Finance
S&P 500's $8T Surge Faces Big Test With This Week's Earnings Releases
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The $8 trillion rally of the S&P 500 Index is set to face a crucial test this week as traders navigate through economic fears, uncertainties surrounding interest rates, and anxieties related to the upcoming election.
What Happened: The forthcoming corporate earnings season is expected to be a key determinant of whether equities can sustain their momentum.
Don’t Miss Out:
As per a Bloomberg report, the S&P 500 Index has seen a surge of approximately 20% in 2024, adding over $8 trillion to its market capitalization. This significant increase has been largely driven by expectations of a relaxed monetary policy and strong profit forecasts.
However, analysts are now revising their expectations for third-quarter results. Companies in the S&P 500 are expected to report a 4.7% increase in quarterly earnings from a year ago, a decrease from the 7.9% projections made in July, as per Bloomberg Intelligence data.
Adam Parker, founder of Trivariate Research, highlighted the significance of this earnings season, and told the outlet, “We need concrete data from corporates.”
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Investors are eager to understand if companies are postponing spending, if demand has slowed, and how customers are reacting to geopolitical risk and macro uncertainty.
Major companies, including Delta Air Lines Inc., JPMorgan Chase & Co., and Wells Fargo & Co., are scheduled to release their results this week.
Despite the strong rally and above-average positioning going into this earnings season, Binky Chadha, chief US equity and global Strategist at Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., expects a subdued market reaction.
“Estimates got a little bit too optimistic, and now they’re pulling back to more realistic levels,” stated Ellen Hazen, chief market strategist at F.L.Putnam Investment Management.
Why It Matters: Investors are facing numerous challenges, including the upcoming US presidential election, the Federal Reserve’s decision to lower interest rates, and an escalating conflict in the Middle East that is raising inflation concerns.
However, there is a glimmer of hope. The lowered bar for earnings projections provides companies with a greater chance to exceed expectations.
Bloomberg Intelligence suggests that a strengthening earnings cycle should continue to counterbalance weak economic signals, potentially tipping the scales for equities in a positive direction.
Wondering if your investments can get you to a $5,000,000 nest egg? Speak to a financial advisor today. SmartAsset’s free tool matches you up with up to three vetted financial advisors who serve your area, and you can interview your advisor matches at no cost to decide which one is right for you.
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This article S&P 500’s $8T Surge Faces Big Test With This Week’s Earnings Releases originally appeared on Benzinga.com
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This Is the Best Thing to Do With Your 2026 Military Pay Raise
Editor’s note: This is the fourth installment of New Year, New You, a weeklong look at your financial health headed into 2026.
The military’s regularly occurring pay raises provide an opportunity that many civilians only dream of. Not only do the annual percentage increases troops receive each January provide frequent chances to rebalance financial priorities — savings vs. current standard of living — so do time-in-service increases for every two years of military service, not to mention promotions.
Two experts in military pay and personal finance — a retired admiral and a retired general, each at the head of their respective military mutual aid associations — advised taking a similarly predictable approach to managing each new raise:
Cut it in half.
In one variation of the strategy, a service member simply adds to their savings: whatever it is they prioritize. In the other, consistent increases in retirement contributions soon add up to a desirable threshold.
Rainy Day Fund
The active military’s 3.8% pay raise in 2026 came in a percentage point higher than retirees and disabled veterans received, meaning troops “should be able to afford the market basket of goods that the average American is afforded,” said Michael Meese, a retired Army brigadier general and president of Armed Forces Mutual.
While the veterans’ lower rate relies exclusively on the rate of inflation, Congress has the option to offer more; and in doing so is making up for recent years when the pay raise didn’t keep up with unusually high inflation, Meese said.
“So this is helping us catch up a little bit.”
He also speculated that the government shutdown “upset a lot of people” and that widespread support of the 3.8% raise across party lines and in both houses of Congress showed “that it has confidence in the military and wants to take care of the military and restore government credibility with service men and women,” Meese said.
His suggestion for managing pay raises:
“If you’ve been living already without the pay raise and now you see this pay raise, if you can,” Meese advised, “I always said … you should save half and spend half,” Meese said. “That way, you don’t instantly increase your spending habits just because you see more money at the end of the month.”
A service member who makes only $1,000 every two weeks, for example, gets another $38 every two weeks starting this month. Put $19 into savings, and you can put the other $19 toward “beer and pizza or whatever you’re going to do,” Meese said.
“That way you’re putting money away for a rainy day,” he said — to help prepare for a vacation, for example, “so you’re not putting those on a credit card.” If you set aside only $25 more per pay period, “at the end of the year, you’ve got an extra $300 in there, and that may be great for Christmas vacation or Christmas presents or something like that.”
Retirement Strategy
Brian Luther, retired rear admiral and the president and chief executive officer of Navy Mutual, recognizes that “personal finance is personal” — in other words, “every situation is different.” Nevertheless, he insists that “everyone should have a plan” that includes:
- What your cash flow is
- Where your money is going
- Where you need to go in the future
But even if you don’t know a lot of those details, Luther said, the most important thing:
Luther also advised an approach based on cutting the 3.8% pay raise in half, keeping half for expenses and putting the other half into the Thrift Savings Plan. Then “that pay will work for you until you need it in retirement,” Luther said. With every subsequent increase, put half into the TSP until you’re setting aside a full 15% of your pay.
For a relatively young service member, “Once you hit 15%, and [with] the 5% match from the government, that’s enough for your future,” Luther said.
Previously in this series:
Part 1: 2026 Guide to Pay and Allowances for Military Service Members, Veterans and Retirees
Part 2: Understanding All the Deductions on Your 2026 Military Leave and Earnings Statements
Part 3: Should You Let the Military Set Aside Allotments from Your Pay?
Get the Latest Financial Tips
Whether you’re trying to balance your budget, build up your credit, select a good life insurance program or are gearing up for a home purchase, Military.com has you covered. Subscribe to Military.com and get the latest military benefit updates and tips delivered straight to your inbox.
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