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MicroStrategy’s ‘financial engineering’ powers ascent to Nasdaq 100

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MicroStrategy’s ‘financial engineering’ powers ascent to Nasdaq 100

MicroStrategy has raised almost $20bn from investors this year to buy bitcoin, fuelling a meteoric rise for the once-obscure software company into the Nasdaq 100 index of large-cap US technology stocks.

A combination of selling shares and convertible bonds has funded a one-way bet on a rocketing bitcoin price that, despite a sell-off in recent days, has driven its shares up more than 400 per cent this year. Such is the investor demand that the company now has a market value of around $80bn, despite owning around $41bn of bitcoin.

Debt fund managers have been clamouring to get their hands on the convertible bonds, believing they offer exposure to the soaring share price while also providing protection if the price goes into reverse. The stock’s Nasdaq 100 inclusion will compel index-tracking funds to buy billions of dollars more of the company’s shares.

Its index inclusion after the close of trading on Friday — it is part of a trio replacing IT firm Super Micro Computer, Covid-19 vaccine maker Moderna and gene-sequencing company Illumina — is further vindication for founder Michael Saylor, who has become one of the most evangelistic proponents of bitcoin since his company began buying it four years ago.

“It’s some incredible financial engineering,” said a convertible bond portfolio manager invested in MicroStrategy. “[Saylor has] created this incredible situation where a stock trades at three times the price of the underlying bitcoin and then he just sells more shares every day and buys more bitcoin.”

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Donald Trump has promised to make the US a ‘bitcoin superpower’ and ease the regulatory crackdown on cryptocurrency © Justin Chin/Bloomberg

For Saylor, who once tweeted that bitcoin’s “days are numbered” but later recanted, this year has been an extended opportunity to build on his plan to make MicroStrategy a “treasury” for what he calls “the most valuable asset in the world”. In October he announced plans to raise $42bn over the next three years, all to pay for more bitcoin.

The cryptocurrency’s value has more than doubled this year following the arrival of spot bitcoin exchange traded funds in the US and Donald Trump’s presidential election victory in November. Trump’s promises to make the US a “bitcoin superpower” and ease the regulatory crackdown pushed the value of the coin from less than $64,000 at the end of September to more than $108,000 this week, although at one point on Friday it fell close to $92,000.

“My attitude [on bitcoin] has gotten better every quarter,” Saylor told the Financial Times. “Now you have a president[-elect] who is ending the war on crypto.”

MicroStrategy’s success has been helped by the huge premium that investors place on its shares, with the company currently trading at roughly double the net asset value of its bitcoin holdings.

This allows it to issue stock at a premium and buy ever more of the cryptocurrency. Although existing shareholders end up owning a smaller percentage of the company, the underlying value of their shares increases because MicroStrategy now owns more bitcoin per share.

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Line chart of Share price, $ showing MicroStrategy shares have climbed 370% this year

Convertible bonds have also become a key way for MicroStrategy to raise money. Such instruments usually pay a fixed coupon but also convert into shares at an agreed price, allowing investors to benefit from equity’s unlimited upside while providing the perceived downside protection of bonds.

The highly volatile nature of the stock has so far worked well for both the company and investors. It means the company can issue bonds with a higher conversion premium than usual and even offer zero coupon on the debt. Investors, meanwhile, have been drawn to the potential exposure to the firm’s soaring share price and the perceived downside protection.

As MicroStrategy’s shares surged earlier this year, bond investors who had lapped up its March convertibles quickly became equity holders as their bonds were converted. In November, Saylor returned to market for the fifth time this year, issuing $3bn of convertibles for zero interest and a 55 per cent conversion premium.

MicroStrategy Inc. headquarters in Tysons Corner, Virginia,
‘It’s arbitrage feeding arbitrage,’ said one convertible bond trader who has bought MicroStrategy’s bonds and shorted its equity © Stefani Reynolds/Bloomberg

For investors who had snapped up MicroStrategy’s earlier debt, the company’s return to market could hardly have worked out better, as it allowed them to take profits on their shares and buy new bonds.

