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Opinion | How infrastructure borrowing can benefit Hong Kong for decades to come

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Opinion | How infrastructure borrowing can benefit Hong Kong for decades to come
Faced with a deficit of more than HK$100 billion (US$12.8 billion) this financial year, the Hong Kong government has proposed issuing bonds to finance large-scale infrastructure projects that could include the Northern Metropolis and land reclamation on Lantau Island.

This proposal makes sense. Hong Kong’s public debt to gross domestic product ratio is extremely low by international standards; the government therefore has the space and creditworthiness to borrow more – even though interest rates today are higher. There is also a strong economic case to rely on debt financing for infrastructure projects which incur costs today but generate benefits for the next few decades.

Nonetheless, there are concerns among some that such borrowing only deepens the government’s financial hole, burdens future generations, and masks the precarity of government finances. Rather than dismiss these concerns as invalid or ignorant, the government should engage seriously with them and, in so doing, build society’s trust in its ability to manage Hong Kong’s finances well. This is also an opportunity to educate the public on why borrowing for infrastructure is not only necessary, but may even be desirable in the current macroeconomic context.

A construction site for public housing on Hong Kong’s Lantau Island in 2020. Photo: Sam Tsang

Necessary and desirable

The first principle of public financial management that the Treasury should convey is that all deficits have to be financed eventually. In this, the government has to choose between three unpalatable options: raising taxes, cutting spending, or borrowing. Raising taxes – particularly the introduction of a Goods and Services Tax (GST) – is probably something that Hong Kong must do eventually.

But mainland China’s slow recovery, higher interest rates and a strong Hong Kong dollar (the result of the Hong Kong dollar’s peg to the US dollar) have contributed to the city’s current sluggish economic growth and in such an environment, authorities can ill afford to raise taxes that would reduce disposable incomes or consumer spending.
Cutting public spending in other areas is even less realistic than raising taxes. As long as growth remains weak (as is likely the case for 2024), the demand for publicly financed or subsidised services will increase. In the longer term, an ageing population will increase social spending as a share of GDP. While there is merit in reducing some health and welfare subsidies, the fact is that public provision of these services in Hong Kong is already very lean by the standards of developed economies. This also means the savings that can be squeezed in these areas are likely to be very small compared to the expenditure demands of an ageing society. Unless Hongkongers are willing to accept a significantly lower standard of health and welfare provision, there is little chance of public spending decreasing in the coming years.
An elderly man in a park at Cheung Sha Wan. In the longer term, an ageing population will increase social spending as a share of GDP, says academic Donald Low. Photo: Jelly Tse

That leaves increased public sector borrowing as the least bad option to finance Hong Kong’s infrastructure plans.

The second idea that the Treasury should convey is that borrowing is the more efficient and equitable way of financing infrastructure. It is more efficient because the benefits of infrastructure development accrue over many years – even decades – and so it makes sense to finance that development over a similar time frame. Just as households make costly capital purchases (such as a property) by taking a 30-year loan rather than pay for it entirely with cash, it is also more efficient for the government to finance infrastructure projects (which generate a stream of benefits over many years) using debt.

Debt financing is also more equitable because future generations are the major beneficiaries of these infrastructure projects. Future generations are likely to be richer than current generations, so it is only fair that future generations pay at least part of the costs. Meanwhile, paying for these projects with cash upfront represents a large subsidy from past and current generations of Hongkongers to future, richer generations. This is highly regressive. Unless one is extremely pessimistic about Hong Kong’s future – and believes that future Hongkongers would be poorer than today’s Hongkongers – debt financing is much fairer in terms of intergenerational equity.

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An electronic ticker at the Exchange Square Complex, which houses the Hong Kong stock exchange, in January. The Hong Kong government should set up rules to ensure debt sustainability and build public trust. Photo: Bloomberg

A debt sustainability framework

While increased borrowing is a better way to finance infrastructure development, this does not mean the government should be allowed to borrow as much as it wants or to spend however it likes. To build public trust, the Treasury should put in place, and articulate, a set of principles to ensure debt sustainability. Such a framework would also assuage concerns that the Hong Kong government is becoming a less prudent or capable steward of public funds.

The first principle is that debt financing should be used only for infrastructure projects in which assets that can be valued are created. This is critical because debt financing creates liabilities for future generations of Hongkongers. Good financial management requires that these liabilities be matched with corresponding, long-term assets. This rule also means the government should borrow only for capital, not operating, expenditures.

Second, alongside the budget (that shows the government’s income and expenditure of the coming financial year), the Treasury should also present a debt sustainability report which shows the government’s outstanding liabilities and the estimated value of the assets. This need not be done for all the state’s assets and liabilities, only for those that result from its borrowing. The first two principles would address concerns that issuing debt boosts the government’s revenue for the year but masks (future) debt repayment obligations.

Why Hong Kong’s economy needs to become more than just China’s superconnector

Third, to the extent possible, the bonds the government issues should be linked to specific projects rather than be used for unspecified capital expenditure. While public funds are fungible (movable across various uses), this practice would require the government to make a strong case for the projects that it is borrowing for, and not rely only on its overall creditworthiness, to borrow at lower interest rates. This practice would also improve financial transparency and support the market’s scrutiny of the government’s development projects. Done well, this would establish Hong Kong as an issuer of high-quality government bonds, helping the city attract more capital through its bond market.

