos

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Mastercard’s .8 billion bet heralds the collapse of financial silos
  • Key insight: Mastercard’s acquisition of BVNK was a hedge against irrelevance. It suggests that the companies that defined the last era of finance are now preparing for a very different future.
  • What’s at stake: Many of today’s financial institutions will not survive in their current form.
  • Forward look: Banks, brokerages and payment firms still possess enormous advantages in customer trust, regulatory expertise and distribution. The question is whether they transform quickly enough to remain central to the financial system, or end up on the outside looking in.

When Mastercard recently announced it would acquire stablecoin infrastructure firm BVNK for up to $1.8 billion, it wasn’t just another banking headline. It was a massive, flashing signal. One of the most entrenched players in global payments is preparing for a world where money doesn’t move through traditional rails at all

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For years, financial institutions treated blockchain as a hedge, not a priority. They launched pilot programs, stood up innovation labs and issued press releases, but stopped short of meaningful integration. The goal wasn’t to transform their businesses. It was to signal they wouldn’t be left behind. 

Now these firms are writing billion-dollar checks to ensure they won’t be.

The Mastercard news is the latest evidence that blockchain infrastructure is quietly becoming real financial infrastructure. 

JPMorganChase’s blockchain-based payments network, now called Kinexys by J.P. Morgan, has processed more than $1.5 trillion in transactions and moves billions of dollars daily for institutional clients across currencies and time zones. What started as an internal project now operates as a 24/7 settlement network using real corporate payments and liquidity flows.

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At the same time, asset managers are bringing investment products onto blockchain rails. BlackRock has launched tokenized funds, expanded digital asset offerings, and is building teams around tokenization, stablecoins and market structure — not as pilots, but as business lines intended to scale globally. These products allow assets like Treasury bills to move digitally, shrinking the gap between cash management and markets that increasingly operate around the clock.

These examples and others represent an uncomfortable truth: Many of today’s financial institutions will not survive in their current form.

Today’s traditional financial system is built around silos. Increasingly, technology is making these structures obsolete.

Consumers bank in one place, invest in another, make payments through separate networks, borrow through specialized lenders and store assets somewhere else entirely. Behind the scenes, each layer extracts value and charges users (even though services appear “free”) through fees, spreads, settlement delays and execution costs. 

Credit card networks take a percentage of every purchase. Brokerage platforms advertise commission-free trading while monetizing customer order flow behind the scenes. Banks profit from deposit spreads while offering customers minimal yield. Settlement between institutions can still take days, tying up liquidity across markets.

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Mastercard’s business exists because of those silos. They connect banks, merchants and consumers across fragmented systems, and take a fee at every step.

These structures persist not because they are necessary, but because they have been profitable.

Blockchain infrastructure changes that.

When money, securities and collateral move on shared digital rails, entire layers of reconciliation and settlement complexity can disappear. Payments, investing, lending and asset management no longer need to operate as separate businesses. They can become integrated features of unified financial platforms. In that world, shifting from cash into government bonds or stocks becomes a near instant digital exchange rather than a multiday process involving brokers, custodians and clearinghouses.

That convergence has already begun. BlackRock’s expansion into tokenized funds reflects a recognition that assets themselves will move across interoperable rails, where currency and collateral operate within the same system rather than across fragmented intermediaries.

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At the same time, systems like JPMorgan’s Kinexys show how money itself is beginning to move on those same rails, enabling real-time payments, liquidity transfers and settlement within a single infrastructure layer.

The BVNK acquisition points to something larger than crypto adoption. It shows that even the companies that built the existing financial rails now expect those rails to evolve or be replaced. Additionally, some analysts now believe AI-driven agents will route payments through stablecoins by default, selecting the cheapest and fastest rails automatically without regard for legacy networks, accelerating adoption even further. 

Many incumbent institutions have legitimate concerns about stability, compliance and consumer protection. Financial infrastructure requires trust. Yet it is also true that parts of the industry have strong incentives to slow structural change. Banks benefit from low-cost deposits and spreads that could shrink in a world where digital dollars move more freely. Payment networks have built lucrative businesses around interchange fees that lower-cost settlement rails could compress. Brokerage models rely on execution and order-flow economics that become harder to sustain in markets operating continuously on shared infrastructure.

The legislative debate around crypto that has stalled in Congress illustrates this tension. Some of this debate is about risk and consumer protection, but a key underlying issue is whether digital dollars should be allowed to provide users yield directly. Banks rely on low-cost deposits and earn by investing that money while customers receive little interest in return. If stablecoin providers can offer dollar-backed assets that move freely across digital networks and also pay competitive yields, deposits could migrate away from traditional banks.

Mastercard’s move isn’t a bet on crypto hype. It’s a hedge against irrelevance. The news suggests that the companies that defined the last era of finance are now preparing for a system where value moves more quickly, cheaply and across shared infrastructure.

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Industries rarely disappear overnight, but they can and they do evolve. Banks, brokerages and payment firms still possess enormous advantages in customer trust, regulatory expertise and distribution. The question is whether they transform quickly enough to remain central to the financial system, or end up on the outside looking in.

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