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Nvidia investors should've sold the stock a month ago, strategist says

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Nvidia investors should've sold the stock a month ago, strategist says

One Nvidia (NVDA) bear warned the time has come for investors to sell.

Nvidia failed to meet sky-high expectations when it reported its fiscal second quarter earnings on Wednesday. Nvidia reported profits and revenue that topped forecasts but not by as much as investors hoped, delivering its smallest earnings beat in the last six quarters.

Nvidia stock fell 6% on Wednesday evening in reaction to the results and continued to slide 4% lower on Thursday afternoon. Year to date, the stock remains up nearly 140%.

When asked when it might be time to sell, David Bahnsen, chief investment officer of Bahnsen Group, said, “About a month ago. Two months ago. Today. Tomorrow.”

“People are paying for perfection,” Bahnsen added (video above). “You’re buying Nvidia banking on there being another investor who’s a bigger sucker than you are.”

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The warning from Bahnsen comes as the stock has rallied 1,000% from its October 2022 lows. His call is based on one data point: Nvidia’s price-to-earnings ratio, which sits just above 56 after earnings but neared 80 in July.

He offered a reminder that a company and its stock are not the same thing.

“This is not me bashing on Nvidia,” Bahnsen said. “This is a success story. I’m commenting on the valuation — that when you start paying those prices, the risk-reward skew becomes very unattractive.”

Still, it’s a risk that the 89% of analysts with a Buy rating on the stock are willing to take. The stock has zero Sell ratings, which is understandable considering Nvidia posted $30 billion in revenue in the second quarter, a 122% increase over the same period last year.

Nvidia’s future depends in part on other Big Tech companies. Hyperscalers Microsoft (MSFT), Meta (META), Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL), and Amazon (AMZN) are responsible for 40% of Nvidia’s revenue, according to Bloomberg estimates.

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Alphabet CEO Sundar Pichai indicated on the company’s earnings call this quarter that the company’s spending on artificial intelligence would not slow down. “The one way I think about it is when you go through a curve like this, the risk of underinvesting is dramatically greater than the risk of overinvesting for us,” Pichai said.

TAIPEI, TAIWAN - 2023/05/29: Nvidia president and CEO Jensen Huang enters the stage while waving to the audience at a keynote presentation at COMPUTEX. The COMPUTEX 2023 runs from 30 May to 02 June 2023 and gathers over 1,000 exhibitors from 26 different countries with 3000 booths to display their latest products and to sign orders with foreign buyers. (Photo by Walid Berrazeg/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)

Nvidia president and CEO Jensen Huang waves to the audience at a keynote presentation at COMPUTEX. (Walid Berrazeg/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images) (SOPA Images via Getty Images)

Alphabet’s investment in AI, which represents a significant portion of Nvidia’s revenue, could be a bullish signal to come. But those business fundamentals aren’t the only focus.

“The estimates for next year and the year after that are starting to get way, way out of control,” D.A. Davidson managing director Gil Luria told Yahoo Finance.

The next big question for investors is whether the Street’s reaction to Nvidia results this quarter will be enough to dampen earnings expectations heading into Q3.

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For Bahnsen, it may already be too late.

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Austin financial staff propose delaying bond to 2028

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Austin financial staff propose delaying bond to 2028

AUSTIN (KXAN) — The city of Austin has released its final bond recommendation to city council members and the mayor. It’s one of at least three base options city council is expected to consider later this month. 

City staff ultimately recommended the city council not pursue a bond in 2026 — but rather in 2028 — citing the “decision tree” city council adopted earlier this year.

“Staff also recognizes that there are priority funding areas that will need to be considered in the FY 2027 budget process for programs within the existing bond propositions that have reached 90% of the funds expended,” staff wrote. Those areas include transportation, watershed protection and parks.

In a work session Tuesday, many city council members expressed they still wanted to move forward with a bond this year — especially one that focuses on parks.

“Parks are so central to the identity of Austin; they’re so valued by people here — almost uniquely — amongst so many communities that I know. They are essentially out of capital funds … and I do feel an obligation to continue to get them some capital dollars,” Mayor Pro Tem Chito Vela said.

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The Bond Election Advisory Task Force proposal

There are at least two additional base proposals up for consideration: One from a task force that’s been working for roughly a year and a half to identify the city’s greatest needs and another from a group of five city council members that focuses on parks.

The Bond Election Advisory Task Force (BEATF) has identified a package that would cost the city roughly $767 million and would tackle major projects in affordable housing, parks, transportation and flood mitigation.

The BEATF proposal puts money in the following buckets:

  • $200 million: Affordable housing
  • $175 million: Parks and open space
  • $106 million: Facilities (libraries, museums, the Austin animal center)
  • $25 million: Homeless Strategy Office (helping fund a new 1,200 bed shelter)
  • $147 million: Transportation
  • $113 million: Storm and flood mitigation infrastructure

You can find the full list of recommended projects here.