“This was an absolute home run for us. We got to lock in all of the upside of the past six months, and now we bring in downside protection,” said one convertible bond fund manager who owns MicroStrategy bonds. “There is no better outcome for a convertible bond manager.”

So-called convertible arbitrage hedge funds, which buy such bonds and then short the shares — bet on a falling price — have also provided a ready market for the firm’s mass issuance.

Their strategy is essentially a bet on volatility. They try to make money on their short position if the share price falls, with losses on the convertible limited by the bond’s downside protection. And if the shares climb, the aim is for the short position — which is smaller than the convertible bond exposure — to lose less money than the gain on the equity upside.

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“It’s arbitrage feeding arbitrage,” said one convertible bond trader who has bought MicroStrategy’s bonds and shorted its equity. “Our arbitrage is OK. It’s decent. But [Saylor’s] arbitrage is brilliant.”

Traders exploiting the volatility of MicroStrategy’s shares have been helped by billions of dollars of inflows into highly levered exchange traded products that track the stock but amplify investors’ potential gains and losses. Two MicroStrategy ETFs, including the Defiance Daily Target two-times long MSTR ETF, own about $10bn of the company’s stock via swaps and options. 

Unlike traditional ETFs, which buy and hold shares, leveraged ETFs rebalance at the end of every trading day to hit their targeted returns. This means that when the underlying asset rises in price, fund managers must buy more of the stock, and vice versa should prices fall.

These end-of-day rebalancing flows can “significantly impact the underlying MicroStrategy stock price, amplifying price moves, thus enhancing volatility”, said JPMorgan strategist Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou.

But some investors are getting nervous. They fear that the virtuous circle that has driven up the share price so quickly could easily go into reverse if the bitcoin price falls substantially.

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“Borrowing dollars to buy bitcoin is just a massive dollar short position, not a new financial invention,” says Barry Bannister, chief equity strategist at Stifel. “As any short seller in history knows, the price of being wrong is ruin.”

“If bitcoin traded down 90-95 per cent and stayed there, there would be no liquidation or debt accelerations,” Saylor told the FT. “Presumably our equity would suffer some dilution, but we still would not sell, or need to sell, our bitcoin.”

The shares could also fall if investors simply decide to place less of a premium on MicroStrategy stock. Since their peak on November 21, the shares are down around 40 per cent, while bitcoin is down just 5 per cent.

One North American hedge fund executive said they had held a position in bitcoin and a bet against MicroStrategy “to capture that spread”. This bet “worked on and off until the trade became a meme”, added the person, who now prefers to short one of the twice-leveraged ETFs.

Some suggest that share sales by insiders undermine the company’s pitch to investors: that bitcoin remains undervalued. MicroStrategy directors have sold a total of $570mn of the company’s stock so far this year, according to company filings.

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MicroStrategy did not respond to a request for comment on the share sales.

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“The subjects change — now it’s crypto — but over the centuries human investment behaviour does not deviate from the script one iota,” said Bannister.

Anyone buying assets “built on thin air” should be prepared to watch their money “vanish”, he added.

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Household savings, income and finances in Spain: how did they fare in 2025 and what can we expect for 2026?

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Household savings, income and finances in Spain: how did they fare in 2025 and what can we expect for 2026?

In 2025, GDI grew above the rate of average annual inflation (2.7%) and the growth in the number of households (1.3% according to the LFS), which allowed for a recovery in purchasing power. In this context, real household income has grown by 4.5% since before the pandemic, highlighting that households have continued to gain purchasing power in real terms.

The strong financial position of households is reflected not only in the high savings rate but also in their financial accounts. In this regard, households’ financial wealth continued to increase in 2025: their financial assets amounted to 3.4 trillion euros at the end of the year, versus 3.1 trillion at the end of 2024. This increase of 292 billion euros is broken down into a net acquisition of financial assets amounting to 95 billion, higher than the 21.5-billion average in the period 2015-2019, when interest rates were very low, and a revaluation effect of 194 billion. When breaking down the net acquisition of assets, we note that households invested 42 billion euros in equities and investment funds, just under 9.6 billion less than in deposits, while they disposed of debt securities worth 6 billion following the fall in interest rates.

