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Personal finance in a perma-crisis world: Thoughts on debt, saving, taxes, food and houses

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Personal finance in a perma-crisis world: Thoughts on debt, saving, taxes, food and houses
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A woman shops at a local store in Kensington Market, in Toronto, on May 31.Ammar Bowaihl/The Globe and Mail

The last normal summer was in 2019.

Since then, we’ve slipped into what feels like a perma-crisis world of pandemic, war in Europe, an overloaded health care system and climate change disruption. The world isn’t headed back to the quieter days of 2019 any time soon, and neither are your personal finances. Here are five realities, both good and bad, to guide your planning.

Roughly two-thirds of the population is seeing the highest interest rates of their lives for savings

Only boomers and older generations have seen better rates on savings accounts and guaranteed investment certificates in their lifetimes as adults with money to save. The rest of the population is getting a welcome introduction to the idea that savings is about both safety and generating interest.

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Today, you can get inflation-beating rates in both savings accounts and GICs that carry virtually no risk because of deposit insurance.

Wondering what to put in your tax-free savings account? How about a virtually risk-free five-year GIC ladder with interest rates around 5 per cent. Invest equal amounts in GICs maturing in one through five years. Depending on your needs, you can either reinvest money at maturity, or take it in cash.

All debt is bad debt

Good debt is borrowing that helps you build wealth – say, a mortgage or an investment loan – while bad debt pays for things that depreciate or have no lasting value. This distinction had its uses when interest rates were low and using debt to acquire a house or investments made clear financial sense.

With rates at current levels, all debt is bad debt. You borrow where you must – to buy a home or maybe a vehicle. But otherwise, debt is best avoided unless you’re in a financial emergency.

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A home equity line of credit, or HELOC, the smartest way to borrow, carries an interest rate in the area of 7.45 per cent these days, which compares to 2.95 per cent a couple of years ago. HELOCs were almost guilt-free when rates were low. Today, they’re an expensive way to finance anything – toys, trips and investments in real estate or stocks. Can you consistently beat 7.5 per cent after fees in your investing? Few can.

Grocery shopping is the new dental visit

The “joy of food” experience at the grocery store, if there was such a thing, has morphed into discomfort at best and outright pain at worst, as a result of high inflation. Relief will be defined as smaller price hikes, not a pullback in prices. Inflation over the past 18 months has baked higher prices into the system.

There’s no one answer to high food costs, only micro-solutions. Grow your own veggies in the summer, download and use apps that connect you with coupons and sales, buy in bulk, pre-plan meals, don’t shop when you’re feeling hungry, pivot to cheaper brands, sizes, tastes and cuts. Every full-price item you buy is a win for inflation.

0.5-bedroom homes, anyone?

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Too many people are chasing too few homes. Even if we flood the market with newly built houses and condos, we will not change the balance of supply and demand enough to reopen the door of affordability to the urban middle class. For that, we need a housing market crash coupled with a plunge in interest rates. No one is forecasting this.

Buying a home for young adults without well-off parents or high-paying jobs will come down to choices like buying in a cheaper city or buying small – a condo, townhouse or a tiny house like one recently listed for rent in Toronto with “0.5 bedrooms.” Other options include multi-generational or co-operative living with friends. Home ownership will happen, but in different ways.

Be angry at politicians for letting housing get to this point of unaffordability, but be realistic. Global cities like Toronto, Vancouver and Montreal are expensive to live in.

Taxes, fees and levies are headed higher

Does anyone seriously believe we can address the problems facing all levels of government without bringing in more tax revenue? The federal government has increased health care spending by billions of dollars, but emergency department waiting rooms are still overtaxed and too many people can’t find a family doctor or an affordable home. Also, our aging population will need increasing amounts of health care.

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Climate change is another spending commitment we can’t avoid. Money will have to be spent on adaptation – shoring up buildings and other infrastructure for a warming world – and on providing incentives for people to buy electric vehicles, replace their gas stoves, swap out their gas or oil furnaces for heat pumps, and more.

Governments need to stop wasting money through blind inefficiency, but it won’t be nearly enough to pay the bills ahead. Taxes, user fees and other levies will need to go up.

Are you a young Canadian with money on your mind? To set yourself up for success and steer clear of costly mistakes, listen to our award-winning Stress Test podcast.

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UAE's Central Bank Sets New Standards with Open Finance Regulation | The Fintech Times

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UAE's Central Bank Sets New Standards with Open Finance Regulation | The Fintech Times

The Central Bank of the UAE (CBUAE) has issued the Open Finance Regulation, a significant component of its financial infrastructure transformation programme.

This regulation aims to ensure the soundness and efficiency of open finance services, promote innovation, enhance competitiveness and bolster the UAE’s status as a financial technology hub.

The new regulation mandates that all financial institutions supervised by the CBUAE must participate in the open finance framework concerning their products as well as services.