This principle does not mean the government would be barred from issuing bonds not linked to specific projects. But if it does so, it should have to explain why. Without this principle, governments always prefer more discretion over rules that constrain their flexibility or freedom of manoeuvre.

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Finally, there should be a rule that sets a cap on the total stock of debt that the Hong Kong government owes, as well as a rule that limits (as a percentage of GDP) the amount of debt the government can issue in any one financial year. This would assure the public and financial markets that the government is still a disciplined steward of public funds.

Donald Low is Senior Lecturer and Professor of Practice, and Director of Leadership and Public Policy Executive Education, at the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. He was formerly Director of Fiscal Policy at the Ministry of Finance in Singapore.

Finance

Reservists’ families protest outside Finance Minister’s home

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Reservists’ families protest outside Finance Minister’s home

Dozens of protesters from the “Religious Zionist Reservists Forum” and the “Shared Service Forum” demonstrated Saturday evening outside the home of Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich in Kedumim.

The protesters arrived with a direct and pointed message, centered on a symbolic “draft order,” calling on Smotrich to “enlist” on behalf of the State of Israel and oppose what they termed the “sham law” being advanced by MK Boaz Bismuth and the Knesset’s haredi parties.

Among the protesters in Kedumim were the parents of Sergeant First Class (res.) Amichai Oster, who fell in battle in Gaza. Amichai grew up in Karnei Shomron and studied at the Shavei Hevron yeshiva.

Protesters held signs reading: “Smotrich, enlist for us,” along with the symbolic “draft order,” calling on him to “enlist for the sake of the State’s security and to save the people’s army – stand against the bill proposed by Bismuth and the haredim!”

Parallel demonstrations were held outside the homes of MK Ohad Tal in Efrat and MK Michal Woldiger in Givat Shmuel.

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Representatives of the “Shared Service Forum” said: “We are members of the public that contributes the most, and we came here to say: Bezalel, without enlistment there will be no victory and no security. Do not abandon our values for the sake of the coalition. The exemption law is a strategic threat, and you bear the responsibility to stop it and lead a real, fair draft plan for a country in which we are all partners. It’s in your hands.”

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Banking on carbon markets 2.0: why financial institutions should engage with carbon credits | Fortune

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Banking on carbon markets 2.0: why financial institutions should engage with carbon credits | Fortune

The global carbon market is at an inflection point as discussions during the recent COP meeting in Brazil demonstrated. 

After years of negotiations over carbon market rules under Article 6 of the Paris Agreement, countries are finally moving on to the implementation phase, with more than 30 countries already developing Article 6 strategies. At the same time, the voluntary market is evolving after a period of intense scrutiny over the quality and integrity of carbon credit projects.

The era of Carbon Markets 2.0 is characterised by high integrity standards and is increasingly recognised as critical to meeting the emission reduction goals of the Paris Agreement.

And this ongoing transition presents enormous opportunities for financial institutions to apply their expertise to professionalise the trade of carbon credits and restore confidence in the market. 

The engagement of banks, insurance companies, asset managers and others can ensure that carbon markets evolve with the same discipline, risk management, and transparency that define mature financial systems while benefitting from new business opportunities.

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Carbon markets 2.0

Carbon markets are an untapped opportunity to deliver climate action at speed and scale. Based on solutions available now, they allow industries to take action on emissions for which there is currently no or limited solution, complementing their decarbonization programs and closing the gap between the net zero we need to achieve and the net zero that is possible now. They also generate debt-free climate finance for emerging and developing economies to support climate-positive growth – all of which is essential for the global transition to net zero.

Despite recent slowdowns in carbon markets, the volume of credit retirements, representing delivered, verifiable climate action, was higher in the first half of 2025 than in any prior first half-year on record. Corporate climate commitments are increasing, driving significant demand for carbon credits to help bridge the gap on the path to meeting net-zero goals.

According to recent market research from the Voluntary Carbon Markets Integrity initiative (VCMI), businesses are now looking for three core qualities in the market to further rebuild their trust: stability, consistency, and transparency – supported by robust infrastructure. These elements are vital to restoring investor confidence and enabling interoperability across markets.

MSCI estimates that the global carbon credit market could grow from $1.4 billion in 2024 to up to $35 billion by 2030 and between $40 billion and $250 billion by 2050. Achieving such growth will rely on institutions equipped with capital, analytical rigour, risk frameworks, and market infrastructure.

Carbon Markets 2.0 will both benefit from and rely on the participation of financial institutions. Now is the time for them to engage, support the growth and professionalism of this nascent market, and, in doing so, benefit from new business opportunities.

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The opportunity

Institutional capital has a unique role to play in shaping the carbon market as it grows. Financial institutions can go beyond investing or lending to high-quality projects by helping build the infrastructure that will enable growth at scale. This includes insurance, aggregation platforms, verification services, market-making capacity, and long-term investment vehicles. 