On the other hand, households continued to deleverage in 2025, and by the end of the year their financial liabilities stood at 46.9% of GDP, compared to 47.8% in 2024, the lowest level since the end of 1998. This decline reflects the fact that, in 2025, households took advantage of the interest rate drop to prudently incur debt: net new borrowing amounted to 35 billion euros, representing an increase of 3.8%, which is lower than the nominal GDP growth of 5.8% and the GDI growth of 5.3%.

As a result of the increase in financial assets and the decrease in liabilities as a percentage of GDP, the net financial wealth of households recorded a notable increase of 7.3 points compared to 2024, reaching 156.8% of GDP.

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Fresno Mayor Jerry Dyer touts ‘strong financial outlook’ in city’s budget proposal

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Fresno Mayor Jerry Dyer touts ‘strong financial outlook’ in city’s budget proposal

FRESNO, Calif. (KFSN) — Mayor Jerry Dyer has unveiled his 2026- 2027 budget proposal at Fresno’s City Hall.

The overall budget total is $2.55 billion, with a majority of the funding going to public works, utilities, police and FAX.

The mayor also highlighted several investments, including a 10-year tree trimming cycle, the Homeless Assistance Response Team and an America 250 celebration.

Dyer says that despite some challenging circumstances, the City of Fresno’s long-term financial condition remains healthy.

“We’re pleased to say that based on increasing revenues and sound financial management, as well as a very healthy reserve, the city of Fresno has a strong financial outlook,” he said.

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Dyer’s office says the budget is a comprehensive financial plan that reflects the city’s ongoing commitment to the “One Fresno” vision.

Copyright © 2026 KFSN-TV. All Rights Reserved.

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Nature Is Water Infrastructure. It’s Time To Finance It That Way

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Nature Is Water Infrastructure. It’s Time To Finance It That Way

Back in 2018 Cape Town, South Africa came dangerously close to running out of water. A severe, multi-year drought, combined with population growth and rising demand, pushed the city toward what officials called “Day Zero” – the moment when municipal water supplies would fall so low that household taps would be shut off and residents would be forced to collect daily water rations from designated distribution sites.

The city responded with extraordinary urgency. Emergency water stations were prepared. Public campaigns urged residents to reduce water consumption to just 13 gallons per day (the amount used in a single 6-minute shower). Monitoring systems tracked household water use. The filling of swimming pools and the washing of cars were banned.

These efforts helped Cape Town narrowly avoid a catastrophe. But the warning was unmistakable.

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Water security is not only an environmental issue. It’s an economic issue. It’s a public health issue. It’s a food security issue. And for communities around the world, it is becoming a basic test of climate resilience.

In Cape Town, the crisis was driven by a combination of pressures. The city depends heavily on reservoirs supplied by six major dams. By 2018 these reservoirs had fallen below 20% capacity after years of drought. Aging infrastructure added strain. So did the spread of invasive plants, which consumed enormous amounts of water before it could reach the municipal system.

This last point matters. When we think about water infrastructure, we usually think about pipes, reservoirs, dams, pumps, and treatment plants. Those systems are essential. But they are only part of the story. The landscapes that capture, filter, store, and release water are vital infrastructure, too.

The good news is that we know how to better prevent and prepare for these risks moving forward. The answer? Investing in common-sense, nature-based solutions that restore balance to the region’s ecosystem. These are not abstract environmental ideals. They are practical investments with measurable benefits. The hard part has always been paying for them.

Nature-based solutions remain dramatically underfunded. This is a central challenge to global conservation efforts today. Indeed, it’s not that we lack solutions. We lack financial systems capable of delivering those solutions at the speed and scale required.

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But that is beginning to change.

A New Model for Financing Nature

The Cape Water Performance-Based Bond, announced last month, is more than just a creative financing tool. It is a five-year, outcomes‑linked transaction designed to mobilize capital markets at scale in support of nature‑based solutions, bringing together public institutions, philanthropic support, conservation expertise, and private capital to deliver measurable environmental results.