Licensed financial institutions (LFIs), as data holders and service owners, must provide access to customer data and the ability to initiate transactions, contingent on the express consent of users. This provision also aims to align services with consumer needs.

The regulation

The framework is designed to facilitate LFIs in accessing and utilising consumer financial data to create personalised experiences and tailored offerings. This regulation also enables consumers to consolidate their financial information through seamless data sharing across platforms.

The regulation encompasses a trust framework, an application programming interface (API) hub, as well as a common infrastructural services. These elements collectively support the cross-sectoral sharing of data and the initiation of transactions on behalf of users. The open finance platform also includes a consumer consent model for sharing financial data with trusted third parties within an integrated business system.

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H.E. Khaled Mohamed Balama, governor of the CBUAE, said: “The introduction of open finance regulation establishes global standards for open finance and accelerates the adoption of digital financial services. This
initiative enables licensed financial institutions to harness consumer financial data.

“On the other hand, it empowers consumers to obtain the best financial solutions, which will drive competition and innovation. We will continue our efforts to develop the financial services sector in the UAE and support its competitiveness globally.”

The regulation, published in the Official Gazette, will also come into effect in phases, as notified by the CBUAE.

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Pakistan President Zardari gives his assent to tax-laden Finance Bill criticised by opposition

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Pakistan President Zardari gives his assent to tax-laden Finance Bill criticised by opposition

Pakistan president Asif Ali Zardari
| Photo Credit: PTI

Pakistan President Asif Ali Zardari on June 30 gave his assent to the government’s tax-heavy Finance Bill 2024, which drew sharp criticism from the Opposition which labelled it as an IMF-driven document that was harmful to the public for the new fiscal year, according to a media report.

Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb presented the Budget in the National Assembly on June 12, drawing sharp criticism from the opposition parties, especially jailed former premier Imran Khan’s Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI), as well as coalition ally Pakistan Peoples Party led by former foreign minister Bilawal Bhutto-Zardari.

On June 28, Parliament passed the Pakistani Rs 18,877 billion Budget for the fiscal year 2024-25, detailing the expenditures and income of the government.

The Opposition parties, mainly parliamentarians backed by currently incarcerated former premier Khan, had rejected the Budget, saying it would be highly inflationary.

During the National Assembly session, opposition lawmakers criticised the Budget, asserting that it was now an open secret that the document was dictated by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Leader of the Opposition Omar Ayub Khan had denounced the budget as “economic terrorism against the people”.

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Earlier this week, the PPP — which had initially boycotted the debate over the Budget — decided that it would vote for the finance bill despite certain reservations.

On Friday, the National Assembly passed the budget with some amendments. The motion was preceded by fiery speeches from the opposition, who described the budget as unrealistic, anti-people, anti-industry, and anti-agriculture, the Dawn newspaper reported.

President Zardari on Sunday gave assent to the bill in accordance with Article 75 of the Constitution, the media wing of the President House said, adding that the bill would be applicable from July 1. Under Article 75 (1), the president has no power to reject or object to the finance bill, which is considered to be a money bill as per the Constitution.

On June 28, the Government extended exemptions in specific sectors while announcing new tax measures in several areas to generate additional revenue in the coming fiscal year to meet the International Monetary Fund’s criteria.

Pakistan is in talks with the IMF for a loan of $6 billion to USD 8 billion, the report said. Earlier this week, PM Shehbaz confirmed that the budget was prepared in collaboration with the IMF.

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Amendments include introducing a capital value tax on property in Islamabad, implementing new tax measures on builders and developers and increasing the Petroleum Development Levy (PDL) on diesel and petrol by Pakistani Rs 10 instead of the proposed Pakistani Rs 20.

According to the budget documents, the gross revenue receipts have been estimated at Pakistani Rs 17,815 billion, including Pakistani Rs 12,970 billion in tax revenues and Pakistani Rs 4,845 billion in non-tax revenue.

The share of provinces in the federal receipts will be Pakistani Rs 7,438 billion. The growth target had been set at 3.6% during the next fiscal year. Inflation is expected to be 12%, budget deficit 5.9% of GDP and primary surplus will be one per cent of the GDP.

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Finance

Ukraine has a month to avoid default

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Ukraine has a month to avoid default

War is still exacting a heavy toll on Ukraine’s economy. The country’s GDP is a quarter smaller than on the eve of Vladimir Putin’s invasion, the central bank is tearing through foreign reserves and Russia’s recent attacks on critical infrastructure have depressed growth forecasts. “Strong armies,” warned Sergii Marchenko, Ukraine’s finance minister, on June 17th, “must be underpinned by strong economies.”

Following American lawmakers’ decision in April to belatedly approve a funding package worth $60bn, Ukraine is not about to run out of weapons. In time, the state’s finances will also be bolstered by G7 plans, announced on June 13th, to use Russian central-bank assets frozen in Western financial institutions to lend another $50bn. The problem is that Ukraine faces a cash crunch—and soon.

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