By applying their expertise and understanding of the data and infrastructure required for a functioning, transparent market, financial institutions can help accelerate the integration of carbon credits into the global financial architecture. 

As global efforts to decarbonise intensify, high-integrity carbon markets offer financial institutions a pathway to deliver tangible climate impact, support broader social and nature-positive goals, and unlock new sources of revenue, such as:

  • Leveraging core competencies for market growth, including advisory, lending, project finance, asset management, trading, market access, and risk management solutions.
  • Unlocking new commercial pathways and portfolio diversification beyond existing business models, supporting long-term growth, and facilitating entry into emerging decarbonisation-driven markets.
  • Securing first-mover advantage, helping to shape norms, gain market share, and capture opportunities across advisory, structuring, and product innovation.
  • Deepening client engagement by helping clients navigate carbon markets to add strategic value and strengthen long-term relationships.

Harnessing the opportunity

To make the most of these opportunities, financial institutions should consider engagements in high-integrity carbon markets to signal confidence and foster market stability. Visible participation, such as integrating high-quality carbon credits into institutional climate strategies, can help normalise the voluntary use of carbon credits alongside decarbonisation efforts and demonstrate leadership in climate-aligned financial practices.

Financial institutions can also deliver solutions that reduce market risk and improve project bankability. For instance, de-risking mechanisms like carbon credit insurance can mitigate performance, political, and delivery risks, addressing one of the core challenges holding back investments in carbon projects. 

Additionally, diversified funding structures, including blended finance and concessional capital, can lower the cost of capital and de-risk early-stage startups. Fixed-price offtake agreements with investment-grade buyers and the use of project aggregation platforms can improve cash flow predictability and risk distribution, further enhancing bankability.

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By structuring investments into carbon project developers, funds, or the broader market ecosystem, financial institutions can unlock much-needed finance and create an investable pathway for nature and carbon solutions.

For instance, earlier this year JPMorgan Chase struck a long-term offtake agreement for carbon credits tied to CO₂ capture, blending its roles as investor and market facilitator. Standard Chartered is also set to sell jurisdictional forest credits on behalf of the Brazilian state of Acre, while embedding transparency, local consultation, and benefit-sharing into the deal. These examples offer promising precedents in demonstrating that institutions can act not only as financiers but as integrators of high-integrity carbon markets.

The institutions that lead the growth of carbon markets will not only drive climate and nature outcomes but also unlock strategic commercial advantages in an emerging and rapidly evolving asset class.

However, the window to secure first-mover advantage is narrow: carbon markets are now shifting from speculation to implementation. Now is the moment for financial institutions to move from the sidelines and into leadership, helping shape the future of high-integrity carbon markets while capturing the opportunities they offer.

The opinions expressed in Fortune.com commentary pieces are solely the views of their authors and do not necessarily reflect the opinions and beliefs of Fortune.

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Plano-Based Finance of America Announces $2.5B Partnership with Funds Managed by Blue Owl to Expand FOA’s Home Equity Lending

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Plano-Based Finance of America Announces .5B Partnership with Funds Managed by Blue Owl to Expand FOA’s Home Equity Lending

Finance of America Companies, a leading provider of home equity-based financing solutions for a modern retirement, and funds managed by Blue Owl Capital, a leading alternative asset manager, announced an enhanced $2.5 billion strategic partnership to accelerate product innovation and distribution for the nation’s fast-growing retirement demographic.

With more than 10,000 Americans entering retirement age every day, the market for home equity access continues to expand. FOA said its collaboration with New York City-based Blue Owl positions it to capture significant share in this rapidly evolving sector.

“This is a pivotal moment not just for Finance of America, but for the senior finance market as a whole,” Graham Fleming, CEO of Finance of America, said in a statement. “By aligning with Blue Owl, we are creating a platform of scale and innovation to better serve one of the fastest-growing demographics in the United States.”

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The enhanced partnership includes, per FOA:

  • $2.5 billion commitment for new product innovation, providing scale and liquidity to support origination growth across multiple asset classes
  • $50 million equity investment in Finance of America, enhancing long-term alignment between the companies and supporting FOA’s continued growth initiatives
  • Joint innovation and product-development initiative focused on the continuous rollout of new, differentiated financial products tailored for people looking to maximize freedom, security, and opportunity throughout their retirement
 

This product expansion will complement FOA’s existing industry-leading reverse mortgage product suite while strengthening the company’s commitment to innovation and its role as a leader in delivering powerful financial solutions for retirees.

FOA said it continues to empower retirees with responsible, flexible access to capital to support aging in place, healthcare expenses, and lifestyle goals.

The partnership reinforces Finance of America’s mission to provide comprehensive, retirement-focused financial solutions, with the goal of expanding beyond reverse mortgages to become the nation’s leading, full-spectrum home equity lending platform, the company said.

“We believe Finance of America is uniquely positioned to redefine how financial products are delivered to retirees,” said David Aidi, senior managing director and co-head of Asset Based Finance at Blue Owl.

“This partnership provides the capital, the strategic alignment, and the innovation engine to build category-defining products at scale,” added Ray Chan, senior managing director and co-head of Asset Based Finance at Blue Owl.

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