The ‘parks’ proposal

Last month, a group of city council members proposed an additional 2026 bond idea, worth more than $400 million, but that also includes a second bond ask in 2028. The focus of that bond is parks.

In a message board post, five council members pitched the following for a 2026 bond:

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• $250-$260 million for parks projects, not including any maintenance facilities
• $50-$60 million for community facilities, such as libraries and cultural arts
• $75-$80 million for active transportation projects

“Should this option ultimately be pursued, we would then use the work of the BEATF and staff for the non-parks categories as the starting point for a 2028 bond discussion,” the council members said.

The BEATF then reworked that additional option — which is not their preferred proposal, but satisfies the ask from some council members — that would come in at $436 million.

The breakdown is:

  • $225 million: Parks and open space
  • $106 million: Facilities
  • $25 million: Homeless Strategy Office
  • $80 million: Transportation

You can find the breakdown of that option here.

City staff also put forward a version of this scenario which would cost roughly $390 million.

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The breakdown of that alternate proposal is:

  • $92 million: Transportation
  • $250 million: Parks and Recreation
  • $48 million” Community facilities

What happens next?

Council members and the city will now need to narrow down which of these proposals — if any of them — will be the final proposal.

In a work session, council members suggested they would not be able to have a decision made by the end of the month (staff initially put a placeholder for that vote on the May 28 council agenda). Mayor Pro Tem Vela told staff he would like to see a vote happen in July.

The deadline to call an election is in August and voters would have the ultimate say in November.

How much would these cost you?

City staff previously said that for every $100 million in additional debt the city takes on, the average Austin homeowner will see their bill go up by $14.34 annually.

It’s worth noting that your property tax bill will go up over the next several years regardless of whether a bond is approved or not in 2026. City staff say the city still has more than $2 billion in outstanding debt.

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Aussie suburbs with the largest superannuation losses from collapsed funds: ‘Still unaware’

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Aussie suburbs with the largest superannuation losses from collapsed funds: ‘Still unaware’
ASIC Commissioner Alan Kirkland says many victims, located across the country, likely still don’t realise. · Getty/LinkedIn

There are still thousands of Australians who have lost retirement savings in their superannuation accounts that likely don’t realise. The Australian securities regulator is urging people to double check their account to make sure you’re not impacted by the high-profile collapse of two investment funds.

Some 12,000 Aussies had their superannuation funds switched into Shield and First Guardian. But years later about 9,000 still haven’t made an official complaint with the financial ombudsman, with only about 3,000 seeking compensation so far.

“In our view that’s not enough,” ASIC Commissioner Alan Kirkland told Yahoo Finance.

“We suspect a lot of people are still unaware.”

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The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) has shared postcode data with Yahoo Finance, showing the suburbs with the worst loses stemming from the $1 billion disaster.

Of the top postcodes across the country, four are in Queensland – 4740 Mackay, 4350 Toowoomba, 4670 Bundaberg and 4209 Coomera Pimpama.

Four are in Victoria – 3029 Truganina, 3064 Craigieburn, 3030 Werribee/Hoppers Crossing and 3977 Cranbourne/Cranbourne East/Cranbourne North.

While two others are in Western Australia – 6112 Armadale and 6171 Baldivis.

“Queensland, Victoria and WA are over represented,” Kirkland said.

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“But really what we’re trying to say with releasing this data is that there are people who are affected by this in every part of the country.”

The top postcodes for each Australian jurisdiction

NSW

2259

Wyong · Tuggerah · Lake Munmorah.

VIC

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3977

Cranbourne · Cranbourne North · Cranbourne East

QLD

4740

Mackay · North Mackay · West Mackay

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SA

5114

Smithfield · Craigmore · Blakeview

WA

6112

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Armadale · Piara Waters · Harrisdale

TAS

7250

Launceston · Riverside · Newstead

NT

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0830

Palmerston City · Durack · Gray

ACT

2620

Queanbeyan · Googong · Karabar

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Aussies urged to reach out to their superannuation fund

Many people may still not realise they were invested in Shield and First Guardian, because the funds sat behind well-known platforms or financial advisers. So if you happen to be in one of these postcodes and have not looked at your super in a few years, it is really worth checking, he said.

“If they’re not sure weather they invested in Shield or First Guardian they should reach out to the superannuation fund and ask about that,” Kirkland urged.

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Lending Momentum Builds for 2026

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Lending Momentum Builds for 2026
Lenders anticipate elevated affordable housing activity for the rest of 2026, supported by recent expansions to the low-income housing tax credit (LIHTC), including the 25% bond test and the i | LIHTC changes, expanded bond capacity, and deeper liquidity position affordable housing lenders for higher deal flow—even as costs, complexity, and equity gaps test execution.
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