The bond, listed on the Johannesburg Stock exchange valued at R2.5 billion (USD $150 million) brought together FirstRand Bank as issuer, Rand Merchant Bank as arranger and structurer, and a coalition of local and international investors and philanthropic funders. As part of the structuring, The Nature Conservancy (TNCs) South Africa Program receives R150 million (USD $8.8 million) for implementation. And its most important feature is also its most innovative: investor returns are linked directly to independently verified ecological outcomes.

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That is a major step forward.

For years, sustainable finance has often relied on “use-of-proceeds” models. Capital is raised and directed toward projects expected to produce environmental benefits. Yes, those models have value. But the Cape Water bond goes further. Investors are not simply financing a project that promises environmental benefits. Their returns are tied to whether those benefits are actually delivered. In this case, the outcome is clear: restoring critical water source areas in South Africa’s Western Cape by removing invasive alien plants that reduce water yield, damage biodiversity, and increase wildfire risk.

Over the next few years, the restoration work supported through the Greater Cape Town Water Fund will focus on removal of invasive species such as Pine, Eucalyptus, and Australian acacias, which consume far more water than the Cape’s native vegetation. At the height of concern, invasive plants were estimated to consume nearly 150 million liters of water per day in the Greater Cape Town region alone. Put more plainly, that was approximately one-fifth of the entire city’s water usage during the crisis.

The work builds on efforts already underway via the Greater Cape Town Water Fund, which was formed by TNC and partners in response to Cape Town’s prolonged water crisis. Already these efforts have cleared tens of thousands of hectares of invasive, water hogging plants. The fund prioritizes science-driven, nature-based solutions that restore the watersheds feeding the city’s water supply. Here again, the outcomes are not assumed. They are measured. And they are verified. That kind of accountability matters. It builds trust. It strengthens rigor. And by systematically evaluating returns, it helps move conservation finance closer to mainstream capital markets.

The Warning of “Day Zero”

The Western Cape is a powerful place to prove this model.

Cape Town’s experience during the 2017-2018 drought showed the world what water insecurity looks like in real time. It also changed how many people think about infrastructure.

In the Western Cape, invasive alien plants have disrupted the natural function of key catchments. They consume large amounts of water, crowd out native vegetation, and weaken the ecological integrity of the region’s water source areas. Removing them is not just landscape restoration. It is water system restoration.

Analysis from the Greater Cape Town Water Fund indicates that clearing invasive plants across priority sub-watersheds could help return roughly 55 billion liters of water each year to the Western Cape Water Supply System – one-third of Cape Town’s annual municipal water needs.

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That’s not a marginal environmental benefit. It represents one of the most cost‑effective nature‑based strategies available to strengthen long‑term water security, while also delivering biodiversity, wildfire‑risk, and economic benefits.

A Blueprint for Global Conservation Finance

The Cape Water bond helps make that case in a language markets understand.

Commercial finance provides scale. Philanthropic and outcomes-based support help absorb risk. Conservation organizations like TNC apply scientific and technical expertise to implement on-ground restoration, while independent verification ensures outcomes and integrity. Public-interest institutions keep the structure aligned with long-term community and ecosystem benefit.

Martin Potgieter of Rand Merchant Bank explained, “This is a R2.5 billion market signal that natural capital has entered mainstream finance — combining financial innovation with scientific rigor.”

That’s using different types of capital to unlock outcomes that no single funding source could achieve alone. It’s exactly what blended finance is supposed to do. And the model has global relevance.

Around the world, communities are searching for ways to close the gap between conservation need and available funding. Sovereign nature bonds and debt conversions helped unlock capital for ocean conservation in places like the Seychelles, Belize, Barbados, and Gabon. The Cape Water bond builds on that same spirit of innovation but applies it to watershed restoration through a performance-based capital markets instrument.

Nature-based solutions work. And the Cape Water Performance-Based Bond shows what is possible. Conservation can be tied to performance. Public institutions and private capital can work together. And ecological restoration, when structured well, can attract the kind of financial support needed to move from isolated pilot projects to real scale.

Nature has always been one of our most valuable assets. It is time our financial systems treated it that way.

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Author’s Note:

As a physician, I have spent much of my career studying human health. Increasingly, I have come to believe that understanding, and protecting, the health of the planet is inseparable from protecting our own.

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